Wyoming, 2023

Hail in Wyoming, July 19, 2023

July 19, 2023 · NWS CYS · 12 events in 2 counties and zones

Severe thunderstorms with large hail developed over portions of Platte and Goshen County late in the afternoon on the 19th. One particular left-moving supercell thunderstorm produce very large hail near Torrington damaging numerous cars and home windows.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
12

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS CYS wrote it up.

Severe thunderstorms with large hail developed over portions of Platte and Goshen County late in the afternoon on the 19th. One particular left-moving supercell thunderstorm produce very large hail near Torrington damaging numerous cars and home windows.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cheyenne, WY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 19, 1:46 PM MST, 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 1:46 PM MST, 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
246 PM MDT Wed Jul 19 2023

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 215 PM MDT Wed Jul 19 2023

Showers and thunderstorms ongoing since early this afternoon as
weak shortwave energy passes east along the WY/CO border today.
Overall, seeing dry boundary layers west of the Laramie Range
across Carbon and Albany Co as forecast sounding have LCLs above
the freezing level. This will likely lead to gusty outflow winds
with any storms that develop. Could even have a few gusts to 60
mph like what has been seen the last few days with storms moving
over the Arlington/Elk Mountain area. Farther east, latest RAP has
MLCAPE near 1000-1400 J/kg with 40 kt of shear which would be
enough for severe hail to develop through early this evening.
Fairly straight hodographs will favor splitting storms which has
already been observed with initial storms today. Storms could move
into the NE Panhandle late this afternoon and early this evening
before dissipating and a cold front approaches from the north. Expecting
cooler temperatures Thursday behind the trailing cold front
passing through the CWA late tonight that will drop 700mb temps to
around 6C. This, in addition to widespread precipitation (see
next paragraph) will lead to afternoon highs 10-15F degrees below
normal for mid-July being in the upper 60s to mid-70s.

Beginning Thursday morning, a compact progressive shortwave
will move across southern WY providing ample lift in addition to
the post-frontal easterly upslope flow. Looking at sfc dewpoints
east of the Laramie Range in the 50s with very moist profiles.
Widespread PW values over 1" with spots east of the Laramie Range
and along/south of the North Platte River valley climbing near
1.25". Latest NAEFS guidance places this over 2 sigma anomaly for
mid-July while WPC has much of the area under a marginal risk for
excessive rainfall with a slight risk area drawn into Laramie and
Kimball Co. CAMs are depicting showers and storms entering Carbon
Co early Thursday morning moving east of I-25 by mid-morning with
additional storm development possible early in the afternoon
within a few pockets of instability reaching 800-1000 J/kg. With
the anomalously high moisture content, mainly looking at heavy
rain as the main hazard with the storms on Thursday. 1-hr FFG
across the area hovers around 1.5" which hi-res guidance suggests
is very reasonable through the early evening.

Friday will begin a warmup headed into the weekend with increasing
700mb temps as the upper level ridge builds over the
Intermountain-West. Will still remain in northwest flow throughout
the day with marginal instability/shear parameters capable of a
few strong storms from east-central WY into the NE Panhandle.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 215 PM MDT Wed Jul 19 2023

Overall, the long term forecast looks much warmer and drier over
the weekend and into next week. Starting on Saturday, the ridge
over the desert southwest will gradually strengthen and slowly
push eastward. By Monday afternoon, a 600 decameter high/ridge
will be positioned over the Rockies. This will usher in much
warmer and drier air to the CWA. The warmer temperatures stay
locked over the region through much of next week, even as the
ridge flattens and becomes more broad. During this time,
temperatures will be on the hot side. Over the weekend,
temperatures will range from the upper 80s to upper 90s, with
Saturday being the cooler of both days as the ridge axis sits
farther off to the west. Monday and Tuesday will likely be the
hottest days of the week as 700 mb temperatures make it up to the
+16 to +20C range! As a result, did nudge high temperatures
towards the NBM 75th percentile, especially Monday and Tuesday
with the ridge axis almost directly overhead. This will lead to
most cities in the CWA having high temperatures in the 90s to low
100s! As we head into next week, will have to keep an eye on the
temperatures as we enter into county fair season.

The hot and dry weather will keep most storms away, but cannot rule
out an isolated thunderstorm or two during the afternoon hours as
weak vort maxes pass through the ridge aloft. This weekend looks
like the driest of the long term with maybe an isolated shower or
two over the high terrain. Precipitation chances are a bit better
Monday and Tuesday with slightly stronger disturbances moving
through the ridge. Again, any storms that do form will be isolated
and will likely stay below severe criteria.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1128 AM MDT Wed Jul 19 2023

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and
evening. Greatest concern with storms will be gusty winds and small
hail. Quiet, VFR conditions likely overnight. Tomorrow morning,
lowering CIGs are expected for terminals east of the Laramie Range
courtesy of a backdoor front. Widespread showers and thunderstorms
will also be possible during the day Thursday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 215 PM MDT Wed Jul 19 2023

Minimal fire weather concerns through the rest of this week as
conditions turn cooler headed into Thursday with widespread
rainfall likely. Temperatures will remain below average Thursday
behind a cold front before warming up headed into the weekend.
Afternoon temperatures will climb into the 90s by Sunday
continuing into early next week that could lead to afternoon RHs
reaching critical levels.

