A strong upper level trough generated multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms across North Texas on November 3 and 4. Most of the severe weather occurred on the 4th when the upper trough swept across the Plains and a cold front pushed through North and Central Texas.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
A strong upper level trough generated multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms across North Texas on November 3 and 4. Most of the severe weather occurred on the 4th when the upper trough swept across the Plains and a cold front pushed through North and Central Texas. Damaging wind gusts was the primary severe weather occurrence, though large hail and flash flooding also occurred in a few instances.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 3, 10:24 AM CST, 2 hours 34 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1024 AM CST Sun Nov 3 2024 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .KEY MESSAGES... - A Flood Watch is in effect for portions of North Texas through 6 AM Monday morning. - Another round of thunderstorms is expected this afternoon and evening, particularly west of I-35. Heavy rain will be the main threat, but isolated severe storms with hail and damaging wind cannot be ruled out. - A more widespread round of thunderstorms is expected to affect most of the area on Monday which will bring a threat for flooding and severe weather, including damaging wind gusts, tornadoes, and hail. && .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /This Afternoon and Tonight/ The morning complex of storms that brought heavy rain to the northwest portions of the forecast area will continue to lift northeast into Oklahoma late this morning. Warm air advection showers will be ongoing through the day with additional thunderstorms expected to move in from the southwest and west through the afternoon. Storm motion will be to the northeast compliments of strong southwest steering flow. However, any eastward moving outflow boundaries will likely become a source of meso-scale lift for additional storms just about anywhere across the CWA. The most instability this afternoon into the evening will be across about the northwest half of the CWA which is where the highest potential for severe storms will be. Heavy rain and damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazards but a few storms could also produce hail. We will maintain the current Flood Watch across the northwest since this is where the heaviest rain has fallen over the past 24 hours and where additional storms are expected. The Flood Watch may need to be expanded to the south and southwest but we will see how storms line up this afternoon before making any changes. A brief lull in thunderstorm activity is expected late in the evening into the early overnight hours but strong low level warm air advection will likely produce spotty showers through the night. We still anticipate more widespread thunderstorm activity on Monday and an uptick in severe weather which is detailed well in the Long Term Discussion below. High Temperatures this afternoon will be tricky to forecast due to extensive cloud cover which will offset low level warm air advection. We still expect some breaks in the clouds, especially across parts of Central Texas, allowing temperatures to climb as high as the middle 80s. The rest of the region will stay in the 70s to around 80. Not much cooling is expected tonight with lows in the middle 60s to the lower 70s. 79 && .LONG TERM... /Issued 240 AM CST Sun Nov 3 2024/ /Monday and Beyond/ By Monday morning, a strong upper-level trough and 110 kt jet streak will eject over West Texas leading to surface cyclogenesis over far northwest Texas. Scattered thunderstorms will start developing over portions of western North and Central Texas in the vicinity of this surface low and south along its eastward- advancing dryline near sunrise Monday morning. As this system continues its trek northeastward into eastern Oklahoma, expect this broken line of thunderstorms to shift east-west over our forecast area during the day Monday. Strong low-level southerly flow and a 50-60 kt LLJ will aid in the transport of warm, moist air over much of North and Central Texas sustaining this line of storms as it pushes eastward. Daytime heating will lead to destabilization and an area of 1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE will likely materialize generally along/east of the I-35 corridor by the early afternoon hours on Monday. Meridional mean flow will favor a more linear storm mode and damaging wind threat, but strong deep-layer shear and impressive low-level wind fields may support embedded circulations and/or supercellular structures within the line. With the latest suite of high-resolution guidance, there is increasing concern that a few discrete/semi-discrete cells may develop just ahead of the line Monday afternoon which would contain an increased threat for tornadoes and hail. The area that contains the best overlap of wind shear and instability looks to transpire generally east and northeast of the DFW Metroplex in the 12PM-7PM time frame Monday afternoon and evening. Remember, all modes of severe weather will be possible, so have multiple ways to receive weather warnings and check back frequently for forecast updates! Thunderstorms will largely exit eastern North Texas by late Monday evening but may linger across portions of Central Texas into the late hours of Monday night-early Tuesday morning until this storm system's actual cold front pushes through the region. Most likely additional rainfall totals with this round of storms through Tuesday morning will average 0.5"-1.5". There's a 10-20% chance that locations east of I-35 pick up an additional 2.5+" of rainfall that could lead to localized flooding concerns. A cooler, drier airmass will usher in behind the cold front just in time for Election Day with highs expected to peak in the 60s across most of the forecast area. Near-normal temperatures will persist through the midweek period. Another storm system will approach the Plains toward the second half of the work week increasing area-wide daily rain chances by late Wednesday through the end of the week. We are in a busier weather pattern folks, so make sure you are remaining Weather Aware! Langfeld && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /18Z TAFs/ Multiple aviation weather concerns are expected across the region through Monday afternoon with periodic thunderstorm chances and low ceilings/visibility. Warm air advection showers will continue to move northward through the morning, with brief light rain and visibility restrictions at all TAF sites. Thunderstorms will become more likely through the afternoon with increasing instability. The best storm chances will be west of the TAF sites but we will include a TEMPO group for thunder at the Metroplex TAF sites from 17Z to 21Z to account for the storms currently moving in from the southwest which may graze the terminals. Waco could also see a brief storm this afternoon but instability will not be as favorable so will not include the mention at this time. Storm chances will decrease by mid evening but will return between 16Z and 18Z Monday along an approaching dryline. These storms will linger in the region through the afternoon and push to the east Monday evening with the arrival of a cold front Overall, ceilings will improve above 3000 ft this afternoon except in and around storms. MVFR ceilings will return late this evening and prevail through the morning hours Monday. A breezy southeast to south wind will continue through Monday at speeds between 12 and 18 knots along with some gusts around 28 knots. 