California, 2025

Drought in California, February 1 to 28, 2025

February 1 to 28, 2025 · NWS HNX · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

The strong winter storm on February 13 and 14 brought enough precipitation to the area to offset the drought conditions which had developed in much of Kern County due to a long term precipitation deficit. The drought ended over the Tehachapi Mountains, but moderate drought conditions persisted in the desert areas.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS HNX wrote it up.

The strong winter storm on February 13 and 14 brought enough precipitation to the area to offset the drought conditions which had developed in much of Kern County due to a long term precipitation deficit. The drought ended over the Tehachapi Mountains, but moderate drought conditions persisted in the desert areas.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hanford, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 9:57 PM PST, 2 hours 3 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • 1. A pattern shift will start this weekend, bringing strong chances for rainfall to the northern areas of our CWA. THere is a 40 to 80 percent chance for 0.5 inches of rainfall in the northern San Joaquin Valley, with a 65 to 85 percent chance for 1 inch in the Sierra Nevada and Foothills. 2. A Winter Storm Warning has been issued for the Sierra Nevada from Yosemite National Park to Kings National Park as six to twelve inches of snowfall is expected above 8,000 feet; totals up to three feet are possible at the highest elevations. 3. Strong wind gusts are expected along the crests of the Sierra Nevada associated with the upcoming storm system. There is a 50 to 70 percent chance for wind gusts greater than 50 miles per hour. A Wind Advisory has been issued. 4. A stronger storm is favored for next week with the storm total having a 55 to 85 percent chance for at least half an inch in the Valley and a similar chance of an inch or more in the foothills.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 9:57 PM PST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
957 PM PST Fri Jan 31 2025

.UPDATE...
Aviation Section and minor updates to Key Messages and
Discussion.

&&

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. A pattern shift will start this weekend, bringing strong
chances for rainfall to the northern areas of our CWA. THere is
a 40 to 80 percent chance for 0.5 inches of rainfall in the
northern San Joaquin Valley, with a 65 to 85 percent chance for
1 inch in the Sierra Nevada and Foothills.

2. A Winter Storm Warning has been issued for the Sierra Nevada
from Yosemite National Park to Kings National Park as six to
twelve inches of snowfall is expected above 8,000 feet; totals
up to three feet are possible at the highest elevations.

3. Strong wind gusts are expected along the crests of the Sierra
Nevada associated with the upcoming storm system. There is a 50
to 70 percent chance for wind gusts greater than 50 miles per
hour. A Wind Advisory has been issued.

4. A stronger storm is favored for next week with the storm
total having a 55 to 85 percent chance for at least half an
inch in the Valley and a similar chance of an inch or more in
the foothills.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A significant pattern change is underway for California as a
trough off the coast of the Northwest CONUS is pulling tropical
moisture into mainly Northern California, but portions of
Central California as well. This will result is moderate
precipitation for the northern parts of the Sierra Nevada and
adjacent foothills, with the strongest precipitation expected
tomorrow.

Since the moisture is originating from the tropics, the storm
system is overall a warm one, with snow levels expected to be
around 8,000 feet for the duration of the system. Moderate to
heavy snowfall is still expected above that elevation, with 6 to
12 inches of snow forecast above 8,000 feet. The highest
elevations can expect up to 3 feet of snow, due to the large
amount of moisture this system is expected to bring in. A Winter
Storm Warning is in place for the Yosemite National Park, as
well as the Kings Canyon National Park, until 4 AM Sunday.

With the Winter Storm Warning is strong winds, where gusts of 50
mph are expected with the snow to the north, but also in the
Southern Sierra Nevada, where a Wind Advisory has been issued.
These strong winds are expected to last from 4 AM tomorrow
through 10 PM Sunday.

Moderate rainfall is expected for the lower elevations as well,
with the bulk of rain forecast to fall in the Sierra Nevada and
the adjacent foothills, mainly in Mariposa and Madera Counties.
There is also a Marginal Risk (<5%) of excessive rainfall for
those areas tomorrow, and a Slight Risk (<15%) of excessive
rainfall in the northern portion of Mariposa County. For this
reason, a Flood Watch has been issued for the Foothills regions
of Mariposa and Madera Counties, also including Yosemite Valley,
as these areas may see 3-4 inches of rainfall in a 72 hour
period. This would also present a risk for the French burn scar
next to the city of Mariposa, as heavy rainfall over a short
time period may result in flash flooding.

Looking to next week, the trough in the Northwest is expected to
dig further south by Tuesday and Wednesday, resulting in the
moisture shifting from mostly Northern California and a portion
of Central California, to directing the moisture fully into
Central California and into Southern California. With the
tropical moisture directed at our region, rainfall is expected
to be more intense and widespread, with the Marginal Risk for
excessive rainfall extended to include the San Joaquin Valley
and Sierra Foothills to the north of Delano on Tuesday. Current
probabilities for rainfall have a 55 to 85 percent chance for
at least half an inch in the Valley and a similar chance of an
inch or more in the foothills over the duration of the system,
from Tuesday through at least Thursday. With heavier rainfall
comes heavier snowfall, with the Sierra Nevada above 7,000 feet
seeing a 50 to 60 percent chance for 2 feet of snow.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z Update:

Slight chance (10%-20%) of MVFR in low clouds and rain in the
San Joaquin Valley. Widespread MVFR to IFR in the Sierra Nevada
due to low clouds and precipitation.

In the Tehachapi Mountains and the Mojave Desert in Kern
County, VFR conditions will prevail thru 06Z Sat.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ISSUED:  01/31/2025 15:09
EXPIRES: 02/01/2025 23:59
On Saturday February 1 2025, Fireplace/Wood Stove Burning Status
is: No Burning Unless Registered in Fresno, Kern, Kings, Madera,
Merced, and Tulare Counties. Burning Discouraged in Kern (Greater
Frazier Park Area) and Sequoia National Park and Forest.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is medium.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
and/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through late Saturday night for CAZ317-318-324.
Winter Storm Warning until 4 AM PST Sunday for CAZ323-326-328.
Wind Advisory from 4 AM Saturday to 10 PM PST Sunday for
CAZ330-331.
&&

Public..............SM/JPK
Aviation/Updates....JPK
IDSS/PIO............BSO

weather.gov/hanford

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Indian Wells Valley

When
February 1, 12:00 AM PST to February 28, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Indian Wells Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.343, -118.730 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Indian Wells Valley was classified as being in an moderate drought due to a long term precipitation deficit.

Drought, Mojave Desert Slope(S)

When
February 1, 12:00 AM PST to February 28, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Mojave Desert Slope(S) forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.343, -118.730 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Mojave Desert Slopes were classified as being in an moderate drought due to a long term precipitation deficit.

Drought, Mojave Desert

When
February 1, 12:00 AM PST to February 28, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Mojave Desert forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.343, -118.730 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Mojave Desert was classified as being in an moderate drought due to a long term precipitation deficit.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in California, February 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1229945, 1229946, 1229947.