D3 Extreme Drought extended across nearly all of these counties for the month. However there was a small sliver of D2 Severe Drought in western Dundy County.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GLD wrote it up.
D3 Extreme Drought extended across nearly all of these counties for the month. However there was a small sliver of D2 Severe Drought in western Dundy County. Precipitation amounts ranged from half an inch to an inch and a half. This was near normal to an inch below normal.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 28, 11:16 PM CST, 44 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 1016 PM MST Tue Feb 28 2023 .UPDATE... Issued at 502 PM MST Tue Feb 28 2023 As widespread critical fire conditions are no longer being met, Tuesday's Red Flag Warning will be allowed to expire. Localized critical fire weather conditions may still be possible for the next hour or two as winds turn more northwesterly going into the evening. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday) Issued at 145 PM MST Tue Feb 28 2023 Tonight...a cold front moves through the area. Northwest winds of 10 to 25 mph with higher gusts early this evening slowly decrease through the night, becoming light and variable by sunrise Wednesday morning. Low temperatures are forecast to be in the middle teens to middle 20s. Wednesday-Wednesday night...mid level cloudiness increases from the southwest through the morning, decreasing some in the afternoon. Cant rule out a light rain shower as this wave moves through around the noon hour. Moisture in the 850-500mb layer steadily increases after midnight during the night in between an approaching upper level trough to our northwest and a closed upper level low near the Arizona/New Mexico border. It appears that snow will break out over the northwest half of the area by sunrise Thursday morning. However, there are differences in where the better moisture exists with the NAM oriented northeast-southwest across the heart of the forecast area while the GFS has the better moisture across the southeast half of the forecast area. The ECMWF is similar to the NAM. High temperatures are forecast to be in the upper 30s to lower 50s. Low temperatures are forecast to be in the lower to middle 20s. Thursday-Thursday night...the forecast area will be under wraparound snowfall during the day and into the evening as the upper low moves east into northern Texas during the afternoon, lifting slightly northeast into Arkansas overnight. Snowfall amounts during the day are currently forecast to range from 1 to 3 inches with an additional trace to 1/2 inch during the night. High temperatures are forecast to be in the upper 20s to middle 30s. Low temperatures are forecast to be in the middle teens to around 20. Friday...the upper flow becomes zonal with dry weather expected. High temperatures rebound back into the lower to middle 40s. .LONG TERM...(Friday night through Tuesday) Issued at 1150 AM MST Tue Feb 28 2023 Friday night: Long range guidance indicates that broad cyclonic flow aloft will prevail over the CONUS at the end of the work week. Operational runs of the GFS/ECMWF suggest that a small amplitude wave -- progged to progress ashore the PAC NW Thursday night -- will progress southeastward into the central Rockies (Fri evening) then eastward across the Central Plains (Fri night). While light precipitation /snow/ may accompany this feature.. the progressive nature of the upper wave -- i.e. short 'window of opportunity' -- suggests that significant/impactful precipitation is unlikely. Given that the wave in question has yet to even evolve -- and will not move ashore the PAC NW until Thu night -- confidence (in general) is below average. Saturday-Tuesday: Long range guidance suggests that a relatively flat, unidirectional (albeit speedy) westerly flow pattern will prevail over central and southern portions of the CONUS in this period -- between a west-east elongated ridge at low latitudes (15-25N) and a west-east elongated trough at high latitudes (50-60N) -- with the Tri-State area predominately situated on the southern /anticyclonic shear/ side of a strong (~150 knot) upper level jet. In such a pattern, one would [generally] expect dry conditions. At this time -- and at this range, in particular -- steering the forecast toward climatology appears to be the most prudent course of action. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night) Issued at 1014 PM MST Tue Feb 28 2023 KGLD looks to see VFR conditions during the 06Z TAF period starting with north-northwesterly winds around 8 kts that become variable around 6 kts at 08Z with a surface high starting to move through the area. By 18Z, KGLD winds become westerly around 8 kts before becoming southeasterly at 10 kts by 21Z and then east- southeasterly at 01Z. KMCK also expects VFR conditions throughout the 06Z TAF period beginning with northwesterly winds around 10 kts and northwesterly LLWS of 40 kts at 2 kft. KMCK expects to see its winds turn westerly around 7 kts by 09Z before winds become west- northwesterly at 12Z when the LLWS is expected to end. At 17Z, KMCK winds become variable around 5 kts and then easterly around 7 kts at 01Z. By 05Z, KMCK expects east-northeasterly winds around 11 kts through the end of the forecast period. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. CO...NONE. NE...NONE. && UPDATE...076 SHORT TERM...99 LONG TERM...Vincent AVIATION...076
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Goodland KS 606 PM MST Tue Feb 28 2023 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-020115- Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas- Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- 606 PM MST Tue Feb 28 2023 /706 PM CST Tue Feb 28 2023/ This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska... northwest Kansas and east central Colorado. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... Light accumulating snow of 1 to 4 inches are currently forecast to fall across the Tri-State area Thursday through Thursday evening. Snowpacked roadways and reduced visibilities may occur. Residents and travelers are encouraged to stay tuned for updates. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected tonight.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Precipitation for the month ranged from 0.50-1.50. This was an inch below normal to near normal. Normal precipitation amounts range from 1.00-1.50.
Precipitation for the month ranged from 0.50-1.00. This was half an inch to an inch below normal. Normal precipitation amounts range from 1.00-1.50.
Precipitation for the month ranged from 0.50-1.50. This was near normal. Normal precipitation amounts range from 1.00-1.50.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Nebraska in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, March 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1085538, 1085540, 1085537.