Lake Superior, 2023

Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Lake Superior, August 16, 2023

August 16, 2023 · NWS DLH · 2 events in 1 county or zone

Thunderstorms developed during the afternoon and evening hours of the 16th across far northeastern Minnesota ahead of a cold front. Daytime heating led to strong instability over the region and a strong low level jet provided ample wind shear for storms to work with.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS DLH wrote it up.

Thunderstorms developed during the afternoon and evening hours of the 16th across far northeastern Minnesota ahead of a cold front. Daytime heating led to strong instability over the region and a strong low level jet provided ample wind shear for storms to work with. With the cold front, the storms were generally linear in mode resulting in strong wind guts as they moved over portions of western Lake Superior.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Duluth, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 16, 3:09 PM CST, 2 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 16, 3:09 PM CST, 2 hours 1 minute before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 16, 12:48 PM CST, 4 hours 22 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
148 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2023

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-171900-
Koochiching-North St. Louis-Northern Cook/Northern Lake-
North Itasca-Central St. Louis-Southern Lake/North Shore-
Southern Cook/North Shore-North Cass-South Itasca-South Cass-
Crow Wing-Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-Carlton/South St. Louis-
Pine-Douglas-Bayfield-Ashland-Iron-Burnett-Washburn-Sawyer-Price-
148 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

Strong southerly winds are possible ahead of the cold front,
gusting 25 to 40 miles per hour along the I-35 corridor and east
over northwest Wisconsin.

Thunderstorms are expected along a cold front across the Northern
Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin. Scattered severe storms are
possible. If storms become severe, damaging winds up to 70 mph,
large hail up to ping pong ball size, frequent cloud-to- ground
lightning, and heavy rain are possible. A tornado or two cannot
be ruled out late this afternoon or early this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Smoke may return Thursday leading to degraded air quality.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Skywarn spotters are encouraged to report hail of any size and
rainfall amounts to the National Weather Service.

LSZ121-140>148-150-171900-
Bayfield to Oak Point WI-Grand Portage to Grand Marais MN-
Grand Marais to Taconite Harbor MN-
Taconite Harbor to Silver Bay Harbor MN-
Silver Bay Harbor to Two Harbors MN-Two Harbors to Duluth MN-
Duluth MN to Port Wing WI-Port Wing to Sand Island WI-
Sand Island to Bayfield WI-Oak Point to Saxon Harbor WI-
Outer Apostle Islands Beyond 5 NM from Mainland-
148 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Superior
and the Nearshore waters of western Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

Periods of strong southwest winds today may gust 15 to 35 knots
are. Gale force gusts are possible closest to shore from the Twin
Ports to Saxon Harbor. Small Craft Advisories and Gale Warnings
are in effect.

There is a chance of strong to severe storms this
afternoon and evening. Hail of dime to ping pong ball size, wind
gusts up to 50 knots, frequent cloud- to- water lightning, and
heavy rain which may reduce visibility to less than 1 mile are the
main threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Strong and gusty northwest winds are forecast over western Lake
Superior again Thursday. Gales to 35 knots are possible Thursday
morning mainly over the North Shore waters and the Outer Apostle
Islands. Additional Small Craft Advisories or Gale Warnings will
be needed.

Levens

More information may be obtained at the following web address:
http://www.weather.gov/duluth

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 16, 12:13 PM CST, 4 hours 57 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 16, 2:21 PM CST, 2 hours 49 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 16, 2:53 PM CST, 2 hours 17 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 16, 4:43 PM CST, 27 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 16, 5:00 PM CST, 10 minutes before
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The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 21 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:12 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 marine thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Marine Thunderstorm Wind, Two Hbrs to Duluth Mn

When
August 16, 5:10 PM CST
Where
Two Hbrs to Duluth Mn forecast zone, 9.04 mi ENE of Duluth
Measured
35 kt (40 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Buoy
Coordinates
46.860, -91.930

A gust of 35 knots (40 mph) was recorded at the McQuade Nearshore buoy.

Marine Thunderstorm Wind, Two Hbrs to Duluth Mn

When
August 16, 5:21 PM CST
Where
Two Hbrs to Duluth Mn forecast zone, 12.85 mi E of Duluth
Measured
39 kt (45 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Buoy
Coordinates
46.814, -91.829

A gust of 39 knots (45 mph) was recorded at the McQuade Offshore buoy.

What these are

Marine Thunderstorm Wind
Thunderstorm winds of 34 knots or more over coastal or lake waters.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Lake Superior in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather history

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1131560, 1131559.