Tennessee, 2025

Drought in Tennessee, February 1 to 28, 2025

February 1 to 28, 2025 · NWS HUN · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

Severe Drought conditions linger in NWS Huntsville's CWA, including Lincoln, Franklin, and Moore Counties.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS HUN wrote it up.

Severe Drought conditions linger in NWS Huntsville's CWA, including Lincoln, Franklin, and Moore Counties.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Huntsville, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 7:36 PM CST, 4 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 7:36 PM CST, 4 hours 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
736 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

...New NEAR TERM...

.NEAR TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 736 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

As of moment, an area of showers was moving in a west to east
manner across the more eastern portion of our forecast area. The
heaviest showers were noted in N-S oriented line from Scottsboro
to Guntersville. This activity was a bit stronger in the late
afternoon as it moved across parts of NW Alabama and southern
middle Tennessee with a few lightning strikes. Electrical activity
thus far has ended as the activity overall becomes weaker. Area
temperatures ranged from the mid 40s to lower 50s.

A trough feature extending south of an area of low pressure over
IN/OH should sweep to the east, helping to end shower chances from
west to east during the course of the mid and late evening.
Although cloud cover was thinning after the showers have passed,
the satellite view showed more lower level clouds noted over the
Ozarks heading to the SE, which should result in an increase in
clouds late tonight. Low temperatures overnight should cool into
the upper 30s to mid 40s with light winds. Given a few hours of
clearing and light winds, am thinking that fog development could
be more of an issue, so have added patchy to areas of fog for the
late night. The forecast otherwise is in fine shape.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday through Sunday night)
Issued at 1227 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

The TN valley will be on the southern extent of lower clouds as a
cold front sags south into TN and north AL. The front will weaken,
and the southern portion of the cloud deck may not fully overlap
our southern counties on Saturday. Or, could erode with daytime
heating and mixing during the day. Thus, the cloud and temperature
forecast is tricky. Temperatures will stay in the 50s where the
clouds stick around but could poke into the lower 60s where any
partial sunshine occurs.

Zonal 5h flow develops into Sunday with a deep layer of southwest
to west flow. This will favor good warm air advection as the
surface ridge shifts into the far southern CONUS. 8h temps will
warm to 10-12C by Sunday afternoon. We expect highs in the middle
to upper 60s for most areas, followed by overnight lows in the
40s (except for a few eastern valley upper 30s).

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 435 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

In the extended portion of the forecast, present indications are
that zonal flow aloft will persist across the local forecast area
for much of the new work week, as our region will remain located
along the northern rim of a strong subtropical ridge centered well
to our southeast. Light-moderate southerly low-level flow will
continue at the surface, to the south of a developing warm front
that will extend eastward into the OH Valley from a new area of
low pressure across the southern High Plains. This, coupled with a
west-southwesterly low-level jet of 20-25 knots, will result in
warm afternoon temps in the l-m 70s, with lows increasing as well
(into the u50s-l60s by Wednesday/Thursday mornings). As dewpoints
finally begin to increase into the u50s-l60s by Tuesday night, low
stratus clouds will become more common across the region, with a
few showers/thunderstorms possible as well. However, we have kept
POPs ~20% through Wednesday night and increased them to ~30-40% on
Thursday (at which time moisture may begin to pool across the
region ahead of a stronger cold front dropping southeastward
through the Mid-MS Valley).

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 551 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

Primarily VFR conditions are expected at both terminals through
much of the overnight period. A tempo group was included between
00Z and 04Z though for TSRA or RA at both terminals. Due to very
dry air at the surface, a predominant period of precipitation was
not included. MVFR CIGS or VSBYS could occur during that tempo
group. Winds should become light around 3 knots and turn northwesterly
tonight and then to the northeast after 15Z or 16Z.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...RSB
SHORT TERM....17
LONG TERM....70
AVIATION...KTW

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Franklin

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Franklin forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.155, -86.092 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe Drought conditions linger in NWS Huntsville's CWA, including Lincoln, Franklin, and Moore Counties.

Drought, Lincoln

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Lincoln forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.141, -86.589 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe Drought conditions linger in NWS Huntsville's CWA, including Lincoln, Franklin, and Moore Counties.

Drought, Moore

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Moore forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.285, -86.359 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe Drought conditions linger in NWS Huntsville's CWA, including Lincoln, Franklin, and Moore Counties.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Tennessee in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, February 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1233716, 1233718, 1233720.