Drought conditions continued across the region as rainfall remained below seasonal normals. Exceptional drought (D4) or Extreme drought (D3) remained over most of southern Kansas during the month of January 2023.
Every event with a place to put it; 23 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ICT wrote it up.
Drought conditions continued across the region as rainfall remained below seasonal normals. Exceptional drought (D4) or Extreme drought (D3) remained over most of southern Kansas during the month of January 2023.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 11:36 PM CST, 24 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 1136 PM CST Sat Dec 31 2022 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday night) Issued at 300 PM CST Sat Dec 31 2022 FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS THE NEXT 7 DAYS: * Fog potential southeast Kansas late tonight into Sunday morning. * Above normal temperatures through Monday. * Precipitation chances Monday-Monday night. * Near to below normal temperatures Tuesday-Thursday, with a warming trend late week and next weekend. With weak moist advection into a developing warm frontal zone, thinking fog potential will increase late tonight into Sunday morning over southeast Kansas, mainly southeast of the KS Turnpike. Bufkit RAP soundings support patchy to areas of dense fog, so later shifts may need to monitor for a possible dense fog advisory. Fortunately, temperatures should remain above freezing, so patchy slick spots on roads and bridge decks are unlikely. Main forecast highlight is the anomalously deep western CONUS upper trough ejecting onto Mid-America by Monday. Deterministic and ensemble consensus continues to favor the highest precipitation chances associated with this system over eastern Kansas, where deep moisture transport and large scale ascent coincide. Have sided with this model consensus for the official forecast. However, the deterministic ECMWF solution continues to be the deeper and more negatively tilted outlier with regard to the upper system, with also a further south warm frontal position, which would favor a more widespread footprint of precipitation across the region. If the model consensus starts to trend closer to the ECMWF solution, later shifts will need to increase rain chances and amounts further west across the forecast area. Warm thermal profiles support a precipitation type of mostly rain, with a few embedded thunderstorms over southeast KS, amidst anomalous moisture and associated marginal instability. Severe weather isn't expected, although given the strong wind fields and marginal instability, cannot rule out small hail and gusty winds with the strongest activity. As the system pulls away and colder air filters south, could see a period of a light rain/snow mix over central Kansas Monday night into early Tuesday, especially if the stronger/more wrapped up ECMWF solution verifies. The heavier wintry precipitation should remain well north of the region, so am not expecting impacts from wintry weather across central KS. .LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 300 PM CST Sat Dec 31 2022 Chilly Canadian high pressure building in from the north should support a return to near to below normal temperatures Tuesday- Thursday, with lows in the teens-20s, and highs in the 30s-40s. By late next week and next weekend, model consensus supports temperatures warming back to mostly above normal readings in the 40s- 50s. In wake of the early week system, meaningful precipitation chances look low through next weekend. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night) Issued at 1135 PM CST Sat Dec 31 2022 Some cirrus clouds will continue to spread eastward across the region through the overnight hours and into the day on Sunday. We're still expecting to see some increasing potential for fog and stratus across portions of southeast KS during the predawn hours on Sun likely lowering flight categories at KCNU while lingering into the morning hours before mixing out. Light easterly winds are expected to develop as low pressure organizes over the Southern Plains during the day on Sunday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Wichita-KICT 32 54 43 57 / 0 0 0 50 Hutchinson 32 54 39 54 / 0 0 10 50 Newton 34 54 41 55 / 0 0 0 50 ElDorado 37 54 44 58 / 0 0 0 50 Winfield-KWLD 36 57 47 61 / 0 0 0 50 Russell 27 51 35 52 / 0 0 10 50 Great Bend 29 53 37 52 / 0 0 10 40 Salina 30 52 38 52 / 0 0 10 50 McPherson 31 53 39 53 / 0 0 10 50 Coffeyville 43 62 52 65 / 0 0 0 80 Chanute 40 59 49 62 / 0 0 0 70 Iola 39 58 48 62 / 0 0 0 70 Parsons-KPPF 42 60 50 63 / 0 0 0 70 && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...ADK LONG TERM...ADK AVIATION...MWM
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wichita KS 330 PM CST Sat Dec 31 2022 KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-012130- Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase- Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper- Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette- 330 PM CST Sat Dec 31 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas, South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...Tonight Fog is possible late tonight over southeast Kansas. Watch for visibilities less than one mile at times. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday Fog may linger over southeast Kansas through Sunday morning. There is a chance for thunderstorms across eastern and southeast Kansas Monday and Monday evening. The strongest activity will be capable of pea size hail and 50 mph winds. For Monday night, a light mix of rain and snow is possible across central Kansas. At this time, snow accumulation and associated impacts should be minimal. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight. && For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at: https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
23 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Extreme drought (D3) continued across the county, with Exceptional drought (D4) over the southern half of the county.
Extreme Drought (D3) continued across the county.
Extreme drought (D3) continued across the entire county due to continued below normal rainfall.
Extreme drought (D3) continued across the entire county due to continued below normal rainfall.
Extreme Drought (D3) continued across the southwestern half of the county, due to continued below normal rainfall. Severe drought (D2) was found elsewhere.
Extreme drought (D3) continued across the entire county due to continued below normal rainfall.
Severe drought (D2) continued over the southwestern portion of the county.
Severe drought (D2) continued for most of the county, except southwestern sections which saw Extreme drought (D3).
Extreme drought (D3) continued across the county. Eisenhower National Airport only reported 1.25 inches of precipitation, which was 0.40 inches above normal.
Exceptional Drought (D4) continued across the county.
Exceptional Drought (D4) continued across the county.
Exceptional Drought (D4) continued across the county, with Extreme drought (D3) for northern sections of the county.
Exceptional Drought (D4) continued across the county.
Exceptional Drought (D4) continued across the county.
Exceptional Drought (D4) continued across the county.
Extreme drought (D3) continued across the northern half of the county, with Exceptional Drought (D4) across the southern half of the county. There was some improvement to the drought for northern sections of the county to Severe Drought (D2).
Extreme drought (D3) continued across the northern half of the county, with Exceptional Drought (D4) across the southern half of the county, there was some improvement to northeastern sections of the county, to Severe drought (D2).
Extreme Drought (D3) continued across the county.
Exceptional Drought (D4) continued across the county.
Extreme drought (D3) continued over most of the county. The only exception was over southern portions of the county where Exceptional drought (D4) was found.
Extreme drought (D3) continued across the region.
Extreme drought (D3) improved to Severe drought (D2) due to much needed rainfall during the month.
Severe drought (D2) continued over the southwest portion of the county.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, January 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1072770, 1072772, 1072775, 1072776, 1072777, 1072778, 1072781, 1072782, 1072783, 1072784, 1072785, 1072786, 1072789, 1072790, 1072791, 1072792, 1072793, 1072797, 1072807, 1072809, 1072811, 1072812, 1072813.