Scattered thunderstorms developed in northern Kansas with one dropping south into Lincoln County during the evening of the 28th. One storm had estimated wind gusts of 60 mph near Barnard.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ICT wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms developed in northern Kansas with one dropping south into Lincoln County during the evening of the 28th. One storm had estimated wind gusts of 60 mph near Barnard.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 28, 5:35 PM CST, 43 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 635 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2023 ...Updated Aviation Discussion... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 321 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2023 FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEKEND: * Persistent above average temperatures through mid to late next week. * Slight chances for showers/storms northern half of KS through Saturday night, and again by mid-late next week. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night) Issued at 321 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2023 THIS AFTERNOON-EARLY EVENING...A subtle mid-level wave along with residual moisture is supporting a few hit-or-miss showers and thunderstorms across south-central Kansas this afternoon. Anticipate this activity may linger through 6-8 PM, mainly south of Highway 50 and west of the Flint Hills. These dense clouds are also keeping temperatures not as hot in the upper 80s and 90s over western portions of south-central KS. Elsewhere, heat indices are around 105- 109 degrees, so will continue the Excessive Heat Warning through its expiration time of 9 PM this evening. THIS EVENING-TONIGHT...Can't rule out a stray thunderstorm or two venturing into areas mainly along/north of I-70, as a slow-moving frontal zone approaches from the north. If anything can form, the main threats would be isolated strong wind gusts given hefty DCAPE values. SATURDAY-SATURDAY NIGHT...The frontal zone should shift south slightly for Saturday, as thunderstorm activity tonight-Saturday AM well north of the region drives the boundary further south. Consequently, introduced slight chances for isolated storms as far south as central and east-central KS Saturday late afternoon- evening. If a storm or two can manage to develop, the combination of CAPE and marginal deep layer shear will favor strong to marginally severe storms. Temperature-wise, will continue the excessive heat warning for all areas, with forecast heat indices around 103-108 once again. However, if the front/outflow gets further south than expected (as the NAM suggests), portions of central and east-central KS would see somewhat cooler than expected temperatures. SUNDAY-SUNDAY NIGHT...With questions on how far south the frontal zone will get, held off on issuing any heat headlines for Sunday, although suspect a heat advisory or excessive heat warning may be needed over at least far southern KS given current forecast trends. Additionally, kept a dry forecast for Sunday-Sunday night, as the frontal zone washes out and convergence decreases. However, localized convergence may prove sufficient for an isolated storm or two Sunday late afternoon-evening. Later shifts may need to consider a low PoP during this time period. .LONG TERM...(Monday through Friday) Issued at 321 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2023 The upper-level ridge will continue to hold on through the middle of next week and keep highs near and above 100 through Thursday before shifting east. This will most likely result in additional heat headlines through the middle of the week. The Canadian/GFS break down the ridge and try to bring a cold front through the region going into Friday. This progression may provide chances for isolated showers and storms as early as Wednesday night, but better chances at this point appear to begin late Thursday night and last through the weekend. It is still too far out to determine amounts and coverage of the potential rain and heat relief at this time, but the system certainly bears watching as we move into next week. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening) Issued at 621 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2023 VFR conditions will prevail for the TAF period. Main concern for the short term is strong to severe storms across north central KS which may affect mainly KRSL/KSLN over the next several hours. Storms are moving extremely slow at this time, confidence is somewhat low of whether storms will actually reach either site given pulse-like nature of the storms. Will amend as needed. Otherwise, S/SW winds will continue across much of south central and southeast KS. However, a slow moving frontal boundary will be slowly meander across central KS. This may generate more variable winds across central KS sites. There remains uncertainty in how far south this boundary will sag south, which will impact which sites are seeing SW winds by tomorrow afternoon and which will see more easterly winds. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Wichita-KICT 77 100 75 101 / 10 10 10 0 Hutchinson 76 102 74 99 / 10 10 10 0 Newton 77 100 74 98 / 10 10 10 10 ElDorado 77 99 74 99 / 10 10 10 10 Winfield-KWLD 76 99 74 101 / 10 10 10 0 Russell 74 99 72 97 / 20 20 20 10 Great Bend 74 100 73 97 / 10 10 20 0 Salina 77 101 74 98 / 20 20 20 10 McPherson 76 101 74 98 / 10 10 20 10 Coffeyville 77 100 75 100 / 10 10 10 10 Chanute 77 99 74 98 / 10 10 10 10 Iola 77 99 74 97 / 10 20 20 10 Parsons-KPPF 77 100 74 99 / 10 10 10 10 && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Excessive Heat Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for KSZ032- 033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100. