High Wind in Texas, March 4, 2025

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
211 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 205 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

- Strong damaging wind gusts possible this afternoon and evening,
  highest gusts across western Oklahoma/northern Texas.

- Much cooler Saturday, with the potential for rain and snow.

- Warmer and windy conditions return for early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 205 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

Strong winds continue across much of the western and central
portions of the area early this afternoon associated with a powerful
early spring storm system across the central US. The strong winds
will continue to progress eastward the rest of the afternoon into
the evening before gradually decreasing some overnight. The
strongest gusts (near or over 60 mph) are expected across western
Oklahoma into portions of western north Texas this afternoon, with
gusts of 45-50 mph possible further east later this afternoon into
this evening. Blowing dust will also be posisble today into this
evening, advected in from west Texas and most prevalent across
western Oklahoma and western north Texas. Given widespread wetting
rains overnight, the fire danger appears greatly diminished across
much of the area, though will continue to monitor our far
western/southwestern counties where rainfall amounts were lighter.

In addition to the wind threat, fairly steep lapse rates underneath
the upper low could foster the development of a few showers and
thunderstorms this afternoon across central and eastern Oklahoma.
Small hail, gusty winds, and perhaps a cold-air funnel or two would
be possible with the stronger storms, although this is a fairly low
probability at this time. This activtiy is expected to diminish
shortly after sunset, though a few showers could linger into the
evening.

Ware

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday through Thursday night)
Issued at 205 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

Gusty winds will continue Wednesday before decreasing for a period
Wednesday night as the surface ridge axis shifts overhead. The
reprieve from the gusty winds will be short-lived, however, as the
next low pressure system rapidly deepens across the high Plains to
our northwest Thursday. As it stands now, wind gusts to near 40
mph from the south are possible across western portions of the
area Thursday afternoon. This could lead to elevated to near-
critical fire weather conditions in these areas.

Ware

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Monday)
Issued at 205 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

A dry cold front will cross the area on Friday in the wake of this
system, with some locations possibly seeing steady or falling
temperatures during the afternoon. As a cutoff low approaches from
the west on Saturday, warm advection aloft over the frontal surface
will lead to precipitation developing across the western/southern
parts of the area first and then expanding eastward across more of
the area through the day. At precipitation onset temperature
profiles appear mostly too warm to support snow except across far
western parts of the area, but column cooling may bring snow further
east, especially if precipitation rates are heavy enough. At this
time we do not expect much in the way of accumulations given such
marginal temperatures, but confidence is fairly low given low
predictability of where any heavier precipitation bands may develop
and the exact temperature profile as precipitation is occurring. We
kept things simple for now, with a broad area of rain/snow chances
during the day Saturday and will continue to refine things as we
get closer.

The cooler temperatures will not last long as upper ridging builds
overhead and gusty south winds return at the surface. Depending on
how much precipitation we see over the weekend, this could spell the
return of increased fire danger to parts of the area.

Ware

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1128 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

Strong winds are expected to impact the area today, increasing
from west to east this afternoon into this evening with a shift to
northwest direction. The strongest winds (gusts near or over 50
knots) are expected across western Oklahoma and portions of
western north Texas, with 40+ knot gusts possible across much of
the rest of the area. A low chance for thunderstorms exists mid to
late afternoon in central Oklahoma, with a few showers possible
across northern Oklahoma. Winds will gradually decrease some
overnight, but will still remain gusty into the day on Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  60  34  53  34 /  30  10   0   0
Hobart OK         58  33  59  36 /  40   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  62  37  60  37 /  20   0   0   0
Gage OK           53  28  56  34 /  40  10   0   0
Ponca City OK     61  31  52  29 /  70  20   0   0
Durant OK         63  38  56  34 /  80   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...High Wind Warning until midnight CST tonight for OKZ004-005-009-
     010-014>016-021-022-033>038-044.

     Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST Wednesday for OKZ006>008-011>013-
     017>020-023>032-039>043-045>048-050>052.

TX...High Wind Warning until midnight CST tonight for TXZ083>089.

     Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST Wednesday for TXZ090.

