Arkansas, 2023

Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Arkansas, March 1 to 3, 2023

March 1 to 3, 2023 · NWS LZK · 47 events in 22 counties and zones

March certainly roared in like a lion across the state with back to back severe weather events on March 1st and 2nd into the 3rd. Storms on these days led to a few tornadoes as well as hail as large as 3 inches in diameter.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
5
Property damage
$6.1 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
47

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.

March certainly roared in like a lion across the state with back to back severe weather events on March 1st and 2nd into the 3rd. Storms on these days led to a few tornadoes as well as hail as large as 3 inches in diameter. Very heavy rainfall was noted across the area as well which led to flash flooding and widespread river flooding. One fatality occurred because of the flooding in Scott County on March 2nd.

As the air heated up, and the atmosphere destabilized, severe thunderstorms were triggered by the front during the late afternoon and evening. The storms produced very large hail, and also caused spotty wind damage. Hail slightly larger than baseballs was reported at Woodlawn (Cleveland County), with ping pong ball size stones near Benton (Saline County) and west of Stuttgart (Arkansas County), and half dollar size hail a few miles north of Norman (Montgomery County). At Rison (Cleveland County), wind gusts up to 85 mph ripped the roof off of a church and a strip mall. Part of a brick facade was removed from latter structure. Trees were also toppled, with one tree blocking Highway 79.

The front on the 1st advanced toward the Louisiana border and stalled. The front was followed by cooler air. On the 2nd, all eyes were on a powerful storm system in the southern Rockies. In response to the approaching system, the front began lifting back to the north. By 400 pm CST, the front cleared the southern counties, and temperatures warmed into the 70s. However, readings north of Little Rock (Pulaski County) were mostly in the 50s.

As the system neared in the late afternoon, it interacted with the front and round two of thunderstorms commenced from central/northeast Texas into southeast Oklahoma. Eventually, storms congealed into a line and raced toward Arkansas. As the storms progressed into the state after dark, it was clear that severe weather (including tornadoes) was most likely south of the front (in mild air), with mainly heavy to excessive rain farther north (where cooler conditions existed).

Between 900 pm and 1000 pm CST, trees were pushed over by straight-line winds west of Y City (Scott County). About this time, rain was coming down in buckets across Scott and Yell Counties, and numerous roads were flooded/about to flood. At Boles (Scott County), there was a report of people surrounded by water and unable to leave their home.

As the night wore on, the Poteau River at Cauthron (Scott County) rose 15 feet in a hurry. The same swollen river swept a pickup truck off of Highway 80 on the east side of Waldron (Scott County). Tragically, the driver (a grandfather trying to visit his grandson) drowned. A traffic camera (provided by the Arkansas Department of Transportation) along Highway 71 south of Boles (Scott County) showed the Fourche La Fave River almost as high as the bridge over the tributary. Eventually, the pavement was inundated and became impassible. As roads turned into lakes, a vehicle stalled at Parks (Scott County), and two individuals were rescued. Similar rescues were ongoing in Yell County, and one person was transported from Corinth to a hospital in Danville (both in Yell County).

Shortly before 1100 pm CST, a tornado (rated EF2) was spawned just to the north of Kirby (Pike County). A few mobile homes were heavily damaged (resulting in three injuries). One mobile home was rolled and obliterated. Miraculously, two of the four occupants only had minor injuries. Several homes suffered roof damage, and two chicken houses were destroyed.

A couple of hours later, thunderstorm winds downed/snapped trees along Highway 229 about four miles north of Carthage (Dallas County). A few minutes before 200 am CST on the 3rd, a brief weak tornado (rated EF0) touched down in open fields east of Altheimer (Jefferson County). The tornado took out some trees along Highway 58.

Elsewhere, a weak tornado (rated EF1) was identified west of Fouke (Miller County). More trees were blown down southwest of Hope (Hempstead County) and northeast of Nashville (Howard County). Wind gusts as high as 70 to 80 mph roughed up barns, outbuildings, and signs between Damascus (Faulkner/Van Buren Counties) and Rose Bud (White County). A recreational vehicle was crushed by a fallen tree at Enola (Faulkner County).

