Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2026

EF0 tornado, Jerico, Kentucky, March 15, 2026

This EF0 tornado ran 0.8 miles across Logan County on March 15, 2026, touching down at 9:45 PM CDT and reaching 40 yards wide. It killed nobody.

Preliminary. This is NWS LMK's damage survey, filed in the Damage Assessment Toolkit as Logan County Tornado. The rating, the path and the casualties are the survey's and can change while it is revised. The Storm Prediction Center compiles the official record of 2026 from these surveys and publishes it in the spring of 2027; this page moves to that tornado's permanent address when it does.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The survey

Rating, as surveyed
EF0, preliminary
Date
March 15, 2026
Touchdown
9:45 PM CDT (02:45 UTC)
Lifted
9:46 PM CDT (02:46 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
0.8 miles (1.3 km)
Path width
40 yards (37 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Logan County
Touchdown point
36.982, -86.976
Lift-off point
36.986, -86.965
Highest wind the damage implies
85 mph
Surveyed by
NWS LMK
The office's name for it
Logan County Tornado
Survey last edited
March 18, 2026
Record number
None yet. SPC numbers 2026 in the spring of 2027.

What the survey found

The National Weather Service conducted a storm survey on Tuesday, March 17th for the storms that occurred on Sunday night, March 15th. A tornado was determined to have occurred in Logan County with max winds of 85 MPH (EF0).

Damage was first observed along Forgy Road where some large softwood trees were either uprooted or snapped. Due to the isolated nature of the damage, a lower bound was used at 80 mph as the max wind speed at this location. The tornado continued to the northeast along Duncan Ridge Road where more trees were uprooted. Moving east along Duncan Ridge Road, more trees were uprooted and a residence had shingle damage. Near Deer Lick Road (to the west of Lewisburg), there was a roof lofted off a storage outbuilding at a residence where wood planks were impaled in a couple of directions, one of which was in the opposite direction of the storm motion due to the tornado rotation. The max wind of 85 mph occurred at this residence. Additional tree damage was observed across Deer Lick Road.

The National Weather Service would like to thank Logan County Emergency Management for their assistance on the storm survey, as well as the helpful homeowners who allowed access to their properties.

Written by NWS LMK in the NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit. A survey is revised as better evidence arrives.

The damage survey

10 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS LMK, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 85 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

During the late evening and overnight hours March 15th into March 16th, a strong upper level trough and associated cold front moved across the Ohio Valley. Ahead of the cold front, temperatures were in the 70s with dew point temperatures in the upper 50s and low 60s. This corridor of modest low-level destabilization contained between 250 and 500 J/kg of MLCAPE which was oriented immediately ahead of the surface front and the main line of showers and thunderstorms. With a corridor of 80 knot mid-level winds approaching from the west, effective bulk shear was between 40 and 50 knots for this event, creating a typical high-shear, low-CAPE setup for central Kentucky and southern Indiana. While the primary forcing mechanism was lifting along the cold front, resulting in a quasi-linear convective system, some scattered cells developed ahead of the main line of storms across western Kentucky. These storms had transient supercellular characteristics, and would go on to produce a swath of stronger winds and a few embedded tornadoes across Butler, Grayson, Breckinridge, Hardin, and Meade County. Elsewhere across Kentucky, scattered wind damage was produced by the main line of storms, with more favorably oriented segments of the line producing additional weak spin-up tornadoes. As the line of storms pushed east toward the I-75 corridor early in the morning on March 16th, there was a general weakening trend as MLCAPE values dropped to only around 100 J/kg across the Bluegrass. However, the portion of the line across southern Kentucky had access to slightly greater instability, resulting in additional instances of wind damage and a spin-up tornado in Clinton County. The line of storms eventually pushed into eastern Kentucky by around 3 AM on March 16th, with much cooler air rushing into the region behind the cold front.

