Colorado, 2026Winter Storm in Colorado, May 5 to 6, 2026
May 5 to 6, 2026 · NWS BOU · 8 events in 8 counties and zones
Rain and mountain snow showers moved across eastern Colorado during the afternoon and evening of May 4th. Widespread snow then formed over the mountains and northern foothills during the early morning hours of May 5th and continued for most of the day.
Every event with a place to put it; 8 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 8
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Rain and mountain snow showers moved across eastern Colorado during the afternoon and evening of May 4th. Widespread snow then formed over the mountains and northern foothills during the early morning hours of May 5th and continued for most of the day. Across the lower elevations (below 6000 feet), precipitation type was mainly rain through the morning of the 5th and slowly began to turn over to snow during the afternoon. Snow then continued through the night of the 5th and early morning hours of the 6th. The heaviest snow occurred across the foothills and mountains of Boulder and Larimer Counties where 18 to 36 inches of snow fell. Areas west of I-25 to the base of the foothills received 4 to 12 inches, heaviest near the foothills. Main impact was broken tree branches on deciduous trees, some of which fell on powerlines leading to sparse power outages. Power outages topped 50,000 overnight the 5th and early morning the 6th. Denver International Airport (DIA) had over 700 flight delays and 40 cancellations for May 5th and May 6th. Numerous schools were closed on May 6th.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Denver/Boulder, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 4, 10:25 PM MST, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, gradually transitioning to steadier rain and snow tonight into Tuesday morning.
- A significant snow storm will impact the mountains and foothills late tonight through Wednesday, most pronounced north of I-70 where the snowfall could be damaging and travel conditions exceptionally difficult at times.
- Several inches of heavy/wet snow are expected late Tuesday into Wednesday for much of the I-25 corridor, especially on colder surfaces. Damage to tree limbs will be possible, as well as locally slick conditions for the Wednesday morning commute.
- Return to a warmer pattern likely again by the latter half of the week.
Area forecast discussion, May 4, 10:25 PM MST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1125 PM MDT Mon May 4 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, gradually
transitioning to steadier rain and snow tonight into Tuesday
morning.
- A significant snow storm will impact the mountains and foothills
late tonight through Wednesday, most pronounced north of I-70
where the snowfall could be damaging and travel conditions
exceptionally difficult at times.
- Several inches of heavy/wet snow are expected late Tuesday into
Wednesday for much of the I-25 corridor, especially on colder
surfaces. Damage to tree limbs will be possible, as well as
locally slick conditions for the Wednesday morning commute.
- Return to a warmer pattern likely again by the latter half of
the week.
&&
.DISCUSSION /Through Monday/...
Issued at 223 PM MDT Mon May 4 2026
Today's weather has progressed about as expected. A weak cold
front has been the focal point for most of the showers and
isolated thunderstorms so far today. This front continues to
slowly sink southward, though the mid-level front is still rather
poorly defined at this point in time. A gradual increase in fgen
is expected later this evening/tonight, which will serve as the
focal point for an east-west oriented band of rain/snow showers
and perhaps an embedded thunderstorm or two during the overnight
hours. As snow levels fall from >10kft this afternoon to ~7500ft
by Tuesday morning, snow should begin to accumulate across the
northern Front Range mountains and foothills.
A complex winter (spring?) storm remains on track to produce
significant snowfall across the forecast area Tuesday into
Wednesday. As was the case yesterday, the overnight shift provided
an excellent summary of the synoptic pattern through Wednesday
evening. A majority of the discussion below will focus on a brief
"state of the models" along with some forecast/impact
uncertainties as we draw closer to the start of the event.
All things considered, model guidance has remained relatively
consistent over the past few forecast cycles. While yesterday's
12z suite had some rather aggressive QPF from a few deterministic
models, ensemble mean QPF yesterday was around 1-2.25" across our
forecast area... and that remains the case today. The main trend
of note today has been to slow down the northern stream shortwave
a touch, though this still eventually leads to a phase with part
of the southern stream cutoff low. The main effect from this trend
has been to hold on to snow a bit longer Wednesday morning or
early Wednesday afternoon, which of course leads to more questions
about impacts (more on that soon). The additional short term
guidance available today also adds a bit more noise that could
subsequently be interpreted as a general trend up/down in
precip/snow. Still, even the short term models appear to be slowly
converging towards the QPF range of the global
deterministic/ensemble solutions.
