Montana, 2023

Blizzard and Heavy Snow in Montana, March 10 to 11, 2023

March 10 to 11, 2023 · NWS GGW · 15 events in 9 counties and zones

A Pacific Storm System moving in from the west, combined with strong easterly winds from an area of high pressure over Canada resulting in heavy snow and blizzard conditions over portions of northeast Montana, mainly north of the Missouri River.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 15 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
15

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GGW wrote it up.

A Pacific Storm System moving in from the west, combined with strong easterly winds from an area of high pressure over Canada resulting in heavy snow and blizzard conditions over portions of northeast Montana, mainly north of the Missouri River.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 10, 3:10 AM MST, 4 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 3:10 AM MST, 4 hours 50 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
310 AM MST Fri Mar 10 2023

.DISCUSSION...

Synoptic Setup: A ridge of warmer air runs north over the High
Plains of Colorado, Wyoming, and far eastern Montana. To the west
a shortwave is developing in southwest flow over southern Idaho
and lifting northeast. To the north cold air sets over the Highs
Plains of Canada wait to be pulled in. Farther west weak trough-
ridge couplets are rapidly amplifying over the Gulf of Alaska.

Today: Remains of the ridge will drift southeast allowing
southwest flow to take over. The Idaho disturbance will quickly
plow through the area forming a surface low over southern Montana
and pulling it to the east. A conveyor belt of moisture is
expected to form just ahead of the low and lead up over the cold
air in northeast Montana and southern Saskatchewan. This will
quickly spin up an east to west band of snow that will move
across the northern half of the CWA beginning in the afternoon.

Surface wind speed with the warm air advection ahead of the low
are in flux from teh southeast to east. Currently, the NBM 4.1 is
pulling for an ensemble of near 50kts along the ND/MT border.
However SPC's HREF and its individual CAMs runs are pulling in
lower numbers for speeds around 40 to 45 kts with just the max
members pushing 50 kts. Talking it over with the neighbors, NBM
4.1 has been running a little high and when consulting NAM
Forecast soundings there appears to be a strong inversion keeping
the 50 kts speeds around 800 mb from breaking through completely
to the surface. With it being WAA and not CAA the bias against max
winds is also in place. So, have held off on High Wind Warning
for the Big Sheeps and Wibaux county for now and will monitor for
speeds above 50kts in the afternoon.

However, snow is another matter and accumulations are expected to
reach up to 8 to 11 inches along the far northern tier of zones.
With this and strong winds, have placed a Winter Storm Warning
along northern Phillips and northern Valley county while upping it
a bit more to a Blizzard Warning for Daniels and Sheridan county.
A Winter Weather Advisory for 2 to 6 inches was put in place for
about one county length south of this as a buffer to areas where
only a trace to maybe 2 inches is anticipated.

Tonight through Saturday: Around midnight a lull in the winds is
expected as the center of the low moves across the region. Winds
will rapidly pick up out of the northwest behind the cold front
but be a few knots less than the southeast winds that came
earlier. Areas still in light snow such as Daniels and Sheridan
county could easily go back to whiteout conditions during the mid
to late morning hours with all the new snow be blown about and
drifting.

Saturday night through Sunday: High pressure and cold Arctic air
will settle into the region with any lingering snow ending by the
early morning. Meanwhile, an amplified ridge will move onshore
over the Pacific Northwest.

Sunday night through Tuesday: Ridge will progress east scouring
out the cold air across the region and bringing highs back above
freezing. New snowmelt may begin to contribute to morning fog
during these periods.

Tuesday night to Friday night: Ensembles rapidly seperate here
onward. What can be gleaned from the tea leaves is another milder
Pacific trough with slightly cooler temps and an increased chance
for precipitation with the passage of a weaker cold front. GAH

&&

.AVIATION...

LAST UPDATED: 0900Z

FLIGHT CAT RANGE: VFR - Airport Shutdown.

DISCUSSION: A winter storm will move through the area today and
tonight as the center of it moves along the International border
from west to east. Snow will start at KGGW around 18-21Z and
spread east with rapidly deteriorating conditions. As strong
winds increase, BLIZZARD conditions will be close and just
northeast of the terminals. 1/2 mile obscurations with Airport
Shutdown will be possible from 00-08Z tonight especially for KGGW
and KOLF. Conditions will begin to improve around 15-18Z Saturday
for the terminals as snow diminishes.

IMPACT: Prepare for drifting and near whiteout conditions on
airport runways.

WIND: Southeast at 15-20 gust 30 kts through the morning. Slowly
backing to the east and increasing to 20-30 gust 40 kts in the
afternoon and evening. There will be a temporary lull in speeds
around 06Z as wind direction switches. Then swinging to the
northwest and increasing behind the cold front to 15-25 gust 35
kts Saturday morning.

GAH

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 5 AM MST
Saturday for Central and Southeast Phillips...Central and
Southern Valley...Southwest Phillips.