The National Weather Service conducted a storm survey on Tuesday, March 17th for the storms that occurred on Sunday night, March 15th. A tornado was determined to have occurred in Logan County with max winds of 85 MPH (EF0).||Damage was first observed along Forgy Road where some large softwood trees were either uprooted or snapped. Due to the isolated nature of the damage, a lower bound was used at 80 mph as the max wind speed at this location. The tornado continued to the northeast along Duncan Ridge Road where more trees were uprooted. Moving east along Duncan Ridge Road, more trees were uprooted and a residence had shingle damage. Near Deer Lick Road (to the west of Lewisburg), there was a roof lofted off a storage outbuilding at a residence where wood planks were impaled in a couple of |directions, one of which was in the opposite direction of the storm motion due to the tornado rotation. The max wind of 85 mph occurred at this residence. Additional tree damage was observed across Deer Lick Road.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 00:27 UTC and running to 03:46 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
13:00 UTC12:00 UTCWind AdvisoryLMK
00:27 UTC03:46 UTCTornado WatchLMK
02:39 UTC03:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK
02:59 UTC03:14 UTCTornado WarningLMK

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 00:43 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

2.8 hours before the tornado, 101 km from the path. March 16, 2026.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2026-03-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 59 joules per kilogram, CIN -216, lifted condensation level 1722 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2026-03-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 296 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 54 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
59 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-216 J/kg
Surface CAPE
327 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1722 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
296 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
536 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2
0-3 km lapse rate
6.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z

9.2 hours after it, 101 km from the path. March 16, 2026.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2026-03-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -20611, lifted condensation level 939 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2026-03-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -158 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 104 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20611 J/kg
Surface CAPE
38 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
939 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
104 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-158 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
211 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
2.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Greenville (M21), 32 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
00:55 UTC73.253.6170° 16 kt23995.6
01:15 UTC7353.6170° 16 kt22994.9
01:35 UTC72.753.8180° 18 kt23994.6
01:55 UTC71.455210° 11 kt21994.9-RA
02:15 UTC6360210° 11 kt15995.6-RA
02:35 UTC63.360190° 6 kt994.9-RA
02:55 UTC6058210° 20 kt44997.3RA
03:15 UTC57.655210° 15 kt23998RA
03:35 UTC57.254.7300° 20 kt29999.3RA
03:55 UTC4947290° 10 kt18999.7RA
04:15 UTC4846300° 7 kt14999-RA
04:35 UTC47.745.5290° 8 kt1000RA

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 39 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 02:31 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
02:19 UTCTSTM WND GST 70PembrokeChristian, KY
02:35 UTCTSTM WND GST 662 Wnw Fort Campbell NorChristian, KYAWOS station KHOP Fort Campbell KY.
02:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 W DrakesboroMuhlenberg, KYTree damaged mobile home in Drakesboro. Metal blown off a business in Greenville.
02:45 UTCTORNADO1 W LewisburgLogan, KYNWS STORM DAMAGE SURVEY DETERMINED THAT AN EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 1 S JERICO IN LOGAN COUNTY, KY AT APPROXIMATELY 10:45 PM EDT ON SUNDAY MARCH 15, 2026. THE TORNADO TRAVELLED NE FOR A TOTAL PATH LENGTH OF 0.78 MILES WI
02:46 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nnw Central CityMuhlenberg, KYTree in the roadway on Hwy 431 north of Central City.
02:48 UTCTSTM WND DMGDrakesboroMuhlenberg, KYA tree was blown down onto a house in the Drakesboro area.
02:50 UTCTSTM WND GST 561 Nnw Bowling GreenWarren, KYMesonet station 0683W 1.0 NW Bowling Green (WEATHERSTEM).
02:50 UTCTSTM WND GST 561 Nnw Bowling GreenWarren, KYMesonet station 0683W 1.0 NW Bowling Green (WEATHERSTEM).
02:59 UTCTORNADO4 W Sugar GroveButler, KYNWS STORM DAMAGE SURVEY DETERMINED THAT AN EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 1 NE OF TURNERTOWN IN BUTLER COUNTY, KY AT APPROXIMATELY 10:59 PM ON SUNDAY MARCH 15, 2026. THE TORNADO TRAVELLED NE FOR A TOTAL PATH LENGTH OF 4.64 MIL
03:05 UTCTSTM WND GST 682 Wsw WoodburyButler, KY
03:05 UTCTSTM WND GST 682 Wsw WoodburyButler, KY
03:06 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Wsw RiversideWarren, KYDamage to car port.
03:06 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Wsw RiversideWarren, KYDamage to car port.
03:06 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Wsw RiversideWarren, KYDamage to barns.
03:06 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Wsw RiversideWarren, KYDamage to barns.
03:06 UTCTORNADO2 Sw RiversideWarren, KYThe National Weather Service conducted a storm survey on Wednesday, March 18th for the storms that occurred on Sunday night, March 15th. A tornado was determined to have occurred in Warren County with max winds of 90 MPH
03:11 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Sse Welchs CreekButler, KYLarge tree down on the 900 block of Grancer Road.
03:11 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Sse Welchs CreekButler, KYLarge tree down on the 900 block of Grancer Road.
03:50 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Wnw Bowling GreenWarren, KYTree down blocking Holly Drive near Dennis Way.
03:50 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Wnw Bowling GreenWarren, KYTree down blocking Holly Drive near Dennis Way.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2026 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 15, 2026

