Drought conditions from a very dry October continued into November. Although the first half of the month saw a modest increase in rainfall over October, conditions continued to worsen, with Severe (D2) areas expanding across Central Alabama by November 12.
Every event with a place to put it; 9 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS BMX wrote it up.
Drought conditions from a very dry October continued into November. Although the first half of the month saw a modest increase in rainfall over October, conditions continued to worsen, with Severe (D2) areas expanding across Central Alabama by November 12. Several systems during the second half of the month brought sufficient rainfall to reduce drought conditions again in some areas, with some counties improving to Moderate (D1) conditions by November 19.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Birmingham, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 11, 10:52 PM CST, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1052 PM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Tuesday) Issued at 706 PM CST MON NOV 11 2024 Cold front continues to slowly push southward and is currently bisecting the area. It will get another push from a secondary cold front currently approaching the Ohio Valley, but will eventually stall over Lower Alabama tomorrow. There are some low probabilities for fog in our far southern counties with the higher dew points south of the front. Tonight much of the area will see the coolest temperatures that we have seen in 2 to 3 weeks, yet will incredibly still be above normal. With a lack of cold air advection, the dry air mass should warm efficiently and high temperatures will remain above to well above normal. Ridging will temporarily build in at mid and upper levels ahead of the next trough over the western CONUS. Some of the 700mb remnant vorticity and moisture from Rafael remains along the Gulf Coast, along with an inverted surface trough over the northern Gulf. Better rain chances remain south of the forecast area, but there is a low (20%) chance for light rain along our southern border late tonight into tomorrow where the 850-700mb layer approaches saturation. 32/JDavis && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 233 PM CST MON NOV 11 2024 The best chance for rain in the extended will come ahead of a front Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning. As mentioned in the previous discussion, rain totals of generally 0.5 to 1" are expected, although areas of northwestern Central Alabama may see closer to 1.25" while southeastern counties, south of I-85, may only see around 0.25". After cooler temps Thursday and Friday, highs will rebound a few degrees by the weekend. 12 Previous long-term discussion: (Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 305 AM CST MON NOV 11 2024 A deep layer ridge axis will be shifting eastward across the area Tuesday night in advance of a longwave trough which will pass across the Central CONUS and move over the Great Lakes Region from Wednesday through Thursday. This evolution may result in weak surface cyclogenesis over the Lower MS River Valley along a cold front which is forecast to arrive to western Alabama Thursday morning. Models continue to indicate a deep column of pre-frontal moisture advection across Central Alabama which will support widespread showers beginning across our west Wednesday afternoon and spreading eastward through Thursday morning. The combination of deep moisture, frontal convergence, and potential surface cyclogenesis should result in a more uniform coverage of rainfall than we have experienced as of late. Rainfall amounts will generally range from 0.5 to 1". The front will quickly pass through the area by Thursday afternoon, being replaced by a dry continental airmass with high pressure building over the region. Temperatures will cool to more seasonable levels by the end of the week with highs in the 60s/70s and lows in the 40s Friday through Sunday. 86/Martin && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1052 PM CST MON NOV 11 2024 Intermittent shallow ground fog has developed at ANB despite lowering dew points as radiational cooling keeps pace. Some improvement may occur later tonight with drier air moving in, but this is uncertain. Have opted to include a TEMPO for lower visibilities at MGM given higher dew points near the front, with non-zero potential at ASN/EET/TCL. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected after sunrise with light northeast winds. Cloudcover on Tuesday should be limited to MGM where bases will be around 7000ft. 32/JDavis && .FIRE WEATHER... Min RH will dip into the 30-40 percent range across parts of northwestern Central Alabama this afternoon with clearing skies and drier air behind the front. 20 ft winds will be northerly this afternoon, shifting northeasterly tomorrow at 6-8 mph and east- southeasterly Wednesday up to 10-12 mph. Drier air filtering in behind the front on Tuesday will lower min RH values to the 35-45 percent range. Only eastern Alabama will see a drop to around 45-50 percent Wednesday afternoon as moisture builds in to the south and west ahead of the next chance of wetting rains. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 45 75 50 65 / 0 0 0 30 Anniston 49 76 52 65 / 0 0 0 20 Birmingham 51 75 55 64 / 0 0 10 40 Tuscaloosa 52 77 57 66 / 0 0 20 50 Calera 53 76 57 67 / 0 0 10 30 Auburn 57 77 55 68 / 0 0 10 10 Montgomery 58 79 58 71 / 0 10 10 20 Troy 60 77 57 71 / 10 10 10 10 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...32 LONG TERM....12 AVIATION...32/JDavis
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Birmingham AL 315 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 ALZ011>015-017>050-121215- Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee- Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega- Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa- Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon- Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour- 315 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the National Weather Service office in Birmingham. .DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Activation of storm spotters and emergency management is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
9 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Drought conditions briefly increased to Severe (D2) during the middle of the month before improving back to Moderate (D1).
Drought conditions briefly increased to Severe (D2) during the middle of the month before improving back to Moderate (D1).
Drought conditions briefly increased to Severe (D2) during the middle of the month before improving back to Moderate (D1).
Drought conditions briefly increased to Severe (D2) during the middle of the month before improving back to Moderate (D1).
Drought conditions increased to Severe (D2) during the middle of the month, which persisted through the end of the month.
Drought conditions increased to Severe (D2) during the middle of the month, which persisted through the end of the month.
Drought conditions increased to Severe (D2) during the middle of the month, which persisted through the end of the month.
Drought conditions increased to Severe (D2) during the middle of the month, which persisted through the end of the month.
Drought conditions increased to Severe (D2) during the middle of the month, which persisted through the end of the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Alabama in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Alabama, November 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1217312, 1217313, 1217314, 1217315, 1217317, 1217318, 1217319, 1217320, 1217321.