Texas, 2026Damaging Wind in Texas, April 12, 2026
April 12, 2026 · NWS LUB · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Isolated thunderstorms developed on a weak dryline on the afternoon of the 12th. The lack of an upper level storm system allowed these storms to be short lived across areas off the caprock.
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- Deaths
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Isolated thunderstorms developed on a weak dryline on the afternoon of the 12th. The lack of an upper level storm system allowed these storms to be short lived across areas off the caprock. One of these isolated storms became severe as it moved over the town of Memphis producing a severe wind gust of 59 mph.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 12, 11:35 AM CST, 5 hours 13 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Issued at 1220 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
- High-based thunderstorms, some severe, remain possible this afternoon.
- Very mild this week with sporadic chances for thunderstorms from Monday night through Friday night.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 12, 11:35 AM CST, 5 hours 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1235 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
- High-based thunderstorms, some severe, remain possible this
afternoon.
- Very mild this week with sporadic chances for thunderstorms
from Monday night through Friday night.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
The dryline has moved into our western zones as of noon and is
continuing to progress eastward. Some CAMs show some isolated
convection developing along the dryline this afternoon across the
eastern South Plains. Confidence in convection at this point is
rather low as upper lift will be lacking with lift relying mostly on
surface convergence which is also not much to get excited about.
Nonetheless, a mention of isolated storms has been added before 00Z
as there is a non-zero chance for convection. Any convection should
be short lived and could be strong to low end severe with wind gusts
up to 60 mph and hail up to half dollar size being possible.
Tonight through Monday morning will be fairly quiet. Upper flow will
remain out of the southwest. A lee surface low will develop after
sunset this evening ahead of an embedded shortwave. This will help
to keep surface winds mostly out of the southwest tonight and will
keep overnight lows in the 50s and 60s. A second surface low will
develop across eastern Colorado by early noon Monday as upper low over
northern California pushes southward into southern California and
begins pushing eastward. This will tighten the surface pressure
gradient and allow for a breezy Monday afternoon. Sustained winds
around 20 mph out of the southwest can be expected.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Unsettled southwest flow loiters through late week accompanied by
daily chances for thunderstorms, primarily off the Caprock near the
mean dryline's position most days and nights. Monday night should
see the dryline retreat onto portions of the Caprock ahead of a
shortwave trough, but this wave is not schedule to reach the
forecast area until Tuesday night. Nonetheless, convective temps look
reachable Tuesday afternoon off the Caprock with a likelihood for
the dryline to retreat once again Tuesday night supporting low PoPs
on the South Plains, mainly as a Pacific front overtakes this
boundary. Severe potential in in the cards given ample shear and
MUCAPEs pushing 2000 J/kg.
Hump day is shaping up the most stable day all week on the heels of
Tuesday night's trough and weak FROPA. Gulf moisture returns on
Thursday ahead of a more vigorous trough entering the Intermountain
West. Models still differ with PoPs Thursday night accompanying a
lead impulse and this is captured by the NBM's broad 20 PoPs.
Stronger and deeper SW flow on Friday following this lead wave look
to mix the dryline out of much of our area ahead of a cold front
dropping south Friday night. This front and dryline will support low
PoPs in the Rolling Plains overnight before much cooler northerlies
round out the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
VFR conditions will prevail. There is a very low chance for
thunderstorms at the terminals between 20Z-00Z. Confidence is too
low for a TAF mention. Primary threats from any convection will be
wind gusts up to 50 knots and hail up to 1.5 inch in diameter.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Elevated to critical fire weather danger is expected Monday
afternoon mainly across the far southern Texas Panhandle and
northern South Plains. While some areas did receive wetting rains
Saturday, most areas missed out and remain dry which is reflected in
ERCs around the 70th percentile. Afternoon relative humidity will
drop into the mid teens area wide while 20 foot winds will be out of
the southwest around 15-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph. A Red Flag
Warning has been issued for much of the southern Texas Panhandle and
northern South Plains from 11 AM through 8 PM Monday. An RFD is not
currently anticipated for areas south of the RFW, but one is not
fully out of the question. Those areas received more widespread
wetting rainfall. This will help with green-up and make fuels dry
more slowly.
&&
.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from noon to 8 PM CDT Monday for TXZ021>024-
027>029.
&&
SHORT TERM...51
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...51
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 12, 10:34 AM CST, 6 hours 14 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1134 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
TXZ021>044-131645-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1134 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
There is a low chance of thunderstorms over the Rolling Plains and
eastern South Plains this afternoon and evening. Damaging winds up
to 60 mph and large hail up to half dollar size would be the main
threats.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Thunderstorm chances return Tuesday evening and will continue each
evening thereafter through Saturday, mainly off the Caprock.
Critical fire weather conditions are possible Wednesday through
Friday across portions of the far southern Texas Panhandle and South
Plains.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Apr 12, 4:35 PM CST, 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
535 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
TXZ032-038-122300-
King TX-Cottle TX-
535 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN KING AND SOUTHEASTERN
COTTLE COUNTIES THROUGH 600 PM CDT...
At 535 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles south of Grow, or 7 miles north of Guthrie, moving northeast at
35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Guthrie, Grow, Finney, Chalk, and Hackberry.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3360 10032 3362 10050 3376 10050 3400 10005
3384 10005 3383 10000 3371 9999
TIME...MOT...LOC 2235Z 243DEG 32KT 3373 10030
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
12Thunderstorm Wind, Hall
- When
- April 12, 4:48 PM CST
- Where
- Hall County, 1 mi NE of Memphis
- Measured
- 51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 34.730, -100.518
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Memphis measured a severe wind gust of 59 mph.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flooding in Michigan, April 12 to 27, 2026$2.4 million · 6 events
- Flash Flood and Debris Flows in Puerto Rico, April 12 to 15, 2026$17,000 · 0.25 in hail · 13 events
- Damaging Winds in Idaho, April 12, 2026$2,000 · 58 kt wind · 18 events
- Rip Current in Florida, April 12, 20261 injured · 1 event
- Flash Flood and Heavy Rain in Washington, April 12, 2026$12,000 · 3 events
- High Wind in Nevada, April 12, 202659 kt wind · 3 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Wind in Texas, April 12, 2026$10,000 · 52 kt wind · 3 events
- Wildfire in Florida, April 12 to 30, 20262 events
- Wildfire in Texas, April 12 to 15, 20262 events
- Heavy Snow in Alaska, April 12 to 13, 20262 events
- Hail in Texas, April 12, 20261 in hail · 1 event
- Hail in Minnesota, April 12, 20261 in hail · 1 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1320034.