As far as rain, there was a lot of it. Two to more than four inches of rain was common across the northern half of the state in the twenty four hour period ending at 600 am CST on the 3rd. Waldron (Scott County) had 4.90 inches of precipitation, with 4.88 inches at Blue Mountain Dam (Yell County), 4.72 inches at Danville (Yell County), 4.45 inches at Abbott (Scott County), 4.22 inches at Dardanelle (Yell County), 3.87 inches at Booneville (Logan County), 3.70 inches at Mountain View (Stone County), 3.65 inches at Gilbert (Searcy County), 3.57 inches at Calico Rock (Izard County), 3.54 inches at Mena (Polk County), 3.50 inches at Damascus (Van Buren County), 3.47 inches at Marshall (Searcy County) and Morrilton (Conway County), and 3.40 inches at Conway (Faulkner County).

Given so much rain, there was a landslide near the intersection of Highways 103 and 215 west of Oark (Johnson County). Before dawn on the 3rd, the Spring River at Hardy (Sharp County) went up six feet in two hours, was in danger of reaching a level of 14 feet (four feet above the flood stage). As a precaution, folks in homes near the river were asked to evacuate.

The rain on the 2nd/early on the 3rd was in addition to the precipitation that fell on the 1st, especially from central into southeast Arkansas. In this part of the state, two or more inches of liquid was measured in places. This included Cane Creek State Park (Lincoln County), Keo (Lonoke County), Marianna (Lee County), Pine Bluff (Jefferson County), Sheridan (Grant County), and Stuttgart (Arkansas County).

On the 3rd, there was moderate to major flooding on the Petit Jean River, and minor to moderate flooding on the Black, Cache, Fourche La Fave, Little Red, Ouachita, Saline, Spring, and White Rivers. Concerns were growing that river levels could go even higher if a wet pattern continued into early spring.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 1, 5:37 PM CST, 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 1, 5:37 PM CST, 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
537 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 159 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

...Current Mesoscale Update...

Vissat imgry depicted some high cloud debris from stronger
convection over the DFW area earlier this morning, and a lingering
low-lvl stratocumulus field across much of the state. Of greater
concern is some clearing noted across southwestern and southern
Arkansas. Recent sfc obs indicated a stalled frnt draped across the
state, extending from the DFW area N/E towards the Mena/De Queen
area, to near far N/Ern AR, as depicted by sfc dewpoint and Theta-E
fields. To the north and northwest of this bndry, far more stable
air exists, and a minimal to near zero threat for severe weather
will exist through the evening.

Along this bndry and to the south of it, a more unstable environment
exists, per area mesoanalysis data, w/ a plume of MLCAPE of 500 to
1000 J/kg extending to near the sfc bndry, and values in excess of
1500 J/kg over portions of S/Wrn and Srn AR where clearing of cloud
cover/mixing/gulf transport appears to be most prominent as of now.

18Z RAOBs from across the ARKLATEX area suggested moderate mid-lvl
CIN still in place, however given satellite trends, would expect any
lingering inhibition to continue eroding through the afternoon.
Additionally, ample buoyancy was observed by both SHV/LZK w/ MUCAPE
in excess of 1000 to 1500 J/kg.

Low-lvl convergence was also evident along this stalled bndry per
recent mosaic radar imgry w/ light showers and a few storms already
evident over Ern AR and portions of the I-40 corridor in AR...should
light to moderate precipitation continue over this area through the
afternoon, this could limit a more northward covg of storms and
severe potential tonight.

...Through Tonight...

Overall trends regarding severe wx for portions of Cntrl and Srn AR
have moved upward, w/ increasing confidence on severe weather
hazards, including large hail, damaging winds, and possibly a few
tornadoes.

Confidence has increased enough to warrant the
introduction of an ENH risk area over much of Cntrl and Srn AR.
12Z HREF guidance remains supportive of a favorable environment
across the southern half of Arkansas through Wed afternoon and
evening...SBCAPE values of 1000-1500 J/kg w/ minimal CIN...ample
bulk shear of 60+ kts invof a jet streak maneuvering thru mean H500
S/Wrly flow.

