Arizona, 2025

High Wind in Arizona, January 9, 2025

January 9, 2025 · NWS FGZ · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A strong but dry shortwave trough and associated cold front plunged from north to south across Arizona bringing breezy to windy conditions to most areas. An observation station at the top of a ski lift recorded a wind gust to 84 MPH.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.

A strong but dry shortwave trough and associated cold front plunged from north to south across Arizona bringing breezy to windy conditions to most areas. An observation station at the top of a ski lift recorded a wind gust to 84 MPH.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 8, 10:13 PM MST, 2 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 8, 10:13 PM MST, 2 hours 47 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1013 PM MST Wed Jan 8 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Drier and cold weather continues through Thursday,
with gusty northeast winds. Winds decrease with a slight warming
trend in store Friday and Saturday. Then, another cool down
Sunday into early next week.

&&

.UPDATE...After a windy couple of days, breezes are dropping off
this evening which will allow for colder temperatures than last
night. The decrease in winds will be short-lived however, as the
next low is dropping quickly southward along the UT/CO state line
and will be centered near the four corners by sunrise Thursday.
Strong north/northeast winds on the west side of this low will
impact our region through the day, along with even colder air than
what we experienced today. Daytime wind chills won't get much
above 15-20F Thursday over the high country, be prepared for that
if you have to be outside.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /444 PM MST/...Any showers from this morning have
cleared out this afternoon with few to scattered clouds remaining.
Northeast winds continue to be elevated with gusts as high as 35
mph in the High Country. Expect much drier conditions tonight with
lighter northeast winds, 5-15 mph. Given these conditions, plan
on colder overnight temperatures with much of the region, from
Page to Payson and Seligman to Window Rock, below freezing.

The upper-level low pressure system towards our south will
continue to get pushed southward into Mexico overnight as a
secondary wave of low pressure drops down from the north. This
feature will usher in even colder air and produce another round of
north-northeast winds, even stronger than last night, with
widespread gusts of 30-40 mph. The winds will begin to pick up
just before sunrise Thursday morning, getting stronger throughout
the day as the pressure gradient tightens between the amplified
high pressure ridge off the West Coast and the center of this
secondary wave of low pressure straddling the AZ/NM border. The
north to northeast winds will be the strongest across southern
California and through the Colorado River Valley during this time
with gusts as high as 50-80 mph. The folks up at the Arizona
Snowbowl ski resort could see gusts of 50-80 mph all day on
Thursday, finally easing by Friday afternoon. As for
precipitation, conditions will remain mostly dry with isolated
chances for snow showers Thursday afternoon and evening, mainly
along the AZ/NM border and the Mogollon Rim given the expected
upslope enhancement.

Besides for the winds, temperatures are expected to be quite cold
with single digit wind chills in many locations across northern
Arizona. Thursday's high temperatures are forecast to be low to
mid 30s for the High Country and 40s/50s for the lower
valleys...5-10 degrees below average for this time of year. Even
though the temperatures won't be extreme, it could come as a shock
to some thanks to the warmer, above average weather we have been
experiencing lately.

The north-northeast winds become lighter on Friday with an
increase in temperatures as shortwave ridging takes place.
Slightly warmer temperatures with increased northwest winds are
forecast on Saturday ahead of another area of low pressure
dropping southward from the north on Sunday. Temperatures become
much colder once again with a return to north-northeast winds,
10-20 mph, through Monday. This seems to be the pattern we are
stuck in with an amplified ridge towards our west, allowing
inside-slider type systems to ride along the eastern fringes of
this ridge, resulting in dry, cold conditions with periods of
blustery winds for northern Arizona. Confidence continues to
increase with this pattern persisting for much of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...Thursday 09/06Z through Friday 10/06Z... Mainly VFR
conditions expected. Mainly light winds around 5-10 kts overnight
with locally gusty winds around 20 kts downwind of the higher
terrain. N winds 10-20 kts with gusts 25-35 kts after 15Z.
Isolated -SHSN possible along and east of K0V7-KSOW line.

OUTLOOK...Friday 10/06Z through Sunday 12/06Z...VFR conditions
expected. NW-NE 5-15 kts on Friday, then becoming W-NW 5-15 kts
on Saturday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Tonight through Friday...Mainly dry conditions.
Winds gradually subsiding overnight except remaining locally gusty
to 20 mph downwind of terrain. Winds strengthening on Thursday
becoming north at 15-25 mph area wide. Friday will see lighter
winds, northwest through northeast at 5-15 mph.

Friday through Sunday...Dry conditions and near-normal temperatures.
Northwest through northeast winds 5-15 mph each day. Locally gusty
winds downwind of the terrain overnight.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

PUBLIC...JJ/LaGuardia
AVIATION...Meola
FIRE WEATHER...McCollum

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 8, 7:01 PM MST, 5 hours 59 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
701 PM MST Wed Jan 8 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 AM     Snow             1 SSW Desert View       36.04N 111.83W
01/08/2025  M2.8 Inch        Coconino           AZ   CO-OP Observer

            CO-OP Observer station GCEA3 Grand Canyon
            Village 25 E.

&&

JJ

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Western Mogollon Rim

When
January 9, 1:00 AM MST to 5:00 PM MST
Where
Western Mogollon Rim forecast zone
Measured
73 kt (84 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
35.839, -111.770 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The highest wind gust at the top of Snowbowl was 84 MPH at 600 AM.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, January 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1228107.