Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2026
EF1 tornado, Rosamond to Assumption, Illinois, March 15, 2026
From Rosamond to Assumption, this EF1 tornado ran 1.4 miles across Christian County on March 15, 2026, touching down at 6:18 PM CDT and reaching 80 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $300 of property damage.
Preliminary. This is NWS ILX's damage survey, filed in the Damage Assessment Toolkit as Assumption Tornado. The rating, the path and the casualties are the survey's and can change while it is revised. The Storm Prediction Center compiles the official record of 2026 from these surveys and publishes it in the spring of 2027; this page moves to that tornado's permanent address when it does.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The survey
- Rating, as surveyed
- EF1, preliminary
- Date
- March 15, 2026
- Touchdown
- 6:18 PM CDT (23:18 UTC)
- Lifted
- 6:20 PM CDT (23:20 UTC)
- On the ground
- 2 minutes
- Path length
- 1.4 miles (2.3 km)
- Path width
- 80 yards (73 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $300
- County
- Christian County
- Touchdown point
- 39.514, -89.061
- Lift-off point
- 39.528, -89.041
- Highest wind the damage implies
- 90 mph
- Surveyed by
- NWS ILX
- The office's name for it
- Assumption Tornado
- Survey last edited
- March 17, 2026
- Record number
- None yet. SPC numbers 2026 in the spring of 2027.
What the survey found
The tornado touched down just southwest of Assumption and town along W Illinois St where it uprooted and snapped numerous trees and knocked over a couple power poles. The tornado proceeded through town where it snapped more trees and removed roofing material from a downtown building and tossed it into an alley. As the tornado exited town to the northeast, it damaged a few more trees before it dissipated before crossing Highway 51.
Written by NWS ILX in the NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit. A survey is revised as better evidence arrives.
The damage survey
28 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS ILX and NWS LSX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 88 mph.
- Debris in the field looking west
- Damage on other side of outbuilding. Debris thrown to NE
- A couple of uprooted pine trees and one snapped part way up
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A strong low pressure system (987 mb) moved across Illinois during the afternoon of Sunday, March 15, 2026. The environment was characterized by high shear and weak instability. A line of storms swept across the state, producing scattered wind damage and eight tornadoes within the NWS Central Illinois coverage area. The tornadoes occurred southeast of the I-72 corridor and all were rated EF-0 or EF-1. No injuries occurred.
This tornado began on the east side of Nokomis in Montgomery County, producing widespread tree damage. The tornado continued northeast, crossing into Christian County north-northwest of the town of Ohlman. The tornado continued northeast, impacting Rosamond and producing roof and tree damage. It then curved east into Pana where it uprooted and snapped several large trees before dissipating. The tornado produced EF-1 damage in both counties, and it lasted a total of 14 minutes, spanning 13.6 miles.
This tornado began just southwest of Assumption and moved along west Illinois Street where it uprooted or snapped numerous trees and downed power lines. The tornado continued through Assumption, producing more tree damage and removing roofing material from a downtown building. The tornado damage a few more trees northeast of town before dissipating prior to reaching Highway 51. The tornado was rated EF-1, and was in progress for just two minutes.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
3 minutes of warning. NWS ILX issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:15 UTC, 3 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:28 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:43 UTC and running to 23:57 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 UTC | 17:00 UTC | Wind Advisory | ILX |
| 20:43 UTC | 23:57 UTC | Tornado Watch | ILX |
| 22:03 UTC | 22:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX |
| 22:44 UTC | 23:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX |
| 23:00 UTC | 23:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX |
| 23:15 UTC | 23:28 UTC | Tornado Warning | ILX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 19:57 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Lincoln, IL (KILX), 12:00Z
11.3 hours before the tornado, 80 km from the path. March 15, 2026.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -10444 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1382 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 55 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 43 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 389 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 410 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.1 K/km
Lincoln, IL (KILX), 00:00Z