Pt fcst soundings around the current risk area depict
favorable thermal profiles, w/ predominantly unidirectional
vertical shear...however pt fcst hodographs do indicate some low-
level cyclonic curvature, which may result in an attendant threat
for a few tornadoes from any discrete supercells that
materialize...Otherwise, rather linear hodographs should result in
splitting supercell mechanics, and a clustered storm-mode through
the evening. Given this, an elevated threat for damaging hail,
including significant hail (2 inches or greater in diameter) will
be seen across the Srn and Cntrl portions of the state, with
damaging winds possible as well from any merging clusters and
resulting squalls/bowing echoes.

Flood potential will also begin increasing rapidly today thanks to
storms interacting with a very anomalously moist troposphere. A
plume of PWAT values nearing 2 inches will overspread the SErn half
of AR by this evening with these values near/exceeding the 99.5
percentile per NAEFS climo. Flow geometry supports training
convection with stronger cells/supercells capable of producing
impressive rain rates. This will allow localized swaths of rain up
to a few/several inches and an associated flash flood threat. Given
a southward trend of expected QPF, and multiple training supercells
expected to move over the southern half of the state Wed evening,
have opted to expand the current Flood Watch further southward.

...Thursday...

Will opt to recycle the discussion for Thursday from the mid-shift
as nothing the dayshift did could really improve upon their work.
Main talking points for Thursday will still be the uncertainty
regarding the northward extent of the wrm frnt, which could greatly
limit the extent of severe weather potential Thursday night...

Despite the exit of upper shortwave troughing Wed night, lingering
instability and ongoing WAA aloft will support at least some
convective potential overnight into Thurs morning, some of which may
be severe. This will also be a crucial trend to monitor thru
today/tonight as this area of convection may alter the warm sector,
potentially reconfiguring the greatest severe threat area later in
the day.

Additionally, guidance remains persistent in its depiction of
showers with embedded thunder lingering over portions of central/Nrn
AR during the morning and afternoon. Deep moisture, including very
moist low-levels, suggests the development of a strong Swrd moving
cold pool is unlikely, although even modestly rain-cooled air will
have the potential to push the warm front Swrd. As mentioned above,
model variability remains regarding this particular evolution with
lingering questions about the northward extent of the best BL air
and warm sector.

A Swrd trend is noted based on consecutive model runs, but to what
degree this will occur remains unclear. Locations along/south of the
boundary will see instability on the order of 2000 to 2500
SBCAPE/MLCAPE as well as strong moisture convergence along the
boundary. As of this writing, this boundary appears most likely to
set up from near Mena to Hot Springs to Stuttgart to near Holly
Springs, MS, but again, this will likely change in future cycles. A
more Srn shift would push us towards a best case scenario for AR,
but a more Nrn shift will push us towards a more worst case scenario
with more of AR in the volatile warm sector.

Further complicating the Thurs severe threat are progged phasing
issues between the warm sector and more robust forcing for ascent.
The incoming upper trough/cyclone will assume a negative tilt as it
approaches AR, but only neutral to weak height falls are expected
thru much of the day. After 03/00Z, more impressive height falls
begin to overspread the warm sector, thus supporting an increase in
more intense convection. This will occur in tandem with a rapid
increase in tropospheric flow as a 160 to 180 kt upper jet impinges
on the area and a very intense 70 to 80 kt LLJ develops by evening.

Storm modes and timing also remain nebulous, partly due to the lack
of more robust synoptic forcing during the day and the yet-to-be-
determined ability for moisture convergence along the boundary, or
free convection within the somewhat capped warm sector, to generate
storms. BRN values exceeding 10 indicate enough shear/instability
balance for organized modes once initiation occurs with multiple
modes likely, including strong supercells and clusters/segments.
Upscale growth along an Ewrd-racing cold front Thurs night will
support an intense squall line during the overnight hours.

Enough shear/curvature/instability will exist such that all severe
hazards will be possible anytime Thurs, but the developing LLJ
during the evening will significantly enlarge hodographs with SRH
values jumping to between 400 to 600+ m^2/s^2 within the warm
sector, and especially near the boundary. This presents a concerning
scenario regarding tornado potential with the parameter space more
than adequate for several strong/violent tornadoes along/S of the
boundary.

