Montana, 2026Flood and Heavy Snow in Montana, June 28 to 30, 2026
June 28 to 30, 2026 · NWS TFX · 4 events in 4 counties and zones
Large scale upper level troughing with two separate embedded upper level lows progressed across the region late June. The colder core, which actually ended up being the southern of the two, moved across Southwest Montana and resulted in snow levels falling to below 6,000ft at times as heaviest precipitation moved over the area.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 4
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Large scale upper level troughing with two separate embedded upper level lows progressed across the region late June. The colder core, which actually ended up being the southern of the two, moved across Southwest Montana and resulted in snow levels falling to below 6,000ft at times as heaviest precipitation moved over the area. Heavy snow developed near and above pass level in northwest Beaverhead County, resulting in nearly 2 feet of snow near the peaks close to the ID border.
Meanwhile further north under the second upper low, a strong surface low ended up developing near the Hi-Line, which resulted in strong winds in a few zones before the surface low filled/weakened.
Strong upper level support further north resulted in widespread heavy rains, with additional upslope forcing along the Rocky Mountain Front, which resulted in some flooding in Glacier NP June 29.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 27, 11:01 PM MST, 59 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Transition to a cooler system begins this afternoon, with lower elevation rain and higher elevation snow becoming more widespread across Southwest Montana this evening.
- Better precipitation arrives across North-central Montana, particularly west of I-15, Sunday evening.
- Precipitation gradually moves out late Monday, though unsettled conditions remain through the remainder of the week.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 27, 11:01 PM MST, 59 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1201 AM MDT Sun Jun 28 2026
Aviation Section Updated.
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Transition to a cooler system begins this afternoon, with lower elevation
rain and higher elevation snow becoming more widespread across
Southwest Montana this evening.
- Better precipitation arrives across North-central Montana,
particularly west of I-15, Sunday evening.
- Precipitation gradually moves out late Monday, though unsettled
conditions remain through the remainder of the week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
/Issued 539 PM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026/
Large scale upper level troughing will bring a couple waves of
precipitation to the region over the next few days. The initial push
of better precipitation arrives through the remainder of the day and
tonight, primarily across Southwest Montana into portions of Central
Montana. Snow levels fall with the arrival of the coolest air aloft,
dropping down to as low as 6,000 ft or so at times, lowest south
of I-90. Brief spurts of snow levels lower than 6,000ft will not
be unreasonable given the precipitation rates that look to exist
as convective elements slowly transition to be more stratiform in
nature.
As the initial core of the upper level low fills across Southwest
Montana into Sunday, deepening within the troughing looks to ensue
further north across North-central Montana. A closed mid-level low
looks to develop somewhere over northern Montana as a result, and
gradually nudge back westward during the day Sunday. This will
result in not only a favorably forced environment from a dynamical
perspective over the plains, but there will be some upslope
enhancement as northerly or northeasterly flow on the western side
of the mid level flow interacts with terrain. All this to say
there looks to be a favorable regime for widespread precipitation
over North-central Montana beginning Sunday afternoon, but peaking
Sunday night into early Monday before gradually diminishing. Peak
precipitation amounts will follow where the best forcing ultimately
settles, but also occur in upslope favored areas along the Rocky
Mountain Front. The overall orientation of terrain favors the
Northern Rocky Mountain Front over the southern ever so slightly
for greater precipitation amounts. A flood watch remains in effect
for areas in and near the eastern side of Glacier NP east of the
Continental Divide.
A surface low looks to follow a similar track as the aforementioned
mid level low Sunday into Monday. As this occurs, gusty winds look
to develop over the plains. While the overall magnitude of these
winds/gusts is not particularly notable for the region, the time of
the year and direction of the stronger winds (Direction will vary
quite a bit, dependent on where the surface low tracks with respect
to any given area) does look to be a bit abnormal, which may pose
greater impacts.
The upper level disturbance moves out into Tuesday, though a
lingering southwesterly flow aloft and general troughing across the
west will keep afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms in
the forecast for much of the remainder of the week. -AM
&&
.AVIATION...
28/06Z TAF Period
Widespread showers and thunderstorms will remain a threat through
the TAF period with periods of MVFR/IFR conditions possible.
Mountain obscuration will be a concern through the entire period
across the region. -thor
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Periods of rain will affect the CWA from today through Monday.
Widespread rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected across
the CWA over the next 3 days.
