Despite a rather nebulous upper air pattern, a weak impulse instigated deep convection across western into southwestern Oklahoma. Sufficient wind shear and instability allowed for at least transient storm organization.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OUN wrote it up.
Despite a rather nebulous upper air pattern, a weak impulse instigated deep convection across western into southwestern Oklahoma. Sufficient wind shear and instability allowed for at least transient storm organization. While severe outcomes concentrated south of the Red River, a wake low developed behind convection and produced wind damage across Tillman County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 5, 5:14 PM CST, 6 hours 1 minute earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 614 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2023 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Thursday) Issued at 234 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2023 The complex of showers/storms in north central OK will continue to move across NE/E portions of the fa this afternoon. Isolated/scattered storm development along/near an outflow boundary across southern OK curving up into west central OK into the TX panhandle will remain possible the rest of this afternoon into maybe early evening. A few of these storms may become strong to severe with strong winds, hail, and locally heavy rain possible. The higher potential for severe storms will likely be overnight into Thursday morning. Models show storms developing to the NW of the fa this afternoon then congealing into an MCS that moves into the fa overnight. Meanwhile, llj is expected to strengthen a bit this evening which could aid in continued storm development in the eastern panhandles, maybe into NW OK, this evening which could eventually spread into the fa as well. What all this means is that one or more storm complexes along with additional storm development will likely affect parts of the fa overnight into Thursday morning with the most likely area for storms across northern and central portions of Oklahoma as the storms move ESE/SE across the area. Severe storms will be possible with damaging winds and locally heavy rain the primary concerns. Thunderstorms will remain possible Thursday afternoon/evening but this will be somewhat dependent on how things unfold tonight into tomorrow morning. With the rain and cloud cover, below average temperatures (highs in the 80s) are expected across at least the NE half or so of the fa. More like average temperatures are expected in SW parts of the fa with highs in the low to mid 90s. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 234 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2023 With WNW/NW flow aloft continuing into early next week, models are showing the potential for MCS(s) affecting at least parts of the fa night/morning hours each day into early next week. There could also be some storm chances in the afternoon and evening hours of those days but will be highly dependent on what occurs during the night and morning hours. As for the next couple of days, models show an MCS developing in the High Plains and moving SE into the fa Thursday night into Friday morning with the highest potential in portions of northern and central OK. Severe storms will be possible with damaging winds and heavy rain the primary concern. As for Friday into Saturday, models show storms developing to the W and NW of the area then moving into the fa Friday night into Saturday. Severe storms will be possible during this time as well with the highest potential across northern OK. Below normal temperatures are expected to continue across the NE third to half of the area into early next week due to rain/cloud cover. Hotter (around to slightly above average) temperatures are expected in SW OK and western north TX where less rain and cloud cover is expected. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 612 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2023 VFR/MVFR ceilings expected. A complex of thunderstorms is expected to move across the area overnight into Thursday morning. Strong, variable winds gusts will be possible with some of these storms. Outflow boundaries moving across the area will also cause wind shifts. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 69 83 70 91 / 40 60 20 20 Hobart OK 69 88 70 97 / 20 30 0 10 Wichita Falls TX 74 94 75 101 / 10 20 0 0 Gage OK 64 82 67 96 / 60 40 20 20 Ponca City OK 67 81 66 84 / 80 60 40 60 Durant OK 74 89 73 94 / 20 40 20 10 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && SHORT TERM...25 LONG TERM....25 AVIATION...25
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Norman OK 1118 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2023 OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-070430- Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield- Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne- Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain- Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson- Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton- Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman- Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay- 1118 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2023 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern... western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north Texas. .DAY ONE...Through Tonight... .Thunderstorms... Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible across western Oklahoma late evening into the overnight. Some of these could be severe with hail to the size golf balls and wind gusts to 70 mph. Later overnight, one or two complexes of thunderstorms are expected to move into northern and western Oklahoma, eventually into central Oklahoma. Damaging gusts up to 75 mph and heavy rainfall that could lead to localized flooding will be the primary hazards with these thunderstorms as they move to the southeast. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday... .Thunderstorms... Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing across much of Oklahoma Thursday morning before decreasing in coverage late morning into the early afternoon. There is a continued chance of thunderstorms through early next week as a series of thunderstorm complexes may affect parts of the area during the overnight into the early morning hours. The most likely location to be affected by any complexes will be northern Oklahoma with lower chances with southwest extent. Any thunderstorms with these complexes could be strong to severe. .Heat... Afternoon heat indices from 105 to 110 degrees are possible across far southern Oklahoma and north Texas beginning Friday and persisting into early next week. Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Norman OK
905 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0859 PM Tstm Wnd Gst 3 W Goodlett 34.34N 99.94W
07/05/2023 M58 MPH Hardeman TX Mesonet
&&Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Norman OK
911 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0855 PM Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 4 WNW Bessie 35.40N 99.06W
07/05/2023 M56 MPH Washita OK Mesonet
Wake low.
&&Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Norman OK
920 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0909 PM Tstm Wnd Gst 3 W Goodlett 34.34N 99.94W
07/05/2023 M67 MPH Hardeman TX Mesonet
&&Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
1042 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2023
OKZ038-044-060415-
Cotton OK-Comanche OK-
1042 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of south central
Comanche and northeastern Cotton Counties through 1115 PM CDT...
At 1042 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 4 miles south of Lawton to 4 miles northwest of
Walters. Movement was southeast at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Lawton, Walters, Geronimo, and Faxon.
This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 14 and 40.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3432 9814 3424 9841 3456 9866 3465 9838
TIME...MOT...LOC 0342Z 321DEG 18KT 3454 9843 3440 9838
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
30Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
1136 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2023
OKZ009-060500-
Ellis OK-
1136 PM CDT Wed Jul 5 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Ellis
County through MIDNIGHT CDT...
At 1135 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles east of Follett, moving east at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Fargo and Catesby.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3656 10000 3659 9970 3659 9965 3635 9961
3635 10000 3655 10001
TIME...MOT...LOC 0435Z 261DEG 28KT 3645 10001
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH
MeisterSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
1213 AM CDT Thu Jul 6 2023
OKZ039-044-045-TXZ090-060545-
Cotton OK-Stephens OK-Jefferson OK-Clay TX-
1213 AM CDT Thu Jul 6 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Jefferson,
south central Stephens, east central Cotton and north central Clay
Counties through 1245 AM CDT...
At 1212 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Addington. This storm was nearly stationary.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Waurika, Temple, Byers, Hastings, Addington, Sugden, and Waurika
Lake.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3427 9827 3436 9770 3408 9760 3404 9817
TIME...MOT...LOC 0512Z 348DEG 3KT 3422 9800
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MeisterThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Wind damage in and around the community of Grandfield including numerous large tree limbs and fences blown down along with a few shingles removed from a residence. Wake low wind event. Time is radar estimated.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oklahoma in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Oklahoma, July 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1119955.