Texas, 2024

High Wind in Texas, November 3, 2024

November 3, 2024 · NWS MAF · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

A slow-moving trough in the western United States on November 3 and 4 caused periodic high winds in the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.

A slow-moving trough in the western United States on November 3 and 4 caused periodic high winds in the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 3, 5:24 AM CST, 5 hours 14 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Updated at 520 AM CST Sun Nov 3 2024
  • A low to medium (20 - 50 percent) probability of severe thunderstorms with large hail, damaging winds, frequent lightning, very heavy rain, and an isolated tornado Sunday morning and again late Sunday evening over the eastern Permian Basin of west Texas.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 3, 5:24 AM CST, 5 hours 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
524 AM CST Sun Nov 3 2024

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 520 AM CST Sun Nov 3 2024

 - A low to medium (20 - 50 percent) probability of severe
   thunderstorms with large hail, damaging winds, frequent
   lightning, very heavy rain, and an isolated tornado Sunday
   morning and again late Sunday evening over the eastern Permian
   Basin of west Texas.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday afternoon)
Issued at 223 AM CST Sun Nov 3 2024

A lull in our active weather continues through the early morning as
the bulk of shower and thunderstorm activity has moved to the east
of our area. Temperatures remain mild across our eastern portions of
the area as a relatively more moist airmass hangs on, while cooler
temperatures are expected in the drier air to the west. Low 60s are
maintained across the eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos
with 50s to the west this morning. By late morning, a
dryline/surface trough is expected to sharpen up across the eastern
Permian Basin. This is as a result of another leading impulse in the
broader trough ejecting into the plains. Thunderstorms are expected
along this boundary during the late morning as this impulse moves
through. This should quickly congeal into a line of thunderstorms
that rapidly exits our area to the east. A limited threat of large
hail and damaging wind may briefly exist with this activity.
Otherwise, the remainder of today should be warm and dry with
temperatures climbing well into the 70s with even some 80s returning
to the area. Widespread sunshine will also make a return to the bulk
of our region this afternoon.

Tonight should be last of the unsettled weather from this weather
system. As the base of the main trough approaches our region,
moisture quickly returns back into eastern portions of the area. At
the same time, the developing surface low advances a Pacific Front
to the east. A line of thunderstorms is expected to quickly develop
once these two features meet. At this time, the most likely
intersection point should be somewhere between Midland and Big
Spring. Once this line of thunderstorms forms, large hail and
damaging winds may be possible with the strongest thunderstorms. In
addition to the thunderstorms across the east, a few light showers
are possible under the advancing trough as it moves overhead. By
Monday morning our area should begin to dry out as the trough
progresses towards the east. This brings cooler temperatures in the
upper 40s and low 50s to much of the area to start the day. With the
base of the trough moving through, elevated west winds are expected
across much of the area. On top of the breezy conditions, cooler
temperatures mainly in the 60s filter into our area as we continue
to dry out. This marks the end of the unsettled weather for now.

-Chehak

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 223 AM CST Sun Nov 3 2024

A cold front should be sagging south through the southern Great
Plains to start the extended forecast period. This ushers in much
cooler temperatures into our neck of the woods. A chilly start on
Tuesday can be expected with many locations falling into the 30s to
low 40s. Temperatures do recover nicely by afternoon with widespread
60s and low 70s for much of the area under sunny skies. Temperatures
remain cooler Wednesday morning, though southerly winds limit the
chill of the previous morning. Temperatures in the 40s are likely to
start the day on Wednesday. Warmer temperatures return by Wednesday
afternoon as many climb back through the 70s with even some low 80s.

Our next weather maker is set to arrive by late week. Unlike the
current system, a leading shortwave impulse pushes a cold front
through the region ahead of the main trough. What this results in is
cooler and cloudier weather within the post frontal airmass.
Afternoon temperatures will remain largely in the 60s to low 70s as
a result each afternoon. On the bright side, the approaching trough
digging into the Four Corners should provide plenty of ascent over
the cold front in support of shower and thunderstorm development for
areas along and north of the Trans Pecos. With this being largely
post frontal precipitation, more garden variety showers and
thunderstorms can be expected. This is welcomed after our recent
round of severe weather. By next weekend, temperatures begin to warm
as our region dries out with the departure of this second trough.

-Chehak

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 520 AM CST Sun Nov 3 2024

Light winds and moist conditions are resulting in IFR ceilings
and reduced visibility from fog at INK and HOB. MVFR ceilings
have also developed at MAF. These conditions are expected to only
last a few more hours as southwest winds strengthen this morning
and everyone returns to VFR. Southwesterly winds with some gusts
are likely for CNM, HOB, and INK this afternoon. Winds weaken for
all after sunset this evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               81  54  70  43 /  40  40   0   0
Carlsbad                 74  50  63  38 /   0  20  10   0
Dryden                   86  57  79  49 /  10   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            84  52  70  42 /   0  10   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           65  44  54  37 /   0  20  10   0
Hobbs                    73  49  62  36 /   0  20  10   0
Marfa                    74  46  62  34 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     78  53  68  41 /  20  20   0   0
Odessa                   79  54  67  42 /  20  20   0   0
Wink                     81  52  68  40 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...91
LONG TERM....91
AVIATION...91

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet

When
November 3, 10:38 AM CST to 12:38 PM CST
Where
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
RAWS
Coordinates
31.447, -104.517 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

High Wind, Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains

When
November 3, 10:39 AM CST to 10:40 AM CST
Where
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
31.447, -104.517 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1218829, 1218828.