Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2026

EF1 tornado, Schram City to Assumption, Illinois, March 15, 2026

From Schram City to Assumption, this EF1 tornado ran 13.6 miles across Montgomery and Christian counties on March 15, 2026, touching down at 6:02 PM CDT and reaching 90 yards wide. It killed nobody.

Preliminary. This is NWS ILX and NWS LSX's damage survey, filed in the Damage Assessment Toolkit as Nokomis-Rosamond-Pana Tornado. The rating, the path and the casualties are the survey's and can change while it is revised. The Storm Prediction Center compiles the official record of 2026 from these surveys and publishes it in the spring of 2027; this page moves to that tornado's permanent address when it does.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The survey

Rating, as surveyed
EF1, preliminary
Date
March 15, 2026
Touchdown
6:02 PM CDT (23:02 UTC)
Lifted
6:16 PM CDT (23:16 UTC)
On the ground
14 minutes
Path length
13.6 miles (21.9 km)
Path width
90 yards (82 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Counties
Montgomery and Christian counties
Touchdown point
39.300, -89.283
Lift-off point
39.386, -89.071
Highest wind the damage implies
95 mph
Surveyed by
NWS ILX and NWS LSX
The office's name for it
Nokomis-Rosamond-Pana Tornado
Survey last edited
March 17, 2026
Record number
None yet. SPC numbers 2026 in the spring of 2027.

What the survey found

The tornado touched down on the east side of Nokomis causing widespread tree damage. The tornado moved northeast toward Ohlman causing more tree damage. It crossed into Christian County and curved east into Rosamond where it produced more tree damage and some roofing damage. The tornado advanced into Pana where it uprooted and snapped off several large trees.

Written by NWS ILX and NWS LSX in the NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit. A survey is revised as better evidence arrives.

The damage survey

84 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS ILX and NWS LSX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 98 mph.

  • Roofing ripped from high school and tossed to the east
  • 2 mobile homes rolled on top of each other
  • Not a solid structure corner 4x4s were old
  • Debris carried a long way to the northeast

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

During the afternoon and evening of March 15th, a QLCS moved through southern and south-central Illinois. Stronger segments of the QLCS produced wind damage across the region. The QLCS ended up producing 8 tornadoes while it passed through the region.

A strong low pressure system (987 mb) moved across Illinois during the afternoon of Sunday, March 15, 2026. The environment was characterized by high shear and weak instability. A line of storms swept across the state, producing scattered wind damage and eight tornadoes within the NWS Central Illinois coverage area. The tornadoes occurred southeast of the I-72 corridor and all were rated EF-0 or EF-1. No injuries occurred.

A brief tornado touched down on the Hillsboro Country Club where it produced minor damage to a home. The tornado then travelled northeast where it damaged trees, an outbuilding, and electrical poles. The tornado dissipated just north of White Ave west of Irving.

A tornado touched down near Irving Road and North 17th Ave where it blew over a farm auger and lofted debris nearly a half mile to the southwest. The tornado then hit Witt directly where it lofted a carport and damaged multiple roofs and trees in town. The tornado tracked along State Route 16 into Coalton where it nearly completely removed the roof of a mobile home. From there, it turned nearly due north and entered the northwest portion of Nokomis. Although most of the damage done was to trees, the tornado did blow over an outdoor football scoreboard and ripped off portions of the local high school's roof.

This tornado began on the east side of Nokomis in Montgomery County, producing widespread tree damage. The tornado continued northeast, crossing into Christian County north-northwest of the town of Ohlman. The tornado continued northeast, impacting Rosamond and producing roof and tree damage. It then curved east into Pana where it uprooted and snapped several large trees before dissipating. The tornado produced EF-1 damage in both counties, and it lasted a total of 14 minutes, spanning 13.6 miles.

This tornado began just southwest of Assumption and moved along west Illinois Street where it uprooted or snapped numerous trees and downed power lines. The tornado continued through Assumption, producing more tree damage and removing roofing material from a downtown building. The tornado damage a few more trees northeast of town before dissipating prior to reaching Highway 51. The tornado was rated EF-1, and was in progress for just two minutes.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 18:33 UTC and running to 23:48 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
15:00 UTC17:00 UTCWind AdvisoryLSX
18:33 UTC23:48 UTCTornado WatchLSX
22:31 UTC23:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 19:57 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Lincoln, IL (KILX), 12:00Z

11.0 hours before the tornado, 102 km from the path. March 15, 2026.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2026-03-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -10444, lifted condensation level 1382 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2026-03-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 389 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 55 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-10444 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1382 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
389 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
410 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Lincoln, IL (KILX), 00:00Z