The ejecting cyclone late Thurs will cause the warm sector to
quickly surge Nwrd immediately ahead of a NEwrd moving sfc cyclone,
progged to move across NWrn AR during the overnight. This may offer
some window for pre-squall-line convection over central/Ern AR
before widespread damaging winds and embedded tornadic circulations
within the squall line sweep W to E across the Srn half of the area
Thurs night. Convection will end by dawn with lingering wrap around
moisture supporting rainfall across Nrn AR during the day Fri,
although this will be much more benign with the severe threat ending
by 03/12Z.

Bottom line: an outbreak of severe weather is still likely
Thurs/Thurs night, but the highest threat will reside along and S of
the warm front, the placement of which remains unclear and may
continue to present high uncertainty thru the event.

Flooding will also be likely thru Fri morning as moisture parameters
remain very high thanks to continued strong moisture advection.
Training storms are likely along/north of the front. This area was
recently inundated with several inches of rain with NASA SPoRT-LIS
data showing a swath of soil moisture values near the 95th
percentile stretching from near DEQ to near MEM. Given moisture
parameters and the potential for a few to several inches or more of
QPF, flash flooding will be likely, some of which could be
significant. The White River Basin has several points still in flood
as of this morning with worsening hydrologic conditions expected
within that basin and new flooding possible in other basins. There
is some lingering uncertainty with the QPF footprint with the latest
guidance hinting at a NWwrd shift in max amounts, so further
adjustments one way or another are possible.

Apologies for this novel of an AFD.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 159 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

Northwest wind behind the cold front will bring cooler and drier air
to the state, with low temps falling into the mid 30s to lower 40s
(near average) by Friday night. High pressure will shift eastward
across the region through early next week, with warmer than average
temps forecast through the remainder of the forecast period. Highs
will be in the 60s/70s through early next week. Low temps will
gradually increase through the period, in the 50s/60s by Monday
night.

Dry and mostly clear conditions are forecast through the weekend.
Widespread cloud cover returns Monday, with rain chances by Tuesday,
as southerly flow returns warmer air and moisture from the Gulf and
another front enters the region.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 529 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

A cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms to the area
overnight. A few thunderstorms could become severe with large hail
and damaging winds the main threats. It appears there will be a
break in the precipitation Thursday morning, but redevelopment is
expected in the afternoon. Mainly MVFR and IFR conditions are
expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     52  60  49  57 /  80  70 100  50
Camden AR         63  73  51  62 /  90  90 100  20
Harrison AR       45  60  41  49 /  20  70 100  80
Hot Springs AR    56  68  47  59 /  90  90 100  40
Little Rock   AR  57  66  50  61 / 100  90 100  40
Monticello AR     64  75  54  66 /  90  90 100  20
Mount Ida AR      56  68  46  57 /  80  90 100  40
Mountain Home AR  46  61  44  51 /  30  70 100  70
Newport AR        53  61  52  58 /  90  70 100  50
Pine Bluff AR     61  72  53  63 / 100  90 100  30
Russellville AR   53  63  47  55 /  60  80 100  50
Searcy AR         53  63  49  59 / 100  80 100  40
Stuttgart AR      59  69  54  61 / 100  90 100  40

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Friday morning for ARZ004>008-014>017-024-
025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>064-103-112-113-121>123-130-
137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-340-
341.

&&

SHORT TERM...72
LONG TERM....71
AVIATION...51
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 1, 5:27 AM CST, 12 hours 20 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
527 AM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-021100-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
527 AM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Severe storms will be possible over the southeastern half of
Arkansas through tonight. Large to potentially significant hail
and damaging winds will be the main threats, although isolated
tornadoes will also be possible. The threat for flash flooding
will increase today as well.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

A much more substantial severe threat is expected Thursday and
Thursday night when a regional outbreak of severe weather appears
likely, including the potential for several strong tornadoes,
widespread damaging winds, and large hail.

