Drought conditions overall deteriorated across the state due to an incredibly dry and hot start to the monsoon season. Severe drought expanded across northwest New Mexico in parts of the Northwest Highlands and Far Northwest Highlands.
Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.
Drought conditions overall deteriorated across the state due to an incredibly dry and hot start to the monsoon season. Severe drought expanded across northwest New Mexico in parts of the Northwest Highlands and Far Northwest Highlands. Severe drought also expanded westward across portions of southeastern New Mexico, including the Chaves County Plains and Southwest Chaves County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 11:12 PM MST, 48 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 1212 AM MDT Sat Jul 1 2023 ...New AVIATION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 325 PM MDT Fri Jun 30 2023 Scattered thunderstorms are expected across eastern New Mexico through this evening. A few of these storms may become strong to severe with localized heavy rainfall, large hail, damaging winds, and frequent lightning possible into the evening hours mainly across eastern New Mexico. Increased moisture will continue to bring daily rounds of showers and thunderstorms along and east of the central mountain chain. The subsequent chance of rain day after day could result in burn scar flash flooding. The Albuquerque and Santa Fe metro areas may also experience canyon winds tonight and tomorrow night as gusty outflow winds push in from the east. Western New Mexico will remain hot and dry through next week. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Saturday night) Issued at 325 PM MDT Fri Jun 30 2023 An upper level trough continues to move over the southern and central Rockies, making its way into the Great Plains late this afternoon. An associated speed max aloft (50 to 70 kt at 300 mb) is also overlaying much of NM, and this coupled with healthy 50’s and 60’s dewpoints and consequently elevated CAPE in eastern NM is leading to convective initiation. Sufficient directional turning with height and speed shear will keep a threat of strong to severe storms and supercells going through early evening when the majority of convection is expected to roll eastward and into west TX. High resolution models/ensembles and CAMs are hinting that a second round of storms will impact eastern Colfax, Union and potentially parts of Quay counties later tonight as a convectively-aided cold pool drops into the area from CO. We have tried to capture this in tonight’s POPs, and the other concern will be low stratus clouds and/or mist and fog that develop as the cooler, moist air spills west toward the Rio Grande valley early Saturday morning. Eastern slopes of the central mountain chain would be the prime real estate for stratus development, but a few eastern plains counties (particularly along/near the caprock) may be saturated enough at low levels to join in. Saturday’s stratus may be slow, to erode away in the eastern zones, especially according to the NAM, but should fade into the late morning and early afternoon hours, setting the stage for diurnal destabilization. Whatever moisture spills into the Rio Grande should mix eastward into the early afternoon with the highest dewpoints (low 60’s) pooling in east central NM by Saturday afternoon where highest CAPE values will be focused. Still, isolated to scattered storms should initiate over the Sangre de Cristos, and Sacramentos with ease and also possibly over the Sandia/Manzanos if easterly upslope can sustain itself long enough in the early afternoon hours. Thereafter, the focus will trend toward the east central plains, and while there will be an absence of a trough aloft, sufficient directional shear should keep at least a marginal threat for strong to severe convection Saturday afternoon and evening with an isolated cell or two potentially surviving into early Sunday morning. High temperatures will be near to slightly below average Saturday. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 325 PM MDT Fri Jun 30 2023 Daily rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected through the medium range and extended forecast as the low level moisture continues to ebb and flow from eastern NM across the central mountain chain. A weak shortwave disturbance flowing down from the northwest on Sunday could lead to a few strong to severe storms during the afternoon and evening hours. Potentially damaging storm gusts, large hail, and localized heavy rainfall could all be possible with any stronger storms across eastern and northeastern NM. Burn scar flooding will also be a daily risk. An upper high developing over northern Mexico, southern Arizona, and southwest New Mexico early next week will keep western areas mainly dry. A few virga showers could exist as far west as the Continental Divide if the low level moisture from the east manages to be carried that far by outflows from the east. These convectively-aided easterly winds could once again produce gusty canyon winds in the Albuquerque and Santa Fe metro areas during the late evening hours on Sunday. The work week will see more of