0.7 hours after it, 80 km from the path. March 16, 2026.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- 0 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 20 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 499 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 70 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 10 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 182 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 481 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 2.2 K/km
The surface observations
Taylorville (TAZ), 24 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:02 UTC | 64.4 | 55.4 | 180° 19 kt | 26 | 992.9 | |
| 21:24 UTC | 64.4 | 55.4 | 180° 22 kt | 35 | 992.6 | |
| 21:42 UTC | 64.4 | 55.4 | 180° 19 kt | 28 | 991.9 | |
| 22:03 UTC | 62.6 | 55.4 | 180° 22 kt | 29 | 991.9 | |
| 22:22 UTC | 62.6 | 55.4 | 180° 22 kt | 29 | 991.2 | |
| 22:42 UTC | 62.6 | 57.2 | 180° 19 kt | 27 | 991.2 | |
| 23:02 UTC | 60.8 | 57.2 | 270° 30 kt | 35 | 992.9 | TS |
| 23:22 UTC | 48.2 | 46.4 | 280° 19 kt | 26 | 993.9 | TS |
| 23:41 UTC | 44.6 | 44.6 | 300° 19 kt | 32 | 992.9 | TS |
| 00:02 UTC | 42.8 | 41 | 270° 24 kt | 31 | 994.9 | VCTS |
| 00:21 UTC | 41 | 39.2 | 280° 16 kt | 29 | 995.6 | |
| 00:41 UTC | 39.2 | 37.4 | 280° 19 kt | 30 | 995.9 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Lincoln radar (KILX), 74 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:19 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:14 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 S Chatham | Sangamon, IL | Powerlines down. |
| 22:30 UTC | TSTM WND GST 55 | 2 Sse Grandview | Sangamon, IL | Mesonet station NGC53 Lincoln Land Community College. |
| 22:47 UTC | TORNADO | 1 Ne Hillsboro | Montgomery, IL | A brief EF-1 tornado with maximum winds of 98mph touched down in the Hillsboro Country Club north of Hillsboro, IL on March 15, 2026 at 5:47pm. It damaged a few trees and caused minor roof damage to homes as it tracked n |
| 22:54 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Wsw Irving | Montgomery, IL | Outbuilding collapsed, time estimated by radar. |
| 22:54 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Wsw Irving | Montgomery, IL | Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 2 WSW Irving. Outbuilding collapsed, time estimated by radar. |
| 22:55 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 S Coffeen | Montgomery, IL | Tree blocking a road south of Coffeen. Time estimated from radar. |
| 22:55 UTC | TORNADO | 2 N Irving | Montgomery, IL | An EF-1 tornado with peak winds of 90mph touched down near Irving Rd southwest of Witt, IL on March 15, 2026 at 5:55pm. The tornado tracked northeast causing minor structural damage and tree damage as it went through Wit |
| 22:58 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Witt | Montgomery, IL | Witt and Nokomis experienced significant damage with trees on homes, poles snapped, campers blown around and rolled over. |
| 23:02 UTC | HAIL 1.25 | 1 N Taylorville | Christian, IL | Report from mPING: Half Dollar (1.25 in.). |
| 23:02 UTC | TORNADO | Nokomis | Montgomery, IL | An EF-1 tornado with maximum winds of 95mph touched down on the south side of Nokomis, IL just as another weak tornado lifted on the north side. This tornado caused minor structural damage and tree damage through parts o |
| 23:03 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 8 Wsw Rosamond | Christian, IL | Photo of portion of high school roof torn off. SWOP report. |
| 23:03 UTC | TSTM WND GST 56 | 8 Wsw Rosamond | Christian, IL | SWOP report. |
| 23:03 UTC | TSTM WND GST 59 | 7 Wsw Rosamond | Christian, IL | SWOP report. |
| 23:04 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Nokomis | Montgomery, IL | Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from Nokomis. Nokomis experienced significant damage with trees on homes, poles snapped, campers blown around and rolled over. There were also reports of significant damage to Nokomi |
| 23:04 UTC | TORNADO | Nokomis | Montgomery, IL | Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from Nokomis. Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from Nokomis. Nokomis experienced significant damage with trees on homes, poles snapped, campers blown around and rolled over. The |
| 23:10 UTC | TSTM WND GST 70 | 1 Ene Rosamond | Christian, IL | |
| 23:17 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Pana | Christian, IL | Large, softwood tree uprooted. Relayed via broadcast media with photo. |
| 23:18 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 1 Sw Maroa | Macon, IL | |
| 23:18 UTC | TORNADO | 1 Wsw Assumption | Christian, IL | The tornado touched down just southwest of Assumption and town along W Illinois St where it uprooted and snapped numerous trees and knocked over a couple power poles. The tornado proceeded through town where it snapped m |
| 23:20 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Assumption | Christian, IL | Tree down on a car. Multiple power lines downed throughout town. |
| 23:20 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Assumption | Christian, IL | Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from Assumption. Tree down on a car. Multiple power lines downed throughout town. |
| 23:32 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 E Shelbyville | Shelby, IL | Large tree limb down, about 8 inches in diameter, in the city of Shelbyville. Delayed report. Time estimated from radar. |
