Flash Flooding in New Jersey, December 18, 2023

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service New York NY
455 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Strong low pressure passes through the area today. The low then
tracks north into southeastern Canada tonight with high pressure
slowly building in during Tuesday. High pressure will then remain in
control through the upcoming weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Strong low pressure will be passing through the forecast area along
with a strong low level jet. As of 4AM, the 3 local radars
(KOKX, TJFK and TEWR) are showing 2000ft winds (between 925mb
and 950mb) at 75-80kt. This llj is expected to strengthen mainly
east of NYC over the next few hours, but may strengthen in the
vicinity of the city as well. No changes have been made to the
High Wind Warning. With surface temperatures in the mid-upper
50s, rapid pressure falls helping downward momentum transfer,
and occasional heavy downpours (some potentially with thunder),
still a chance that these areas under the high wind warning see
gusts around 60 mph. The only change to the wind advisory was to
add Northern Westchester County as strong winds aloft may be
collocated with heavier downpours as per latest radar trends.
The threat for advisory and warning-level winds may very well
end by mid-morning in most spots, but will leave the end time of
the wind headlines at noon for the time being as convection in
association with a strengthening low pressure center to our
south passes over or nearby the coastal areas after the strongest
winds aloft have already shifted east. Gusts otherwise will be
in the range of 25-40mph this afternoon.

Flood Watch remains posted for most of the area. Several rivers are
expected to see at least minor flooding starting later this morning,
especially over NE NJ and the Lower Hudson Valley where the rain has
been the heaviest so far, and with upsloping on a SE wind, will see
the most rainfall for the entire event. See the hydrology section
for more details.

Mild with high temperatures around 60, and a chance that some
records are broken. See the climate section below for more
details.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
The low will be north of the area tonight with a brief break in
precipitation. Wrap around moisture in the back side of the storm
with the approach of a closed mid-level will bring a chance of
rain/snow showers well NW of the city late tonight into Tuesday
morning. There may even be slight coating of snow in the higher
terrain of Western Orange County. Dry for Tuesday night with the
flow aloft becoming anticyclonic and surface high pressure building
in.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Upper level low over the eastern Great Lakes region will weaken
into a trough as it moves toward the forecast area. A weak area
of low pressure looks to form along the frontal boundary
offshore, and a blocking pattern will then set up as the trough
becomes an upper level low once again and will interact with the
weak surface low offshore, becoming vertically stacked by the
middle of the week. With a blocked pattern over the region, the
surface high that builds in during Tuesday night will remain over
the area through next weekend. This will sustain a period of dry
weather Wednesday through Sunday.

The area will be on the eastern side of the high during much of the
week, with a northwest to northerly flow for much time. This will
lead to seasonable temperatures with highs in the 40s.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
   HIGH IMPACT AVIATION EVENT TODAY...

Strong low pressure approaches from the south this morning and then
lifts to the north and east, dragging a cold front through area this
afternoon.

Widespread IFR/LIFR conditions this morning with improvement behind
the departing surface low and cold front in the afternoon.
Conditions are forecast to improve to MVFR in the afternoon,
becoming VFR by late afternoon for all but KGON, which could take
into early Monday evening.

ESE peak winds occurring now thru 12Z or so, 20-30kt G30-50kt, with
strongest along the coast. Slow improvement late morning through the
afternoon, with winds veering to S/SW late morning, then W/NW around
20kt G30-35kt in the afternoon into early evening. Winds will then
gradually diminish and back to the SW G20-25kt Monday evening.

     NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Isolated 50 kt gusts this morning (through about 12Z), especially at
KJFK and KLGA.

Gusts after 13Z could be more occasional than frequent until low
passes to the east in the early afternoon.

Timing of flight categories could vary by 1-2 hours.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Late Tonight: Mainly VFR, chance of MVFR at KSWF in a rain and/or
snow shower. W/SW 10-15 G20kt.

Tuesday: Chance of a rain and/or snow shower. MVFR, possibly IFR,
especially in any snow showers. WNW G20-25kt in the afternoon.

Wednesday through Friday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90&&

.MARINE...
Storm Warning remains in effect through this morning on all waters.
Gales will then prevail this afternoon on the ocean and perhaps over
the eastern bays and eastern LI Sound. Otherwise, solid SCA
conditions this afternoon for the rest of the waters. Ocean seas are
expected to range roughly up to 16-21ft during the day today.