the same in terms of showers and thunderstorms each day, particularly along and east of the central mountain chain with a possibility of some storms developing around the Rio Grande Valley. Northwest winds on Monday turn more zonal late Tuesday into Wednesday as the region of high pressure becomes more elongated into a ridge axis south of NM. A jet max reaching the northeastern part of the state on Thursday with another shortwave could spread into the rest of eastern New Mexico on Friday, which could result in stronger winds and fuel additional storm development through the end of the work week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1202 AM MDT Sat Jul 1 2023 Showers and thunderstorms continue to percolate behind an outflow boundary/cold front across northeast NM. These storms will continue to shift east-southeast through 10Z or so. TS may need to be introduced into KTCC if the storms hold together that long. Otherwise, low clouds are expected to develop across portions of eastern NM behind the boundary. Areas along the east slopes of the Central Mountain Chain are favored for MVFR cigs, including KLVS, but low clouds should also stretch eastward toward KTCC and KCVS by 12Z. These low cigs are expected to diminish around 15-16Z. Showers and thunderstorms are expected along the Central Mountain Chain and portions of southeast NM Saturday afternoon. Small hail and gusty winds will be possible with the strongest storms as they track slowly southeastward. A few storms may linger through 04Z Sun. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 325 PM MDT Fri Jun 30 2023 Despite the calendar flipping to July tomorrow, the weather pattern appears to be locked in a holding pattern closer to that of June. Low level moisture and higher humidity values will remain entrenched over the eastern half of New Mexico with nightly surges westward that will commonly mix back eastward during the daytime hours. Look for good to excellent humidity recoveries at night in these eastern zones while western areas observe poor to only occasionally fair recoveries along with dreadfully low afternoon humidity readings. This moisture placement and trend will keep wetting showers and thunderstorms focused near and east of the central mountain chain through the next few days with any storms that do develop between the Continental Divide and the Rio Grande being much more high-based and less efficient at producing appreciable rainfall. Prevailing winds will tend to be moderately breezy (10-20 mph) in the afternoons, but could start to increase slightly in western zones by the middle of next week. Likely the bigger wind concerns will stem from thunderstorm outflows, some of which may occasionally spill westward and accelerate through central gaps and canyons. Gusty east canyon winds appear likely tonight and again Saturday night in the typical vulnerable central NM locations. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 92 56 95 57 / 0 0 5 0 Dulce........................... 86 46 89 45 / 5 5 10 5 Cuba............................ 85 52 89 52 / 5 0 10 10 Gallup.......................... 89 49 92 51 / 0 0 5 5 El Morro........................ 85 50 88 53 / 0 0 10 5 Grants.......................... 89 50 91 49 / 0 0 10 10 Quemado......................... 87 52 90 57 / 0 0 10 5 Magdalena....................... 88 59 88 60 / 0 0 30 10 Datil........................... 86 54 87 56 / 0 0 20 10 Reserve......................... 92 49 95 49 / 0 0 10 5 Glenwood........................ 96 61 100 64 / 0 0 10 5 Chama........................... 79 45 82 46 / 10 5 20 10 Los Alamos...................... 82 59 84 59 / 10 5 30 20 Pecos........................... 81 55 85 55 / 30 10 40 30 Cerro/Questa.................... 79 46 82 46 / 20 10 50 20 Red River....................... 72 42 76 42 / 20 10 60 30 Angel Fire...................... 74 39 75 36 / 30 20 60 30 Taos............................ 84 48 86 48 / 10 10 40 20 Mora............................ 76 48 80 49 / 40 20 60 30 Espanola........................ 90 56 92 55 / 10 5 20 20 Santa Fe........................ 85 58 87 57 / 10 10 30 20 Santa Fe Airport................ 88 56 90 56 / 10 5 20 20 Albuquerque Foothills........... 90 63 95 64 / 5 5 10 10 Albuquerque Heights............. 91 65 95 63 / 5 5 10 10 Albuquerque Valley.............. 93 60 97 62 / 5 0 10 10 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 91 63 95 63 / 5 0 10 10 Belen........................... 94 60 97 58 / 0 0 10 10 Bernalillo...................... 93 62 97 62 / 5 5 10 10 Bosque Farms.................... 93 58 97 57 / 5 0 10 10 Corrales........................ 92 62 97 62 / 5 0 10 10 Los Lunas....................... 94 60 97 59 / 0 0 10 10 Placitas........................ 89 62 93 64 / 5 5 10 10 Rio Rancho...................... 92 62 96 62 / 5 0 10 10 Socorro......................... 96 64 98 64 / 0 0 20 20 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 84 57 86 57 / 10 5 20 20 Tijeras......................... 86 58 89 58 / 10 5 20 20 Edgewood........................ 86 54 89 53 / 10 5 30 20 Moriarty/Estancia............... 87 51 89 48 / 10 5 30 20 Clines Corners.................. 