The threat for flash flooding and river flooding will also
increase markedly by Thursday as several inches of rain will fall
over already saturated grounds. Some flooding may be significant.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will be needed through Thursday night.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

69

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 1, 3:53 PM CST, 1 hour 54 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
353 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

ARZ044-045-055-056-012230-
Pulaski AR-Grant AR-Lonoke AR-Jefferson AR-
353 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Lonoke,
east central Grant, northwestern Jefferson and southeastern Pulaski
Counties through 430 PM CST...

At 352 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Redfield, or 14 miles northeast of Sheridan, moving northeast at 40
mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
England...                        Redfield...
Keo...                            Hensley Island...
Pine Bluff Arsenal...             Tucker...
Bredlow Corner...                 Jefferson...
Wright...                         Lock and Dam 5 Park...
Kearney...                        Tar Camp Park...
F.B. Baugh Recreation Area...     Ferda...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for central and
southeastern Arkansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3432 9227 3434 9233 3437 9234 3466 9201
      3444 9188
TIME...MOT...LOC 2152Z 232DEG 36KT 3442 9219

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

72

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 107 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:46 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

17 heavy rain, 12 thunderstorm wind, 9 hail, 6 flash flood, 3 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Montgomery

When
March 1, 5:47 PM CST
Where
Montgomery County, 2.28 mi E of Mimosa
Measured
1.25 in hail
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
34.500, -93.690

A COOP observer sent pictures of hail of at least half-dollar size hail to the office.

Hail, Garland

When
March 1, 6:30 PM CST
Where
Garland County, 3.08 mi NW of Hot Spgs
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Amateur Radio
Coordinates
34.530, -93.090

An amateur radio operator reported 1 inch hail on Cedar Glades Rd. on the northwest side of Hot Springs.

Hail, Saline

When
March 1, 6:55 PM CST
Where
Saline County, Benton Saline Co Arp
Measured
1.5 in hail
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
34.570, -92.600

A member of the broadcast media shared a picture of hail 1.5 inches in diameter in Benton.

Hail, Saline

When
March 1, 6:55 PM CST
Where
Saline County, Crows
Measured
0.75 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
34.620, -92.770

Three quarter inch hail was reported by the public via mPING.

Hail, Saline

When
March 1, 6:56 PM CST
Where
Saline County, 1.14 mi W of Bauxite Jct
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
34.580, -92.540

This report was sent via mPING.

Hail, Prairie

When
March 1, 7:53 PM CST
Where
Prairie County, 6.91 mi S of Fairmount
Measured
1.5 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
34.500, -91.600

Hail, Arkansas

When
March 1, 7:55 PM CST
Where
Arkansas County, Stuttgart
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.500, -91.550

Thunderstorm Wind, Cleveland

When
March 1, 8:08 PM CST
Where
Cleveland County, 0.57 mi W of Rison
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.950, -92.190

A metal outbuilding was destroyed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Cleveland

When
March 1, 8:10 PM CST
Where
Cleveland County, 1.34 mi WSW of Rison
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.940, -92.200

Numerous large trees were blown down southwest of Rison.

Hail, Cleveland

When
March 1, 8:11 PM CST
Where
Cleveland County, 0.9 mi NW of Rison
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.960, -92.190

A carport was also reported blown over. The report was received through social media.

Hail, Cleveland

When
March 1, 8:24 PM CST
Where
Cleveland County, 0.9 mi NW of Woodlawn
Measured
3 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.980, -92.040

The report was received through social media.

Thunderstorm Wind, Calhoun

When
March 1, 10:07 PM CST
Where
Calhoun County, 2.07 mi S of Thornton
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
33.750, -92.480

Minor roof damage was reported along with trees down along Hwy. 167 south of Thornton.

Thunderstorm Wind, Cleveland

When
March 1, 10:19 PM CST
Where
Cleveland County, 0.9 mi NW of Rison
Measured
74 kt (85 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
33.960, -92.190

The NWS storm damage survey revealed 85 mph thunderstorm winds produced damage in a swath across the city of Rison Wednesday evening. The time is radar estimated.

