New Mexico, 2025Drought in New Mexico, February 1 to 28, 2025
February 1 to 28, 2025 · NWS ABQ · 15 events in 14 counties and zones
February 2025 was a well above normal warm and dry month across New Mexico. The western two-thirds of the state saw temperature anomalies in the warmest 10 percent on record with some spots seeing their warmest February on record.
Every event with a place to put it; 15 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 15
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
February 2025 was a well above normal warm and dry month across New Mexico. The western two-thirds of the state saw temperature anomalies in the warmest 10 percent on record with some spots seeing their warmest February on record. This, alongside roughly two-thirds of the state see little to no precipitation exacerbated the return of moderate and severe drought across much of the western two-thirds of NM. Extreme drought was introduced into the far southwestern corner of Catron County.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 10:24 PM MST, 1 hour 36 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 1011 PM MST Fri Jan 31 2025
- Rapid warming trend will continue through early next week. Record high temperatures may be threatened in some areas.
- Warm, dry, and breezy to windy conditions will create elevated fire weather concerns for portions of NM through early next week, especially Saturday and Wednesday over eastern NM.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 10:24 PM MST, 1 hour 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1024 PM MST Fri Jan 31 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1011 PM MST Fri Jan 31 2025
- Rapid warming trend will continue through early next week.
Record high temperatures may be threatened in some areas.
- Warm, dry, and breezy to windy conditions will create elevated
fire weather concerns for portions of NM through early next
week, especially Saturday and Wednesday over eastern NM.
&&
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 201 PM MST Fri Jan 31 2025
Weather conditions will become more spring-like as we progress
through the weekend and into next week. Temperatures will trend
warmer each day until reaching about 20 to 25 degrees above normal
Monday through Wednesday. Record highs are possible. West winds
will also increase over the region with very low humidity, thus
elevating the risk for wildfires. Far northeast NM may experience
more erratic temperature fluctuations as a weak cold front flirts
with the area by the middle of next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 201 PM MST Fri Jan 31 2025
Clear skies will give way to increasing cirrus tonight while a weak
lee-side surface trough develops. This will offer a slight reduction
in radiational cooling while the light downsloping wind component in
the eastern half of NM gives a hint of compressional warming.
The lee-side surface trough will deepen on Saturday while the flow
aloft turns more zonal and increases (700mb speeds reaching 25 to 45
kt). Breezy conditions will turn widespread Saturday afternoon as
vertical mixing ensues, and windy conditions will impact the central
highlands to the eastern plains where gusts of 25 to 40 mph will
occasionally hit, especially along the I-40 corridor. Valley areas
such as the San Juan basin and Rio Grande valley will stay mostly
sheltered from the deeper mixing and gusty conditions Saturday. The
west winds will cause temperatures to warm a few more degrees after
today’s significant rebound, and this will put daytime highs 5-15
degrees above normal in most locations. Cirrus will thin out in
western zones Saturday night, but otherwise a very similar scenario
with lee-side troughing and milder overnight temperatures will
prevail.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 201 PM MST Fri Jan 31 2025
An unseasonably strong 589dm H5 high over the eastern Pacific
will drift east thru early next week while breaking down across
northern Mexico ahead of an approaching upper level trough. The
synoptic pattern will generate quasi-zonal flow across NM Sunday
thru Tuesday with warming temps, patchy cirrus, and breezy west
winds over the high terrain and adjacent highlands of eastern NM.
West winds may become strong by Wednesday as the aforementioned
trough along the west coast ejects rapidly eastward across the
northern Rockies. It will also be very warm for early February.
The latest NAEFS 700mb temps are btwn +2 and +3 stdev above climo
along with downslope flow into eastern NM. Max temps near 25F
above normal are likely with several record Max T's possible,
especially Monday thru Wednesday. The upper level ridge over
northern Mexico will strengthen northward again late next week
while more shortwaves shift east across the northern Rockies. This
will keep temps above normal over NM with persistent breezy to
windy conditions. Folks are encouraged to be mindful of fire
safety as very low humidity with warm temps and stronger winds
will elevate the risk for wildfires next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1011 PM MST Fri Jan 31 2025
VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist, but with the
development of VFR cigs overnight in the form of high clouds.