43 more have been surveyed in the United States that day, so far.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 153:37 PM CDTEF1Texas, MO0.3100
March 153:48 PM CDTEF0Howell, MO1.975
March 153:55 PM CDTEF1Texas, MO2.4100
March 154:00 PM CDTEF0Texas, MO0.8100
March 154:03 PM CDTEF1Shannon, MO1.4250
March 154:10 PM CDTEF0Texas, MO0.575
March 155:29 PM CDTEF1Macoupin, IL6.3300
March 155:35 PM CDTEF0Monroe, IL8.7160
March 155:38 PM CDTEF1Montgomery, IL7.10
March 155:43 PM CDTEF1Lawrence, AR10.5200
March 155:47 PM CDTEF1Saint Clair, IL0.6225
March 155:47 PM CDTEF1Montgomery, IL3.6300$500
March 155:51 PM CDTEF1Wayne, MO1.6125
March 155:55 PM CDTEF1Montgomery, IL7.80
March 155:58 PM CDTEF0Greene, AR4.5100
March 156:02 PM CDTUnratedArkansas, AR2.450
March 156:02 PM CDTEF1Montgomery, IL13.690
March 156:07 PM CDTEF0Greene, AR2.2100
March 156:12 PM CDTEF1Greene, AR3.0150
March 156:18 PM CDTEF1Christian, IL1.480$300
March 156:19 PM CDTEF1Bollinger, MO7.8100
March 156:24 PM CDTEF1Clay, AR2.0130
March 156:29 PM CDTEF1Clinton, IL4.250
March 156:32 PM CDTEF1Cape Girardeau, MO0.550
March 156:37 PM CDTEF0Moultrie, IL2.250$20
March 156:42 PM CDTEF1Moultrie, IL5.350$45
March 156:44 PM CDTEF0Dunklin, MO2.975
March 156:46 PM CDTEF1Jackson, IL0.175
March 156:54 PM CDTEF0Douglas, IL2.280$70
March 157:02 PM CDTEF0Jackson, IL0.150
March 157:03 PM CDTEF1Douglas, IL2.370$25
March 157:06 PM CDTEF1Douglas, IL11.470
March 158:05 PM CDTEF0Richland, IL2.040
March 158:17 PM CDTEF1Alcorn, MS2.5100
March 159:35 PM CDTEF0Montgomery, TN5.1200
March 159:59 PM CDTEF0Butler, KY4.650
March 1510:04 PM CDTEF1Grayson, KY17.8300
March 1510:06 PM CDTEF1Maury, TN16.5500
March 1510:06 PM CDTEF1Warren, KY2.240
March 1511:24 PM EDTEF1Hardin, KY4.0100
March 1511:29 PM EDTEF1Hardin, KY13.5200
March 1510:48 PM CDTEF1Lauderdale, AL to TN14.6400
March 1512:35 AM CDTEF1Clinton, KY1.3200

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. A survey can be revised, so the rating, the path and the casualties can all still change.

Sources

NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit, the record the survey teams file from the damage, and NOAA Storm Prediction Center storm reports. Neither is the official database for 2026, which SPC publishes in the spring of 2027.