Blizzard Warning from 11 AM this morning to 11 AM MST Saturday
for Daniels...Eastern Roosevelt...Sheridan.

Winter Weather Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 11 AM MST
Saturday for McCone...Richland...Western Roosevelt.

Winter Storm Warning from 8 AM this morning to 5 AM MST Saturday
for Northern Phillips...Northern Valley.

&&

weather.gov/glasgow

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

10 blizzard, 5 heavy snow. Local standard time, as filed.

Blizzard, Northern Valley

When
March 10, 8:00 AM MST to March 11, 12:00 PM MST
Where
Northern Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.365, -106.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A trained spotter located at 6 ESE Port of Opheim reported blizzard conditions between the morning of the 10th to midday on the 11th.

Heavy Snow, Central and Southern Valley

When
March 10, 8:05 AM MST to March 11, 2:15 PM MST
Where
Central and Southern Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.365, -106.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Across Central and Southern Valley County, measured snowfall amounts ranged from 4.0 to 9.0 inches. The greatest amount of 9.0 inches was measured by a trained spotter at 4 SW Hinsdale.

Heavy Snow, Daniels

When
March 10, 9:30 AM MST to March 11, 7:30 PM MST
Where
Daniels forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
48.784, -105.549 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Public reported 7.0 inches of snow in Scobey.

Blizzard, Northern Phillips

When
March 10, 12:00 PM MST to 6:00 PM MST
Where
Northern Phillips forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A trained spotter located at 12 NE Whitewater reported blizzard conditions between the midday and evening hours on the 10th.

Heavy Snow, Northern Phillips

When
March 10, 12:00 PM MST to 8:34 PM MST
Where
Northern Phillips forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A trained spotter reported an estimated 8.0 inches of snow at 12 NE Whitewater.

Heavy Snow, Little Rocky Mountains

When
March 10, 12:00 PM MST to March 11, 7:00 AM MST
Where
Little Rocky Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A COOP Observer reported an estimated 6.0 inches of snow in Zortman.

Blizzard, Central and Southern Valley

When
March 10, 12:53 PM MST to 8:20 PM MST
Where
Central and Southern Valley forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
48.365, -106.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Intermittent blizzard conditions were reported from midday to the early nighttime hours on the 10th, at the Glasgow Airport (KGGW) ASOS.

Blizzard, Eastern Roosevelt

When
March 10, 3:00 PM MST to March 11, 6:00 PM MST
Where
Eastern Roosevelt forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.295, -105.016 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A trained spotter located in Bainville reported blizzard conditions as well as drifts up to 4 feet deep.

Blizzard, Eastern Roosevelt

When
March 10, 3:00 PM MST to March 11, 3:00 PM MST
Where
Eastern Roosevelt forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.295, -105.016 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A trained spotter in Froid reported intermittent blizzard conditions from the afternoon of the 10th to the afternoon of the 11th.

Heavy Snow, Eastern Roosevelt

When
March 10, 3:00 PM MST to March 11, 3:00 PM MST
Where
Eastern Roosevelt forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.295, -105.016 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A trained spotter reported an estimated 7.0 inches of snow in Froid.

Blizzard, Sheridan

When
March 10, 3:00 PM MST to March 11, 2:35 PM MST
Where
Sheridan forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
48.721, -104.505 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A COOP Observer in Plentywood reported blizzard conditions starting on the afternoon of the 10th. Blizzard conditions were still occurring at the time of the report which was the morning of the 11th.

Blizzard, Sheridan

When
March 10, 3:15 PM MST to March 11, 2:35 PM MST
Where
Sheridan forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS
Coordinates
48.721, -104.505 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Intermittent blizzard conditions were reported from the afternoon of the 10th to the afternoon of the 11th, at the Sher-wood Airport (KPWD) AWOS.

Blizzard, Wibaux

When
March 11, 8:00 AM MST to 11:00 AM MST
Where
Wibaux forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
46.965, -104.249 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A trained spotter located at 8 SW Saint Phillip reported blizzard conditions on the morning of the 11th. Times are estimated.

Blizzard, Wibaux

When
March 11, 8:55 AM MST to 5:15 PM MST
Where
Wibaux forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
46.965, -104.249 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Intermittent blizzard conditions were reported from the morning to the early evening hours on the 11th, at the Beach Airport (K20U) ASOS.

Blizzard, Dawson

When
March 11, 9:22 AM MST to 12:56 PM MST
Where
Dawson forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
47.266, -104.899 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Intermittent blizzard conditions were reported from morning to midday on the 11th, at the Glendive Airport (KGDV) ASOS.

What these are

Blizzard
Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph or more with falling or blowing snow that cuts visibility below a quarter mile for three hours or longer.
Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, March 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1082024, 1082022, 1082026, 1082017, 1082018, 1082028, 1081676, 1082019, 1082020, 1082021, 1082027, 1081677, 1082025, 1081679, 1081678.