79 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 79 70 76 57 67 / 70 80 90 50 10 Waco 86 71 81 56 69 / 40 40 90 70 20 Paris 78 68 79 57 67 / 70 80 100 80 30 Denton 80 66 75 52 68 / 80 80 90 30 10 McKinney 81 68 77 55 68 / 70 80 90 60 10 Dallas 82 69 79 57 69 / 70 80 90 50 10 Terrell 81 70 80 57 68 / 60 70 100 80 20 Corsicana 83 73 83 60 70 / 50 50 100 90 30 Temple 87 70 83 56 72 / 20 20 80 70 20 Mineral Wells 79 65 76 50 68 / 80 70 90 20 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch from noon CST today through late tonight for TXZ091>093-100>102. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1216 PM CST Sun Nov 3 2024 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-041345- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 1216 PM CST Sun Nov 3 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight. Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and tonight with the best chances across western North Texas. Some storms may be severe with damaging winds and hail. Heavy rainfall will cause a threat for flash flooding. A Flood Watch is in effect through Monday morning for areas along the Red River. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. A line of thunderstorms will move over much of North and Central Texas during the day Monday. Severe weather, including damaging winds, tornadoes, and hail will be possible. The best potential for severe weather looks to materialize east and northeast of the DFW Metroplex during the afternoon and evening hours of Monday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Limited spotter activation is possible this afternoon, especially west of I-35.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
936 AM CST Sun Nov 3 2024
TXZ141>143-031600-
Comanche TX-Mills TX-Hamilton TX-
936 AM CST Sun Nov 3 2024
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Hamilton, Mills and
southeastern Comanche Counties through 1000 AM CST...
At 935 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms 11 miles northeast of Mullin, or 14 miles south of
Comanche, moving northeast at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Gustine around 945 AM CST.
Other locations impacted by this storm include Shive, Lamkin,
Proctor, Bozar, Hasse, Priddy, Whiteway, Aleman, Indian Gap, and
Newburg.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3170 9871 3170 9867 3172 9868 3207 9842
3194 9833 3196 9829 3164 9783 3147 9818
3123 9856 3128 9863 3129 9860 3132 9859
3132 9864 3137 9865 3135 9871 3139 9869
3143 9873 3139 9877 3141 9878 3144 9890
TIME...MOT...LOC 1535Z 221DEG 41KT 3169 9856
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
12Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1106 AM CST Sun Nov 3 2024
TXZ117-118-131>133-031730-
Hood TX-Parker TX-Tarrant TX-Johnson TX-Somervell TX-
1106 AM CST Sun Nov 3 2024
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Somervell,
northwestern Johnson, southeastern Parker, southwestern Tarrant and
Hood Counties through 1130 AM CST...
At 1105 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Granbury, moving northeast at 65 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Granbury around 1110 AM CST.
Fort Worth around 1120 AM CST.
Benbrook around 1125 AM CST.
Other locations impacted by this storm include Stockton Bend, Annetta
South, Mambrino, Tolar, Benbrook Lake, Lake Granbury, Acton, Waples,
Rainbow, and Paluxy.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 35W between mile markers 36 and 48.
Interstate 20 between mile markers 408 and 444.
Interstate 30 between mile markers 1 and 11.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3284 9771 3267 9717 3220 9763 3220 9764
3213 9778 3215 9790 3238 9801
TIME...MOT...LOC 1705Z 215DEG 55KT 3240 9773
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
PraterSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1133 AM CST Sun Nov 3 2024
TXZ119-031800-
Dallas TX-
1133 AM CST Sun Nov 3 2024
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Dallas
County through NOON CST...
At 1133 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Desoto, moving northeast at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Dallas and Lancaster around 1140 AM CST.
University Park and Highland Park around 1150 AM CST.
Other locations impacted by this storm include Mountain Creek Lake,
Joe Pool Lake, and White Rock Lake.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 35E between mile markers 412 and 435.
Interstate 20 between mile markers 456 and 476.
Interstate 30 between mile markers 36 and 59.
Interstate 45 between mile markers 273 and 284.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3255 9675 3255 9703 3286 9695 3284 9656
TIME...MOT...LOC 1733Z 208DEG 33KT 3262 9687
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
PraterThe Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 135 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 18:58 UTC.
6 thunderstorm wind, 5 hail, 3 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Emergency manager reported a power pole down on Highway 11, east of Highway 69 in Whitewright.
Storm chaser reported 1 inch hail 4 miles WNW of Muenster.
Trained spotter reported dime to penny size hail 3 miles ESE of Stephenville.
Public reported a tree trunk snapped in the front yard of a residence via a photo.
Trained spotter reported golf ball sized hail northeast of Princeton.
A member of the public reported quarter sized hail in Grandview.
A trained spotter reported that parts of Jefferson Blvd in Cockrell Hill were impassable due to high water, and police barricades were put in place.
A broadcast media partner reported estimated 50-60 mph wind gusts south of Leonard.
Broadcast media reported an unattached shed moved out of a yard.
Emergency manager reported a very large tree branch collapsed onto the roof of a mobile home just north-northwest of Bailey.
Broadcast media reported a metal roof removed from a farm building and large tree limbs blown down between Whitney and Blum.
A trained spotter reported quarter size hail in Dodd City.
A mPING report indicated streets flooded and multiple vehicles stranded 2 miles north of Love Field.
A mPING report indicated streets flooded and vehicles stranded in Covington.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1223851, 1223807, 1223809, 1223854, 1223811, 1223814, 1224375, 1223816, 1223858, 1223870, 1224326, 1223815, 1224376, 1224382.