Flash Flood, Jefferson

When
March 1, 11:05 PM CST to March 2, 2:05 AM CST
Where
Jefferson County, 0.93 mi ESE of Brewster to 1.08 mi ESE of Brewster
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
34.195, -92.005

A report was received of 34th St. between Main and Chestnut was under water.

Flash Flood, Scott

When
March 2, 9:06 PM CST to March 3, 12:06 AM CST
Where
Scott County, Boles to 0.62 mi E of Boles
Cause
Heavy Rain
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.780, -94.050

Numerous roads have been flooded throughout Scott County. However, in Boles there was a report that some people were isolated in their home due to rising flood waters. A man was found drowned the next day when flood waters began to recede, so the timing of death is uncertain. His age is unknown, but he was likely an older adult as he was described as a grandfather. He likely drove into floodwaters and got washed off the road sometime between the night of the 2nd and the morning of the 3rd.

Thunderstorm Wind, Scott

When
March 2, 9:06 PM CST
Where
Scott County, 1.49 mi SSE of Nella
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.730, -94.160

Numerous trees were reported down across the southern portion of Scott County.

Flash Flood, Scott

When
March 2, 10:23 PM CST to March 3, 1:23 AM CST
Where
Scott County, 0.57 mi W of Waldron to 1.55 mi SSW of Waldron
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.900, -94.090

The emergency manager reported widespread 7 to 8 inch rainfall amounts across Scott County, the flood storage system was at full capacity, and main bridges across the county were under water.

Thunderstorm Wind, Pike

When
March 2, 10:50 PM CST
Where
Pike County, 0.57 mi W of Kirby
Measured
78 kt (90 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$6.0 million
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.250, -93.640

The emergency manager reported 20 or 30 homes in and around Kirby damaged or destroyed. Several chicken houses were also destroyed and numerous trees were blown down.

Tornado, Pike

When
March 2, 10:50 PM CST to 10:53 PM CST
Where
Pike County, 0.78 mi WNW of Kirby to 1.62 mi NNE of Kirby
Rating
EF2
Path length
1.8 mi
Path width
300 yd
Injuries
5 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
34.254, -93.643

This tornado started just north of Kirby, completely destroying|two chicken houses on the west side of Arkansas Highway 27. The tornado|moved north-northeast along highway 27, causing moderate roof|damage to a home, and snapping several large trees at their|trunks. The tornado continued to move north-northeast,|paralleling Ebenezer Road where it did the most significant|damage. Several tree lines along the road had snapped trunks. A|mobile home on Ebenezer Road, which had securing tie-down straps,|was completely lofted, rolled, and tossed approximately 100 feet|into a tree line, completely destroying it. There were|4 occupants, two only had minor injuries. Farther east on|Ebenezer road, the tornado damaged a few more mobile homes. The|first one was shifted off of it's supporting blocks, and some|roof and siding damage was observed. There were three minor|injuries noted among the occupants, and were transported to a|local hospital. In the neighboring lot to the east, a large oak|tree was uprooted onto a brand new mobile home, smashing the|structure in the middle, twisting the supporting frame, snapping|two of the tie-down straps, and effectively destroying the unit.|There were no occupants at the time of the tornado. The tornado|continued moving northeast of Ebenezer road, snapping several|trees and power poles along the road. Damage was observed along|Mason Road, with numerous large trees uprooted and snapped. A few|large trees were blown onto a home on Mason Road, but only minor|damage was observed on the home. The tornado dissipated shortly|thereafter. This tornado was rated an EF2 with estimated peak winds|of 135 mph.

Flash Flood, Yell

When
March 2, 10:51 PM CST to March 3, 1:51 AM CST
Where
Yell County, 0.57 mi W of Danville to 1.04 mi WSW of Danville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
35.050, -93.390

Street flooding was reported in Danville. Park Ave. was closed among other roads.

Thunderstorm Wind, Van Buren

When
March 2, 11:05 PM CST
Where
Van Buren County, 0.89 mi SE of Damascus
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
35.370, -92.410

Shingles were blown off a house in Damascus. Multiple trees were blown down across northern Faulkner County.

