An isolated strong to severe storm produce localized damaging winds.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SGF wrote it up.
An isolated strong to severe storm produce localized damaging winds.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 4, 5:19 PM CST, 1 hour 1 minute earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 619 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023 Key Messages: 1. Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, mainly east of Highway 65 corridor. 2. Potential thunderstorm complex moving into the area late tonight into Wednesday morning. 3. Redevelopment of strong to severe storms over the area ahead of a cold front Wednesday afternoon and evening. 4. Daily shower and thunderstorm chances from Thursday through Tuesday. .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 200 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023 Temperatures have warmed into the upper 80s to mid 90s across the area with a decent cumulus field and some scattered storms in our eastern CWA. Surface based CAPES in that area have risen to around 1500 j/kg in an environment with little to no shear. While we are not expecting any severe storms with this activity, some stronger storms may produce some small hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph. PW values of 1.3 to 1.5 in and slow moving convection will also cause heavy rain and possibly some localized flooding to occur. An upper level low over Montana and associated trough that extended southward into the Rockies is expected to shift eastward the remainder of today and tonight. This upper wave will help to kick a surface cold front southeast into the plains and eventually our western CWA late tonight into Wednesday. As a low level jet begins to develop this evening, strong to severe thunderstorms are expected near the front from the central plains into the upper Mississippi valley. Many of the CAMS are bringing some semblance of the MCS that develops into our area late tonight into Wednesday morning. How it evolves from there will be the biggest question and how much redevelopment will occur later in the day if it holds together. Many of the models start to decay the MCS in the morning with better chances at redevelopment later in the afternoon and evening. The HRRR mainly plows it right through throughout the morning into the early afternoon with lesser redevelopment later in the day. We have decided to up our pops in the morning a bit and keep the higher pops in the afternoon and evening for now and play the waiting game to see how this evolves this evening/tonight. The scenarios will also have an impact on temperatures for Wednesday. An MCS that moves through will likely keep temperatures down a bit. We are continuing with low to mid 90s for highs for now with heat index values from around 98 to 103. .LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday) Issued at 200 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023 A zonal pattern aloft will set up over the area with the cold front stalling out just to our south. Several waves of energy will push through from Thursday through early next week bringing daily thunderstorm chances. High PW values will continue to support heavy rain through the long term period and we may see some localized areas of flooding with stronger convection. Temperatures will be cooler initially behind the front through Saturday, but a warming trend towards more normal temperatures by late in the weekend into early next week with an upper ridge starting to build to our southwest. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening) Issued at 613 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023 Shower and storm activity across the region should diminish by this evening. A few lingering clouds may remain bur VFR conditions are expected. A thunderstorm complex may develop out in the plains and push into the area late tonight into Wednesday morning. Though confidence is low at this time in the models, have opted for PROB30 groups for overnight into the day Wednesday. If the complex develops, may need to introduce more coverage and confidence with Tempo or prevailing conditions. Watch for later forecasts as trends become more clear. && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. && SHORT TERM...Lindenberg LONG TERM...Lindenberg AVIATION...Hatch
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Springfield MO 223 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-051930- Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon- St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas- Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton- Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone- Taney-Ozark-Oregon- 223 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Weather hazards expected... Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk. Limited lightning risk. Limited excessive heat risk. Limited excessive rainfall risk DISCUSSION... Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon into the evening, mainly east of the Highway 65 corridor. The stronger storms may produce some small hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph. Afternoon heat indicies climb into the middle to upper 90s. A thunderstorm complex will approach the area overnight into early Wednesday morning. This complex may produce damaging wind gusts in addition to lightning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. More widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night. There is the potential for a few strong to severe thunderstorms. Damaging wind gusts and hail are the primary hazards. Localized heavy rainfall is also possible. Heat index values of 100 to 105 will be possible on Wednesday afternoon ahead of the frontal passage. Shower and thunderstorm chances continue on Thursday into early next week with the potential for localized heavy rainfall. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight. && More detailed information can be accessed at: http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket This product in graphical format...along with other weather... hydrological and climate information...at http://www.weather.gov/sgf Lindenberg
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
331 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023
MOZ098-042100-
Shannon MO-
331 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of central Shannon
County through 400 PM CDT...
