Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2026
EF0 tornado, Jerico, Kentucky, March 15, 2026
This EF0 tornado ran 0.8 miles across Logan County on March 15, 2026, touching down at 9:45 PM CDT and reaching 40 yards wide. It killed nobody.
Preliminary. This is NWS LMK's damage survey, filed in the Damage Assessment Toolkit as Logan County Tornado. The rating, the path and the casualties are the survey's and can change while it is revised. The Storm Prediction Center compiles the official record of 2026 from these surveys and publishes it in the spring of 2027; this page moves to that tornado's permanent address when it does.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The survey
- Rating, as surveyed
- EF0, preliminary
- Date
- March 15, 2026
- Touchdown
- 9:45 PM CDT (02:45 UTC)
- Lifted
- 9:46 PM CDT (02:46 UTC)
- On the ground
- 1 minutes
- Path length
- 0.8 miles (1.3 km)
- Path width
- 40 yards (37 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Logan County
- Touchdown point
- 36.982, -86.976
- Lift-off point
- 36.986, -86.965
- Highest wind the damage implies
- 85 mph
- Surveyed by
- NWS LMK
- The office's name for it
- Logan County Tornado
- Survey last edited
- March 18, 2026
- Record number
- None yet. SPC numbers 2026 in the spring of 2027.
What the survey found
The National Weather Service conducted a storm survey on Tuesday, March 17th for the storms that occurred on Sunday night, March 15th. A tornado was determined to have occurred in Logan County with max winds of 85 MPH (EF0).
Damage was first observed along Forgy Road where some large softwood trees were either uprooted or snapped. Due to the isolated nature of the damage, a lower bound was used at 80 mph as the max wind speed at this location. The tornado continued to the northeast along Duncan Ridge Road where more trees were uprooted. Moving east along Duncan Ridge Road, more trees were uprooted and a residence had shingle damage. Near Deer Lick Road (to the west of Lewisburg), there was a roof lofted off a storage outbuilding at a residence where wood planks were impaled in a couple of directions, one of which was in the opposite direction of the storm motion due to the tornado rotation. The max wind of 85 mph occurred at this residence. Additional tree damage was observed across Deer Lick Road.
The National Weather Service would like to thank Logan County Emergency Management for their assistance on the storm survey, as well as the helpful homeowners who allowed access to their properties.
Written by NWS LMK in the NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit. A survey is revised as better evidence arrives.
The damage survey
10 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS LMK, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 85 mph.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
During the late evening and overnight hours March 15th into March 16th, a strong upper level trough and associated cold front moved across the Ohio Valley. Ahead of the cold front, temperatures were in the 70s with dew point temperatures in the upper 50s and low 60s. This corridor of modest low-level destabilization contained between 250 and 500 J/kg of MLCAPE which was oriented immediately ahead of the surface front and the main line of showers and thunderstorms. With a corridor of 80 knot mid-level winds approaching from the west, effective bulk shear was between 40 and 50 knots for this event, creating a typical high-shear, low-CAPE setup for central Kentucky and southern Indiana. While the primary forcing mechanism was lifting along the cold front, resulting in a quasi-linear convective system, some scattered cells developed ahead of the main line of storms across western Kentucky. These storms had transient supercellular characteristics, and would go on to produce a swath of stronger winds and a few embedded tornadoes across Butler, Grayson, Breckinridge, Hardin, and Meade County. Elsewhere across Kentucky, scattered wind damage was produced by the main line of storms, with more favorably oriented segments of the line producing additional weak spin-up tornadoes. As the line of storms pushed east toward the I-75 corridor early in the morning on March 16th, there was a general weakening trend as MLCAPE values dropped to only around 100 J/kg across the Bluegrass. However, the portion of the line across southern Kentucky had access to slightly greater instability, resulting in additional instances of wind damage and a spin-up tornado in Clinton County. The line of storms eventually pushed into eastern Kentucky by around 3 AM on March 16th, with much cooler air rushing into the region behind the cold front.