1.0 hours after it, 102 km from the path. March 16, 2026.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2026-03-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1 joules per kilogram, CIN 0, lifted condensation level 499 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2026-03-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 182 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 70 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Surface CAPE
20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
499 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
70 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
481 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
2.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Taylorville (TAZ), 25 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
21:02 UTC64.455.4180° 19 kt26992.9
21:24 UTC64.455.4180° 22 kt35992.6
21:42 UTC64.455.4180° 19 kt28991.9
22:03 UTC62.655.4180° 22 kt29991.9
22:22 UTC62.655.4180° 22 kt29991.2
22:42 UTC62.657.2180° 19 kt27991.2
23:02 UTC60.857.2270° 30 kt35992.9TS
23:22 UTC48.246.4280° 19 kt26993.9TS
23:41 UTC44.644.6300° 19 kt32992.9TS
00:02 UTC42.841270° 24 kt31994.9VCTS
00:21 UTC4139.2280° 16 kt29995.6
00:41 UTC39.237.4280° 19 kt30995.9

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 91 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:00 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:14 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 S ChathamSangamon, ILPowerlines down.
22:29 UTCTORNADO2 Sw White CityMacoupin, ILAn EF-1 tornado with maximum winds of 100mph touched down just west of the Staunton Reservoir on March 15, 2026 at 5:29pm. It tracked northeast through neighborhoods around Kings Lake, causing damage to trees and minorly
22:31 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Nne StauntonMacoupin, ILPower lines down along Reservoir Rd. Time estimated from radar.
22:31 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ssw White CityMacoupin, ILCorrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 2 SSW White City. Tree and power line across the roadway near the intersection of Sugar Shack and Lakeview lanes. Time estimated from radar.
22:31 UTCTORNADO2 Ssw White CityMacoupin, ILCorrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 2 SSW White City. Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 2 SSW White City. Tree and power line across the roadway near the intersection of Sugar Shack and Lakeview lanes. Ti
22:33 UTCTSTM WND DMGMount OliveMacoupin, ILCorrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from Mount Olive. Downed trees and power lines across Mount Olive at East 1st Street, West 4th Street, and South Lake Road. Time estimated from radar.
22:33 UTCTSTM WND DMGMount OliveMacoupin, ILDowned trees and power lines across Mount Olive at East 1st Street, West 4th Street, and South Lake Road.
22:33 UTCTORNADOMount OliveMacoupin, ILCorrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from Mount Olive. Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from Mount Olive. Downed trees and power lines across Mount Olive at East 1st Street, West 4th Street, and South Lake Road. Ti
22:38 UTCTORNADO3 Nw WalshvilleMontgomery, ILAn EF-1 tornado with maximum winds of 98mph touched down northwest of Walshville, IL on March 15, 2026 at 5:38pm. It tracked northeast through farms and largely-rural areas, damaging trees and minorly affecting a few hom
22:47 UTCTORNADO1 Ne HillsboroMontgomery, ILA brief EF-1 tornado with maximum winds of 98mph touched down in the Hillsboro Country Club north of Hillsboro, IL on March 15, 2026 at 5:47pm. It damaged a few trees and caused minor roof damage to homes as it tracked n
22:54 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Wsw IrvingMontgomery, ILOutbuilding collapsed, time estimated by radar.
22:54 UTCTORNADO2 Wsw IrvingMontgomery, ILCorrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 2 WSW Irving. Outbuilding collapsed, time estimated by radar.
22:55 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 S CoffeenMontgomery, ILTree blocking a road south of Coffeen. Time estimated from radar.
22:55 UTCTORNADO2 N IrvingMontgomery, ILAn EF-1 tornado with peak winds of 90mph touched down near Irving Rd southwest of Witt, IL on March 15, 2026 at 5:55pm. The tornado tracked northeast causing minor structural damage and tree damage as it went through Wit
22:58 UTCTSTM WND DMGWittMontgomery, ILWitt and Nokomis experienced significant damage with trees on homes, poles snapped, campers blown around and rolled over.
23:02 UTCHAIL 1.251 N TaylorvilleChristian, ILReport from mPING: Half Dollar (1.25 in.).
23:02 UTCTORNADONokomisMontgomery, ILAn EF-1 tornado with maximum winds of 95mph touched down on the south side of Nokomis, IL just as another weak tornado lifted on the north side. This tornado caused minor structural damage and tree damage through parts o
23:03 UTCTSTM WND DMG8 Wsw RosamondChristian, ILPhoto of portion of high school roof torn off. SWOP report.
23:03 UTCTSTM WND GST 568 Wsw RosamondChristian, ILSWOP report.
23:03 UTCTSTM WND GST 597 Wsw RosamondChristian, ILSWOP report.
23:04 UTCTSTM WND DMGNokomisMontgomery, ILCorrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from Nokomis. Nokomis experienced significant damage with trees on homes, poles snapped, campers blown around and rolled over. There were also reports of significant damage to Nokomi
23:04 UTCTORNADONokomisMontgomery, ILCorrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from Nokomis. Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from Nokomis. Nokomis experienced significant damage with trees on homes, poles snapped, campers blown around and rolled over. The
23:10 UTCTSTM WND GST 701 Ene RosamondChristian, IL
23:17 UTCTSTM WND DMGPanaChristian, ILLarge, softwood tree uprooted. Relayed via broadcast media with photo.
23:18 UTCTORNADO1 Wsw AssumptionChristian, ILThe tornado touched down just southwest of Assumption and town along W Illinois St where it uprooted and snapped numerous trees and knocked over a couple power poles. The tornado proceeded through town where it snapped m
23:20 UTCTSTM WND DMGAssumptionChristian, ILTree down on a car. Multiple power lines downed throughout town.
23:20 UTCTSTM WND DMGAssumptionChristian, ILCorrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from Assumption. Tree down on a car. Multiple power lines downed throughout town.
23:32 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 E ShelbyvilleShelby, ILLarge tree limb down, about 8 inches in diameter, in the city of Shelbyville. Delayed report. Time estimated from radar.
23:33 UTCTSTM WND GST 531 Wsw Decatur AirportMacon, ILASOS station KDEC Decatur Arpt.
23:37 UTCTORNADO3 W BethanyMoultrie, ILThe tornado developed about 2 miles west of Bethany where it uprooted an old tree. It curved to the northeast and caused tree damage as well as destroying an outbuilding along County Rd 225 E before dissipating near Hwy
23:42 UTCTORNADO3 W LovingtonMoultrie, ILThe tornado touched down about 2 miles west of Lovington along County Rd 700 E and progressed to the northeast eventually ending near Lanton about 3 miles north of Lovington. Along its path, the tornado snapped large bra
23:44 UTCTSTM WND GST 60SullivanMoultrie, ILEstimated winds at least 50-60 mph. Video shared via social media.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2026 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 15, 2026