At 331 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles west of Ellington to 10 miles east of
Eminence to 7 miles southeast of Summersville. Movement was east at
25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Ozark National Scenic Riverways, Winona, Eminence, West Eminence,
Alley Spring and Midridge.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3709 9121 3700 9122 3704 9165 3712 9166
3720 9157 3722 9134 3736 9125 3736 9117
3726 9116 3725 9112 3720 9112 3720 9109
3718 9109 3714 9102 3709 9102
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 285DEG 22KT 3727 9113 3715 9118 3712 9154
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
TerrySpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
351 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023
MOZ082-097-098-042130-
Howell MO-Texas MO-Shannon MO-
351 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southern Shannon,
northeastern Howell and southeastern Texas Counties through 430 PM
CDT...
At 351 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 11 miles northeast of Winona to near Eminence
to near Mountain View. Movement was southeast at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Ozark National Scenic Riverways, Mountain View, Winona, Birch Tree,
Eminence, Montier, Alley Spring, Teresita, Clear Springs, West
Eminence, Arroll and Pine Crest.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3710 9103 3710 9106 3708 9109 3708 9122
3694 9122 3694 9185 3712 9189 3718 9114
TIME...MOT...LOC 2051Z 322DEG 8KT 3712 9118 3710 9141 3708 9167
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
TerrySpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
425 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023
MOZ098-106-042200-
Oregon MO-Shannon MO-
425 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southwestern Shannon
and northwestern Oregon Counties through 500 PM CDT...
At 425 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Van Buren to Winona to 6 miles northeast
of Mountain View. Movement was southeast at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Ozark National Scenic Riverways, Winona, Birch Tree, Montier and
Teresita.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
Persons in campgrounds should consider seeking sturdy shelter until
these storms pass.
&&
LAT...LON 3705 9122 3685 9122 3683 9123 3684 9166
3708 9165 3704 9138 3707 9124 3706 9121
3709 9110
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 319DEG 12KT 3704 9108 3700 9135 3704 9161
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
TerrySpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
452 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023
MOZ097-098-106-042215-
Oregon MO-Howell MO-Shannon MO-
452 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southwestern Shannon,
east central Howell and Oregon Counties through 515 PM CDT...
At 452 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles northeast of Handy to 10 miles south of
Winona to 6 miles southeast of Mountain View. Movement was south at
20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Alton, Thomasville, Rover, Greer and Wilderness.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
Persons in campgrounds should consider seeking sturdy shelter until
these storms pass.
&&
LAT...LON 3664 9112 3661 9129 3667 9179 3697 9168
3691 9130 3692 9122 3685 9122 3683 9123
3682 9111
TIME...MOT...LOC 2152Z 358DEG 19KT 3690 9103 3685 9130 3693 9163
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
TerrySpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
513 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023
MOZ106-042315-
Oregon MO-
513 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Oregon County through
615 PM CDT...
At 513 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 16 miles south of Birch Tree to near Alton to 8
miles southwest of Handy. Movement was south at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Thayer, Alton, Thomasville, Rover, Myrtle, Wilderness, Couch and
Greer.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3679 9167 3681 9166 3677 9117 3673 9112
3650 9113 3650 9162
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 339DEG 15KT 3677 9155 3675 9143 3674 9122
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
TerrySpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
532 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023
MOZ071-083-042315-
Dent MO-Phelps MO-
532 PM CDT Tue Jul 4 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Dent
and east central Phelps Counties through 615 PM CDT...
At 531 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles south of St. James, or 11 miles southeast of Rolla, moving
southeast east at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Salem, Bangert, Howes, Sligo, Lake Spring and Anutt.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3762 9139 3768 9173 3795 9166 3794 9152
3779 9152 3779 9131 3771 9131
TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 281DEG 25KT 3785 9159
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
TerryThe Springfield radar (KSGF), 81 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:19 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
High winds from a strong to severe storm caused damage to an old barn.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, July 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1121482.