New Mexico, 2023Hail and Damaging Winds in New Mexico, May 10, 2023
May 10, 2023 · NWS ABQ · 17 events in 10 counties and zones
A strong upper level storm system accompanied by a strong portion of the jetstream brought high winds to portions of central and eastern NM. These southwest winds reached nearly the entire state with high wind gusts being reported from Santa Fe to Albuquerque and through the highlands from Las Vegas to Clines Corners and Vaughn.
Every event with a place to put it; 8 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 17
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A strong upper level storm system accompanied by a strong portion of the jetstream brought high winds to portions of central and eastern NM. These southwest winds reached nearly the entire state with high wind gusts being reported from Santa Fe to Albuquerque and through the highlands from Las Vegas to Clines Corners and Vaughn. Areas of blowing dust resulted from these winds, slightly dropping visibilities. The high winds also aided in the rapid spread of a new wildfire near Sapello, NM during the afternoon. There were no reports of damage or injuries directly related to the high winds. Meanwhile, severe weather broke out across far eastern NM along the TX border during the afternoon and evening hours. Thunderstorm activity favored a dryline feature with individual storm cells producing mostly pea to nickel size hail and severe wind gusts. Several severe wind gusts were reported in portions of northeastern NM with one report of one inch size hail near Clovis. Nickel size hail was also reported in San Jon, NM. There were no reports of wind or hail damage.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 10, 11:13 AM MST, 1 hour 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 10, 11:13 AM MST, 1 hour 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1213 PM MDT Wed May 10 2023
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1156 AM MDT Wed May 10 2023
Expanded Wind Advisory to include all of the eastern plains since
the speed maximum aloft is forecast to cross eastern areas during
peak mixing this afternoon. Plains locations will mix near 500 mb.
&&
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 148 AM MDT Wed May 10 2023
A Pacific storm system will approach today, bringing strong
southerly winds to much of the area, with areas of blowing dust by
afternoon. A few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible near
the Texas and Oklahoma borders through this evening. The Pacific
system will move over tonight, bringing showers to the northern
mountains with the potential for a few inches of snow accumulation
across the peaks. Windy conditions will persist into Thursday,
mainly along and east of the central mountain chain. Moisture will
increase over the area this weekend as a backdoor cold front
moves through, bringing cooler conditions and good chances for
showers and storms that will persist into next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 148 AM MDT Wed May 10 2023
Upper low along the SoCal coast has pushed inland via current
satellite imagery and will continue its tour through the Desert
Southwest today. Meanwhile, a lee-side sfc low will deepen to an
impressive 992mb, while above average warmth help to push mixing
heights well near 500mb. This will set the scene for strong
southerly and southwesterly winds this afternoon across northern and
central NM, where gusts of 40 to 50 mph will be common. The
strongest winds look to favor the RGV, and a rogue gust of 55+ mph
cannot be ruled out. Did opt to expand the Wind Advisory a few zones
to the east to account for greater spatial coverage of advisory-
level winds with this fcst package.
Meanwhile, additional moisture and instability will work to fuel a
crop of thunderstorms favoring the northwest plateau and eastern
plains. Most of the storms will trend drier, sporting the threat of
erratic downburst winds. Across the east, however, the potential
exists for a storm or two to become severe. The environment still
lacks adequate shear to suggest that storms will be able to become
organized, with most soundings touting suboptimal values under 35
kts. Nonetheless, the ingredients exist for an ambitious storm to be
capable of damaging winds and large hail before quickly pushing off
into TX.
The low's accompanying Pacific front will slide into the state
Wednesday evening, progging east through the overnight hours. The
upper low swings into CO Wednesday night, allowing for instability,
lift, and moisture for showers and storms to persist across northern
NM. Cooler temperatures will be left in the system's wake on
Thursday and drier air takes hold. Breezy to windy conditions will
return, especially across the northwest plateau to the central mts,
including their adjacent highlands and plains.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 148 AM MDT Wed May 10 2023
A few showers may persist from the northern mountains through the
adjacent northeast highlands Thursday night as the upper low
continues slowly northeast into east central CO. Winds aloft will
weaken significantly on Friday, which looks to be the best weather
day of the week with daytime temperatures within a few degrees of
normal.
A significant synoptic pattern change is expected this weekend
that will bring the development of a convoluted Rex Block, with
the upper high setting up over southern British Columbia/WA and a
broad upper low extending from the Great Basin south to over the
Baja Peninsula. This development will bring an end to the recent
warm, dry and windy conditions in favor of moist and cooler
conditions with much less wind for most of the area. Moisture
advection will begin in earnest Friday night and continue through
Saturday as Gulf moisture surges northwest across the area and a
backdoor cold front slides southwest through the state, bringing
good chances for showers and storms and much cooler temperatures.
