Gusty winds spread across the Mid-South ahead of an approaching cold front on February 27, 2023 resulting in isolated damage.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
Gusty winds spread across the Mid-South ahead of an approaching cold front on February 27, 2023 resulting in isolated damage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 27, 5:44 AM CST, 4 hours 16 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
Issued by National Weather Service Little Rock AR
544 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2023
...New AVIATION...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 248 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2023
Showers and few thunderstorms today along a cold front.
Temperatures into the low to mid 70s. Tuesday should be dry with
similar temperatures. Wednesday a front arrives and stalls
bringing showers and a few thunderstorms. Thursday the main show
begins with a strong low pressure system and a front bringing in
severe weather through overnight Thursday. Some linger showers
remain through Friday early afternoon. High pressure builds into
the region bringing dry and cool conditions for the weekend.
SMW
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 248 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2023
At 3AM CST, a warm and balmy night is currently ongoing across
the Mid-South. Temperatures are in the upper 50s and low 60s.
Looking at GOES Satellite Imagery, some mid to upper level clouds
are moving across the area associated with a low pressure system
moving across Iowa and Missouri. A warm front is currently along
the TN/MS border and moving northward. A few light showers are
possible along the warm front. A cold front is approaching from
the west and will fire off more showers and a few thunderstorms through
the afternoon before clearing the area. Instability is lacking so
any storms that do develop won't be particularly strong. The
tight pressure gradient will create strong wind today. The Wind
Advisory is still in effect until 4pm for the entire forecast
area.
For Tuesday, the low moves over the Great Lakes region and we
return to almost zonal flow aloft. Temperature don't change that
much from Monday with high in the upper 60s to mid 70s.
A shortwave should traverse the Plains on Wednesday. A front
should move into the area and briefly stalls bringing some
showers and maybe a few thunderstorms to areas along and south of
I-40. Temperatures look to be in the mid to upper 70s.
The main focus this week will the low pressure system moving in
Thursday afternoon and evening. Along an attendant cold front
numerous showers and a strong to severe thunderstorms will be
possible. Kinematics for this system are all good. There is
favorable upper-level divergence produced by the left exit region
of a 150kt+ jet streak. MUCAPE values from 1000-1800 J/kg, SRH
values at or above 300 m2/s2 and bulk shear over 70kts all signify
a high probability of severe storms. While the system looks to
move rather fast through the area, given antecedent soil
conditions in some areas in the 80-90% saturation range, any
training of storms or heavy downpours could cause some flooding in
areas of poor drainage and low lying areas.
As the previous system continues to move out of the area we could
see some showers for Friday. By Friday evening we should be dry.
Temperatures on Friday look to be on the cool side ranging from
the low 50s to low 60s.
High pressure will then settle over the region for the weekend.
Dry conditions with temperatures in the 50s are anticipated.
SMW
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 527 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2023
Some light rain showers are moving across the area in association
with a cold front. MVFR conditions should return to VFR by late
morning. Strong gradient wind is expected today. Generally SSW
20-30kts with gusts to 45kts possible. Winds should relax as this
system moves away later this evening and go light and variable
overnight.
SMW
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Wind Advisory until 4 PM CST this afternoon for ARZ009-018-
026>028-035-036-048-049-058.
MO...Wind Advisory until 4 PM CST this afternoon for MOZ113-115.
MS...Wind Advisory until 4 PM CST this afternoon for MSZ001>017-
020>024.
TN...Wind Advisory until 4 PM CST this afternoon for TNZ001>004-
019>022-048>055-088>092.
&&
PUBLIC FORECAST...SMW
AVIATION...SMWThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Strong winds downed a utility pole at the intersection of Parkhill Road and Highway 651 North near Puryear.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, February 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1083881.