One thing not discussed in much detail so far is that a
significant portion of the event is driven by mid-level
convergence/frontogenesis before adding in some QG ascent (via
positive vorticity advection) and a slow strengthening of upslope
flow below 700mb. Banded precipitation events are notoriously
difficult to forecast, where the exact location of a persist band
of heavier precipitation typically sets up... but not exactly the
way that higher resolution guidance may suggest. There will almost
certainly be some sharp gradients in QPF/snow early on in the
event that are not captured particularly well our deterministic,
gridded forecast. I have far lower confidence in the forecast
south of the Denver metro (southern Foothills, South Park, Palmer
Divide) compared to places like the Highway 34 corridor for that
reason.
Finally, while forecast confidence in QPF is rather high, that
does not lead to a high confidence forecast in impacts. First, the
translation from QPF to snow is not very straightforward. Higher
resolution guidance varies wildly with surface temperatures below
6500ft during the rain to snow transition Tuesday
afternoon/evening. Is that a reflection of diabatic effects from
falling precipitation (i.e., melting and/or refreezing), or a
symptom of imperfect radiation/boundary layer schemes within the
model itself? I would suspect it's probably a bit of both. The
rain to snow transition remains pretty similar to our previous
forecast and is perhaps a little conservative. We don't expect
much accumulating snow before midnight for any of our lower
elevation forecast zones. However, even after the snowfall
begins... we still have several questions left to answer. How long
will it take for snow to accumulate on surfaces? Trees? Roadways?
This will likely be well correlated to snowfall rates... which are
of course uncertain too.
We have fairly high confidence in a couple of inches of snow
accumulating overnight across the Denver metro, but questions
don't end there. As noted earlier, the slower storm system leads
to higher QPF amounts from roughly 12-21z Wednesday. Will
additional snow manage to accumulate on the existing snowpack from
the overnight hours? Even if snow simply compacts on itself, do
trees/power lines feel the added weight of the snow, even if
accumulations on grass and your patio furniture remain constant?
Is it cold enough for snow to affect the morning commute? The
answer to these questions may again be dependent on snowfall rates
which will likely take another few cycles of higher resolution
model cycles to get a better grasp on.
That leads us to what most people are here to read about, the
storm total snowfall forecast. Our forecast is once again nudged
up a little, though that generally leads to about 3-7 inches of
snow in the forecast. Generally 1-2 feet of snow looks on track
for the Front Range foothills above 7500ft and north of I-70.
Guidance still hints at a few pockets of closer to 2-3 feet,
though this may be overdone with significant compaction likely
through the duration of the event. While our forecast is actually
a little lower than NBM/WPC guidance, it is a closer match to
model positive snow depth change and the HRRR's variable density
snowfall output.Given the considerable uncertainty in impacts
across the I-25 corridor, we've left the Winter Storm Watch as is
for now. The biggest change was to upgrade the southern Front
Range mountains/foothills into a Winter Storm Warning with a
slightly later start time (12 PM Tuesday).
Snow is expected to wrap up quickly on Wednesday afternoon or
evening as the upper trough axis slides off to the east and any
upslope flow quickly diminishes. However, we'll have one night of
"wintry" temperatures. Guidance over the last 24 hours has become
far more bullish, tanking temperatures early Wednesday night into
the upper teens to mid 20s across a large chunk of the I-25
corridor and plains. While we have had several nights near or just
below freezing, the well below freezing temperatures was enough to
justify a Freeze Watch for the lower elevations.
By Thursday afternoon, guidance is in good agreement that the
colder air will quickly retreat off to the north and east, as a
ridge begins to build west of our forecast area. Temperatures
should rebound into the upper 50s to 60s across the plains, though
this may be somewhat dependent on how much snow is left to melt
across the I-25 corridor and adjacent plains.
The gradual warming trend is expected to continue into the
weekend, with a few shortwaves rippling through the northwesterly
flow aloft. With enough moisture lingering in the region, that
should be enough for daily chances of showers and a few storms.
We'll have to work out the timing for the better chances of
precipitation here... but given the complexity of the short term
forecast, NBM appeared to be good enough for now.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday/...
Issued at 1120 PM MDT Mon May 4 2026
A relative lull in -SHRA activity and by associated CIGS in the
030-060 range is expected over the next several hours for Denver
area terminals, with most of the precipitation anticipated to stay
to the north until closer to 10Z. Approaching sunrise, potential
for development of -SHRA and -SHSN will return along with lower
bases in the 012-020 range. Expect a steady decline in CIGS
throughout the day Tue, along with gradually more consistent
snowfall and lowering vis restrictions. Potential for 1/2SM in
heavier SN increases notably after ~05-07Z tonight.
For winds, currently quite light and variable but should
transition to a more stable E/NE direction in the coming hours.
Little chance in direction through the TAF period, through KBJC
will likely stay more N vs NW as it remains on the NW side of
DCVZ. Periods of stronger winds gusting up to 20 kts will be
possible, particularly this morning.
&&
.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from 8 PM Tuesday to 3 PM MDT Wednesday
for COZ030-032-037-043-045-046.