Winds will remain fairly light overnight, but pick up out of the
southwest and get gusty across eastern NM Saturday afternoon with
impacts to KLVS and KTCC.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 201 PM MST Fri Jan 31 2025
A stretch of warmer weather is getting underway with daytime
temperatures starting to climb above normal today, and this trend
will persist well into next week. Dry conditions will also prevail
as a stout, but mostly unperturbed westerly jet remains relatively
close to NM. Bouts of breezy to windy conditions will also develop
each day as a lee-side surface trough seems to take up a semi-
permanent residence over southeast CO and northeast NM. The dry
westerly, and often downslope, wind will help warm temperatures
while depleting moisture with daily bouts of widespread minimum
humidity of 15-20 percent, and even lower on Wednesday and Friday of
next week. This will cause marginal to elevated critical fire
weather conditions to creep back into the forecast Saturday and each
day onward with Wednesday having the potential for more definitive
critical conditions due to the anticipated lower humidity and higher
wind speeds that day. Smoke ventilation rates will get a boost as
mixing heights and winds increase, but prescribed and any outdoor
burning will need to be done with caution, especially from the
central highlands to the east central plains (Clines Corners to
Santa Rosa to Tucumcari and nearby areas).
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington...................... 21 55 27 61 / 0 0 0 0
Dulce........................... 10 52 17 58 / 0 0 0 0
Cuba............................ 18 54 26 61 / 0 0 0 0
Gallup.......................... 12 59 21 64 / 0 0 0 0
El Morro........................ 17 55 24 62 / 0 0 0 0
Grants.......................... 13 59 23 66 / 0 0 0 0
Quemado......................... 17 58 25 63 / 0 0 0 0
Magdalena....................... 27 61 35 67 / 0 0 0 0
Datil........................... 21 57 29 64 / 0 0 0 0
Reserve......................... 13 63 21 72 / 0 0 0 0
Glenwood........................ 26 64 34 72 / 0 0 0 0
Chama........................... 11 47 21 53 / 0 0 0 0
Los Alamos...................... 26 52 32 57 / 0 0 0 0
Pecos........................... 25 53 32 59 / 0 0 0 0
Cerro/Questa.................... 20 49 27 54 / 0 0 0 0
Red River....................... 12 42 21 50 / 0 0 0 0
Angel Fire...................... 4 45 18 51 / 0 0 0 0
Taos............................ 12 50 20 57 / 0 0 0 0
Mora............................ 23 56 31 62 / 0 0 0 0
Espanola........................ 18 56 24 64 / 0 0 0 0
Santa Fe........................ 25 51 30 58 / 0 0 0 0
Santa Fe Airport................ 23 54 28 60 / 0 0 0 0
Albuquerque Foothills........... 30 55 34 63 / 0 0 0 0
Albuquerque Heights............. 29 57 35 65 / 0 0 0 0
Albuquerque Valley.............. 23 59 29 67 / 0 0 0 0
Albuquerque West Mesa........... 26 57 32 65 / 0 0 0 0
Belen........................... 20 63 27 68 / 0 0 0 0
Bernalillo...................... 25 57 31 66 / 0 0 0 0
Bosque Farms.................... 20 60 26 68 / 0 0 0 0
Corrales........................ 25 58 31 66 / 0 0 0 0
Los Lunas....................... 21 61 26 68 / 0 0 0 0
Placitas........................ 27 55 33 61 / 0 0 0 0
Rio Rancho...................... 26 57 31 66 / 0 0 0 0
Socorro......................... 26 65 34 71 / 0 0 0 0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 26 53 34 59 / 0 0 0 0
Tijeras......................... 27 53 34 63 / 0 0 0 0
Edgewood........................ 22 54 31 62 / 0 0 0 0
Moriarty/Estancia............... 13 58 24 64 / 0 0 0 0
Clines Corners.................. 22 54 30 60 / 0 0 0 0
Mountainair..................... 23 57 33 63 / 0 0 0 0
Gran Quivira.................... 23 55 30 63 / 0 0 0 0
Carrizozo....................... 27 59 35 66 / 0 0 0 0
Ruidoso......................... 26 56 36 65 / 0 0 0 0
Capulin......................... 23 57 31 64 / 0 0 0 0
Raton........................... 20 59 26 66 / 0 0 0 0
Springer........................ 17 61 26 69 / 0 0 0 0
Las Vegas....................... 24 59 31 67 / 0 0 0 0
Clayton......................... 31 67 38 74 / 0 0 0 0
Roy............................. 23 61 34 71 / 0 0 0 0
Conchas......................... 28 67 36 76 / 0 0 0 0
Santa Rosa...................... 28 65 41 71 / 0 0 0 0
Tucumcari....................... 29 68 38 77 / 0 0 0 0
Clovis.......................... 30 67 40 76 / 0 0 0 0
Portales........................ 28 68 38 77 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Sumner..................... 24 68 37 77 / 0 0 0 0
Roswell......................... 28 71 37 78 / 0 0 0 0
Picacho......................... 29 68 40 77 / 0 0 0 0
Elk............................. 28 66 39 78 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
SHORT TERM...52
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...11
Drought, Northwest Plateau
