Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2026
EF1 tornado, Arthur to Villa Grove, Illinois, March 15, 2026
From Arthur to Villa Grove, this EF1 tornado ran 11.4 miles across Douglas County on March 15, 2026, touching down at 7:06 PM CDT and reaching 70 yards wide. It killed nobody.
Preliminary. This is NWS ILX's damage survey, filed in the Damage Assessment Toolkit as Tuscola-Villa Grove Tornado. The rating, the path and the casualties are the survey's and can change while it is revised. The Storm Prediction Center compiles the official record of 2026 from these surveys and publishes it in the spring of 2027; this page moves to that tornado's permanent address when it does.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The survey
- Rating, as surveyed
- EF1, preliminary
- Date
- March 15, 2026
- Touchdown
- 7:06 PM CDT (00:06 UTC)
- Lifted
- 7:16 PM CDT (00:16 UTC)
- On the ground
- 10 minutes
- Path length
- 11.4 miles (18.3 km)
- Path width
- 70 yards (64 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Douglas County
- Touchdown point
- 39.780, -88.325
- Lift-off point
- 39.877, -88.153
- Highest wind the damage implies
- 98 mph
- Surveyed by
- NWS ILX
- The office's name for it
- Tuscola-Villa Grove Tornado
- Survey last edited
- March 17, 2026
- Record number
- None yet. SPC numbers 2026 in the spring of 2027.
What the survey found
The tornado touched down about 2 miles southwest of Tuscola where it snapped off several large trees along N County Rd 800 E. It moved northeast into Tuscola where it caused more tree and fencing damage. It continued on to Villa Grove with minor tree damage along the way. It snapped off multiple power poles on the north side of Villa Grove along with some tree damage before it dissipated just north of town.
Written by NWS ILX in the NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit. A survey is revised as better evidence arrives.
The damage survey
22 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS ILX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 98 mph.
- Power pole snapped behind us
- Debris was thrown into the field
- Debris in field but not sure of the source farther west
- Car port was blown 100 feet into road
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A strong low pressure system (987 mb) moved across Illinois during the afternoon of Sunday, March 15, 2026. The environment was characterized by high shear and weak instability. A line of storms swept across the state, producing scattered wind damage and eight tornadoes within the NWS Central Illinois coverage area. The tornadoes occurred southeast of the I-72 corridor and all were rated EF-0 or EF-1. No injuries occurred.
The tornado began about two miles southeast of Arthur near N County Road 100 E, producing damage to trees and outbuildings and strewing the debris across fields to the northeast. The tornado turned east, producing additional tree and outbuilding damage along E County Road 300 N. The tornado then turned sharply north, producing similar tree and outbuilding damage before dissipating prior to reaching Highway 133. The tornado was rated EF-0, and was in progress for three minutes.
This tornado began about 4.5 miles southwest of Tuscola along County Road 750 N. It continued east near that road, snapping numerous large pine trees and damage an outbuilding before dissipating shortly after crossing N County Road 800 E. The tornado was rated EF-1 and was in progress for three minutes.
