What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 18, 3:14 PM CST, 4 hours 16 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 18, 3:14 PM CST, 4 hours 16 minutes before
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</html>Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 18, 3:33 PM CST, 3 hours 57 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
333 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-015-023-MSZ018-192145-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-Richland-Franklin LA-Bolivar-
333 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and northwest Mississippi.
.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight
NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon
Severe thunderstorms are possible through this evening. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph, tornadoes,
and hail at least to the size of quarters.
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)
Strong winds from the south today could down a few trees and
power lines. Sustained winds of 25 to 30 mph and wind gusts of up
to 40 to 50 mph will be possible. Travel will also be difficult
for those in high profile vehicles, especially along west to east
facing roads.
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.
LAZ009-016-024>026-MSZ019-025-034-035-040-041-192145-
East Carroll-Madison LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Sunflower-
Leflore-Washington-Humphreys-Issaquena-Sharkey-
333 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.
.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight
NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Mainly through the rest of this afternoon
Severe thunderstorms are possible through this evening. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph, tornadoes,
and hail at least to the size of quarters.
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)
Strong winds from the south today could down a few trees and
power lines. Sustained winds of 25 to 30 mph and wind gusts of up
to 40 to 50 mph will be possible. Travel will also be difficult
for those in high profile vehicles, especially along west to east
facing roads.
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.
MSZ029>033-037>039-043>046-048>052-054>058-061>066-072>074-192145-
Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-
Lauderdale-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
333 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northeast Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.
.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight
NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible through late tonight.
Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A
tornado cannot be ruled out.
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)
Weak trees and limbs may break and fall through this evening, due
to sustained winds of up to 25 mph and wind gusts of 30 to
40 mph. Driving high profile vehicles could also be more
difficult especially along west to east facing roads.
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.
MSZ026>028-036-042-047-053-059-060-192145-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Holmes-Yazoo-Warren-Claiborne-
Jefferson-Adams-
333 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, southwest Mississippi,
and west central Mississippi.
.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight
NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight
Severe thunderstorms are possible through this evening. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph, tornadoes,
and hail at least to the size of quarters.
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)
Weak trees and limbs may break and fall through this evening, due
to sustained winds of up to 25 mph and wind gusts of 30 to
40 mph. Driving high profile vehicles could also be more
difficult especially along west to east facing roads.
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.
6
&&
...HAZARD LEGEND...
*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.
*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
High profile vehicles could also be affected.
...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...
NWS JAN Home page...
https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
@NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...
Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jan 18, 5:52 PM CST, 1 hour 38 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
552 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
MSZ034-190030-
Washington MS-
552 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
...A gusty shower will impact portions of southeastern Washington
County through 630 PM CST...
At 551 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a shower producing gusty
wind near Panther Burn, or 7 miles southwest of Hollandale, moving
northeast at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Hollandale, Darlove, Estill, Tribbett and Arcola.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CST for central,
northwestern and west central Mississippi.
&&
LAT...LON 3341 9078 3340 9076 3327 9076 3327 9073
3323 9073 3321 9068 3318 9069 3310 9088
3310 9091 3308 9092 3305 9099 3313 9105
TIME...MOT...LOC 2351Z 229DEG 33KT 3311 9096
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
DLSpecial weather statement, Jan 18, 6:10 PM CST, 1 hour 20 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
610 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
LAZ009-016-MSZ034-035-040-041-190100-
Madison LA-East Carroll LA-Washington MS-Sharkey MS-Humphreys MS-
Issaquena MS-
610 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
...Gusty showers will impact portions of eastern East Carroll and
northern Madison Parishes, southeastern Washington, Issaquena,
western Humphreys and Sharkey Counties through 700 PM CST...
At 610 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking showers producing gusty
wind along a line extending from near Grace to near Transylvania to
near Tendal. Movement was northeast at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Hollandale, Rolling Fork, Transylvania, Anguilla, Isola, Sondheimer,
Grace, Panther Burn, Nitta Yuma, Omega, Onward, Delta City, Alsatia,
Fitler, Murphy, Glen Allan, Mayersville and Cary.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CST for northeastern
Louisiana...and central, northwestern and west central Mississippi.
