A deep surface low moved across the Midwest and Great Lakes region of the United States through January 13. In the wake of a trailing cold front south of this low pressure system, winds gusted to over 65 MPH in Watauga county.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RNK wrote it up.
A deep surface low moved across the Midwest and Great Lakes region of the United States through January 13. In the wake of a trailing cold front south of this low pressure system, winds gusted to over 65 MPH in Watauga county.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 13, 3:10 PM EST, 20 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
310 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
An arctic cold front will cross the Mid Atlantic region late tonight
into Sunday morning leading to a resurgence of wind and mountain
snow showers. Low pressure that develops along the front in the
southeast United States will bring snow to the Tennessee Valley and
central Appalachians Monday and Monday night. Otherwise high
pressure with well below normal temperatures will cover much of the
area through Thursday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 155 PM EST Friday...
Key messages:
- Current Wind Advisory Expires at 4PM
- New Wind Advisory planned for late tonight
Pockets of upper level energy will rotate through the broad long
wave 500 MB trough tonight and Sunday. This will bring an arctic
cold front through the region at the surface on Sunday morning.
Winds back to the southwest ahead of the front and wind speeds
diminish tonight, with most gusts remaining below 25 mph. Have
delayed clearing on the western slopes of the central Appalachians
until 4PM and in southeast West Virginia until 7PM as the upslope
flow reduces.
Behind the front Sunday morning, the wind direction returns to the
west and wind speeds increase. Expecting a few gusts around 50 mph
from Grayson county into the northwest North Carolina mountains
around sunrise so a new Wind Advisory will be issued.
Models showed limited upslope snow on Sunday that will accumulate
but with the in-cloud temperatures plenty cold enough to support
snow formation, isolated to scattered flurries will be possible
wherever there is stratocumulus.
Due to cold air advection behind the front on Sunday and persistent
cloud cover in the mountains will be trending toward the colder
guidance for maximum temperatures. No major changes to low
temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
... As of 200 PM EST Saturday...
Key Messages:
1: Bitter cold
2: A little bit of snow falling over a few days
Sunday night will be quite cold as an occluded low remains to our
north, creating cold air advection in northwest flow. However, given
that it will be in late stage occlusion and moving further north,
winds will begin to calm from the gustier previous couple days. By
early Monday morning however, temperatures will be in the low 20s
east of the Blue Ridge, and in the teens west.
On Monday as a jet streak moves over the broad troughing and over
the Mid-Atlantic, some snow will form in response to the increased
upper forcing. The axis of the mid-level trough will follow closely
behind, maintaining some broad snow coverage in our area. Snow rates
won't be particularly heavy, so even as snow tapers off late on
Monday, early Tuesday, the highest amounts that will be seen in
Western Greenbrier of 2-4". That's occurring over a range of 24-36
hours. Further to the east into the NRV and NC foothills 1-2" is
more likely, and east of the Blue Ridge will see a dusting to a
couple tenths of snow.
What had previously been expected to be the driver for snow this
week, an area of low pressure undergoing cyclogenesis as it moves
north just off the east coast, is now tracking too far east and will
have minimal snow impact on our area. Once snow ends on Tuesday,
don't expect another round on Wednesday.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
... As of 215 PM EST Saturday...
Key Messages:
1. Coldest temps Wednesday
2. Next system late Thursday or Friday
On Wednesday, the broad trough holding an arctic air mass over most
of the country will be settled deepest into our area. Accordingly,
expect the coldest temperatures on Wednesday, 10-15 degrees below
normal. Highs west of the Blue Ridge will be unlikely to break out
of the 20s. Late Thursday and into Friday the next cyclone
approaches from the Gulf states and swings just to our south
through the Carolinas. If this track maintains itself over the
next week, this is generally a more favorable track for snow.
Confidence in impacts late next week are extremely low.
&&
.AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 205 PM EST Saturday...
Pockets of upper level energy will rotate through the broad
long wave 500 MB trough tonight and Sunday. This will bring an
arctic cold front through the region at the surface on Sunday
morning.
Winds back to the southwest ahead of the front and winds speeds
diminish tonight, with most gusts remaining below 25 mph. Have
delayed clearing on the western slopes of the central
Appalachians, with KBLF and KLWB not improving to VFR until
21Z/4PM as the upslope flow reduces.
Behind the front Sunday morning, the wind direction returns to the
west and wind speeds increase. Expecting gusts 25 to 35 knots at
the local TAFs locations. Have also added LLWS to the KBCB TAF.
Models showed limited upslope snow on Sunday that will accumulate
but with the in-cloud temperatures plenty cold enough to support
snow formation, isolated to scattered flurries will be possible
wherever there is stratocumulus.
Average confidence for wind, visibility, and ceiling.
OUTLOOK...
The next chance of snow will be in the mountains on Monday and
Monday night with widespread VFR mid and high clouds. Snow and
MVFR ceilings will be most likely at KBLF.
VFR conditions expected to return Tuesday through Wednesday but
airmass will be unseasonably cold.
The next opportunity for precipitation and sub-VFR ceilings and
visibilities will be on Thursday.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM EST Sunday for
VAZ007-009-015.
Wind Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for VAZ007-009>020-
022>024.
NC...Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM EST Sunday for
NCZ001-018.
Wind Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for NCZ002.
WV...Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM EST Sunday for
WVZ042-043-508.
Wind Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for WVZ042>044-507-
508.
&&
SYNOPSIS...AMS
NEAR TERM...AMS
SHORT TERM...VFJ
LONG TERM...VFJ
AVIATION...AMSHazardous Weather Outlook...CORRECTED National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 404 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024 NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ032>035-043>047-058-059-141000- Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Patrick-Franklin- Bedford-Amherst-Henry-Pittsylvania-Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham- Halifax-Charlotte- 404 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina, northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia, southwest Virginia and west central Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Some snow is possible by Tuesday. Very cold temperatures are expected Tuesday and Wednesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ001-018-141000- Ashe-Watauga- 404 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Accumulating snow is possible by late Monday into Tuesday. Bitter cold temperatures and wind chills are expected next Tuesday and Wednesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ002-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-WVZ042>044-507-508-141000- Alleghany NC-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery- Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt- Rockbridge-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier- Western Greenbrier- 404 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina, southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Snow is possible by Tuesday. Bitter cold temperatures and wind chills expected next Tuesday and Wednesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
136 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1244 PM Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 4 WNW Westover Hills 36.61N 79.51W
01/13/2024 Pittsylvania VA 911 Call Center
Large tree down in the 2600 block of
Moorefield Road in the Westover Hills
section of Danville.
&&
RABPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
139 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0130 PM Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 WNW Brosville 36.63N 79.62W
01/13/2024 Pittsylvania VA 911 Call Center
Tree down on power lines in 13000 block of
Martinsville Highway, U.S. 58, about halfway
between the western limits of the city of
Danville and the Henry County line.
&&
RABThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A wind gust of 67 MPH was measured by a personal weather station in Banner Elk, North Carolina.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, January 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1154751.