In the Glacier Park region, rainfall could be a bit heavier,
possibly up to 4 inches. Additionally, with some high elevation
snow still left, the combination of rainfall/snowmelt could lead
to some flooding on the east side of Glacier National Park. Thus a
flood watch has been issued for this region starting on Sunday.
Additional flood statement might be needed if rainfall amounts
start to exceed 3 inches elsewhere across the CWA. Brusda
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF 49 58 46 59 / 90 90 90 100
CTB 49 63 48 60 / 60 90 100 100
HLN 46 54 45 57 / 100 100 100 100
BZN 41 52 39 55 / 100 100 90 100
WYS 32 48 29 48 / 90 90 90 100
DLN 38 50 37 56 / 100 90 90 90
HVR 50 67 47 66 / 80 100 90 90
LWT 44 55 41 57 / 90 90 80 90
&&
.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch from Sunday evening through Tuesday morning for East
Glacier Park Region.
Winter Weather Advisory until noon MDT Monday for Elkhorn and
Boulder Mountains-Gallatin and Madison County Mountains and
Centennial Mountains-Ruby Mountains and Southern Beaverhead
Mountains.
Winter Storm Warning until noon MDT Monday for Northwest
Beaverhead County.
&&
http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls
Event by event
2 high wind, 1 heavy snow, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy Snow, Northwest Beaverhead County
- When
- June 28, 12:00 AM MST to June 29, 5:00 AM MST
- Where
- Northwest Beaverhead County forecast zone
- Reported by
- SNOTEL
- Coordinates
- 45.133, -112.899 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Snotel equipment in this zone, including at Lemhi Ridge, Darkhorse Lake, and Slagamelt Lakes estimated new snow in excess of 9 inches, including a peak snow depth change of 21 inches at Darkhorse Lake by 6 AM Monday the 29th.
High Wind, Eastern Toole and Liberty
- When
- June 28, 2:30 PM MST to 5:00 PM MST
- Where
- Eastern Toole and Liberty forecast zone
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 48.609, -111.360 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Several mesonets measured gusts in excess of 58 mph, including DW4821 Chester, DW4776 Chester, GW0625 Joplin 17 North, GW3546 WHITLASH SEVEN SOUTH, GW0718 Joplin 25nnw, and MTM53 MDA Oilmont. The peak observed gust was 64 mph at DW4821 Chester.
High Wind, Hill County
- When
- June 28, 3:30 PM MST to 8:25 PM MST
- Where
- Hill County forecast zone
- Measured
- 61 kt (70 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 48.628, -110.111 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
ASOS station KHVR Havre Airport measured a 70 mph gust. Other sensors in this zone that measured a 58+ mph gust include EW1937 Goldstone and FW1664 Hingham.
Flood, Glacier
- When
- June 29, 7:00 AM MST to June 30, 11:00 AM MST
- Where
- Glacier County, 14.36 mi W of Babb to 14.41 mi W of St Mary
- Cause
- Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
- Reported by
- Park/Forest Service
- Coordinates
- 48.821, -113.743
Late morning June 29 reports were received that water in Swiftcurrent Lake was approaching the bottom of the bridge connecting Many Glacier Hotel to Many Glacier Road, and that several trails and campsites had already been closed in the Many Glacier Valley due to flooding from heavy rain and a small contribution from snowmelt. Many Glacier Hotel was ultimately evacuated after MBRFC forecast crest information was received. Numerous trails were closed in the Many Glacier Valley, with it being noted that water was flowing down several trails.
- Heavy Snow
- Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Damaging Wind and Lightning Strikes in North Carolina, June 28, 2026$310,000 · 50 kt wind · 3 events
- Tornado in Florida, June 28, 2026$100,000 · EF0 · 1 event
- Flash Flooding in Virginia, June 28, 2026$50,000 · 12 events
- Flash Flooding in Tennessee, June 28, 2026$50,000 · 4 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Tennessee, June 28, 202620 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in South Dakota, June 28 to 29, 20262.5 in hail · 20 events
- Heat in Oklahoma, June 28, 202614 events
- Tornado and Hail in North Dakota, June 28, 20262 in hail · 10 events
- Heat in Iowa, June 28 to 30, 20268 events
- Hail in Nebraska, June 28 to 29, 20262.75 in hail · 8 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in Iowa, June 28, 20261.5 in hail · 7 events
- Heat in Nebraska, June 28 to 30, 20265 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1345693, 1345695, 1345694, 1345702.