An unusual pattern set up was in place on Saturday June 3, 2022. A cold front was dropping southwest into the state from the northeast, resulting in strong storms along the boundary in the far eastern portion of the state and moving westward instead of the usual eastward direction.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
An unusual pattern set up was in place on Saturday June 3, 2022. A cold front was dropping southwest into the state from the northeast, resulting in strong storms along the boundary in the far eastern portion of the state and moving westward instead of the usual eastward direction. The unstable air led to shower and storm development, with some of the strongest storms setting up across Pike County. Overall these storms led to multiple reports of tree damage across the county. Martin County also received a tree down due to an outflow boundary from the larger storm.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 3, 3:05 PM EST, 17 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 405 PM EDT Sat Jun 3 2023 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night) Issued at 300 PM EDT SAT JUN 3 2023 The models are still in pretty good agreement aloft through the short term portion of the forecast. They all depict a retrograding pattern locally on the southeast side of a high latitude ridge and southwest of a deepening upper level low over the Northeast US. Between the two features, weak northeasterly flow aloft is pushing a weak disturbance southwest toward Eastern Kentucky. Sufficient moisture and instability exists for showers and thunderstorms to form primarily to our east over and near the spine of the Appalachians so far this afternoon. Moisture and instability are more limited to the west toward our area, but should become increasingly sufficient for isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms over West Virginia to move toward northeastern and eastern Kentucky primarily this evening, before activity weakens and dissipates into the early overnight with the loss of daytime heating as residual showers or a few thunderstorms move into eastern Kentucky. Shortwave ridging builds over eastern Kentucky late tonight through much of Sunday, providing for generally dry and stable conditions. Models have trended drier for much of the CWA for Sunday with regards to afternoon convection despite some lift from an upper disturbance approaching the area. However, a couple of CAMS still indicate isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms developing toward the Tennessee and Virginia borders Sunday afternoon into early evening, with the activity moving slowly south or southwest. However, with the mid-level ridging remaining just south and west of us over central Kentucky into eastern Tennessee, would not be surprised if low-end PoPs trend downward for Sunday afternoon and early evening with future forecast updates/packages. Sunday temperatures will be similar to today, but not quite as warm As increasingly drier air once again moves into the region from the north behind the passing upper disturbance Sunday night, just a few low clouds and patchy fog are expected over eastern and southeastern Kentucky Sunday night into early Monday morning. The main adjustments to the NBM starting point were to include more terrain details at night for the temperatures and also to incorporate the CAMs PoPs through the period for higher resolution timing and spatial details. .LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday) Issued at 405 PM EDT SAT JUN 3 2023 The models are in good agreement through the majority of the extended, with a blocky and amplified pattern to be the rule for most of the time. Ridging will be locked in across the central CONUS, while troughing remains positioned in the West and especially in the East. Within the eastern trough, a more prominent cut off low will start out just east of Cape Cod. The low will gradually gyre to the north with time, spreading height falls across the Ohio and Tennessee valleys through the early and middle part of next week. As previously mentioned, moisture looks limited, with most model output continuing to show mainly dry weather continuing across our area. Below normal temperatures look to take hold by the middle of the week, and then trend back above normal once again as we head into next weekend. The pattern will break down towards the end of the period, with moisture gradually returning from the more typical westerly direction, with perhaps isolated convection threatening by early next weekend. A few showers and storms will threaten along and south of Highway 80 Monday afternoon and early evening, before dry weather takes hold across the area. A progressive and mainly dry cold front on Tuesday, will usher in the cooler air mass for Wednesday and Thursday, with highs retreating back to the 70s, and lows in the low to mid 50s. Highs will then return back to the mid 80s by Saturday. Slight chance PoPs also return by then, although could see this being delayed by another day, if the current model guidance trends hold. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon) ISSUED AT 1252 PM EDT SAT JUN 3 2023 A few showers or storms will be possible for far eastern Kentucky this afternoon, with a mention of VCTS added at SJS. Winds will generally be northeasterly, but generally staying less than 10 kts diminishing after dark. Any fog will will remain confined to the river valleys tonight. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...CMC LONG TERM...GEOGERIAN AVIATION...CMC
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson KY 357 PM EDT Sat Jun 3 2023 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-041100- Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle- Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan- Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott- Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike- Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson 357 PM EDT Sat Jun 3 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Tonight. A thunderstorm or two will be possible through early this evening, mainly northeast of the I-75 corridor. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Thunderstorms are possible during the afternoon and early evening hours of Sunday and Monday, mainly along and south of Highway 80. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. CMC/GEOGERIAN
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 78 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:24 UTC.
3 thunderstorm wind, 1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Per social media pictures, large limbs were blown down onto US-460 near the Greasy Creek Road intersection and bridge.
A tree was reported blown down at 7705 Marrowbone Creek Road (KY-195).
A tree was reported to have been blown down at the 1600 block of Old Ferrells Creek Road, east of the community of Belcher.
The large storm in Pike County led to an outflow boundary which moved through Martin County, causing a tree to blown down near Jack's Branch and KY-292.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, June 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1110233, 1110215, 1110221, 1110234.