Tornadoes · United States · Kansas · 2015

EF0 tornado, Ulysses, Kansas, November 16, 2015

This EF0 tornado ran 0.1 miles across Grant County on November 16, 2015, touching down at 3:54 PM CST and reaching 25 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
November 16, 2015
Touchdown
3:54 PM CST (21:54 UTC)
Lifted
3:55 PM CST (21:55 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
0.1 miles (0.2 km)
Path width
25 yards (23 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Grant County
Touchdown point
37.460, -101.354
Lift-off point
37.462, -101.353
Record number
1511161554-01

The damage survey

1 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS DDC, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 60 mph.

  • A dust swirl underneath the rotating updraft was visible for less than a minute.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

An unusually strong November severe weather episode occurred across the region. A very strong upper level low approached with with strong winds aloft. An unusually high amount of moisture and unseasonably unstable airmass were transported north into Kansas. Storms developed along a dry line but quickly moved off the dryline and became supercellular. Large, long tracked and rapidly moving tornadoes occurred along with instances of large and damaging hail.

This was a brief spin-up underneath the mesocyclone.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

2 minutes of warning. NWS DDC issued a tornado warning for this county at 21:52 UTC, 2 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:30 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:01 UTC and running to 02:17 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
19:01 UTC02:17 UTCTornado WatchDDC
20:53 UTC22:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDC
21:45 UTC22:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDC
21:52 UTC22:30 UTCTornado WarningDDC
22:24 UTC22:38 UTCTornado WarningDDC
00:56 UTC02:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDC
01:33 UTC02:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDC

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 20:16 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Dodge City, (KDDC), 12:00Z

9.9 hours before the tornado, 133 km from the path. November 16, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2015-11-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -74804, lifted condensation level 1361 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2015-11-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 230 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 35 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-74804 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1361 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
230 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Dodge City, (KDDC), 00:00Z

2.1 hours after it, 133 km from the path. November 17, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2015-11-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 994 joules per kilogram, CIN -42, lifted condensation level 812 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2015-11-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 351 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 63 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
994 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-42 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1518 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
812 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
351 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
399 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.5
Supercell composite
11.3
0-3 km lapse rate
6.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Hugoton (HQG), 33 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
19:55 UTC73.451190° 21 kt31997.6
20:15 UTC73.451.44190° 25 kt36997.6
20:35 UTC73.451.8180° 25 kt32997
20:55 UTC73.449.82190° 27 kt36996.6
21:15 UTC70.8851.26180° 24 kt30996.6
21:35 UTC73.449.82180° 27 kt32995.6
21:55 UTC73.450.36180° 26 kt33995.6VCTS
22:15 UTC73.450.54180° 24 kt29995.3
22:35 UTC73.451170° 20 kt30994.9
22:55 UTC68.3650.36180° 19 kt27994.9
23:15 UTC68.3651170° 21 kt30994.9
23:35 UTC65.1251.8170° 17 kt994.6VCTS

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 126 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:52 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:27 UTCHAIL 17 N RollaMorton, KS
21:54 UTCTORNADO8 S UlyssesGrant, KS
22:00 UTCHAIL 15 S UlyssesGrant, KSDIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.
23:37 UTCHAIL 1LiberalSeward, KS
23:45 UTCHAIL 1.758 W LiberalStevens, KS

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in KansasEvery tornado in Kansas since 1950Warnings in force in Kansas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of November 16, 2015

38 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
November 165:14 PM CSTEF0Finney, KS4.650
November 165:20 PM CSTEF0Gove, KS2.725
November 165:30 PM CSTEF0Gove, KS1.825
November 165:34 PM CSTEF1Gove, KS18.5300
November 165:38 PM CSTEF3Seward, KS51.32,000
November 165:44 PM CSTEF0Armstrong, TX0.450
November 165:44 PM CSTEF0Roberts, TX0.150
November 165:56 PM CSTEF2Lane, KS16.51,500
November 166:05 PM CSTEF0Roberts, TX0.350
November 166:09 PM CSTEF0Carson, TX0.250
November 166:19 PM CSTEF1Meade, KS6.3100
November 166:20 PM CSTEF3Gray, TX31.9750
November 166:27 PM CSTEF1Ness, KS3.9200
November 166:36 PM CSTEF1Norton, KS6.0100
November 166:42 PM CSTEF2Carson, TX10.4175
November 166:44 PM CSTEF0Ochiltree, TX3.7100
November 166:46 PM CSTEF2Gaines, TX5.6100
November 166:52 PM CSTEF1Ochiltree, TX5.8200
November 166:55 PM CSTEF2Gray, KS14.9500
November 167:00 PM CSTEF1Ochiltree, TX to OK5.2400
November 167:06 PM CSTEF3Gray, TX10.9500
November 167:06 PM CSTEF0Trego, KS1.7100
November 167:10 PM CSTEF1Norton, KS3.9400$83,000
November 167:10 PM CSTEF0Beaver, OK4.2100
November 167:22 PM CSTEF1Gray, TX16.0300
November 167:24 PM CSTEF1Norton, KS to NE18.4400$50,000
November 167:43 PM CSTEF0Hutchinson, TX0.650
November 167:45 PM CSTEF0Roberts, TX7.250
November 167:58 PM CSTEF0Potter, TX0.450
November 168:13 PM CSTEF1Comanche, KS16.1810
November 168:19 PM CSTEF1Trego, KS0.8100
November 168:20 PM CSTEF1Hemphill, TX to OK43.0200
November 168:26 PM CSTEF1Ochiltree, TX14.670
November 168:38 PM CSTEF1Comanche, KS5.3460
November 168:59 PM CSTEF0Lipscomb, TX4.7100
November 169:18 PM CSTEF2Harper, OK27.2400$7,000
November 169:24 PM CSTEF1Beaver, OK8.9500
November 1610:09 PM CSTEF1Woods, OK3.3200

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.