This tornado began about two miles southwest of Tuscola where it snapped several large trees along N County Road 800 E. The tornado tracked northeast through Tuscola, producing more tree and fence damage, then continued towards Villa Grove, producing additional tree damage in rural parts of Douglas County. The tornado snapped multiple power poles on the north side of Villa Grove, along with additional tree damage, before dissipating north of Villa Grove prior to reaching the Champaign-Douglas county line. The tornado was rated EF-1, had a path length of over 11 miles, and was in progress for 10 minutes.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
23 minutes of warning. NWS ILX issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:43 UTC, 23 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 00:15 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:43 UTC and running to 01:17 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 UTC | 17:00 UTC | Wind Advisory | ILX |
| 20:43 UTC | 01:17 UTC | Tornado Watch | ILX |
| 23:37 UTC | 00:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX |
| 23:43 UTC | 00:15 UTC | Tornado Warning | ILX |
| 23:54 UTC | 00:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | ILX |
| 00:12 UTC | 00:28 UTC | Tornado Warning | ILX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 19:57 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Lincoln, IL (KILX), 00:00Z
0.1 hours before the tornado, 47 km from the path. March 16, 2026.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- 0 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 20 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 499 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 70 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 10 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 182 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 481 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 2.2 K/km
Lincoln, IL (KILX), 12:00Z
11.9 hours after it, 47 km from the path. March 16, 2026.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -109535 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 9 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 742 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 61 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -50 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 78 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.6 K/km
The radar
The Lincoln radar (KILX), 100 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:06 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:32 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 E Shelbyville | Shelby, IL | Large tree limb down, about 8 inches in diameter, in the city of Shelbyville. Delayed report. Time estimated from radar. |
| 23:33 UTC | TSTM WND GST 53 | 1 Wsw Decatur Airport | Macon, IL | ASOS station KDEC Decatur Arpt. |
| 23:37 UTC | TORNADO | 3 W Bethany | Moultrie, IL | The tornado developed about 2 miles west of Bethany where it uprooted an old tree. It curved to the northeast and caused tree damage as well as destroying an outbuilding along County Rd 225 E before dissipating near Hwy |
| 23:42 UTC | TORNADO | 3 W Lovington | Moultrie, IL | The tornado touched down about 2 miles west of Lovington along County Rd 700 E and progressed to the northeast eventually ending near Lanton about 3 miles north of Lovington. Along its path, the tornado snapped large bra |
| 23:44 UTC | TSTM WND GST 60 | Sullivan | Moultrie, IL | Estimated winds at least 50-60 mph. Video shared via social media. |
| 23:54 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Se Arthur | Douglas, IL | The tornado touched down about 2 miles southeast of Arthur near N County Rd 100 E producing tree and outbuilding damage and tossing it into the field to the northeast. It produced more tree and outbuilding damage along E |
| 23:58 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Se Arthur | Douglas, IL | 8 inch diameter branches down. |
| 23:58 UTC | TSTM WND GST 61 | 2 Se Arthur | Douglas, IL | 8 inch diameter tree branches down. |
| 23:59 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Se Arthur | Douglas, IL | Roof blown off barn and tops of trees carried a couple hundred feet. Possible tornado. |
| 00:03 UTC | TORNADO | 4 Ese Garrett | Douglas, IL | The tornado touched down about 4.5 miles southwest of Tuscola along County Rd 750 N and it progressed east along that road snapping off numerous large pine trees as well as damaging an outbuilding before it dissipated sh |
| 00:05 UTC | TSTM WND GST 51 | Coles County Airport | Coles, IL | ASOS station KMTO Coles Co. Mem AP. |