All waters will probably be experiencing SCA conds by midnight
tonight, then as winds continue to subside, conditions should be
below advisory thresholds by the end of tonight on the non-ocean
waters. Seas remain elevated on the ocean through at least the end
of the week as long period swells from an offshore storm keep waves
elevated.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Mostly 2 to 4 inches of rainfall with locally higher amounts
possible are expected by the end of today. Periods of heavy rain
should continue through mid-morning. The highest amounts are
expected in portions of northeastern New Jersey, into the Lower
Hudson Valley, and possibly into portions of Southwestern
Connecticut (Fairfield County). With flooding of fast responding
streams possibly reaching moderate flooding benchmarks, and flooding
of poor drainage and urban areas, and localized to scattered flash
flooding becoming more likely, the Flood Watch remains in effect
tonight through this afternoon. A few of the faster responding
streams of northeastern New Jersey may even reach major flooding
benchmarks. Residual river flooding will then continue tonight as
levels subside. Afterwards, no hydrologic impacts expected through
next weekend.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Coastal flood warnings continue for southern Queens, southern
and eastern portions of LI and coastal CT, and expanded for NE
NJ as widespread moderate coastal flooding is likely with the
daytime high tide cycle today. This includes the tidally affected
rivers, particularly Hudson and Hackensack rivers, where the surge
is favored to be forced upstream by the strong southerly flow. There
is potential for locally major flood thresholds to be reached for
southern Queens, SW LI and twin forks, if windshift occurs near or
after the time of high tide.

Elsewhere, minor to locally moderate coastal flood potential exists
for NE LI and northern portions of NYC.

Peak surge of 3 1/2 to 5 ft will likely be between high tidal cycles
this morning. A later timing of windshift closer to today's early
afternoon time of high tide will aid potential for major flood
thresholds to be reached or exceeded for the most vulnerable
southern Queens, SW and E LI portions of the area. This will likely
not be evident until the time of high tide is approaching. Forecast
is a blend of 75th percentile of PETSS, Stevens, and deterministic
ESTOFS.

Heavy rainfall and/or runoff coinciding with this afternoon's high
tides will exacerbate street and property flooding issues along the
coast and tidally affected rivers.

Along the ocean beachfront, potential exists for 12-16 ft breakers
today (8-12ft for NYC beachfront), which combined with elevated
water levels, will likely result in widespread dune erosion and
scattered overwashes.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Record high temperatures for December 18th...
EWR...64/1937
BDR...61/1937
NYC...63/1964
LGA...63/2006
JFK...64/1984
ISP...59/1984

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Flood Watch through this afternoon for CTZ005>007-009>011.
     Wind Advisory until noon EST today for CTZ005>007.
     High Wind Warning until noon EST today for CTZ008>012.
     Coastal Flood Warning until 6 PM EST this evening for
     CTZ009>012.
NY...Flood Watch through this afternoon for NYZ067>075-176-178.
     Wind Advisory until noon EST today for NYZ070>074.
     High Wind Warning until noon EST today for NYZ075-078>081-
     176>179.
     Coastal Flood Warning until 6 PM EST this evening for NYZ071-
     079>081-178-179.
     Coastal Flood Warning from 10 AM this morning to 4 PM EST this
     afternoon for NYZ074-075.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for NYZ072-
     073-078-176-177.
NJ...Flood Watch through this afternoon for NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
     Wind Advisory until noon EST today for NJZ006-104-106-108.
     Coastal Flood Warning from 10 AM this morning to 4 PM EST this
     afternoon for NJZ006-104-106-108.
MARINE...Storm Warning until 1 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ331-332-335-
     338-340-345-350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JC/JP
NEAR TERM...JC
SHORT TERM...JC
LONG TERM...JP
AVIATION...DW
MARINE...JC/JP
HYDROLOGY...JC/JP
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
CLIMATE...

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

NYZ176-181100-
Northern Queens-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ178-181100-
Southern Queens-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ007-181100-
Northern Middlesex-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ008-181100-
Northern New London-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ079-081-181100-
Northeast Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ078-177-181100-
Northwest Suffolk-Northern Nassau-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ012-181100-
Southern New London-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ011-181100-
Southern Middlesex-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ080-179-181100-
Southwest Suffolk-Southern Nassau-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NJZ006-104-106-108-NYZ074-181100-
Hudson-Eastern Bergen-Eastern Essex-Eastern Union-
Richmond (Staten Island)-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
MONDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 4 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast New Jersey and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ009-010-181100-
Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ071-181100-
Southern Westchester-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Warning.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Warning.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ072-073-181100-
New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ075-181100-
Kings (Brooklyn)-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
MONDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 4 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   Coastal Flood Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NJZ002-004-103-105-107-NYZ067>070-181100-
Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Western Bergen-Western Essex-
Western Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast New Jersey and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ005-006-181100-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-181100-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the
Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
316 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service New York NY
436 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0406 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 2 N Tompkinsville       40.66N 74.06W
12/18/2023  M66 MPH          ANZ338             NY   Mesonet

            Mesonet station ROBN4 Robbins Reef, NJ.

&&

DSR

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service New York NY
439 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 2 W Fresh Meadows       40.73N 73.82W
12/18/2023  M58 MPH          Queens             NY   Mesonet

            Mesonet station QUEE Kew Garden Hills.

&&

DSR

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service New York NY
444 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 3 SSE Higganum          41.46N 72.53W
12/18/2023                   Middlesex          CT   Trained Spotter

            Spotter reports fallen tree on Rt 9
            southbound in Haddam. Left lane blocked.

&&

DSR

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service New York NY
452 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0428 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 SSE Head of the Harbo 40.89N 73.16W
12/18/2023                   Suffolk            NY   Dept of Highways

            DOT reports downed tree on NY 25A both
            directions at Harbor Hill Road (Taylor Lane)
            (Suffolk) all lanes blocked.

&&

DSR