Winter Weather Advisory from noon Tuesday to noon MDT Wednesday
for COZ031.
Winter Storm Warning until 3 PM MDT Wednesday for COZ033-035.
Winter Storm Warning from noon Tuesday to 3 PM MDT Wednesday for
COZ034-036.
Winter Storm Watch from Tuesday evening through Wednesday
afternoon for COZ038>041.
Freeze Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday morning for
COZ038>051.
&&
DISCUSSION...Hiris
AVIATION...BRQ
Winter Storm, S & E Jackson / Larimer / N & Ne Grand / Nw Boulder Counties Above 9000 Feet
- When
- May 5, 12:00 AM MST to May 6, 7:00 AM MST
- Where
- S & E Jackson / Larimer / N & Ne Grand / Nw Boulder Counties Above 9000 Feet forecast zone
- Reported by
- SNOTEL
- Coordinates
- 40.382, -105.820 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
An estimated 18 to 34 inches of snow fell based on estimates from SNOTEL sites.
Winter Storm, Larimer & Boulder Counties Between 6000 & 9000 Feet
- When
- May 5, 12:00 AM MST to May 6, 7:00 AM MST
- Where
- Larimer & Boulder Counties Between 6000 & 9000 Feet forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 40.380, -105.410 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Trained spotter reports and cocorahs reports show estimated 18 to 34 inches of snow fell. The heavier reports were in the Estes Park area with 17 to 31 inches reported. Photos showed snow covered roads and weighed down trees.
Winter Storm, Jefferson & W Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet / Gilpin / Clear Creek / Ne Park Counties Below 9000 Feet
- When
- May 5, 10:00 AM MST to May 6, 9:00 AM MST
- Where
- Jefferson & W Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet / Gilpin / Clear Creek / Ne Park Counties Below 9000 Feet forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 39.516, -105.413 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Reports indicated 6 to 15 inches of snow fell across the area.
Winter Storm, S & Se Grand / W Central & Sw Boulder / Gilpin / Clear Creek / Summit / N & W Park Counties Above 9000 Feet
- When
- May 5, 12:00 PM MST to May 6, 10:00 AM MST
- Where
- S & Se Grand / W Central & Sw Boulder / Gilpin / Clear Creek / Summit / N & W Park Counties Above 9000 Feet forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 39.726, -105.675 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Based on spotter and snotel reports, 7 to 16 inches fell across the area with the heavier snow falling east of the Continental Divide.
Winter Storm, Elbert / C & E Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet
- When
- May 5, 12:30 PM MST to May 6, 11:00 AM MST
- Where
- Elbert / C & E Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet forecast zone
- Reported by
- CoCoRaHS
- Coordinates
- 39.422, -104.468 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
CoCoRahs and trained spotters reported 4 to 8 inches of snow. The heavy wet snow led to many broken tree branches and limbs, a few of which fell onto vehicles and homes. Broken branches also fell onto powerlines, leading to some power outages.
Winter Storm, Larimer County Below 6000 Feet / Nw Weld County
- When
- May 5, 1:00 PM MST to May 6, 7:00 AM MST
- Where
- Larimer County Below 6000 Feet / Nw Weld County forecast zone
- Reported by
- CoCoRaHS
- Coordinates
- 40.611, -104.926 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
CoCoRahs and trained spotters reported 4 to 12 inches of snow. The heavy wet snow led to many broken tree branches and limbs, a few of which fell onto vehicles and homes. Broken branches also fell onto powerlines, leading to some power outages.
Winter Storm, Boulder & Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet / W Broomfield County
- When
- May 5, 2:00 PM MST to May 6, 10:00 AM MST
- Where
- Boulder & Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet / W Broomfield County forecast zone
- Reported by
- CoCoRaHS
- Coordinates
- 39.878, -105.220 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
CoCoRahs and trained spotters reported 4 to 12 inches of snow. The heavy wet snow led to many broken tree branches and limbs, a few of which fell onto vehicles and homes. Broken branches also fell onto powerlines, leading to some power outages.
Winter Storm, N Douglas County Below 6000 Feet / Denver / W Adams & Arapahoe Counties / E Broomfield County
- When
- May 5, 3:30 PM MST to May 6, 11:00 AM MST
- Where
- N Douglas County Below 6000 Feet / Denver / W Adams & Arapahoe Counties / E Broomfield County forecast zone
- Reported by
- CoCoRaHS
- Coordinates
- 39.714, -104.707 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
CoCoRahs and trained spotters reported 4 to 8 inches of snow. The heavy wet snow led to many broken tree branches and limbs, a few of which fell onto vehicles and homes. Broken branches also fell onto powerlines, leading to some power outages.
- Winter Storm
- A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
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