Texas, 2025Drought in Texas, March 25 to 31, 2025
March 25 to 31, 2025 · NWS BRO · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
Severe (D2) Drought conditions expanded east in northern and central Kenedy County to cover the coastal zones and barrier island on the 25th - due to persistent dry air and warm to hot conditions. The conditions would be short-lived, as torrential rains produced sufficient water to reduce conditions on April 1st.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Severe (D2) Drought conditions expanded east in northern and central Kenedy County to cover the coastal zones and barrier island on the 25th - due to persistent dry air and warm to hot conditions. The conditions would be short-lived, as torrential rains produced sufficient water to reduce conditions on April 1st.
Agricultural impacts (mainly cattle herd culling) were unknown in these areas.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 24, 11:43 PM CST, 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 24, 11:43 PM CST, 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
1243 AM CDT Tue Mar 25 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 137 PM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025
Overall a quiet afternoon ongoing with temps mostly in the low to
mid 80s and SE to easterly winds. A weak cold front that has
moved through STX over the day has slowed in momentum as it
approached the CWA boarder. It is not expected to make it through
deep STX before fizzling out and retrograding this evening.
Minus some fog over the gulf waters and somewhat inland, the rest
of the short term forecast will be relatively benign. Min and Max
temperatures will be at or above climatological normals with S to
SE winds under increasingly cloudy skies ahead of another system
set to move through in the long term.
LCH
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Monday)
Issued at 137 PM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025
Wednesday will start off quiet, with a surface high over the
Central Plains and a weak trough west of the area. Winds will be
out of the E and SE, with moisture increasing over STX. This will
help set us up for multiple days of rain, beginning Wednesday
night. PWATs will be steadily increasing as the trough nears,
along with a weak frontal boundary moving northward out of MX. By
Thursday into Friday, several models have forecast PWATs at or
above the 90th percentile for a majority of the CWA.
WPC has highlighted the entire forecast area in a Marginal Risk
(level 1 of 4) for excessive rainfall leading to flash flooding on
Thursday. This will have to be monitored in the coming days for
an increase in threat level. So far, 72h QPF totals are in the 1-3
inch range, however heavier rain / the higher amounts are expected
Thursday night into Friday morning. Currently severe weather is
not expected during that period, however that will also warrant
monitoring over the next few days as some forecast parameters
suggest a low end threat for strong thunderstorms.
Showers will slowly taper from SW to NE over the day on Friday,
leaving us with with clearing skies that night into Saturday. From
there into the beginning of the next work week, pleasant weather
conditions will be likely with the passage of a weak and dry cold
front on Sunday.
LCH
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Tue Mar 25 2025
MVFR to VFR will prevail at the aerodromes through the next 24
hours, with light to moderate winds and generally partly to mostly
cloudy skies.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 137 PM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025
Today through Tuesday...The approach and eventual dissipation of
a weak cold front from the north will produce a modest pressure
gradient over the western Gulf during the period. Light to
moderate winds and low to moderate seas will result, with Small
Craft Should Exercise Caution and Small Craft Advisory not likely
to be needed.
Tuesday Night through Sunday...Mostly favorable conditions are
expected through Thursday with light to moderate winds and low to
moderate seas. More adverse conditions are expected to develop
Thursday as the winds and seas pick up to around 15 knots and
waves in the range of 5 to 7 feet requiring Small Craft Exercise
Caution, although a Small Craft Advisory cannot be ruled out at
this time either. However more favorable conditions are expected
to return by the later half of the weekend.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BROWNSVILLE 69 82 71 82 / 0 20 50 60
HARLINGEN 66 86 68 83 / 0 20 50 70
MCALLEN 70 90 71 85 / 0 20 60 70
RIO GRANDE CITY 69 87 70 85 / 10 30 70 80
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 68 75 69 76 / 0 10 40 60
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 66 81 68 81 / 0 10 50 60
&&
.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&
Drought, Coastal Kenedy
- When
- March 25, 12:00 AM CST to March 31, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Coastal Kenedy forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 26.928, -97.636 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe (D2) level drought expanded to cover the northern two-thirds of coastal Kenedy County on March 25th, courtesy of breezy to windy, generally dry (low humidity) days, and above average day/night temperatures with no wetting dew. Conditions would improve soon after rains on March 27-28, but the improvements were not recognized until the April 1st Drought Monitor update.
Unknown was impact to livestock (mainly cattle) in these areas.
Drought, Kenedy Island
- When
- March 25, 12:00 AM CST to March 31, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Kenedy Island forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 26.928, -97.636 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe (D2) level drought expanded to cover the northern two-thirds of Kenedy County's barrier island (Padre Island National Seashore) on March 25th, courtesy of breezy to windy, generally dry (low humidity) days, and above average day/night temperatures with no wetting dew. Conditions would improve soon after rains on March 27-28, but the improvements were not recognized until the April 1st Drought Monitor update.
Unknown was impact to livestock (mainly cattle) in these areas.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- High Surf in California, March 25, 20251 death · 1 event
- Hail in Texas, March 25, 2025$105,000 · 2.25 in hail · 49 events
- Flood in Oregon, March 25 to 31, 2025$1.0 million · 1 event
- Drought in South Dakota, March 25 to 31, 202512 events
- Hail in Oklahoma, March 25, 20251.25 in hail · 7 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Florida, March 25, 2025$4,000 · 1 in hail · 6 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in South Atlantic Coastal Waters, March 25, 20250.88 in hail · 3 events
- Drought in South Dakota, March 25 to 31, 20252 events
- Wildfire in Oklahoma, March 25 to 31, 2025$7,000 · 1 event
- Strong Wind in Puerto Rico, March 25, 2025$2,000 · 1 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1249477, 1249479.