&&

.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...None.
NE...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...MB
LONG TERM...SF
AVIATION...SF
FIRE WEATHER...MB
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 19, 5:38 AM MST, 8 hours 22 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
638 AM MDT Wed Jul 19 2023

WYZ104-105-109>115-201245-
Ferris/Seminoe/Shirley Mountains-Shirley Basin-
Central Carbon County-North Snowy Range Foothills-
Southwest Carbon County-Sierra Madre Range-
Upper North Platte River Basin-Snowy Range-Laramie Valley-
638 AM MDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Wyoming and southeast Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are
expected today. A few storms may produce strong, gusty winds near
50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

Numerous thunderstorms are expected on Thursday. A few storms may
produce locally heavy rainfall.

.Spotter information statement...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

NEZ002-003-019>021-054-055-095-096-WYZ101>103-106>108-116>119-
201245-
Dawes County-Box Butte County-Scotts Bluff County-Banner County-
Morrill County-Kimball County-Cheyenne County-
Northern Sioux County-Southern Sioux County-
Converse County Lower Elevations-Niobrara County-
North Laramie Range-
Central Laramie Range and Southwest Platte County-
East Platte County-Goshen County-South Laramie Range-
South Laramie Range Foothills-Central Laramie County-
East Laramie County-
638 AM MDT Wed Jul 19 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of panhandle
Nebraska...east central Wyoming and southeast Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are
expected today. A few storms may produce strong, gusty winds near
50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are likely across the high
plains of southeast Wyoming and the western Nebraska Panhandle on
Thursday. These storms may produce very heavy rainfall, resulting
in a risk for localized flash flooding.

.Spotter information statement...

Spotter activation may be needed.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 19, 12:29 PM MST, 1 hour 31 minutes before
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The radar

The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 65 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:00 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

12 hail. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Platte

When
July 19, 2:00 PM MST
Where
Platte County, 1.47 mi SSW of Chugwater
Measured
1.75 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
41.740, -104.830

Received report of windows shattered on homes and vehicles south of Chugwater. Time estimated based on radar.

Hail, Goshen

When
July 19, 2:32 PM MST
Where
Goshen County, 8.68 mi SSE of Mers Hill
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
41.760, -104.570

Received photo via Facebook.

Hail, Goshen

When
July 19, 3:00 PM MST
Where
Goshen County, 2.14 mi SSW of Veteran
Measured
1.5 in hail
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
41.930, -104.390

Initially ping pong ball size hail gradually becoming smaller, closer to dime size.

Hail, Goshen

When
July 19, 3:10 PM MST
Where
Goshen County, 1.69 mi ENE of Veteran
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
41.970, -104.350

Hail, Goshen

When
July 19, 3:14 PM MST to 3:16 PM MST
Where
Goshen County, 2.58 mi SW of Cottier
Measured
2.5 in hail
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
41.990, -104.290

Initially quarter size hail quickly becoming larger closer to tennis ball size hail. Home received damage with broken windows.

Hail, Platte

When
July 19, 3:21 PM MST
Where
Platte County, 0.51 mi W of Wheatland
Measured
0.75 in hail
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
42.050, -104.960

Hail, Goshen

When
July 19, 3:23 PM MST
Where
Goshen County, 2.07 mi SW of South Torrington
Measured
1.75 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
42.030, -104.210

Hail, Goshen

When
July 19, 3:25 PM MST
Where
Goshen County, 2.07 mi S of South Torrington
Measured
1.75 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
42.020, -104.180

Golf ball size hail reported with car windows broken outside of a restaurant south of Torrington.

Hail, Goshen

When
July 19, 3:25 PM MST to 3:30 PM MST
Where
Goshen County, 0.51 mi E of (Tor)torrington Airport
Measured
2.75 in hail
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
42.060, -104.140

Hail, Goshen

When
July 19, 3:26 PM MST
Where
Goshen County, 2.07 mi SW of South Torrington
Measured
1.75 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
42.030, -104.210

Hail, Platte

When
July 19, 3:27 PM MST
Where
Platte County, 0.51 mi E of Glendo
Measured
1.25 in hail
Reported by
Post Office
Coordinates
42.500, -105.020

Hail, Goshen

When
July 19, 3:27 PM MST
Where
Goshen County, 2.07 mi SW of South Torrington
Measured
2 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
42.030, -104.210

Received report from mPING.

What these are

Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Wyoming in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Wyoming, July 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1104980, 1104981, 1104982, 1104983, 1104984, 1104985, 1104986, 1104987, 1104991, 1104988, 1104989, 1104990.