A potent storm system tracked across the eastern United States, steering a very strong low-level jet over Middle Tennessee on March 4, 2025. These very strong upper-level winds were able to mix down to the surface which resulted in damaging winds across the area.
Every event with a place to put it; 23 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OHX wrote it up.
A potent storm system tracked across the eastern United States, steering a very strong low-level jet over Middle Tennessee on March 4, 2025. These very strong upper-level winds were able to mix down to the surface which resulted in damaging winds across the area. The strongest winds during this event were measured across the Cumberland Plateau where wind gusts of 55 to 65 mph occurred. While wind gusts weren't as strong west of the Cumberland Plateau, several hours of strong winds still caused damage. Across Middle Tennessee, numerous reports of downed trees and powerlines along with power outages were received.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 4, 11:44 AM CST, 2 hours 46 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1144 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1144 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025 - Gusty winds are expected today, both in and outside of thunderstorms. Probabilities for wind gusts of 60 MPH east of I-65 are high (70+%). - High chance of thunderstorms across middle Tennessee today. Chances for severe are low, and mainly west of I-24. Main impacts are strong winds and heavy rain. && .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Wednesday) Issued at 1144 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025 Clear skies for right now, with clouds invading from the west ahead of a cold front. The cold front brings both our wind threat and severe threat this evening. For the wind threat, as the surface low approaches, the pressure gradient has tightened, resulting in the gusty winds currently ongoing and expected to continue. A strengthening LLJ with speeds up to 75 knots over our heads doesn't help the case for gusty winds this evening. Therefore, a portion of the wind advisory on the Cumberland plateau was upgraded to a High Wind Warning, as probability for wind gusts over 60 MPH in that area is 70% or higher. The remainder of the area could see wind gusts over 50 MPH as the LLJ and PGF combine, but they are not expected to reach high wind criteria. Impacts from these high winds will include power outages so make sure your devices are charged! For the severe threat, a cold front will push through the area into tonight. Ahead of this front, moisture will surge in from the south in the warm sector. Unfortunately, it doesn't look to be enough to overcome just how dry this air mass is current. Dew points are not looking to break 55 degrees in middle Tennessee. This doesn't get rid of our severe threat, but it does limit it. Instability is weak, but there, so we could see some stronger storms in the area, with damaging winds and heavy rain as our main threats. Best chance for severe storms will be in the SW, close to the Alabama state line. Timing is still looking like this evening, around 4 - 6 pm in the west, and exiting to the east by midnight. After the severe threat, it is worth mentioning that areas on the Cumberland plateau could see some snowflakes with how cold it will get after. No accumulation or impacts are expected at this time. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday Night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1144 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025 The long term looks calmer overall, with a few disturbances to bring us precipitation. The first one will be over the weekend, and right now it looks to be light accumulations (less than a quarter of an inch). This could change as we get closer to the system, but right now it just looks like light rain in the guidance. Temperatures over the next week will oscillate between the 50s, 60s, and possibly even the 70s for highs. The latter would come as southerly flow kicks in into next work week. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1125 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025 Very strong winds are expected through the TAF period and will be the primary aviation concern. High chance of southerly gusts of 35 to 45 knots at all terminals this afternoon with a high chance that gusts of 50+ knots impacts CSV and SRB during the 00Z to 004Z time frame. Surface winds will relax slightly after 04Z, but LLWS will then become an issue with 50-60 knot winds at around 2,000 feet. Additionally, light rain will approach from the west around 21Z with a line of showers/storms tracking east across Middle TN likely between 00Z and 06Z. Chance for lightning is low with this line so did not include any TS in the TAFs at this time. Finally, cigs will drop behind the line of showers tonight with widespread MVFR expected Wednesday morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 72 46 55 32 / 50 100 40 10 Clarksville 68 42 51 30 / 70 100 40 10 Crossville 63 46 53 27 / 0 100 40 40 Columbia 70 43 54 30 / 60 100 30 10 Cookeville 65 46 54 29 / 10 100 40 30 Jamestown 64 46 55 27 / 0 100 40 30 Lawrenceburg 70 45 54 31 / 40 100 20 10 Murfreesboro 69 45 55 31 / 30 100 30 10 Waverly 68 40 51 30 / 80 100 30 10 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST Wednesday for TNZ005>010-023>031- 056>064-075-077-093>095. High Wind Warning until 6 PM CST Wednesday for TNZ011-032>034- 065-066-078>080. && SHORT TERM...Holley LONG TERM....Holley AVIATION.....Clements
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
12 strong wind, 11 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Very strong non-thunderstorm winds across Davidson County snapped a power pole on Buchanan Street in Nashville. Observed wind gusts at the time were between 40 to 50 mph. Damages are a rough estimate.
