Utah, 2023Flash Flood and Damaging Wind in Utah, July 28 to 31, 2023
July 28 to 31, 2023 · NWS SLC · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
The ongoing active pattern lessened somewhat, but enough moisture and support remained to trigger isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms which resulted in a few instances of strong wind gusts and flash flooding.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The ongoing active pattern lessened somewhat, but enough moisture and support remained to trigger isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms which resulted in a few instances of strong wind gusts and flash flooding.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Salt Lake City, UT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 28, 3:23 PM MST, 4 hours 52 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 28, 3:23 PM MST, 4 hours 52 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
423 PM MDT Fri Jul 28 2023
.SYNOPSIS...High pressure will result in continued hot temperatures
through the weekend. Precipitation chances increase across southern
Utah this weekend, thanks to a monsoonal moisture surge. This
moisture is forecast to overspread all of Utah and southwest Wyoming
from the early to middle portion of next week, with widespread
showers and thunderstorms expected.
&&
.SHORT TERM (THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY)...High pressure is currently
centered over west-central New Mexico while an easterly
wave/inverted trough is tracking across northern Mexico. This
feature has brought moisture to western Arizona, which is now
starting to get pulled into Utah under a southwest flow aloft.
Latest PWAT analysis shows a gradient over southwest Utah with peak
values of 0.8 inches near the St. George area, while the rest of
Utah has generally 0.5-0.6 inches of PWAT. A few showers are already
noted along the Utah/Arizona border, most weakening as they move
into Utah. Expect showers to increase in coverage a bit across
southern Utah into the evening hours, but most will remain high-
based and produce little rainfall while gusty microburst winds will
be a greater possibility. SREF ensemble maxes show pockets of wind
gusts exceeding 40 mph this evening.
The moisture will continue spreading farther north into Utah
tomorrow. High-based isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms
producing gusty microburst winds are expected to develop across
central Utah tomorrow afternoon. Meanwhile, southern Utah will
continue to progressively moisten, with the potential for measurable
rain increasing. Temperatures will remain hot into the weekend, with
afternoon maxes near to above 100F in many valley areas.
.LONG TERM (After 12Z/6AM Sunday)...HIGHLIGHTS: Hot temperatures
will remain through the beginning of next week with a monsoonal
moisture push and slight temperature decrease beginning Monday
through the remainder of the week.
A ridge currently setup over AZ and NM will amplify in the coming
days and shift east over northern TX by early next week. A
subtropical easterly wave is also currently oriented along the Gulf
Coast of Mexico and southern TX, forecast to move west into the Gulf
of California where it will be in an ideal location to kick off the
first substantial monsoon moisture surge of the season. Ensemble
means show PWAT amounts 150-200% above normal for this time of year
across UT on Tuesday and Wednesday as the subtropical wave ejects
northward through the Great Basin. Moisture and forcing associated
with this wave will increase shower and thunderstorm activity across
southern UT as early as Sunday/Monday, and then becoming more
widespread across UT Tuesday and Wednesday. Typically on the leading
edge of these moisture surges gusty outflow winds from thunderstorms
are common as low-level moisture is slow to increase compared to the
mid and upper levels, creating inverted-v profiles primed for
microbursts. As the moisture becomes more abundant for this time of
year, combined with the synoptic organization of the ejecting wave
there will be an increased threat for heavy rainfall and flash
flooding, particularly in vulnerable slot canyons and dry washes.
While overall confidence in this pattern is high, cluster analysis
shows subtle differences in the magnitude and exact location of the
ridge axis will ultimately determine the location and timing of the
heaviest precipitation. By Thursday and Friday, drier air will begin
working into southwestern Utah decreasing shower and thunderstorm
changes from southwest to northeast through the end of the week.
With this moisture influx comes a short reprieve from triple-digits!
We will see a slight cooldown with highs in the 80s and 90s for most
valley locations all next week, and St. George falling below 100F on
Tuesday and Wednesday.
&&
.AVIATION...KSLC...VFR conditions expected. Light northwest winds
expected to switch to southeast drainage winds between 03Z and 05Z.
Northwest winds will come back between 19Z and 21Z. There is a small
chance (10%) that precipitation could occur.
.REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...Isolated showers and
thunderstorms possible for central and southern Utah through the
evening (03Z). The better chance at seeing storms will be Saturday
between 18Z and 03Z for much of central and southern Utah.
Predominant west to southwest flow expected through the evening
before switching to diurnal winds for the overnight period. South to
southwest flow will return tomorrow morning and last through the
day. The showers and thunderstorms could produce gusty and erratic
outflow winds. VFR conditions expected across the area.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...High pressure near the Four Corners area will slowly
shift east into early next week. As it does so, moisture from
Arizona will gradually increase northward into Utah. Generally dry,
high-based showers and thunderstorms across far southern Utah this
evening will work their way farther north this weekend, while
progressively becoming more wet. Some of the initial rounds of
showers and thunderstorms will be capable of producing strong, gusty
microburst winds, then scattered to numerous mostly wet storms are
forecast for much of the area by midweek. Otherwise, temperatures
will remain hot through the weekend due to the strong high pressure,
but should cool for the next week in conjunction with the arrival of
deeper moisture.
&&
.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&
Cheng/Bonner/Church/Cecava
For more information from NOAA's National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity
Thunderstorm Wind, Tooele
- When
- July 28, 8:15 PM MST to 8:20 PM MST
- Where
- Tooele County, 16.22 mi ESE of Gold Hill
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 40.120, -113.530
The CAUSEWAY mesonet station recorded a wind gust of 65 mph as a result of outflow winds associated with a nearby cluster of convective showers moving through the area.
Flash Flood, Wayne
- When
- July 31, 2:20 PM MST to 3:20 PM MST
- Where
- Wayne County, 4.26 mi SSE of Fruita to 5.69 mi WNW of Notom
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Park/Forest Service
- Coordinates
- 38.221, -111.228
Capitol Reef National Park reported flash flooding associated with thunderstorms in the area, which necessitated the closure of several roads in the park, including portions of the Scenic Drive, The Capitol Gorge Road, and Pleasant Creek.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding in Indiana, July 28, 20232 deaths · $552,000 · 5 events
- Tornado and Damaging Winds in Ohio, July 28 to 29, 20231 death · $230,000 · EF1 · 13 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Nebraska, July 28, 2023$29 million · 4 in hail · 13 events
- Damaging Winds in Maryland, July 28, 2023$6.9 million · 70 kt wind · 40 events
- Rip Current in Michigan, July 28, 20231 death · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Wisconsin, July 28, 2023$1.3 million · 4 in hail · 43 events
- Hail in Kansas, July 28, 2023$8.3 million · 2 in hail · 3 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Virginia, July 28, 20231 injured · $786,000 · 1.25 in hail · 32 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flood in Wisconsin, July 28, 2023$169,000 · EF1 · 40 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Montana, July 28 to 30, 2023$1.0 million · 2.5 in hail · 13 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Illinois, July 28, 2023EF1 · 77 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Iowa, July 28, 2023$133,000 · EF1 · 21 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1122131, 1122168.