Hail and Damaging Winds in Arkansas, January 11 to 12, 2024

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Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
305 PM CST Thu Jan 11 2024

ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-121100-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
305 PM CST Thu Jan 11 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible this evening into
the overnight hours as a strong storm system moves across the
state. Large hail and damaging winds will be possible with the
strongest storms. A tornado or two could be seen. The best chances
for seeing any strong to severe thunderstorms will be across the
southwest two-thirds of the area...with an enhanced threat for
severe weather across far southwest sections.

Breezy southerly winds will also be seen this afternoon and
tonight. Sustained winds of 15 to 25 mph are expected...with
gusts over 30 mph possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The threat for seeing severe weather will decrease on Friday
morning. However...much colder air will arrive Friday
morning...which will cause rain to switch to snow across northwest
and northern sections of the area. Snowfall accumulations of a
dusting to around an inch will be possible...with locally higher
amounts possible...especially in the higher terrain of the
Ozarks. Some light snow will also be possible across the higher
elevations of western Arkansas...but less moisture will be seen
here.

Breezy west and northwest winds will be seen on Friday as well.
Expect sustained winds of 20 to over 30 mph...with gusts of 35 to
over 40 mph possible. Some areas may see wind gusts approach 50
in the higher terrain. These winds combined with much colder air
will cause wind chill values to drop into the single digits and
teens on Friday...which should continue into early Saturday.

The brunt of bitterly cold Arctic air will surge in from the
northwest on Sunday with a prolonged period of sub- freezing
temperatures likely through mid-week. Add in breezy northwest
winds and conditions will be dangerous with the coldest conditions
expected on Tuesday. Wind chill values as low as 20 to 30 degrees
below zero are likely over northwestern Arkansas on Tuesday
morning with values between 0 and 10 below for the remainder of
the state.

Additionally, significant snowfall is expected during this time with
snow beginning on Sunday and finally tapering off by Tuesday
morning. Forecast adjustments are entirely possible if not likely,
but at this time it appears that locations along and north of the I-
30/I-40 corridor could see upwards of 5 to 7 inches of accumulation
with locally higher amounts. South of this, totals of 2 to 4 inches
appear likely, tapering off to between 1 and 2 inches near the
Arkansas/Louisiana state line.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

69/74/73/62

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