Showers and embedded thundertorms were moving across SW Nebraska the morning of November 13th, 2024. A severe thunderstorm wind gust of 58 mph occurred at the McCook Airport (KMCK) with this activity.
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The episode as NWS GLD wrote it up.
Showers and embedded thundertorms were moving across SW Nebraska the morning of November 13th, 2024. A severe thunderstorm wind gust of 58 mph occurred at the McCook Airport (KMCK) with this activity.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 13, 5:24 AM CST, 7 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 424 AM MST Wed Nov 13 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Northwesterly winds with speeds around 15 to 30 mph and gusts to 45 mph are expected through the day today. - Calmer/milder conditions are forecast starting tonight and lingering through much of the week. - Active pattern looks to return early next week, but details are very murky. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... Issued at 105 AM MST Wed Nov 13 2024 Current water vapor imagery shows the upper trough currently over the area, moving off to the east. With the surface low analyzed to be over the eastern portion of the area, the line of storms is now out of the area. However, wrap around moisture is allowing for rain showers to develop in Eastern Colorado and move into Northwest Kansas. This will likely continue through the remainder of the overnight hours, with the showers lowering in intensity and coverage as drier air continues to be pulled in by the low. For the daytime hours, the continued advancement of the surface and upper low to the east will allow for clear skies during the day as the moisture is pushed out of the area. Temperatures will be a bit cooler as higher pressure follows the front with highs forecast top be in the 40's and 50's. With the surface low nearby and high pressure trying to move into the area, winds will remain a bit breezy from the northwest with speeds between 15 and 30 mph and gusts to 45 mph. Later this evening, the pressure gradient is forecast to weaken as the low continues to push off to the east. With the weakening of the gradient and inversion setting up, winds should lighten to around 5 to 10 mph for the evening and overnight hours. With the lightening winds and clear skies, lows will be fairly cool as temperatures lower to near dewpoint in the 20's and 30's. The low lying area in Eastern Colorado could even see temperatures in the teens. Tomorrow is forecast to be similar to Sunday/Monday, with mostly sunny skies, light winds around 10 mph, and highs in the 60's as upper level ridging begins to move back into the area. Locales in Eastern Colorado with lingering snow pack are forecast to have highs in the 40's, similar to recent days. Tomorrow night is forecast to have the calm conditions continue with light winds, clear skies, and lows in the 20's and 30's. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Issued at 245 AM MST Wed Nov 13 2024 Fri-Sat: Southwest flow aloft will prevail over the region.. downstream of a pronounced upper level trough along the Pacific Coast. Benign weather will prevail in this period.. along with above average temperatures for the majority of the area -- except for western Kit Carson/Cheyenne counties in CO where lingering snow cover will likely keep temperatures near, or slightly below, average. Sun-Wed: Active weather will return in this period. Long range guidance suggests that a closed low (briefly cut-off, perhaps) will develop on the southern periphery of the aforementioned trough along the Pacific Coast this weekend.. and that said low will track east across the southern Rockies (Sun night) then lift NE-NNE across the Southern and Central Plains early next week. Sensible weather conditions across the Tri-State area will highly depend upon specific aspects of the development and evolution of the upper low over Baja, CA and the Desert Southwest this weekend.. and the associated surface cyclone that will develop in the lee of the Southern/Central Rockies early next week. While confidence in forecast specifics is low (the feature of interest /upper low/ won't even develop for another 48-72 hrs) -- the broader synoptic pattern strongly suggests that a warm airmass will be in place over the region early next week. If the upcoming system impacts the Tri-State area in the ~00Z Mon to 12Z Tue time frame (as presently indicated by virtually all guidance).. it would do-so in the presence of an 850 mb airmass characterized by temperatures around +7 to +14C.. warm enough that wintry precipitation would be unlikely in most cases/scenarios. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 421 AM MST Wed Nov 13 2024 For KGLD & KMCK... Some lingering showers/storms are possible over the first hour or two of the period. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected through the period as skies clear. The other main concern will be the strong winds today, with speeds around 25 kts and gusts to 35 kts from the west/northwest. These stronger winds should linger until the evening hours when the inversion sets up and the low pressure system moves farther away from the area. Winds are then forecast to lighten to around 10 kts or less and shift to out of the west. Low level wind shear is unlikely tonight as the current forecast favors a weakening of the low level height gradients, keeping winds around 15-20 kts. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...None. CO...None. NE...None. && SHORT TERM...KAK LONG TERM...Vincent AVIATION...KAK
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Goodland KS 1238 AM MST Wed Nov 13 2024 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-140745- Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas- Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- 1238 AM MST Wed Nov 13 2024 /138 AM CST Wed Nov 13 2024/ This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska... northwest Kansas and east central Colorado. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not needed at this time.
The Goodland radar (KGLD), 133 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 11:30 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A 58 mph wind gust was reported at the McCook Airport via the KMCK ASOS associated with showers and thunderstorms.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Nebraska in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, November 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1217893.