PWATs are forecast to surge well above normal most areas by late
Saturday. However, instability will be significantly limited by
the cooler airmass moving in behind the backdoor front, especially
by Sunday when storms may be confined to areas along/west of the
Continental Divide. At this time, Saturday looks to be the more
impactful day in terms of the potential for burn scar flooding and
flooding of already swollen creeks and streams from ongoing
snowmelt. In addition, strong east canyon/gap winds will likely
develop late Friday night and continue through Saturday in the Rio
Grande and upper Tularosa Valleys with the passage of the
backdoor front. The Rex Block is forecast to break down early next
week, with a new one forming as another upper high sets up over
NV/UT and the upper low gets confined to over the Baja Peninsula.
Moisture is forecast to linger over the area Mon/Tue, with below
normal daytime temperatures and daily rounds of showers and storms.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1156 AM MDT Wed May 10 2023
Strong south and southwest winds today will shift out of the
northwest tonight into Thursday morning as a Pacific cold front
crosses. Wind gusts will probably peak near 45 kt across central
areas this afternoon. Airport weather warning for 35 kt gusts has
already verified at KABQ, and will hit more consistently late this
afternoon into the early evening. In addition, scattered to isolated
showers and thunderstorms are forecast over west central,
northwest, northeast and east central areas this afternoon, with
rain and high terrain snow showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms
over the northern mountains tonight (with mountain obscurations).
Storms over western areas will produce mainly dry microbursts
this afternoon and evening with erratic wind gusts potentially
over 45 kt. A mix of wet and dry microbursts are expected across
eastern areas with the wetter cells favoring northeast areas,
where a few severe storms may produce wind gusts over 50 kt and
large hail this afternoon and evening. There will also be a
chance for low level wind shear over west central areas, and in
the lee of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains, overnight tonight.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 148 AM MDT Wed May 10 2023
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO BECOME WIDESPREAD TODAY, THEN
PERSIST ACROSS MOST AREAS THROUGH THURSDAY...
Strengthening southwest flow aloft in the presence of deep-layer
mixing will lead to an afternoon of widespread strong winds today.
South and southwesterly winds will be capable of gusts between 40
and 50 mph, with some locales seeing isolated gusts of 55-60 mph.
Frontal passage will force a quick wind shift to the west after 1800
hrs across western zones, pushing east through the overnight hours.
While a slight improvement to humidity is expected, single digit
minimum values will still reign supreme. The winds and low humidity
are accompanied by continued unstable conditions, as an upper low
makes its approach to the area. Showers and thunderstorms will be
possible, particularly across the northwestern plateau and eastern
plains. Save for storms close to the NM/TX border, expect storms to
trend drier, creating the risk for dry lightning. Storms near the
border will have the potential of becoming strong to severe. All
cells that develop will be capable of sudden and erratic downburst
winds. Overnight recovery will be once again poor to moderate, with
some areas of the high terrain recovering to good. Another day of
critical fire weather conditions is on tap Thursday for most areas,
where breezy to windy west winds will combine with low humidity,
though conditions will not be as unfavorable as Wednesday. A cooler
and wetter scenario is anticipated this weekend into early next
week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington...................... 75 42 74 42 / 20 20 0 0
Dulce........................... 75 36 69 34 / 10 30 10 5
Cuba............................ 73 36 69 38 / 10 30 0 0
Gallup.......................... 66 33 71 34 / 20 10 0 0
El Morro........................ 63 33 66 37 / 20 20 0 0
Grants.......................... 71 33 72 32 / 10 10 0 0
Quemado......................... 66 34 69 37 / 10 5 0 0
Magdalena....................... 73 41 72 44 / 0 0 0 0
Datil........................... 67 36 68 39 / 0 0 0 0
Reserve......................... 68 28 75 32 / 0 0 0 0
Glenwood........................ 74 38 78 44 / 0 0 0 0
Chama........................... 69 32 61 32 / 10 40 20 10
Los Alamos...................... 73 43 68 45 / 0 20 5 0
Pecos........................... 75 39 68 43 / 10 10 5 0
