Many severe thunderstorms developed during the afternoon and evening across southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin. These thunderstorms developed within strong mid-level flow aloft as a trough passed across the Midwest and a cold front sagged into the region.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
Many severe thunderstorms developed during the afternoon and evening across southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin. These thunderstorms developed within strong mid-level flow aloft as a trough passed across the Midwest and a cold front sagged into the region. Damaging wind gusts and large hail were observed with thunderstorms across the region.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 11, 4:13 PM MST, 47 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 613 PM CDT Mon Sep 11 2023 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Tuesday night) Issued at 240 PM CDT Mon Sep 11 2023 Current visible satellite shows the broken deck of clouds that has slowed warming somewhat starting to move out of southeast New Mexico. Clearing skies will help destabilize the environment for afternoon showers and thunderstorms to develop. With steepening lapse rates (changes in temperature with height) and a shortwave trough moving into the region, some thunderstorms may be severe across southeast New Mexico and portions of the Permian Basin as well as areas north and east of our own area. Damaging wind gusts and large hail will be the main threats in addition to brief heavy downpours and lightning. A cold front will approach and pass through SE NM and the Permian Basin tonight and help to keep up shower and storm activity into Tuesday morning. Temperatures take a dip near or below normal with many in the low to mid 60s by Tuesday morning. Cloud cover and showers will stifle warming during the day tomorrow. Highs in the 70s, maybe a few spots staying in the upper 60s, across SE NM and the Permian Basin. 80s for the Stockton Plateau and staying warm across the Big Bend where there will be less in the way of clouds and showers. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 240 PM CDT Mon Sep 11 2023 Wednesday, the upper ridge is forecast to be south of the border, leaving zonal flow aloft over West Texas and Southeast New Mexico. At the surface, post-frontal winds will veer back to return flow, and while temperatures will begin recovering from tonight's cold front, below-normal highs are still expected along/east of the Pecos. Thursday/Friday, thicknesses increase more, resulting in the warmest days of the extended as highs top out right around normal. Friday night/Saturday, a large trough digging into the MS Valley will backdoor a cold front into the region, sending temperatures back below normal along and east of the Pecos Saturday afternoon. Temps recover a degree or two Sunday, and another two or three Monday as weak ridging begins developing in from the west. This pattern will offer several convective opportunities in the extended, beginning Wednesday though Thursday morning as a couple of shortwaves move through zonal flow aloft, with widespread convection Wednesday and an MCS across the northern CWA Wednesday night. NAM forecast soundings at KMAF increase pwats to a whopping 1.73" Thursday morning, when climatological max pwat is only 1.66". Good chances also exist Friday afternoon through Saturday along the expected cold front, w/best chances along/south of I-20. Models also depict plenty of opportunities either side of these events. Rain chances drop off considerably after Saturday as upper-level ridging begins building in, so we've lowered POPs in the extended. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 608 PM CDT Mon Sep 11 2023 VFR conditions prevail at issuance, with a challenging period ahead. A strong cold front will move southward through the region this evening, accompanied by a gusty NE wind shift as well as widespread thunderstorms that will impact area terminals beginning around 01Z for CNM/HOB, and ending around 08Z for FST. Have included TEMPO mention for all but PEQ where confidence is lower, though have included VCTS there, with amendments likely through the evening. Winds will remain elevated and intermittently gusty, with at least intermittent -SHRA expected to continue through the remainder of the period. MVFR/IFR ceilings will develop in the wake of the front, persisting through 13/00Z. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 67 75 65 83 / 70 70 70 80 Carlsbad 64 77 64 86 / 60 60 70 70 Dryden 72 90 71 91 / 30 40 60 50 Fort Stockton 67 80 65 89 / 40 50 60 70 Guadalupe Pass 59 72 60 81 / 60 50 70 60 Hobbs 62 72 61 81 / 70 60 70 70 Marfa 62 81 61 86 / 30 50 60 70 Midland Intl Airport 67 76 66 85 / 70 60 70 70 Odessa 67 76 66 85 / 70 50 70 70 Wink 67 79 65 87 / 60 50 70 60 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && SHORT TERM...93 LONG TERM....44 AVIATION...84
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 404 PM CDT Mon Sep 11 2023 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-122115- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 404 PM CDT Mon Sep 11 2023 /304 PM MDT Mon Sep 11 2023/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect for much of Pemian Basin and SE NM through the evening. Any severe storms that do develop will be accompanied by damaging winds up to 80 mph, large hail to tennis ball size, and an isolated tornado. Heavy rainfall may also result in flash flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. There is a marginal risk of severe storms Wednesday, mainly over Southeast New Mexico. Any severe storms that do develop will be accompanied by large hail and damaging winds. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland
The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 136 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:00 UTC.
6 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A barn was reported collapsed due to strong winds. Wind speeds are estimated to be approximately 90 mph. Property damage cost is an estimation.
Numerous power poles were reported snapped and outbuildings were severely damaged. Time is estimated from radar. Wind speeds were estimated to be approximately 100 mph. Property damage cost is an estimation.
Social media pictures show store siding removed due to strong winds. Estimated wind speed is approximately 65 mph. Property damage cost is an estimation.
Multiple power lines were blown down at the intersection of North Grimes and Cottonwood Lane. Wind speeds were estimated to be approximately 90 mph. Property damage cost is an estimation.
A power pole was blown down at 611 Ave L. Time estimated from radar. Wind speeds were estimated to be 90 mph. Property damage cost is an estimation.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, September 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1139597, 1139599, 1139598, 1139602, 1139600, 1139601.