Montana, 2025

Drought in Montana, February 1 to 28, 2025

February 1 to 28, 2025 · NWS GGW · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

D2 to D3 Drought conditions continued through February, mainly in the southeast portion of northeast Montana.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GGW wrote it up.

D2 to D3 Drought conditions continued through February, mainly in the southeast portion of northeast Montana.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 2:31 PM MST, 9 hours 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 2:31 PM MST, 9 hours 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
231 PM MST Fri Jan 31 2025

.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGES:

- One more day of above normal temperatures, then Winter makes a
  return with below normal temps and occasional snow.

- A strong Arctic cold front will move in Saturday night dropping
  temperatures to well below normal for most of next week.

- Expect a period of snow, some of it significant south of Fort
  Peck Lake, beginning late Sunday.

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:

Large upper trough over the Gulf of Alaska is moving into western
Canada this afternoon with lots of moisture streaming northeast
ahead of it. A surface low will form over southern Alberta
Saturday morning then move east during the day. This will allow
warmer air to push east across northeast Montana on strong west
winds.

An arctic airmass will then spill in Saturday night and will not
leave the area through the forecast period, if not through about
the middle of February. Long term models are showing an
atmospheric block occurring with a very strong upper ridge over
Alaska and a ridge over the deep south, holding the upper trough
nearby and keeping Montana in the grips of the cold for awhile.

Otherwise, freezing rain chances look minimal at this point, with
maybe a few drops late tonight near Sheridan county.

Mainly dry conditions then are expected until the SW to NE moisture
stream sets up over an arctic boundary beginning late Sunday. Over
6 inches of snow is possible south of Fort Peck Lake and in the
Little Rockies through Wednesday. Highlights may be tricky as this
will be falling over such an extended period of time.

Stay tuned to our webpage as updates will be occurring with this
event. TFJ

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:

- Winds tonight through Saturday were blended with NBM90.

- Freezing Rain possibilities have lowered for tonight and
  Saturday night.

- QPF and thus snow amounts were raised slightly with this package
  for the period Sunday night through Wednesday. But alterations
  will likely be made as we draw closer to this event.

&&

.AVIATION...
Updated: 2130z.

Flight Category: MVFR (except KGDV) becoming VFR by 06z.

Low clouds will lift NE this evening but not exit the area.
Airports such as Plentywood will continue to experience IFR/MVFR
ceilings/conditions through Saturday morning.

Winds: ESE winds will diminish tonight then turn West and increase
while turning slightly to the NW Saturday night.

Outlook: Prolonged active weather is expected to move in late
Sunday that could linger into Wednesday. TFJ

&&

.GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

weather.gov/glasgow

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Richland

When
February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Richland forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
47.788, -104.561 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

D2 and D3 drought conditions remained in the southeast portions of the county, but improved to D0 over the western one third by the end of the month.

Drought, Dawson

When
February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Dawson forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
47.266, -104.899 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

D2 drought conditions across much of the county to begin the month, improved to D1 by the end of the month.

Drought, Prairie

When
February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Prairie forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
46.861, -105.378 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

D2 drought conditions across the central portions of the county to begin the month, improved to D1. D2 remained in southeast.

Drought, Wibaux

When
February 1, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Wibaux forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
46.965, -104.249 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

D2 drought continued across much of the county through the month, except a small area |of D3 drought over the extreme northern one quarter of the county.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, February 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1230813, 1230814, 1230815, 1230816.