42 more have been surveyed in the United States that day, so far.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 153:37 PM CDTEF1Texas, MO0.3100
March 153:48 PM CDTEF0Howell, MO1.975
March 153:55 PM CDTEF1Texas, MO2.4100
March 154:00 PM CDTEF0Texas, MO0.8100
March 154:03 PM CDTEF1Shannon, MO1.4250
March 154:10 PM CDTEF0Texas, MO0.575
March 155:29 PM CDTEF1Macoupin, IL6.3300
March 155:35 PM CDTEF0Monroe, IL8.7160
March 155:38 PM CDTEF1Montgomery, IL7.10
March 155:43 PM CDTEF1Lawrence, AR10.5200
March 155:47 PM CDTEF1Saint Clair, IL0.6225
March 155:47 PM CDTEF1Montgomery, IL3.6300$500
March 155:51 PM CDTEF1Wayne, MO1.6125
March 155:55 PM CDTEF1Montgomery, IL7.80
March 155:58 PM CDTEF0Greene, AR4.5100
March 156:07 PM CDTEF0Greene, AR2.2100
March 156:12 PM CDTEF1Greene, AR3.0150
March 156:18 PM CDTEF1Christian, IL1.480$300
March 156:19 PM CDTEF1Bollinger, MO7.8100
March 156:24 PM CDTEF1Clay, AR2.0130
March 156:29 PM CDTEF1Clinton, IL4.250
March 156:32 PM CDTEF1Cape Girardeau, MO0.550
March 156:37 PM CDTEF0Moultrie, IL2.250$20
March 156:42 PM CDTEF1Moultrie, IL5.350$45
March 156:44 PM CDTEF0Dunklin, MO2.975
March 156:46 PM CDTEF1Jackson, IL0.175
March 156:54 PM CDTEF0Douglas, IL2.280$70
March 157:02 PM CDTEF0Jackson, IL0.150
March 157:03 PM CDTEF1Douglas, IL2.370$25
March 157:06 PM CDTEF1Douglas, IL11.470
March 158:05 PM CDTEF0Richland, IL2.040
March 158:17 PM CDTEF1Alcorn, MS2.5100
March 159:35 PM CDTEF0Montgomery, TN5.1200
March 159:45 PM CDTEF0Logan, KY0.840
March 159:59 PM CDTEF0Butler, KY4.650
March 1510:04 PM CDTEF1Grayson, KY17.8300
March 1510:06 PM CDTEF1Maury, TN16.5500
March 1510:06 PM CDTEF1Warren, KY2.240
March 1511:24 PM EDTEF1Hardin, KY4.0100
March 1511:29 PM EDTEF1Hardin, KY13.5200
March 1510:48 PM CDTEF1Lauderdale, AL to TN14.6400
March 1512:35 AM CDTEF1Clinton, KY1.3200

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. A survey can be revised, so the rating, the path and the casualties can all still change.

Sources

NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit, the record the survey teams file from the damage, and NOAA Storm Prediction Center storm reports. Neither is the official database for 2026, which SPC publishes in the spring of 2027.