Alaska, 2024Blizzard and High Wind in Alaska, November 13 to 15, 2024
November 13 to 15, 2024 · NWS AFC · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
A strong low pressure system moving over the Bering Sea approached the Kuskokwim Delta Coast between November 13th and 14th. This caused strong offshore winds to develop as snowfall moved into the Kuskokwim Delta ahead of the low, leading to blizzard conditions developing along the coast on mainly 11/14.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A strong low pressure system moving over the Bering Sea approached the Kuskokwim Delta Coast between November 13th and 14th. This caused strong offshore winds to develop as snowfall moved into the Kuskokwim Delta ahead of the low, leading to blizzard conditions developing along the coast on mainly 11/14.
The low also produced a very brief period of strong southwesterly winds gusting as high as 86 mph across the eastern Aleutians as the center passed to the north early on the morning of 11/14. The strongest gusts recorded near Unalaska were likely due to a combination of terrain funneling of southwesterly winds combined with pressure rises as the low was starting to pull to the north of the eastern Aleutians.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 13, 4:19 AM AKST, 9 hours 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 13, 4:19 AM AKST, 9 hours 3 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
419 AM AKST Wed Nov 13 2024
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Wednesday through Friday evening)...
An upper-level trough situated over western Prince William Sound
this morning will continue to move east through the Copper River
Basin this afternoon. The shortwave is interacting with a
weakening surface low south of Cordova, which is allowing moisture
to be pulled northward toward Cordova and points north. Widespread
light snow over the Copper River Basin will continue into the
early afternoon hours before ending as the trough exits the
region. An additional 1 to 2 inches of snow is possible from
Glennallen south along the Richardson and Edgerton Highways. For
Thompson Pass, persistently strong gap winds through the pass
will allow for blowing snow to continue for the next several
hours.
Some brief ridging will follow, setting up for a quiet Wednesday
night across the region. Wednesday night will be quite cold with
temperatures dropping below zero for the Copper River Basin and
the Susitna Valley. Temperatures could fall to the single digits
in the Anchorage Bowl and the Kenai Peninsula. The tight pressure
gradient and cold air advection will allow for gusty winds to
remain in Resurrection Bay, Passage Canal, Valdez Narrows, and
Thompson Pass through Thursday morning.
By Thursday morning, a front attached to the strong low in the
eastern Bering will move into the Western Gulf and across Kodiak
Island with rain and gusty winds. The front will then move to the
northern Gulf by Friday morning. As the front tracks northeast,
precipitation will overspread the region from Cook Inlet and the
Mat-Su valleys west into Prince William Sound. With plenty of
cold air in place ahead of the front, precipitation will start as
snow. The uncertainty in the forecast will be the orientation of
the front as it moves into Prince William Sound and whether the
expected strong winds around Whittier and Portage pull in enough
warm at near the surface to change snow to rain late Thursday
night or early Friday morning. Right now, it looks like just
enough warm air might make into coastal locations from Homer to
Seward, Whittier, and Cordova for a changeover to rain followed by
some light snow accumulations. For the Cook Inlet region, places
from Ninilchik to Nikiski and into southern and western Susitna
Valley may see several inches of snow accumulation through Friday.
For Anchorage and the Mat Valley, a southeasterly wind aloft may
limit the amount of moisture spilling over the coastal mountains,
with only around an inch of snow possible. For Portage Valley and
Turnagain Pass, the combination of snow and wind, at least
initially, may produce a period of blowing snow. Several inches of
snow is also possible for Valdez and Thompson Pass with this
system.
A new surface low will develop along the front somewhere near
Seward Friday morning. As this low moves toward Prince William
Sound, the gusty southeasterly winds will quickly wind down and
shift back to the northwest. This may allow a band of snow to
redevelop over Cook Inlet and the Anchorage Bowl for late Friday
into Saturday with light snow accumulations as the storm begins to
move east and the upper-level trough lifts north of the region.
-TM
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3)...