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Northwest Plateau forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 36.045, -108.291 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought was introduced to the southern and eastern third of the zone.
Drought, Far Northwest Highlands
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Far Northwest Highlands forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 36.236, -107.293 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought expanded across the western two-thirds of the zone.
Drought, Northwest Highlands
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Northwest Highlands forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 36.072, -107.535 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought was introduced to the western two-thirds of the zone.
Drought, West Central Plateau
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- West Central Plateau forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 34.803, -108.222 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought was introduced to nearly all of the zone.
Drought, West Central Mountains
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- West Central Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 34.821, -107.693 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought was introduced to nearly all of the zone.
Drought, West Central Highlands
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- West Central Highlands forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 34.993, -107.256 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought was introduced to the western portion of the zone.
Drought, Southwest Mountains
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Southwest Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 33.961, -107.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought expanded to nearly all of the zone, while extreme drought was introduced to the southern portion of the zone.
Drought, San Francisco River Valley
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- San Francisco River Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 33.915, -108.405 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe and extreme drought was expanded to the rest of the zone.
Drought, Tusas Mountains Including Chama
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Tusas Mountains Including Chama forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 36.544, -106.162 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought persisted over the northwest portion of the zone.
Drought, South Central Mountains
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- South Central Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 33.745, -105.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions expanded across the southern and central portions of the zone.
Drought, Chaves County Plains
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Chaves County Plains forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions persisted across the far southern border of the zone around Lake Arthur.
Drought, Eastern Lincoln County
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Eastern Lincoln County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 33.745, -105.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions persisted across the southern portion of the zone.
Drought, Southwest Chaves County
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Southwest Chaves County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions persisted across a majority of the zone.
Drought, San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 33.961, -107.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions were introduced to the western half of the zone.
Drought, Southwest Mountains
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Southwest Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 33.961, -107.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Extreme drought was introduced to the southern portion of the zone.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Debris Flow and Flooding in California, February 1 to 5, 2025$68,000 · 31 events
- Drought in Texas, February 1 to 28, 202526 events
- Drought in Nebraska, February 1 to 28, 202521 events
- Winter Storm in Montana, February 1 to 5, 202520 events
- Drought in South Dakota, February 1 to 28, 202519 events
- Winter Weather in Washington, February 1 to 6, 202519 events
- Drought in Tennessee, February 1 to 28, 202517 events
- Drought in New Mexico, February 1 to 28, 202516 events
- Flooding in California, February 1 to 3, 202516 events
- Drought in North Dakota, February 1 to 28, 202515 events
- Winter Storm and High Wind in Wyoming, February 1 to 3, 202575 kt wind · 14 events
- Drought in South Dakota, February 1 to 28, 202512 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1231050, 1231051, 1231052, 1231053, 1231054, 1231055, 1231056, 1231057, 1231058, 1231059, 1231060, 1231061, 1231062, 1234032, 1245582.