Cerro/Questa.................... 71 38 59 38 / 20 30 30 10
Red River....................... 63 32 52 32 / 20 40 40 20
Angel Fire...................... 69 29 58 29 / 20 30 20 10
Taos............................ 77 35 67 33 / 10 20 10 10
Mora............................ 73 37 66 39 / 20 10 10 5
Espanola........................ 82 42 76 42 / 5 20 5 0
Santa Fe........................ 76 41 69 45 / 5 20 5 0
Santa Fe Airport................ 78 39 73 40 / 0 10 0 0
Albuquerque Foothills........... 78 48 75 53 / 0 10 0 0
Albuquerque Heights............. 79 46 77 50 / 0 5 0 0
Albuquerque Valley.............. 82 44 80 47 / 0 5 0 0
Albuquerque West Mesa........... 81 46 78 48 / 0 5 0 0
Belen........................... 81 43 80 45 / 0 0 0 0
Bernalillo...................... 81 46 78 48 / 0 10 0 0
Bosque Farms.................... 82 41 80 43 / 0 5 0 0
Corrales........................ 81 46 78 48 / 0 10 0 0
Los Lunas....................... 81 42 80 43 / 0 5 0 0
Placitas........................ 79 46 75 49 / 0 10 0 0
Rio Rancho...................... 80 46 77 49 / 0 10 0 0
Socorro......................... 81 46 82 47 / 0 0 0 0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 73 41 69 46 / 0 10 0 0
Tijeras......................... 75 42 72 46 / 0 5 0 0
Edgewood........................ 75 41 71 43 / 0 5 0 0
Moriarty/Estancia............... 77 36 73 37 / 0 0 0 0
Clines Corners.................. 75 37 69 41 / 0 0 0 0
Mountainair..................... 75 40 72 44 / 0 0 0 0
Gran Quivira.................... 75 40 72 44 / 0 0 0 0
Carrizozo....................... 79 45 76 50 / 0 0 0 0
Ruidoso......................... 73 41 69 45 / 0 0 0 0
Capulin......................... 76 40 67 38 / 50 30 20 10
Raton........................... 79 39 71 38 / 30 20 20 10
Springer........................ 80 41 73 40 / 30 20 10 5
Las Vegas....................... 77 39 71 40 / 20 5 5 0
Clayton......................... 83 48 76 45 / 50 50 5 10
Roy............................. 80 43 74 44 / 30 20 5 0
Conchas......................... 89 49 82 47 / 20 20 0 0
Santa Rosa...................... 86 47 79 46 / 10 5 0 0
Tucumcari....................... 88 49 82 48 / 30 30 0 0
Clovis.......................... 88 47 82 48 / 30 30 0 0
Portales........................ 90 48 83 48 / 20 30 0 0
Fort Sumner..................... 90 47 82 48 / 10 5 0 0
Roswell......................... 94 52 88 52 / 0 0 0 0
Picacho......................... 86 47 79 50 / 0 0 0 0
Elk............................. 80 42 76 46 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 10 PM MDT this evening for NMZ101-104>106-
109-120>126.
Fire Weather Watch from Thursday afternoon through Thursday
evening for NMZ101-104-106-121-123>126.
Wind Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for NMZ207>241.
&&
SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...44
Event by event
8 high wind, 6 thunderstorm wind, 3 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
High Wind, Central Highlands
- When
- May 10, 12:47 PM MST to 12:50 PM MST
- Where
- Central Highlands forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 35.209, -105.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Clines Corners ASOS measured a peak wind gust of 58 mph.
Thunderstorm Wind, Colfax
- When
- May 10, 1:15 PM MST to 1:18 PM MST
- Where
- Colfax County, Raton Crews Arpt
- Measured
- 59 kt (68 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 36.730, -104.500
The Raton Airport ASOS measured a peak wind gust of 68 mph from a thunderstorm gust.
Thunderstorm Wind, Union
- When
- May 10, 1:30 PM MST to 1:33 PM MST
- Where
- Union County, 2.82 mi SSW of Capulin
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 36.700, -104.000
A public weather station near Des Moines, NM measured a peak thunderstorm wind gust of 61 mph.
High Wind, Northeast Highlands
- When
- May 10, 2:03 PM MST to 2:05 PM MST
- Where
- Northeast Highlands forecast zone
- Measured
- 51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 35.480, -104.816 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Las Vegas Airport ASOS measured a peak wind gust of 59 mph.
High Wind, Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area
- When
- May 10, 2:29 PM MST to 2:32 PM MST
- Where
- Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 35.002, -106.839 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Albuquerque Airport ASOS measured a peak wind gust of 58 mph.
High Wind, Guadalupe County
- When
- May 10, 2:52 PM MST to 3:00 PM MST
- Where
- Guadalupe County forecast zone
- Measured
- 62 kt (71 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 34.863, -104.791 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A mesonet station southwest of Vaughn measured a peak gust of 71 mph.