The next low pressure system arrives today, entering the southern
Bering Sea over the Andreanof Islands this morning and crossing
just south of the Pribilof Islands tonight. High end gales and
storm force winds will make their way across the Central and
Eastern Aleutians and the marine areas surrounding the southern
Alaska Peninsula. Models have been inconsistent over the last few
days regarding the track of this low as it approaches Southwest
Alaska and have only recently started consolidating towards the
southerly track, pushing the low near the Western Capes/Kuskokwim
Bay by early Thursday afternoon. Some model discrepancies remain
by Thursday afternoon, especially for the Greater Bristol Bay
area, whose potential for snow and/or blowing snow concerns will
be heavily dependent on the low track. The Kuskokwim Delta coast
and Nunivak Island look particularly susceptible to blizzard
conditions at worst and blowing snow concerns at best, while
inland areas towards Bethel are less likely to see blizzard
conditions but still likely to see some blowing snow. The Western
Capes are in a sweet zone where they may stay warm enough to be
all rain or a rain/snow mix, which will help negate
blizzard/blowing snow concerns. Higher concerns, storm track
willing, will be areas impacted by Kamishak Gap winds, including
Dillingham north to Koliganek and east to Kokhanok, who may see
some blowing snow Thursday morning. Snow will spread inland into
the lower Kuskokwim Valley by Thursday afternoon. Snow
accumulations of 6 to 10 inches are possible between early
Thursday morning and early Friday afternoon.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Saturday through
Tuesday)...
By the start of the weekend, the triple-point low formed from the
Bering/North Pacific low will be centered over the northern Gulf
of Alaska. Heavy precipitation will persist along the Gulf
coastline, ranging from the eastern Kenai Peninsula to Prince
William Sound. Light snowfall will also occur over interior
Southcentral before dissipating over most locations by Sunday
afternoon. Portions of Southwest and the eastern Aleutians will
see periods of snow through Sunday night as a few weak shortwaves
pass over. In addition, a compact shortwave low will move over the
western and central Aleutians on Sunday, producing gale-force
winds and another round of precipitation for the chain. The low
will move eastward before situating itself over the southern Gulf
by Tuesday afternoon.
The big story for next week will be the potential for a
significant drop in temperatures over mainland Alaska. Behind the
triple-point low will be a digging trough that will bring frigid
air over the area. Current guidance is suggesting low temperatures
on Monday and Tuesday to drop below zero, with areas over the
Copper River Basin and Kuskokwim River valley potentially
dropping past -10. Continue to follow for updates as we get closer
to this event.
&&.AVIATION...
PANC...Some vicinity fog may linger through the morning hours on
Wednesday as it advects southward over the Knik Arm. Otherwise,
VFR conditions and light winds will persist.
&&
Blizzard, Anchorage
- When
- November 13, 1:22 PM AKST to November 15, 4:00 AM AKST
- Where
- Anchorage forecast zone
- Reported by
- AWOS
An AWOS site in Tununak recorded 1/4SM visibility in snow and blowing snow with northerly winds gusting between 40 and 55 mph between 9:45 AM AKST and 5:05 PM AKST 11/14/24. Area webcams along the Kuskokwim Delta Coast also showed very poor visibility in blowing snow during daylight hours on 11/14.
High Wind, Eastern Aleutians
- When
- November 14, 5:30 AM AKST to 7:30 AM AKST
- Where
- Eastern Aleutians forecast zone
- Measured
- 75 kt (86 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- C-MAN Station
The DPLA2 C-MAN station in Unalaska recorded a wind gust of 86 mph at 7:04 AM AKST 11/14/24. The Unalaska AWOS also recorded a gust to 83 mph at 7:16 AM AKST on the same morning.
- Blizzard
- Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph or more with falling or blowing snow that cuts visibility below a quarter mile for three hours or longer.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Strong Wind in Alabama, November 13, 2024$13,000 · 4 events
- Coastal Flood in Washington, November 13, 20243 events
- Dense Fog in California, November 13, 20242 events
- High Wind in Oregon, November 13, 202456 kt wind · 2 events
- High Wind in Wyoming, November 13, 202453 kt wind · 2 events
- Heavy Rain and Winter Weather in California, November 13 to 18, 2024$4,000 · 2 events
- High Wind in Nevada, November 13, 202467 kt wind · 2 events
- High Wind in Wyoming, November 13 to 14, 202465 kt wind · 2 events
- High Wind in California, November 13, 202465 kt wind · 2 events
- High Wind in Nevada, November 13, 202455 kt wind · 2 events
- Tropical Depression in Guam, November 13, 20241 event
- High Wind in Oregon, November 13, 202454 kt wind · 1 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1226452, 1226453.