| 00:06 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Wsw Tuscola | Douglas, IL | Corrects previous tornado report from 2 WSW Tuscola, adjusting the time back one hour. The tornado touched down about 2 miles southwest of Tuscola where it snapped off several large trees along N County Rd 800 E. It move |
| 00:12 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Ese Tolono | Champaign, IL | tree fell on a home. |
| 00:18 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Villa Grove | Douglas, IL | A tree was blown on to a car. |
| 01:06 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Wsw Tuscola | Douglas, IL | The tornado touched down about 2 miles southwest of Tuscola where it snapped off several large trees along N County Rd 800 E. It moved northeast into Tuscola where it caused more tree and fencing damage. It continued on |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2026 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of March 15, 2026
43 more have been surveyed in the United States that day, so far.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 15 | 3:37 PM CDT | EF1 | Texas, MO | 0.3 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 3:48 PM CDT | EF0 | Howell, MO | 1.9 | 75 | |||
| March 15 | 3:55 PM CDT | EF1 | Texas, MO | 2.4 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 4:00 PM CDT | EF0 | Texas, MO | 0.8 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 4:03 PM CDT | EF1 | Shannon, MO | 1.4 | 250 | |||
| March 15 | 4:10 PM CDT | EF0 | Texas, MO | 0.5 | 75 | |||
| March 15 | 5:29 PM CDT | EF1 | Macoupin, IL | 6.3 | 300 | |||
| March 15 | 5:35 PM CDT | EF0 | Monroe, IL | 8.7 | 160 | |||
| March 15 | 5:38 PM CDT | EF1 | Montgomery, IL | 7.1 | 0 | |||
| March 15 | 5:43 PM CDT | EF1 | Lawrence, AR | 10.5 | 200 | |||
| March 15 | 5:47 PM CDT | EF1 | Saint Clair, IL | 0.6 | 225 | |||
| March 15 | 5:47 PM CDT | EF1 | Montgomery, IL | 3.6 | 300 | $500 | ||
| March 15 | 5:51 PM CDT | EF1 | Wayne, MO | 1.6 | 125 | |||
| March 15 | 5:55 PM CDT | EF1 | Montgomery, IL | 7.8 | 0 | |||
| March 15 | 5:58 PM CDT | EF0 | Greene, AR | 4.5 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 6:02 PM CDT | Unrated | Arkansas, AR | 2.4 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 6:02 PM CDT | EF1 | Montgomery, IL | 13.6 | 90 | |||
| March 15 | 6:07 PM CDT | EF0 | Greene, AR | 2.2 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 6:12 PM CDT | EF1 | Greene, AR | 3.0 | 150 | |||
| March 15 | 6:18 PM CDT | EF1 | Christian, IL | 1.4 | 80 | $300 | ||
| March 15 | 6:19 PM CDT | EF1 | Bollinger, MO | 7.8 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 6:24 PM CDT | EF1 | Clay, AR | 2.0 | 130 | |||
| March 15 | 6:29 PM CDT | EF1 | Clinton, IL | 4.2 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 6:32 PM CDT | EF1 | Cape Girardeau, MO | 0.5 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 6:37 PM CDT | EF0 | Moultrie, IL | 2.2 | 50 | $20 | ||
| March 15 | 6:42 PM CDT | EF1 | Moultrie, IL | 5.3 | 50 | $45 | ||
| March 15 | 6:44 PM CDT | EF0 | Dunklin, MO | 2.9 | 75 | |||
| March 15 | 6:46 PM CDT | EF1 | Jackson, IL | 0.1 | 75 | |||
| March 15 | 6:54 PM CDT | EF0 | Douglas, IL | 2.2 | 80 | $70 | ||
| March 15 | 7:02 PM CDT | EF0 | Jackson, IL | 0.1 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 7:03 PM CDT | EF1 | Douglas, IL | 2.3 | 70 | $25 | ||
| March 15 | 8:05 PM CDT | EF0 | Richland, IL | 2.0 | 40 | |||
| March 15 | 8:17 PM CDT | EF1 | Alcorn, MS | 2.5 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 9:35 PM CDT | EF0 | Montgomery, TN | 5.1 | 200 | |||
| March 15 | 9:45 PM CDT | EF0 | Logan, KY | 0.8 | 40 | |||
| March 15 | 9:59 PM CDT | EF0 | Butler, KY | 4.6 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 10:04 PM CDT | EF1 | Grayson, KY | 17.8 | 300 | |||
| March 15 | 10:06 PM CDT | EF1 | Maury, TN | 16.5 | 500 | |||
| March 15 | 10:06 PM CDT | EF1 | Warren, KY | 2.2 | 40 | |||
| March 15 | 11:24 PM EDT | EF1 | Hardin, KY | 4.0 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 11:29 PM EDT | EF1 | Hardin, KY | 13.5 | 200 | |||
| March 15 | 10:48 PM CDT | EF1 | Lauderdale, AL to TN | 14.6 | 400 | |||
| March 15 | 12:35 AM CDT | EF1 | Clinton, KY | 1.3 | 200 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. A survey can be revised, so the rating, the path and the casualties can all still change.
Sources
NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit, the record the survey teams file from the damage, and NOAA Storm Prediction Center storm reports. Neither is the official database for 2026, which SPC publishes in the spring of 2027.