High Wind, Santa Fe Metro Area
- When
- May 10, 2:53 PM MST to 3:00 PM MST
- Where
- Santa Fe Metro Area forecast zone
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 35.416, -106.504 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Santa Fe Airport ASOS measured a peak wind gust of 60 mph.
Thunderstorm Wind, Quay
- When
- May 10, 3:16 PM MST to 3:19 PM MST
- Where
- Quay County, (Tcc)tucumcari Arpt
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 35.180, -103.600
The Tucumcari Airport ASOS measured a peak thunderstorm wind gust of 61 mph.
High Wind, Central Highlands
- When
- May 10, 3:31 PM MST to 3:53 PM MST
- Where
- Central Highlands forecast zone
- Measured
- 55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 35.209, -105.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Clines Corners ASOS measured a peak wind gust of 63 mph.
Thunderstorm Wind, Union
- When
- May 10, 3:38 PM MST to 3:41 PM MST
- Where
- Union County, (Cao)clayton Arpt
- Measured
- 62 kt (71 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 36.450, -103.150
The Clayton Municipal Airpark ASOS measured a thunderstorm wind gust of 71 mph.
High Wind, Guadalupe County
- When
- May 10, 3:52 PM MST to 4:00 PM MST
- Where
- Guadalupe County forecast zone
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 34.863, -104.791 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A mesonet station in western Guadalupe County measured a peak gust of 61 mph.
Hail, Quay
- When
- May 10, 4:05 PM MST to 4:08 PM MST
- Where
- Quay County, 0.69 mi S of San Jon
- Measured
- 0.88 in hail
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 35.100, -103.330
A trained spotter estimated a few nickel size hail stones fell at San Jon. Strong wind gusts also were ripping through their trees, but no damage was reported.
Thunderstorm Wind, Union
- When
- May 10, 4:05 PM MST to 4:08 PM MST
- Where
- Union County, Sedan
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 36.150, -103.130
A mesonet station near Sedan, NM in Union County measured a peak thunderstorm wind gust of 60 mph.
High Wind, Estancia Valley
- When
- May 10, 4:12 PM MST to 4:15 PM MST
- Where
- Estancia Valley forecast zone
- Measured
- 54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 35.066, -106.166 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A public weather station measured a peak wind gust of 62 mph.
Thunderstorm Wind, Union
- When
- May 10, 4:30 PM MST to 4:33 PM MST
- Where
- Union County, (Cao)clayton Arpt
- Measured
- 62 kt (71 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 36.450, -103.150
The Clayton Municipal Airpark measured a second peak thunderstorm wind gust of 71 mph.
Hail, Curry
- When
- May 10, 5:00 PM MST to 5:03 PM MST
- Where
- Curry County, 4.86 mi SE of (Cvs)cannon Afb
- Measured
- 0.75 in hail
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 34.330, -103.260
A trained spotter reported penny size hail just southwest of Clovis.
Hail, Curry
- When
- May 10, 8:15 PM MST to 8:16 PM MST
- Where
- Curry County, 4.5 mi ESE of (Cvs)cannon Afb
- Measured
- 1 in hail
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 34.350, -103.250
A social media post showed a photo of a measured 1 inch hail stone.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
- Hail
- Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornadoes and Hail in Colorado, May 10, 2023$500,000 · EF1 · 57 events
- Winter Storm and Flooding in Colorado, May 10 to 13, 2023$2.6 million · 9 events
- Wildfire in New Mexico, May 10 to 15, 2023$250,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flood and Heavy Snow in Colorado, May 10 to 17, 20231 in hail · 38 events
- Tornado and Flash Flooding in Kansas, May 10, 2023$16,000 · 1.75 in hail · 28 events
- Flash Flooding and Flood in Alabama, May 10, 2023$5,000 · 52 kt wind · 8 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Gulf of Mexico, May 10, 202350 kt wind · 7 events
- Hail in Iowa, May 10, 20232 in hail · 6 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Missouri, May 10, 20231.5 in hail · 5 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Tennessee, May 10, 2023$7,000 · 1 in hail · 4 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Texas, May 10, 20231 in hail · 4 events
- Hail in Colorado, May 10, 20232.75 in hail · 3 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1086493, 1086505, 1086507, 1086495, 1086491, 1086496, 1086479, 1086509, 1086494, 1086510, 1086497, 1086498, 1086512, 1086492, 1086513, 1086499, 1086501.