Thunderstorm Wind, Van Buren

When
March 2, 11:05 PM CST to 11:09 PM CST
Where
Van Buren County, 1.58 mi E of Damascus to 1.38 mi N of Gravesville
Measured
70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
35.378, -92.392

Peak winds were estimated to be between 70 and 80 mph. Damage |occurred along and parallel to US 65 S, along Gravesville Cutoff |Road between Highway 124 and Black Hill Road, and portions of Black |Hill Road east of Gravesville Cutoff Road. Along the damage path, |softwood trees were uprooted and snapped with several small |outbuildings either completely destroyed or missing significant |portions of the roof. Roofing material was scattered downstream |into a field in the direction of storm movement. The swath of wind |damage was estimated at 1000 yards wide and 3.2 miles in length |with maximum winds of 80 mph.

Thunderstorm Wind, Faulkner

When
March 2, 11:13 PM CST
Where
Faulkner County, Enola
Measured
70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$100,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
35.200, -92.200

A recreational vehicle was crushed by a fallen tree.

Thunderstorm Wind, Faulkner

When
March 2, 11:18 PM CST to 11:19 PM CST
Where
Faulkner County, 6.05 mi E of Enders to 6.56 mi E of Enders
Measured
70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
35.326, -92.123

Peak winds were estimated to be between 70 and 80 mph. A couple of|trees were downed, and tin was removed from the windward side of a |house near the summit of Bluff Mountain. Additionally, a large barn |lost its entire roof. This damage occurred to the west of Rose Bud |along Highway 36 on Bluff Mountain. The swath of wind damage was|estimated to be 250 yards wide, six tenths of a mile in length, and |maximum winds of 80 mph.

Flash Flood, Scott

When
March 2, 11:40 PM CST to March 3, 2:40 AM CST
Where
Scott County, 0.57 mi W of Parks to 0.28 mi WSW of Parks
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.800, -93.960

Two individuals were stranded and removed from a vehicle due to high water near Frost Lane.

Thunderstorm Wind, Dallas

When
March 3, 12:41 AM CST to 3:41 AM CST
Where
Dallas County, 1.34 mi WNW of Cooney
Measured
74 kt (85 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
34.140, -92.550

Trees and tree limbs were uprooted and snapped along Hwy. 29 near the Cooney community. Peak wind gusts were estimated around 85 MPH.

Tornado, Dallas

When
March 3, 12:43 AM CST to 12:47 AM CST
Where
Dallas County, 2.11 mi ENE of Tulip to 1.61 mi W of Cooney
Rating
EF0
Path length
4.3 mi
Path width
100 yd
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
34.089, -92.615

This tornado started west-northwest of Carthage along Tram Trail, moving northeast towards Sanders Loop, breaking limbs off or pushing over small pine trees. As the tornado moved over Williams Road, it strengthened briefly, knocking over larger pine trees before lifting west of the intersection of Williams Road and Dallas County Road 411. This tornado was rated an EF0 with estimated maximum winds of 85 mph.

Thunderstorm Wind, Dallas

When
March 3, 12:44 AM CST
Where
Dallas County, 1.72 mi E of Ivy
Measured
70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.120, -92.500

Numerous trees and powerlines were down northeast of Carthage on Hwy. 229.

Tornado, Jefferson

When
March 3, 1:57 AM CST to 1:58 AM CST
Where
Jefferson County, 3.33 mi ENE of Five Forks to 3.37 mi SE of Wabbaseka
Rating
EF0
Path length
0.7 mi
Path width
50 yd
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
34.305, -91.770

The tornado mostly occurred over open fields, but there was|tree damage along Highway 58 east of Altheimer. This tornado|was rated an EF0 with estimated peak winds of 75 mph.

Flash Flood, Sharp

When
March 3, 4:22 AM CST to 7:22 AM CST
Where
Sharp County, Hardy to 1.1 mi SSW of Hardy
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
36.320, -91.480

Numerous roads in Sharp County were under water.

Heavy Rain, Searcy

When
March 3, 9:00 AM CST
Where
Searcy County, 2.67 mi SE of Witts Spgs
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
35.770, -92.870

The COOP observer reported 3.30 inches of rain.