Estimated 60 mph winds downed a large tree, crushing an old vehicle and destroying some fencing at a home on McKellar Drive in Tullahoma. Another large tree was downed on South Spring Street in Manchester. While weather stations in the area generally measured wind speeds in the 40 to 50 mph range, it's likely sporadic wind gusts up to 60 mph occurred. Damages are a rough estimate.
Very strong non-thunderstorm winds snapped several trees and a power pole along River Road southeast of Ashland City. Surrounding wind observations generally ranged from 45 to 55 mph. Damages are a rough estimate.
Very strong non-thunderstorm winds caused multiple downed trees across Robertson County, including on Flewellyn Road and Union Road. This caused at least 2,000 power outages across the county. Wind gust observations around the area at the time were between 40 to 55 mph. Damages are a rough estimate.
Very strong non-thunderstorm winds across Dickson County caused numerous downed trees on roadways across Dickson County. This caused at least 2,600 power outages. Wind gust observations around the area at the time generally ranged from 40 to 55 mph. Damages are a rough estimate.
Strong non-thunderstorm winds across Perry County downed a tree which destroyed a shed near Cane Creek in Lobelville. Wind gust observations around the area at the time were 40 to 55 mph. Damages are a rough estimate.
Strong non-thunderstorm winds across Hickman County caused roof damage to the Hickman County Middle School. Wind gust observations around the time were between 40 to 55 mph. Damages are a rough estimate.
Strong non-thunderstorm winds caused a downed tree to fall on a home on Gallant Ridge Drive southeast of Franklin. Only minor damage was reported to the house. Trees were also reported blown down along Highway 100 near Fairview. Wind gust observations around the time were between 40 and 55 mph. Damages are a rough estimate.
Strong non-thunderstorm winds downed numerous trees onto roadways across several areas in Lawrence County, including Summertown, Ethridge, and St. Joseph. Observed wind gusts around that time were between 40 to 55 mph. Damages are a rough estimate.
Strong non-thunderstorm winds caused numerous downed trees in Spring Hill. Observed wind gusts around the time were between 40 and 55 mph. Damages are a rough estimate.
Strong non-thunderstorm winds caused several downed trees in Eagleville. Observed wind gusts around the time were between 40 and 55 mph. Damages are a rough estimate.
Strong non-thunderstorm winds across Wilson County caused several downed trees. Near Green Hill, a tree fell along Lebanon Road near South Greenhill Road, causing the eastbound lane to be blocked. Another large tree was also blown down onto Lebanon Road in Green Hill. Observed wind gusts around the time were between 40 to 55 mph. Damages are a rough estimate.
The ASOS station at Nashville International Airport measured a peak wind gust of 59 mph.
Very strong non-thunderstorm winds in excess of 60 mph were measured in several locations across Putnam County. The strongest wind gust measured in the county was 66 mph near Pleasant Hill. These winds caused widespread damage, including multiple downed trees and powerlines which resulted in at least 1,700 power outages. Roof damage was also reported to an auto repair shop on Washington Avenue in Cookeville. A tree also fell on an RV along Crossville Highway. No injuries were reported. Damages are a rough estimate.
Strong non-thunderstorm winds caused a powerline to fall on a home which in turn caused a house fire. Observed wind gusts around the time were between 40 and 55 mph. No injuries were reported. Damages are a rough estimate.
Very strong non-thunderstorm downed a large tree in Tracy City near Colyar and Clair Streets. Damages are a rough estimate.
Very strong non-thunderstorm winds across White County downed numerous trees across the area. Damages are a rough estimate.
Very strong non-thunderstorm wind gusts were estimated around 60 mph across Warren County. Several trees were reported to be downed. Damages are a rough estimate.
Very strong non-thunderstorm wind gusts were estimated around 60 mph across Van Buren County. Several trees were reported to be downed. Damages are a rough estimate.
Very strong non-thunderstorm wind gusts were estimated around 60 mph across Pickett County. Several trees were reported to be downed. Damages are a rough estimate.
The ASOS station at Crossville measured a peak wind gust of 60 mph. These very strong non-thunderstorm winds also downed numerous trees across Cumberland County, causing more than 18,000 power outages. Damages are a rough estimate.
Very strong non-thunderstorm winds across Fentress County caused numerous downed trees across the area. Two homes in Clarkrange had trees fall on them, and one mobile home in Allardt also had a tree fall on it. No injuries were reported. Damages are a rough estimate.
Very strong non-thunderstorm wind gusts impacted Overton County. The highest reported wind gust was measured at 61 mph near Algood.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, March 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1230430, 1230427, 1230426, 1230431, 1230432, 1230433, 1230434, 1230435, 1230440, 1230441, 1230442, 1230445, 1230429, 1230436, 1230443, 1230448, 1230449, 1230450, 1230451, 1230453, 1230428, 1230437, 1230438.