What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 14, 11:58 AM EST, 2 hours 58 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- 1) A cold front continues to move through this afternoon bringing showers and thunderstorms. Some storms could become severe. 2) Cooler Temperatures to start the week. 3) Showers, thunderstorms, and gusty winds Wednesday and Thursday when a strong low is expected to move through the Great Lakes.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 14, 11:58 AM EST, 2 hours 58 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1258 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
The severe risk has increased for this afternoon.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A cold front continues to move through this afternoon bringing
showers and thunderstorms. Some storms could become severe.
2) Cooler Temperatures to start the week.
3) Showers, thunderstorms, and gusty winds Wednesday and Thursday
when a strong low is expected to move through the Great Lakes.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1)
A cold front progresses through the area this afternoon. Showers and
thunderstorms move in northwest of Dayton after 1pm and progress
through the Scioto River Valley by approximately 9pm tonight. MLCAPE
values near 1000 J/kg and effective shear approaching 30 knots could
support some stronger storms especially along and southeast of I-71.
Straight line hodographs, slim CAPE profiles (weak updrafts), and
weak low level shear implies damaging winds are the main threat in
the strongest storms. While a few storms are possible further ahead
of the front, most storm coverage is expected to be on a line just
southeast of the boundary.
After 9pm, winds shift to the northwest behind the front advecting
cooler, drier air into the area thereby ending the severe threat.
KEY MESSAGE 2)
High pressure builds in behind a cold front tonight and moves across
the region on Monday and Tuesday. Dry conditions and below average
temperatures accompany the surface high through at least Tuesday
morning. By Tuesday afternoon, winds shift back to the south behind
the high on Tuesday as a low fills to the northwest. Showers and
thunderstorms are possible by Tuesday night when a warm front lifts
into the Ohio Valley.
KEY MESSAGE 3)
Medium range global ensemble guidance continues to show an
anomalously deep surface low moving through the Great Lakes on
Wednesday and Thursday. Robust upper level winds accompany this
surface low.
Although the exact details are still not resolved, the most likely
scenario involves a warm front lifting through the Ohio Valley on
Wednesday or Wednesday night followed by a cold front on Thursday.
Strong wind shear is likely and at least some instability looks
probable along with anomalously high PWATs. If conditions do end
coming together, multiple periods of severe weather are possible as
highlighted by SPC extended range outlook. Flooding potential exists
as well as mentioned in the WPC slight risk in the extended
timeframe. Timing and placement of the low across the lakes will
have a large impact on the forecast as the timeframe draws closer.
Regardless of storm potential, gusty winds are likely on Thursday.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A cold front moves through the area this afternoon. Ahead of the
front, MVFR ceilings are likely along with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Southwesterly winds persist ahead of the front.
MVFR ceilings and scattered storm move east with the cold front this
evening. Winds shift to the northwest after FROPA. VFR conditions
are expected after FROPA.
OUTLOOK... Thunderstorms and gusty winds possible Wednesday and
Thursday.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
DISCUSSION...Campbell
AVIATION...Campbell
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 14, 9:21 AM EST, 5 hours 35 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1021 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-151430-
Wayne-Fayette-Union-Franklin-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-
Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-
Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-
Greene-Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-
Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
1021 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Indiana,
southeast Indiana, northeast Kentucky, northern Kentucky, central
Ohio, south central Ohio, southwest Ohio and west central Ohio.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Strong to severe storms are possible this afternoon ahead of a cold
front. Damaging wind gusts are the main threat.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Severe storms and heavy rain are possible Wednesday and Thursday.
Gusty winds are likely on Thursday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 14, 2:02 PM EST, 54 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
302 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
OHZ045-046-141945-
Delaware OH-Union OH-
302 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF DELAWARE AND CENTRAL
UNION COUNTIES IN CENTRAL OHIO THROUGH 345 PM EDT...
At 302 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Marion to 7 miles southeast of West Mansfield,
moving east at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 45 mph and very heavy rain.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Visibility will be poor and hydroplaning
is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Delaware, Marysville, Sunbury, Richwood, Ashley, Radnor, Galena,
Ostrander, Magnetic Springs, Alum Creek State Park, Delaware State
Park, Raymond, Olive Green, Broadway, Warrensburg, Pottersburg,
Kilbourne, Essex, Interstate 71 at US Route 36/State Route 37, and
Stratford.
This includes I-71 in Ohio between mile markers 126 and 138.
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a sturdy building.
Motorists should slow down and use extra caution.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central and west central Ohio.
To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.
&&
LAT...LON 4050 8325 4044 8325 4043 8302 4042 8301
4041 8292 4036 8292 4035 8274 4018 8277
4025 8355 4028 8355 4051 8330
TIME...MOT...LOC 1902Z 283DEG 30KT 4055 8320 4032 8346
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...45 MPH
BPPLocal storm report, Jun 14, 2:11 PM EST, 45 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
311 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0305 PM Tstm Wnd Gst 2 NW Vandalia 39.91N 84.22W
06/14/2026 M55 MPH Montgomery OH ASOS
ASOS station KDAY Dayton International
Airport.