Heavy Rain, Baxter

When
March 3, 9:32 AM CST
Where
Baxter County, 1.81 mi ESE of Hand
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
36.270, -92.200

Heavy Rain, Woodruff

When
March 3, 9:41 AM CST
Where
Woodruff County, 0.89 mi NE of Augusta
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
35.290, -91.360

A COOP observer reported 3.12 inches of rain.

Heavy Rain, Jackson

When
March 3, 9:44 AM CST
Where
Jackson County, 0.89 mi NE of Newport
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
35.610, -91.260

The COOP observer reported 2.90 inches of rain.

Heavy Rain, Sharp

When
March 3, 9:45 AM CST
Where
Sharp County, Evening Shade
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
36.070, -91.620

The COOP observer reported 2.43 inches of rain.

Heavy Rain, Van Buren

When
March 3, 9:51 AM CST
Where
Van Buren County, 1.78 mi SE of Southside
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
35.400, -92.380

The COOP observer reported 3.50 inches of rain.

Heavy Rain, Sharp

When
March 3, 9:53 AM CST
Where
Sharp County, 1.81 mi WNW of Cherokee Vlg
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
36.310, -91.550

The COOP observer reported 2.97 inches of rain.

Heavy Rain, Cleburne

When
March 3, 9:54 AM CST
Where
Cleburne County, 0.69 mi S of Heber Spgs Muni Arpt
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
35.510, -92.000

The COOP observer reported 2.51 inches of rain.

Heavy Rain, Newton

When
March 3, 9:55 AM CST
Where
Newton County, 0.89 mi NW of Jasper
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
36.010, -93.190

The COOP observer reported 3.00 inches of rain.

Heavy Rain, Garland

When
March 3, 9:56 AM CST
Where
Garland County, 0.57 mi W of Blue Spgs
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
34.670, -93.080

The COOP observer reported 2.34 inches of rain.

Heavy Rain, Baxter

When
March 3, 9:59 AM CST
Where
Baxter County, 1.78 mi NW of Rodney
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
36.270, -92.190

The COOP observer reported 2.72 inches of rain.

Heavy Rain, Searcy

When
March 3, 10:00 AM CST
Where
Searcy County, 0.89 mi SW of Jameson
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
35.910, -92.660

The COOP observer reported 3.47 inches of rain.

Heavy Rain, Baxter

When
March 3, 10:01 AM CST
Where
Baxter County, 0.89 mi NW of Mountain Home
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
36.340, -92.390

The COOP observer reported 3.27 inches of rain.

Heavy Rain, Stone

When
March 3, 10:02 AM CST
Where
Stone County, 1.38 mi S of Mountain View Arpt
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
35.850, -92.100

The COOP observer reported 3.70 inches of rain.

Heavy Rain, Montgomery

When
March 3, 10:07 AM CST
Where
Montgomery County, 1.14 mi W of Pine Ridge
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
34.580, -93.900

The COOP observer reported 2.05 inches of rain.

Heavy Rain, Saline

When
March 3, 10:09 AM CST
Where
Saline County, Alum Fork
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
34.800, -92.840

The COOP observer reported 2.83 inches of rain.

Heavy Rain, Newton

When
March 3, 10:33 AM CST
Where
Newton County, 1.38 mi N of Compton
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
36.100, -93.300

The public reported 2.07 inches of rain.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Flash Flood, Scott2023-03-02MaleOtherDirect

What these are

Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Tornado
A violently rotating column of air in contact with the ground and extending from a thunderstorm, filed with its path, width and Fujita or Enhanced Fujita rating from the damage survey.
Heavy Rain
Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arkansas in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Arkansas, 2023Warnings in Arkansas, March 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1087022, 1087036, 1087037, 1087039, 1087041, 1087042, 1087043, 1087195, 1087196, 1087197, 1087198, 1087199, 1087200, 1087201, 1087202, 1087203, 1087239, 1087241, 1088137, 1087243, 1087249, 1088138, 1087261, 1088139, 1087267, 1087273, 1088142, 1087280, 1088140, 1087586, 1087588, 1087590, 1087593, 1087596, 1087597, 1087598, 1087599, 1087600, 1087601, 1087602, and more.