&&

NEAR TERM...08
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....08
AVIATION...08

Preliminary Local Storm Report...Summary
National Weather Service Norman OK
1140 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0944 PM     Hail             2 N Moorewood           35.77N 99.36W
03/03/2025  E1.00 Inch       Custer             OK   Emergency Mngr

0948 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 S Hammon              35.60N 99.38W
03/03/2025                   Roger Mills        OK   Emergency Mngr

            Damage to an unoccupied recreational vehicle
            and barn.

0948 PM     Hail             6 S Hammon              35.55N 99.38W
03/03/2025  E1.00 Inch       Roger Mills        OK   Emergency Mngr

1020 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     4 WNW Bessie            35.41N 99.05W
03/03/2025  M59 MPH          Washita            OK   Mesonet

1020 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     6 SSE Eagle City        35.85N 98.54W
03/03/2025  M59 MPH          Blaine             OK   Mesonet

0205 AM     Hail             Jones                   35.57N 97.29W
03/04/2025  E1.00 Inch       Oklahoma           OK   Public

0435 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     3 NE Lone Grove         34.21N 97.23W
03/04/2025  M57 MPH          Carter             OK   Mesonet

0440 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Gene Autry              34.29N 97.03W
03/04/2025                   Carter             OK   Emergency Mngr

            Barn damage. Hwy 53 about .5 miles east of
            Gene Autry Debris was scattered about 1/4
            mile or more down highway. Time estimated by
            radar.

0455 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 NNE Gene Autry        34.30N 97.02W
03/04/2025  M60 MPH          Carter             OK   AWOS

0505 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     6 SW Fittstown          34.57N 96.71W
03/04/2025  M87 MPH          Pontotoc           OK   Mesonet

0507 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 SSE Mill Creek        34.36N 96.81W
03/04/2025                   Johnston           OK   Emergency Mngr

            Barn and outbuildings damaged east of
            Scullin Y Hwy 7 & 1.

0510 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     6 SW Fittstown          34.56N 96.71W
03/04/2025  E79 MPH          Pontotoc           OK   Mesonet

0515 AM     Tornado          1 SW Ada                34.77N 96.67W
03/04/2025                   Pontotoc           OK   Emergency Mngr

            Multiple reports of significant damage
            around Ada, especially across the southern
            part of town. Time is estimated at this
            time.

0515 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 W Ada                 34.78N 96.67W
03/04/2025  E85 MPH          Pontotoc           OK   Public

            Funnel cloud also observed.

0515 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Kingston                34.00N 96.73W
03/04/2025                   Marshall           OK   Emergency Mngr

            40-50 powerlines down across southern part
            of county. Time estimated by radar 5:15 to
            5:25 am.

0519 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Mill Creek              34.40N 96.82W
03/04/2025                   Johnston           OK   Emergency Mngr

            Power poles down highway 7&1 intersect south
            near mill creek.

0525 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Allen                   34.88N 96.41W
03/04/2025                   Pontotoc           OK   Emergency Mngr

            Allen is reporting multiple buildings with
            roof damage. Tornado possible.

0536 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Nida                    34.14N 96.37W
03/04/2025                   Bryan              OK   Emergency Mngr

            Hwy 22&78 at Nida debris in roadway and
            power poles broken 5:38.

0540 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Durant                  33.99N 96.39W
03/04/2025                   Bryan              OK   Emergency Mngr

            Multiple reports of trees in roadways in
            Durant. Time estimated by radar.

0554 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 W Lehigh              34.47N 96.23W
03/04/2025  E65 MPH          Coal               OK   CO-OP Observer

            65-70 mph winds.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Norman OK
159 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0516 AM     Tornado          5 NW Stonewall          34.69N 96.59W
03/04/2025                   Pontotoc           OK   NWS Storm Survey

            The Union Valley Tornado developed just east
            of State Highway 3 along County Road E1600.
            The tornado moved east-northeast. One home
            received roof damage, the Union Valley
            volunteer fire station was heavily damaged,
            and numerous trees along the path were
            snapped.

&&

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