The National Weather Service conducted a storm survey on Tuesday, March 17th for the storms that occurred on Sunday night, March 15th. A tornado was determined to have occurred in Logan County with max winds of 85 MPH (EF0).||Damage was first observed along Forgy Road where some large softwood trees were either uprooted or snapped. Due to the isolated nature of the damage, a lower bound was used at 80 mph as the max wind speed at this location. The tornado continued to the northeast along Duncan Ridge Road where more trees were uprooted. Moving east along Duncan Ridge Road, more trees were uprooted and a residence had shingle damage. Near Deer Lick Road (to the west of Lewisburg), there was a roof lofted off a storage outbuilding at a residence where wood planks were impaled in a couple of |directions, one of which was in the opposite direction of the storm motion due to the tornado rotation. The max wind of 85 mph occurred at this residence. Additional tree damage was observed across Deer Lick Road.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 00:27 UTC and running to 03:46 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 UTC | 12:00 UTC | Wind Advisory | LMK |
| 00:27 UTC | 03:46 UTC | Tornado Watch | LMK |
| 02:39 UTC | 03:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK |
| 02:59 UTC | 03:14 UTC | Tornado Warning | LMK |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 00:43 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z
2.8 hours before the tornado, 101 km from the path. March 16, 2026.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 59 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -216 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 327 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1722 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 296 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 536 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.9 K/km
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z
9.2 hours after it, 101 km from the path. March 16, 2026.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -20611 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 38 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 939 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 104 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 18 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -158 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 211 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 2.8 K/km
The surface observations
Greenville (M21), 32 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:55 UTC | 73.2 | 53.6 | 170° 16 kt | 23 | 995.6 | |
| 01:15 UTC | 73 | 53.6 | 170° 16 kt | 22 | 994.9 | |
| 01:35 UTC | 72.7 | 53.8 | 180° 18 kt | 23 | 994.6 | |
| 01:55 UTC | 71.4 | 55 | 210° 11 kt | 21 | 994.9 | -RA |
| 02:15 UTC | 63 | 60 | 210° 11 kt | 15 | 995.6 | -RA |
| 02:35 UTC | 63.3 | 60 | 190° 6 kt | 994.9 | -RA | |
| 02:55 UTC | 60 | 58 | 210° 20 kt | 44 | 997.3 | RA |
| 03:15 UTC | 57.6 | 55 | 210° 15 kt | 23 | 998 | RA |
| 03:35 UTC | 57.2 | 54.7 | 300° 20 kt | 29 | 999.3 | RA |
| 03:55 UTC | 49 | 47 | 290° 10 kt | 18 | 999.7 | RA |
| 04:15 UTC | 48 | 46 | 300° 7 kt | 14 | 999 | -RA |
| 04:35 UTC | 47.7 | 45.5 | 290° 8 kt | 1000 | RA |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 39 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 02:31 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:19 UTC | TSTM WND GST 70 | Pembroke | Christian, KY | |
| 02:35 UTC | TSTM WND GST 66 | 2 Wnw Fort Campbell Nor | Christian, KY | AWOS station KHOP Fort Campbell KY. |
| 02:40 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 W Drakesboro | Muhlenberg, KY | Tree damaged mobile home in Drakesboro. Metal blown off a business in Greenville. |
| 02:45 UTC | TORNADO | 1 W Lewisburg | Logan, KY | NWS STORM DAMAGE SURVEY DETERMINED THAT AN EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 1 S JERICO IN LOGAN COUNTY, KY AT APPROXIMATELY 10:45 PM EDT ON SUNDAY MARCH 15, 2026. THE TORNADO TRAVELLED NE FOR A TOTAL PATH LENGTH OF 0.78 MILES WI |
| 02:46 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Nnw Central City | Muhlenberg, KY | Tree in the roadway on Hwy 431 north of Central City. |
| 02:48 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Drakesboro | Muhlenberg, KY | A tree was blown down onto a house in the Drakesboro area. |
| 02:50 UTC | TSTM WND GST 56 | 1 Nnw Bowling Green | Warren, KY | Mesonet station 0683W 1.0 NW Bowling Green (WEATHERSTEM). |
| 02:50 UTC | TSTM WND GST 56 | 1 Nnw Bowling Green | Warren, KY | Mesonet station 0683W 1.0 NW Bowling Green (WEATHERSTEM). |
| 02:59 UTC | TORNADO | 4 W Sugar Grove | Butler, KY | NWS STORM DAMAGE SURVEY DETERMINED THAT AN EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 1 NE OF TURNERTOWN IN BUTLER COUNTY, KY AT APPROXIMATELY 10:59 PM ON SUNDAY MARCH 15, 2026. THE TORNADO TRAVELLED NE FOR A TOTAL PATH LENGTH OF 4.64 MIL |
| 03:05 UTC | TSTM WND GST 68 | 2 Wsw Woodbury | Butler, KY | |
| 03:05 UTC | TSTM WND GST 68 | 2 Wsw Woodbury | Butler, KY | |
