Tornadoes · United States · Kansas · 2015
EF1 tornado, Plains to Missler, Kansas, November 16, 2015
From Plains to Missler, this EF1 tornado ran 6.3 miles across Meade County on November 16, 2015, touching down at 6:19 PM CST and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- November 16, 2015
- Touchdown
- 6:19 PM CST (00:19 UTC)
- Lifted
- 6:30 PM CST (00:30 UTC)
- On the ground
- 11 minutes
- Path length
- 6.3 miles (10.2 km)
- Path width
- 100 yards (91 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Meade County
- Touchdown point
- 37.359, -100.516
- Lift-off point
- 37.426, -100.441
- Record number
- 1511161819-01
The damage survey
37 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS DDC, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 132 mph.
- Outbuilding destroyed. Path width around 0.5 mile
- Wood poles snapped. Path width 0.5 mile.
- Residence hit with house heavily damaged along with numerous outbuildings destroyed. path width 0.75 mile.
- Multiple Pivots flipped. Path width around 0.75 mile.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
An unusually strong November severe weather episode occurred across the region. A very strong upper level low approached with with strong winds aloft. An unusually high amount of moisture and unseasonably unstable airmass were transported north into Kansas. Storms developed along a dry line but quickly moved off the dryline and became supercellular. Large, long tracked and rapidly moving tornadoes occurred along with instances of large and damaging hail.
This extremely wide tornado moving at 50 MPH moved out of Seward county at 18:06. It passed across almost the same identical area that the May 24th tornado took. This tornado heavily damaged trees, a home, pivot irrigation sprinklers and outbuildings. It moved into Gray county at 18:34.
This was a satellite tornado around the large Seward/Meade/Gray county tornado. It was also documented by video and still imagery. This tornado damaged several pivot irrigation sprinklers.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
27 minutes of warning. NWS DDC issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:52 UTC, 27 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 00:30 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:01 UTC and running to 02:17 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:01 UTC | 02:17 UTC | Tornado Watch | DDC |
| 23:52 UTC | 00:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | DDC |
| 00:05 UTC | 00:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | DDC |
| 01:33 UTC | 02:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC |
| 02:17 UTC | 03:43 UTC | Tornado Watch | DDC |
| 02:56 UTC | 03:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 20:16 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Dodge City, (KDDC), 00:00Z
0.3 hours before the tornado, 66 km from the path. November 17, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 994 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -42 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 1518 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 812 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 63 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 351 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 399 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.5
- Supercell composite
- 11.3
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.8 K/km
Dodge City, (KDDC), 12:00Z
11.7 hours after it, 66 km from the path. November 17, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -121 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 77 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1629 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 90 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 6 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 96 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -3 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.1 K/km
The radar
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 61 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:20 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:37 UTC | HAIL 1 | Liberal | Seward, KS | |
| 23:47 UTC | TORNADO | 3 N Hayne | Seward, KS | DEBRIS WERE REPORTED IN THE AIR. |
| 00:07 UTC | TORNADO | 4 W Plains City | Seward, KS | CHASER ESTIMATED A QUARTER MILE WIDE TORNADO |
| 00:07 UTC | TORNADO | 5 Nne Kismet | Seward, KS | CHASER ESTIMATED A QUARTER MILE WIDE TORNADO |