82 53 84 53 / 20 10 30 30 Mountainair..................... 87 55 89 54 / 10 5 30 20 Gran Quivira.................... 88 55 88 57 / 10 10 30 20 Carrizozo....................... 92 61 92 63 / 10 10 30 20 Ruidoso......................... 83 53 82 58 / 20 10 50 30 Capulin......................... 75 52 78 52 / 30 10 60 30 Raton........................... 80 53 82 52 / 30 10 60 20 Springer........................ 82 54 85 54 / 30 20 60 30 Las Vegas....................... 79 53 82 53 / 40 20 60 30 Clayton......................... 81 59 84 60 / 20 10 40 30 Roy............................. 79 57 82 56 / 30 20 60 30 Conchas......................... 87 62 92 62 / 20 20 40 40 Santa Rosa...................... 85 61 89 59 / 20 20 40 30 Tucumcari....................... 86 62 89 63 / 10 20 20 40 Clovis.......................... 85 63 90 63 / 20 20 20 40 Portales........................ 87 63 92 63 / 20 20 20 40 Fort Sumner..................... 88 63 92 62 / 10 20 30 40 Roswell......................... 95 68 97 69 / 20 20 30 20 Picacho......................... 89 61 90 60 / 20 20 50 20 Elk............................. 87 56 88 56 / 20 20 50 20 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...52 LONG TERM....17 AVIATION...34
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
859 PM MDT Fri Jun 30 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0850 PM Hail 2 NNE Yates 36.16N 103.88W
06/30/2023 E1.00 inch Harding NM Trained Spotter
Damage to windows and skylights.
&&Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1129 PM MDT Fri Jun 30 2023
NMZ228-231-010600-
Far Northeast Highlands-Harding County-
1129 PM MDT Fri Jun 30 2023
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN HARDING
AND SOUTHEASTERN COLFAX COUNTIES THROUGH MIDNIGHT MDT...
At 1129 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Chicosa Lake State Park, or 23 miles northwest of Mosquero, moving
northeast at 5 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Roy, Mills and Chicosa Lake State Park.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If threatening weather approaches your area, take shelter in a sturdy
building.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor your preferred
media outlets and NOAA Weather Radio for additional information and
possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3591 10419 3606 10436 3627 10413 3602 10388
TIME...MOT...LOC 0529Z 224DEG 6KT 3605 10419
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
34Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1159 PM MDT Fri Jun 30 2023
NMZ231-010630-
Harding County-
1159 PM MDT Fri Jun 30 2023
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN HARDING
COUNTY THROUGH 1230 AM MDT...
At 1159 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles southeast of Chicosa Lake State Park, or 15 miles north of
Mosquero, moving east at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Roy and Chicosa Lake State Park.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If threatening weather approaches your area, take shelter in a sturdy
building.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor your preferred
media outlets and NOAA Weather Radio for additional information and
possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3583 10378 3592 10426 3610 10422 3610 10379
3608 10379 3608 10371
TIME...MOT...LOC 0559Z 276DEG 15KT 3599 10403
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
34Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1229 AM MDT Sat Jul 1 2023
NMZ228-230-231-010700-
Far Northeast Highlands-Harding County-Union County-
1229 AM MDT Sat Jul 1 2023
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHERN HARDING,
SOUTH CENTRAL UNION AND EASTERN MORA COUNTIES THROUGH 100 AM MDT...
At 1229 AM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles northwest of Bueyeros to 7 miles west
of Roy. Movement was east at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Roy, Bueyeros and Solano.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If threatening weather approaches your area, take shelter in a sturdy
building.
&&
LAT...LON 3599 10334 3578 10412 3578 10417 3595 10449
3614 10373
TIME...MOT...LOC 0629Z 263DEG 26KT 3603 10379 3594 10433
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
34The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
A very dry start to the monsoon season along with record heat in July resulted in the introduction of severe drought across a majority of the zone.
A late onset to the monsoon along with a record warm and dry July allowed severe A very dry start to the monsoon season along with record heat in July resulted in the expansion of severe drought across the southern half of the zone, reaching northward to near Roswell.
A very dry start to the monsoon season along with record heat in July resulted in the introduction of severe drought across a majority of the zone.
A very dry start to the monsoon season along with record heat in July resulted in the introduction of severe drought over far southern portions of the zone, including Lindrith and Regina.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, July 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1105547, 1105554, 1105556, 1105843.