Oklahoma, 2025Wildfire in Oklahoma, March 25 to 31, 2025
March 25 to 31, 2025 · NWS OUN · 1 event in 1 county or zone
The combination of warm, dry and breezy conditions created favorable conditions for fire starts and spread.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $7,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The combination of warm, dry and breezy conditions created favorable conditions for fire starts and spread.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 25, 5:38 AM CST, 5 hours 22 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 621 AM CDT Tue Mar 25 2025
- Strong to an isolated severe storm is possible Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Otherwise, increasing rain and thunderstorm chances expected late Tuesday through early next week.
- Elevated fire conditions may return Thursday and Friday across northern Oklahoma and again Saturday across western Oklahoma and adjacent portions of western north Texas.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 25, 5:38 AM CST, 5 hours 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
638 AM CDT Tue Mar 25 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 621 AM CDT Tue Mar 25 2025
- Strong to an isolated severe storm is possible Tuesday night
into Wednesday morning. Otherwise, increasing rain and
thunderstorm chances expected late Tuesday through early next
week.
- Elevated fire conditions may return Thursday and Friday across
northern Oklahoma and again Saturday across western Oklahoma and
adjacent portions of western north Texas.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 235 AM CDT Tue Mar 25 2025
Northwest flow aloft will stretch from the northern Rockies down
to the Tennessee Valley today. There are hints at perturbations
embedded within the flow that will traverse the southern Plains
today. Northerly winds will overspread the area today, with the
colder air remaining well to the north of the southern Plains.
Temperatures will be quite warm this afternoon with widespread
highs in the 80s and even into the low 90s across far southern
Oklahoma and western north Texas. There is a very narrow
spatiotemporal corridor for elevated fire weather concerns this
afternoon across far western Oklahoma. Given the limited space of
the threat, will hold off on any fire weather headlines.
Strong to marginally severe storms are possible this evening into
the overnight hours across portions of south central and
southeastern Oklahoma. Model soundings show an impressive inverted
V profile, in addition to sufficient elevated instability. With
this thermodynamic profile, any stronger storm will have the
threat for damaging winds and large hail up to quarters. As of
right now, storms could start as early as 7 pm, with the most
likely timing of severe between midnight and 7 am.
Bunker
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday through Thursday night)
Issued at 235 AM CDT Tue Mar 25 2025
Rain and thunderstorm chances will slowly decrease through the
day Wednesday. Afternoon temperatures will be cooler than Tuesday,
with 70s to low 80s expected. Stronger warm air advection will
promote afternoon highs on Thursday getting back to the upper 70s
(south) and low 80s (north). Surface winds on Thursday are
expected to be 15- 20 mph for most of the area, with up to 25 mph
sustained winds across northern Oklahoma. Although RHs will not be
as dry (low 30s) Thursday, there is still the concern for
elevated fire weather conditions across northern Oklahoma where
gustier winds may overcome the lack of substantially drier air.
Bunker
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 235 AM CDT Tue Mar 25 2025
There continues to be a signal in the deterministic and ensemble
suite of a pattern change towards the end of the week into the
weekend.
A weak mid-level wave will approach the area Friday, bringing
additional rain chances most of the area. The greater chances are
confined to the southern half of the area. Another wave is
forecast to move through the area over the weekend. There is still
model inconsistencies, especially with the dryslot. If the
positioning of the drier air is further west, there is a signal
for strong to severe storms along and east of the I-35 corridor
on Saturday with all hazards possible.
With these systems, surface winds are expected to be strong
enough to warrant at least elevated fire weather conditions
through the weekend.
Bunker
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 638 AM CDT Tue Mar 25 2025
VFR conditions are expected to continue through this evening.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop after
06Z across south central/southeast Oklahoma. PROB30s were included
at KOKC, KOUN, KLAW, and KDUA to account for this.
Otherwise, light and variable winds will generally become
northeast to east through the period.
Mahale
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK 81 53 76 56 / 0 30 30 10
Hobart OK 83 52 78 55 / 0 40 20 10
Wichita Falls TX 88 56 81 59 / 0 40 30 10
Gage OK 80 44 76 53 / 0 20 10 10
Ponca City OK 78 49 76 54 / 0 0 0 20
Durant OK 87 58 74 56 / 10 60 60 10
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...10
Wildfire, Hughes
- When
- March 25, 11:00 AM CST to March 31, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Hughes forecast zone
- Property damage
- $7,000
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 35.048, -96.250 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Squirrel Fire burned 512 acres in northern Hughes County. The fire was reported controlled at 1100 LST on 1 April 2025.
- Wildfire
- A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- High Surf in California, March 25, 20251 death · 1 event
- Hail in Texas, March 25, 2025$105,000 · 2.25 in hail · 49 events
- Flood in Oregon, March 25 to 31, 2025$1.0 million · 1 event
- Drought in South Dakota, March 25 to 31, 202512 events
- Hail in Oklahoma, March 25, 20251.25 in hail · 7 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Florida, March 25, 2025$4,000 · 1 in hail · 6 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in South Atlantic Coastal Waters, March 25, 20250.88 in hail · 3 events
- Drought in Texas, March 25 to 31, 20252 events
- Drought in South Dakota, March 25 to 31, 20252 events
- Strong Wind in Puerto Rico, March 25, 2025$2,000 · 1 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1243301.