| 00:20 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 7 S Montezuma | Gray, KS | EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTING POWER POLES SNAPPED OFF AND POWER LINES ACROSS THE ROAD AT HH ROAD BETWEEN ROAD 15 AND 16. |
| 00:29 UTC | TORNADO | 8 Nnw Missler | Meade, KS | A LARGE TORNADO CONTINUES AND IS VERY WELL DEFINED FROM OBSERVERS. |
| 00:30 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Ese Kismet | Seward, KS | DAMAGE TO AT LEAST ONE RESIDENCE, HOG FARMS AND POWER LINES WAS REPORTED FROM THE TORNADO THAT PASSED THROUGH THE AREA. |
| 00:32 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Ene Montezuma | Gray, KS | EM REPORTED POWER LINES DOWN AT 19 ROAD AND HIGHWAY 56. |
| 00:42 UTC | HAIL 1 | 1 Wnw The Haggard Elev | Gray, KS | |
| 00:42 UTC | HAIL 1 | 5 Wsw Ensign | Gray, KS | |
| 00:45 UTC | TORNADO | 4 E Montezuma | Gray, KS | SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO A BARN REPORTED. |
| 00:45 UTC | TORNADO | 4 Wsw The Haggard Elev | Gray, KS | SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO A BARN REPORTED. |
| 00:53 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 3 Wnw The Haggard Elev | Gray, KS | |
| 00:57 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 7 S Montezuma | Gray, KS | EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTING POWER POLES SNAPPED OFF AND POWER LINES ACROSS THE ROAD AT HH ROAD BETWEEN ROAD 15 AND 16. |
| 01:05 UTC | TORNADO | 3 Nne Ensign | Ford, KS | |
| 01:11 UTC | TORNADO | 1 Wsw Howell | Ford, KS | A RESIDENCE WAS DAMAGED, AND POWER LINES ARE DOWN. |
| 01:32 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Ene Montezuma | Gray, KS | EM REPORTED POWER LINES DOWN AT 19 ROAD AND HIGHWAY 56. |
| 02:45 UTC | TSTM WND GST 60 | 2 Sw Plains City | Meade, KS |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in KansasEvery tornado in Kansas since 1950Warnings in force in Kansas nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of November 16, 2015
38 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 16 | 3:54 PM CST | EF0 | Grant, KS | 0.1 | 25 | |||
| November 16 | 5:14 PM CST | EF0 | Finney, KS | 4.6 | 50 | |||
| November 16 | 5:20 PM CST | EF0 | Gove, KS | 2.7 | 25 | |||
| November 16 | 5:30 PM CST | EF0 | Gove, KS | 1.8 | 25 | |||
| November 16 | 5:34 PM CST | EF1 | Gove, KS | 18.5 | 300 | |||
| November 16 | 5:38 PM CST | EF3 | Seward, KS | 51.3 | 2,000 | |||
| November 16 | 5:44 PM CST | EF0 | Armstrong, TX | 0.4 | 50 | |||
| November 16 | 5:44 PM CST | EF0 | Roberts, TX | 0.1 | 50 | |||
| November 16 | 5:56 PM CST | EF2 | Lane, KS | 16.5 | 1,500 | |||
| November 16 | 6:05 PM CST | EF0 | Roberts, TX | 0.3 | 50 | |||
| November 16 | 6:09 PM CST | EF0 | Carson, TX | 0.2 | 50 | |||
| November 16 | 6:20 PM CST | EF3 | Gray, TX | 31.9 | 750 | |||
| November 16 | 6:27 PM CST | EF1 | Ness, KS | 3.9 | 200 | |||
| November 16 | 6:36 PM CST | EF1 | Norton, KS | 6.0 | 100 | |||
| November 16 | 6:42 PM CST | EF2 | Carson, TX | 10.4 | 175 | |||
| November 16 | 6:44 PM CST | EF0 | Ochiltree, TX | 3.7 | 100 | |||
| November 16 | 6:46 PM CST | EF2 | Gaines, TX | 5.6 | 100 | |||
| November 16 | 6:52 PM CST | EF1 | Ochiltree, TX | 5.8 | 200 | |||
| November 16 | 6:55 PM CST | EF2 | Gray, KS | 14.9 | 500 | |||
| November 16 | 7:00 PM CST | EF1 | Ochiltree, TX to OK | 5.2 | 400 | |||
| November 16 | 7:06 PM CST | EF3 | Gray, TX | 10.9 | 500 | |||
| November 16 | 7:06 PM CST | EF0 | Trego, KS | 1.7 | 100 | |||
| November 16 | 7:10 PM CST | EF1 | Norton, KS | 3.9 | 400 | $83,000 | ||
| November 16 | 7:10 PM CST | EF0 | Beaver, OK | 4.2 | 100 | |||
| November 16 | 7:22 PM CST | EF1 | Gray, TX | 16.0 | 300 | |||
| November 16 | 7:24 PM CST | EF1 | Norton, KS to NE | 18.4 | 400 | $50,000 | ||
| November 16 | 7:43 PM CST | EF0 | Hutchinson, TX | 0.6 | 50 | |||
| November 16 | 7:45 PM CST | EF0 | Roberts, TX | 7.2 | 50 | |||
| November 16 | 7:58 PM CST | EF0 | Potter, TX | 0.4 | 50 | |||
| November 16 | 8:13 PM CST | EF1 | Comanche, KS | 16.1 | 810 | |||
| November 16 | 8:19 PM CST | EF1 | Trego, KS | 0.8 | 100 | |||
| November 16 | 8:20 PM CST | EF1 | Hemphill, TX to OK | 43.0 | 200 | |||
| November 16 | 8:26 PM CST | EF1 | Ochiltree, TX | 14.6 | 70 | |||
| November 16 | 8:38 PM CST | EF1 | Comanche, KS | 5.3 | 460 | |||
| November 16 | 8:59 PM CST | EF0 | Lipscomb, TX | 4.7 | 100 | |||
| November 16 | 9:18 PM CST | EF2 | Harper, OK | 27.2 | 400 | $7,000 | ||
| November 16 | 9:24 PM CST | EF1 | Beaver, OK | 8.9 | 500 | |||
| November 16 | 10:09 PM CST | EF1 | Woods, OK | 3.3 | 200 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.