| 23:33 UTC | TSTM WND GST 53 | 1 Wsw Decatur Airport | Macon, IL | ASOS station KDEC Decatur Arpt. |
| 23:37 UTC | TORNADO | 3 W Bethany | Moultrie, IL | The tornado developed about 2 miles west of Bethany where it uprooted an old tree. It curved to the northeast and caused tree damage as well as destroying an outbuilding along County Rd 225 E before dissipating near Hwy |
| 23:42 UTC | TORNADO | 3 W Lovington | Moultrie, IL | The tornado touched down about 2 miles west of Lovington along County Rd 700 E and progressed to the northeast eventually ending near Lanton about 3 miles north of Lovington. Along its path, the tornado snapped large bra |
| 23:44 UTC | TSTM WND GST 60 | Sullivan | Moultrie, IL | Estimated winds at least 50-60 mph. Video shared via social media. |
| 23:54 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Se Arthur | Douglas, IL | The tornado touched down about 2 miles southeast of Arthur near N County Rd 100 E producing tree and outbuilding damage and tossing it into the field to the northeast. It produced more tree and outbuilding damage along E |
| 23:58 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Se Arthur | Douglas, IL | 8 inch diameter branches down. |
| 23:58 UTC | TSTM WND GST 61 | 2 Se Arthur | Douglas, IL | 8 inch diameter tree branches down. |
| 23:59 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Se Arthur | Douglas, IL | Roof blown off barn and tops of trees carried a couple hundred feet. Possible tornado. |
| 00:45 UTC | RAIN 1.05 | 1 N Grandview | Sangamon, IL | From paid snow observer. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2026 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of March 15, 2026
43 more have been surveyed in the United States that day, so far.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 15 | 3:37 PM CDT | EF1 | Texas, MO | 0.3 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 3:48 PM CDT | EF0 | Howell, MO | 1.9 | 75 | |||
| March 15 | 3:55 PM CDT | EF1 | Texas, MO | 2.4 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 4:00 PM CDT | EF0 | Texas, MO | 0.8 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 4:03 PM CDT | EF1 | Shannon, MO | 1.4 | 250 | |||
| March 15 | 4:10 PM CDT | EF0 | Texas, MO | 0.5 | 75 | |||
| March 15 | 5:29 PM CDT | EF1 | Macoupin, IL | 6.3 | 300 | |||
| March 15 | 5:35 PM CDT | EF0 | Monroe, IL | 8.7 | 160 | |||
| March 15 | 5:38 PM CDT | EF1 | Montgomery, IL | 7.1 | 0 | |||
| March 15 | 5:43 PM CDT | EF1 | Lawrence, AR | 10.5 | 200 | |||
| March 15 | 5:47 PM CDT | EF1 | Saint Clair, IL | 0.6 | 225 | |||
| March 15 | 5:47 PM CDT | EF1 | Montgomery, IL | 3.6 | 300 | $500 | ||
| March 15 | 5:51 PM CDT | EF1 | Wayne, MO | 1.6 | 125 | |||
| March 15 | 5:55 PM CDT | EF1 | Montgomery, IL | 7.8 | 0 | |||
| March 15 | 5:58 PM CDT | EF0 | Greene, AR | 4.5 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 6:02 PM CDT | Unrated | Arkansas, AR | 2.4 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 6:02 PM CDT | EF1 | Montgomery, IL | 13.6 | 90 | |||
| March 15 | 6:07 PM CDT | EF0 | Greene, AR | 2.2 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 6:12 PM CDT | EF1 | Greene, AR | 3.0 | 150 | |||
| March 15 | 6:19 PM CDT | EF1 | Bollinger, MO | 7.8 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 6:24 PM CDT | EF1 | Clay, AR | 2.0 | 130 | |||
| March 15 | 6:29 PM CDT | EF1 | Clinton, IL | 4.2 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 6:32 PM CDT | EF1 | Cape Girardeau, MO | 0.5 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 6:37 PM CDT | EF0 | Moultrie, IL | 2.2 | 50 | $20 | ||
| March 15 | 6:42 PM CDT | EF1 | Moultrie, IL | 5.3 | 50 | $45 | ||
| March 15 | 6:44 PM CDT | EF0 | Dunklin, MO | 2.9 | 75 | |||
| March 15 | 6:46 PM CDT | EF1 | Jackson, IL | 0.1 | 75 | |||
| March 15 | 6:54 PM CDT | EF0 | Douglas, IL | 2.2 | 80 | $70 | ||
| March 15 | 7:02 PM CDT | EF0 | Jackson, IL | 0.1 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 7:03 PM CDT | EF1 | Douglas, IL | 2.3 | 70 | $25 | ||
| March 15 | 7:06 PM CDT | EF1 | Douglas, IL | 11.4 | 70 | |||
| March 15 | 8:05 PM CDT | EF0 | Richland, IL | 2.0 | 40 | |||
| March 15 | 8:17 PM CDT | EF1 | Alcorn, MS | 2.5 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 9:35 PM CDT | EF0 | Montgomery, TN | 5.1 | 200 | |||
| March 15 | 9:45 PM CDT | EF0 | Logan, KY | 0.8 | 40 | |||
| March 15 | 9:59 PM CDT | EF0 | Butler, KY | 4.6 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 10:04 PM CDT | EF1 | Grayson, KY | 17.8 | 300 | |||
| March 15 | 10:06 PM CDT | EF1 | Maury, TN | 16.5 | 500 | |||
| March 15 | 10:06 PM CDT | EF1 | Warren, KY | 2.2 | 40 | |||
| March 15 | 11:24 PM EDT | EF1 | Hardin, KY | 4.0 | 100 | |||
| March 15 | 11:29 PM EDT | EF1 | Hardin, KY | 13.5 | 200 | |||
| March 15 | 10:48 PM CDT | EF1 | Lauderdale, AL to TN | 14.6 | 400 | |||
| March 15 | 12:35 AM CDT | EF1 | Clinton, KY | 1.3 | 200 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. A survey can be revised, so the rating, the path and the casualties can all still change.
Sources
NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit, the record the survey teams file from the damage, and NOAA Storm Prediction Center storm reports. Neither is the official database for 2026, which SPC publishes in the spring of 2027.