&&
LAT...LON 3274 9115 3307 9104 3327 9067 3327 9056
3333 9056 3333 9051 3297 9065 3261 9096
3256 9107 3254 9107 3255 9109 3253 9110
3236 9139
TIME...MOT...LOC 0010Z 236DEG 40KT 3298 9100 3270 9112 3244 9132
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
DLSpecial weather statement, Jan 18, 6:29 PM CST, 1 hour 1 minute before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
629 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
MSZ019-025-190115-
Leflore MS-Sunflower MS-
629 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
...Gusty showers will impact portions of southern Sunflower and
central Leflore Counties through 715 PM CST...
At 628 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking showers producing gusty
wind over Indianola, moving northeast at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Greenwood, Indianola, Moorhead, Itta Bena, Sunflower, Inverness,
Money, Sunnyside, Blaine, Minter City and Schlater.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CST for north central
and northwestern Mississippi.
&&
LAT...LON 3379 9025 3377 9024 3375 9030 3373 9031
3370 9030 3369 9028 3370 9026 3374 9024
3372 9021 3354 9010 3352 9010 3331 9064
3347 9075
TIME...MOT...LOC 0028Z 239DEG 41KT 3344 9062
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
DLSpecial weather statement, Jan 18, 6:49 PM CST, 41 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
649 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
MSZ035-040>042-190130-
Sharkey MS-Humphreys MS-Yazoo MS-Issaquena MS-
649 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
...Gusty showers will impact portions of northwestern Yazoo, central
Issaquena, southern Humphreys and central Sharkey Counties through
730 PM CST...
At 649 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking showers producing gusty
wind along a line extending from 6 miles southeast of Anguilla to
near Onward. Movement was northeast at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Midnight, Holly Bluff, Silver City and Louise.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CST for central and
west central Mississippi.
&&
LAT...LON 3317 9033 3312 9036 3313 9037 3312 9038
3310 9037 3309 9038 3310 9040 3310 9042
3311 9043 3306 9043 3305 9041 3276 9059
3260 9099 3300 9077
TIME...MOT...LOC 0049Z 236DEG 33KT 3293 9073 3268 9091
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
DLSpecial weather statement, Jan 18, 7:00 PM CST, 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
700 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
LAZ024-026-190145-
Concordia LA-Catahoula LA-
700 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Concordia and
southwestern Catahoula Parishes through 745 PM CST...
At 659 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Larto, moving east at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Natchez, Ferriday, Larto, Monterey, Mayna, West Ferriday, Acme, Deer
Park, New Era, Frogmore and Ridgecrest.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CST for northeastern
Louisiana...and southwestern Mississippi.
&&
LAT...LON 3130 9200 3148 9201 3167 9150 3153 9150
3152 9152 3137 9151 3143 9154 3142 9157
3141 9158 3132 9151 3125 9181 3130 9193
3127 9195 3123 9192 3122 9194 3124 9196
3123 9199 3127 9199 3128 9202
TIME...MOT...LOC 0059Z 251DEG 39KT 3138 9193
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
DLSpecial weather statement, Jan 18, 7:16 PM CST, 14 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
716 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
LAZ025-MSZ053-059-190200-
Tensas LA-Jefferson MS-Claiborne MS-
716 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Tensas Parish,
southwestern Claiborne and northwestern Jefferson Counties through
800 PM CST...
At 716 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Helena, or 18 miles northeast of Ferriday, moving northeast at 45
mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Alcorn, Port Gibson, Newellton, St. Joseph, Waterproof, Helena, Lake
Bruin and Cooter Point.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CST for northeastern
Louisiana...and southwestern and west central Mississippi.
&&
LAT...LON 3193 9151 3196 9152 3215 9117 3213 9116
3212 9112 3213 9107 3210 9099 3189 9089
3175 9141 3175 9153 3190 9155
TIME...MOT...LOC 0116Z 245DEG 40KT 3186 9144
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
DL