&&Special weather statement, Jun 14, 2:12 PM EST, 44 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
312 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
OHZ051-053-060>062-142000-
Montgomery OH-Preble OH-Clark OH-Miami OH-Greene OH-
312 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
PREBLE...WESTERN GREENE...SOUTHWESTERN CLARK...MONTGOMERY AND
SOUTHEASTERN MIAMI COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM EDT...
At 312 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Tipp City to near Camden, moving east at 50 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Dayton, Springfield, Kettering, Beavercreek, Huber Heights, Fairborn,
Xenia, Trotwood, Miamisburg, Springboro, Vandalia, Englewood,
Bellbrook, Moraine, New Carlisle, Carlisle, Oakwood, Yellow Springs,
Wright-Patterson Afb, and West Carrollton.
This includes the following Interstates...
I-70 in Ohio between mile markers 27 and 55.
I-75 in Ohio between mile markers 41 and 66.
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a sturdy building.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
southwestern and west central Ohio.
To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.
&&
LAT...LON 3994 8423 3992 8377 3959 8402 3958 8422
3959 8448 3958 8448 3957 8466
TIME...MOT...LOC 1912Z 264DEG 42KT 3994 8416 3960 8463
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
BPPSpecial weather statement, Jun 14, 2:19 PM EST, 37 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
319 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
OHZ045-046-052>055-142000-
Champaign OH-Delaware OH-Madison OH-Union OH-Franklin OH-Clark OH-
319 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
CHAMPAIGN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO...FRANKLIN AND SOUTHERN
DELAWARE COUNTIES IN CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHERN CLARK COUNTY IN WEST
CENTRAL OHIO...SOUTHERN UNION AND NORTHERN MADISON COUNTIES IN
CENTRAL OHIO THROUGH 400 PM EDT...
At 319 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Marysville to near Springfield, moving east at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and very heavy rain.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Visibility will be poor and hydroplaning
is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Columbus, Springfield, Dublin, Westerville, Reynoldsburg, Grove City,
Upper Arlington, Gahanna, Hilliard, Marysville, Worthington, Bexley,
London, Jefferson, Northridge, Powell, Canal Winchester, Groveport,
Plain City, and West Jefferson.
This includes the following Interstates...
I-70 in Ohio between mile markers 60 and 111.
I-71 in Ohio between mile markers 92 and 125.
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a sturdy building.
Motorists should slow down and use extra caution.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central and west central Ohio.
To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.
&&
LAT...LON 3994 8279 3994 8281 3982 8281 3982 8282
3980 8283 3981 8317 3994 8396 4025 8346
4018 8276
TIME...MOT...LOC 1919Z 287DEG 37KT 4023 8333 3994 8389
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
BPPSpecial weather statement, Jun 14, 2:40 PM EST, 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
340 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
OHZ046-056-142015-
Licking OH-Delaware OH-
340 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF EASTERN DELAWARE AND
NORTHWESTERN LICKING COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM EDT...
At 339 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Delaware,
moving east at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 45 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Delaware, Powell, Johnstown, Sunbury, Utica, Galena, Hartford, St.
Louisville, Alum Creek State Park, Fredonia, Olive Green, Stratford,
Center Village, Kilbourne, and Lewis Center.
This includes I-71 in Ohio between mile markers 123 and 138.
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a sturdy building.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central Ohio.
To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.
&&
LAT...LON 4011 8246 4018 8314 4041 8293 4036 8292
4035 8275 4028 8275 4027 8248 4025 8248
4024 8236
TIME...MOT...LOC 1939Z 278DEG 32KT 4028 8298
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...45 MPH
HatzosSpecial weather statement, Jun 14, 2:45 PM EST, 11 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
345 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
OHZ053-054-062-063-071-072-142015-
Warren OH-Fayette OH-Madison OH-Clinton OH-Clark OH-Greene OH-
345 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
WARREN...NORTHWESTERN FAYETTE...NORTHWESTERN CLINTON...GREENE...
SOUTHEASTERN CLARK AND SOUTHERN MADISON COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM
EDT...
At 344 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near South Charleston to near Waynesville, moving east
at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 45 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Springfield, Xenia, Yellow Springs, Cedarville, Waynesville,
Jamestown, South Charleston, Jeffersonville, Wilberforce, Lisbon, New
Jasper, Spring Valley, South Solon, Midway, Bowersville, Port
William, Clifton, Milledgeville, Octa, and Newport.
This includes the following Interstates...
I-70 in Ohio between mile markers 56 and 58.
I-71 in Ohio between mile markers 48 and 77.
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a sturdy building.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central, southwestern and west central Ohio.
To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.
&&
LAT...LON 3984 8326 3946 8373 3955 8415 3990 8379
TIME...MOT...LOC 1944Z 288DEG 33KT 3982 8375 3957 8409
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...45 MPH
Hatzos