The D2 drought that began in fall 2022 continued into January at Atchison County, MO.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EAX wrote it up.
The D2 drought that began in fall 2022 continued into January at Atchison County, MO.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 11:38 PM CST, 22 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 1138 PM CST Sat Dec 31 2022 ...Updated 06z Aviation... .Discussion... Issued at 407 PM CST SAT DEC 31 2022 Key Message * Above normal temperatures expected Monday and Tuesday * Showers and thunderstorms Monday Quickly moving shortwave trough continues its exit out of the area this afternoon, leaving in its wake mostly zonal flow across the central CONUS. At the surface upstream troughing will keep light southerly flow moving into the area, with relatively comfortable temperatures continuing through the remainder of the weekend, into early next week. With good mixing temperatures this afternoon have risen above expected highs, with temperatures generally in the middle 50s across northern Missouri and lower 60s further south toward I-70 and points south of there. Expect a somewhat repeatable day on Sunday, however with moisture incoming there could be just enough cloud cover to stymie the better mixing down low. This could bring highs on Sunday a few ticks below Saturday's desirable conditions. By Monday a more organized system will take shape upstream, across the western CONUS. Low level southerlies will continue to usher in warm and moist air, which will be in place for Monday afternoon when a large mid level trough digs through the area. A well formed warm front will likely set up somewhere in the area, perhaps a little north of I-70, setting up an unstable warm sector for storms to form through the day Monday, into Monday evening. The magnitude of instability is a bit in question, as we may see a few hundred J/kg of CAPE move into the area for Monday, but likely will remain pretty marginal, despite the seasonal rarity of good deep convection in early January. At this point in time it does not appear widespread severe weather is expected. But we could see some occasional thunder as the system pushes through pretty quickly Monday evening. Also, at this time it doesn't appear that there will be robust rain accumulation, but should the system hold up a bit to the west and usher in slightly better moisture ahead of the deep trough, it could bring some pretty beneficial rainfall to most of the region. Cooler and drier conditions will prevail in the post trough environment, as a cold front will push through Tuesday to bring more seasonal temperatures for the rest of the week. At this point there doesn't appear to be much of a synoptic signal for much precipitation beyond the Monday/Monday evening system. && .Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday Night) Issued at 1135 PM CST SAT DEC 31 2022 Clear skies to start the overnight hours, but a few VFR cloud bases currently in eastern Nebraska may sneak southward by the early morning hours of Sunday. Eventually, more moisture transport is expected during the afternoon and will lead to the development of VFR ceilings. We are also watching fog potential early Sunday morning. Latest hi-res model guidance keeps the fog south of the terminals, with mist resulting in minimal visibility restrictions for the TAF sites. Therefore, will maintain VFR visibility for now, and will continue to monitor trends overnight. && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. MO...NONE. && Discussion...Leighton Aviation...Krull
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 457 AM CST Sat Dec 31 2022 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-011100- Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS- Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler- Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton- Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton- Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis- Cooper-Bates-Henry- 457 AM CST Sat Dec 31 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. More detailed information can be accessed at... https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday Showers and thunderstorms are expected on Monday. These storms are expected to remain below severe limits. More detailed information can be accessed at... https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The D2 drought that began in fall 2022 continued through January 2023 in Atchison County, MO.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, January 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1076766.