Arkansas, 2024Flood in Arkansas, December 18 to 23, 2024
December 18 to 23, 2024 · NWS LZK · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Heavy rain led to river flooding at the site of Black Rock from mid into late December.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Heavy rain led to river flooding at the site of Black Rock from mid into late December.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 18, 1:58 PM CST, 32 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 18, 1:58 PM CST, 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
158 PM CST Wed Dec 18 2024
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 158 PM CST Wed Dec 18 2024
To begin the period, rainfall associated with a cold front has now
moved east and south of the state bringing calm and drier conditions
to state. Some low to mid level clouds could stick around through
the afternoon and evening hours before clearing out late Wednesday
into Thursday morning. High pressure is expected to move into the
region bringing with it colder temperatures and dry weather for the
end of the workweek and into the long term.
The main story within the short term will be the below average
temperatures that are expected across the state. High temperatures
are expected to get into the upper 30s to upper 50s Thursday and
Friday afternoons. Overnight low temperatures are expected to drop
into the upper 20s to upper 30s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 158 PM CST Wed Dec 18 2024
Long term begins with a ridge of high pressure across the western
CONUS and a trough to our east. At the surface, High pressure will
be centered north of Minnesota...this will result in NW flow aloft
and northerly winds at the surface. This will result in cold dry air
across the state through the weekend, with below normal temperatures
forecast.
For the start of the new work week, flow will become more zonal and
as the surface High pressure shifts to the east, southerly flow will
return to the state. This will allow for some moisture return and
gradually warming temperatures as a storm system approaches from the
west. Do think NBM timing with this front is a little fast, so
therefore expect the exact onset of the precipitation to change to
late Monday into Tuesday as we get closer in time. Models strongly
disagree when the associated shortwave will clear the state, and
thus the timing of the end of the precipitation disagrees quite a
bit on whether we will see a dry Christmas Day or not. But one thing
for certain is that the precipitation will remain all liquid.&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1113 AM CST Wed Dec 18 2024
Improving flight conditions are expected through the period as a
cold front continues to push south of the state. SHRA are expected
to come to an end by the early morning hours across southern AR.
CIGs are expected to clear across portions of the state with some
mid to high level clouds possible through the end of the period.
Winds will be out of the north and north east and could be gusty
at times.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR 33 51 33 42 / 0 0 0 0
Camden AR 36 57 37 53 / 0 0 0 0
Harrison AR 31 54 27 38 / 0 0 0 0
Hot Springs AR 35 56 37 48 / 0 0 0 0
Little Rock AR 37 54 38 47 / 0 0 0 0
Monticello AR 38 56 39 52 / 0 0 0 0
Mount Ida AR 34 58 34 48 / 0 0 0 0
Mountain Home AR 31 54 28 39 / 0 0 0 0
Newport AR 33 49 33 42 / 0 0 0 0
Pine Bluff AR 36 54 37 49 / 0 0 0 0
Russellville AR 33 56 34 47 / 0 0 0 0
Searcy AR 34 51 34 45 / 0 0 0 0
Stuttgart AR 35 51 37 46 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
SHORT TERM...73
LONG TERM....65
AVIATION...73
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 18, 2:00 PM CST, 30 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
200 PM CST Wed Dec 18 2024
ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-191600-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
200 PM CST Wed Dec 18 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Patchy-dense fog will be possible across portions of the state
through the overnight hours. Please exercise caution if out and
about.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.Spotter Information Statement...
Spotter activation will not be needed.
&&
Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.
Flood, Lawrence
- When
- December 18, 2:30 PM CST to December 23, 6:30 AM CST
- Where
- Lawrence County, 0.25 mi ENE of Black Rock to 0.29 mi ENE of Black Rock
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- River/Stream Gage
- Coordinates
- 36.102, -91.096
River flooding occurred on the Black River at Black Rock from mid to late December with the crest of the river at this site reaching 16.60 feet on December 19th at 0630. The rive flooding at this site would remain in minor flood stage.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Minnesota, December 18 to 20, 20244 injured · $40,000 · 7 events
- High Wind and Winter Weather in Montana, December 18 to 19, 202483 kt wind · 26 events
- High Wind in South Dakota, December 18 to 19, 202463 kt wind · 17 events
- High Wind in Montana, December 18 to 19, 202466 kt wind · 14 events
- Heavy Snow in North Dakota, December 18 to 19, 202413 events
- High Wind in Wyoming, December 18 to 19, 202479 kt wind · 9 events
- Heavy Snow in Minnesota, December 18 to 19, 20249 events
- Heavy Snow in North Dakota, December 18 to 19, 20249 events
- High Wind in Montana, December 18 to 19, 202461 kt wind · 6 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Minnesota, December 18 to 20, 20246 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1228391.