| 03:06 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Wsw Riverside | Warren, KY | Damage to car port. |
| 03:06 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Wsw Riverside | Warren, KY | Damage to car port. |
| 03:06 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Wsw Riverside | Warren, KY | Damage to barns. |
| 03:06 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Wsw Riverside | Warren, KY | Damage to barns. |
| 03:06 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Sw Riverside | Warren, KY | The National Weather Service conducted a storm survey on Wednesday, March 18th for the storms that occurred on Sunday night, March 15th. A tornado was determined to have occurred in Warren County with max winds of 90 MPH |
| 03:11 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Sse Welchs Creek | Butler, KY | Large tree down on the 900 block of Grancer Road. |
| 03:11 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Sse Welchs Creek | Butler, KY | Large tree down on the 900 block of Grancer Road. |
| 03:50 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Wnw Bowling Green | Warren, KY | Tree down blocking Holly Drive near Dennis Way. |
| 03:50 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Wnw Bowling Green | Warren, KY | Tree down blocking Holly Drive near Dennis Way. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2026 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of March 15, 2026
43 more have been surveyed in the United States that day, so far.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 15 | 3:37 PM CDT | EF1 | Texas, MO | 0.3 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 3:48 PM CDT | EF0 | Howell, MO | 1.9 | 75 | |||
| March 15 | 3:55 PM CDT | EF1 | Texas, MO | 2.4 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 4:00 PM CDT | EF0 | Texas, MO | 0.8 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 4:03 PM CDT | EF1 | Shannon, MO | 1.4 | 250 | |||
| March 15 | 4:10 PM CDT | EF0 | Texas, MO | 0.5 | 75 | |||
| March 15 | 5:29 PM CDT | EF1 | Macoupin, IL | 6.3 | 300 | |||
| March 15 | 5:35 PM CDT | EF0 | Monroe, IL | 8.7 | 160 | |||
| March 15 | 5:38 PM CDT | EF1 | Montgomery, IL | 7.1 | 0 | |||
| March 15 | 5:43 PM CDT | EF1 | Lawrence, AR | 10.5 | 200 | |||
| March 15 | 5:47 PM CDT | EF1 | Saint Clair, IL | 0.6 | 225 | |||
| March 15 | 5:47 PM CDT | EF1 | Montgomery, IL | 3.6 | 300 | $500 | ||
| March 15 | 5:51 PM CDT | EF1 | Wayne, MO | 1.6 | 125 | |||
| March 15 | 5:55 PM CDT | EF1 | Montgomery, IL | 7.8 | 0 | |||
| March 15 | 5:58 PM CDT | EF0 | Greene, AR | 4.5 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 6:02 PM CDT | Unrated | Arkansas, AR | 2.4 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 6:02 PM CDT | EF1 | Montgomery, IL | 13.6 | 90 | |||
| March 15 | 6:07 PM CDT | EF0 | Greene, AR | 2.2 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 6:12 PM CDT | EF1 | Greene, AR | 3.0 | 150 | |||
| March 15 | 6:18 PM CDT | EF1 | Christian, IL | 1.4 | 80 | $300 | ||
| March 15 | 6:19 PM CDT | EF1 | Bollinger, MO | 7.8 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 6:24 PM CDT | EF1 | Clay, AR | 2.0 | 130 | |||
| March 15 | 6:29 PM CDT | EF1 | Clinton, IL | 4.2 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 6:32 PM CDT | EF1 | Cape Girardeau, MO | 0.5 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 6:37 PM CDT | EF0 | Moultrie, IL | 2.2 | 50 | $20 | ||
| March 15 | 6:42 PM CDT | EF1 | Moultrie, IL | 5.3 | 50 | $45 | ||
| March 15 | 6:44 PM CDT | EF0 | Dunklin, MO | 2.9 | 75 | |||
| March 15 | 6:46 PM CDT | EF1 | Jackson, IL | 0.1 | 75 | |||
| March 15 | 6:54 PM CDT | EF0 | Douglas, IL | 2.2 | 80 | $70 | ||
| March 15 | 7:02 PM CDT | EF0 | Jackson, IL | 0.1 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 7:03 PM CDT | EF1 | Douglas, IL | 2.3 | 70 | $25 | ||
| March 15 | 7:06 PM CDT | EF1 | Douglas, IL | 11.4 | 70 | |||
| March 15 | 8:05 PM CDT | EF0 | Richland, IL | 2.0 | 40 | |||
| March 15 | 8:17 PM CDT | EF1 | Alcorn, MS | 2.5 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 9:35 PM CDT | EF0 | Montgomery, TN | 5.1 | 200 | |||
| March 15 | 9:59 PM CDT | EF0 | Butler, KY | 4.6 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 10:04 PM CDT | EF1 | Grayson, KY | 17.8 | 300 | |||
| March 15 | 10:06 PM CDT | EF1 | Maury, TN | 16.5 | 500 | |||
| March 15 | 10:06 PM CDT | EF1 | Warren, KY | 2.2 | 40 | |||
| March 15 | 11:24 PM EDT | EF1 | Hardin, KY | 4.0 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 11:29 PM EDT | EF1 | Hardin, KY | 13.5 | 200 | |||
| March 15 | 10:48 PM CDT | EF1 | Lauderdale, AL to TN | 14.6 | 400 | |||
| March 15 | 12:35 AM CDT | EF1 | Clinton, KY | 1.3 | 200 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. A survey can be revised, so the rating, the path and the casualties can all still change.
Sources
NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit, the record the survey teams file from the damage, and NOAA Storm Prediction Center storm reports. Neither is the official database for 2026, which SPC publishes in the spring of 2027.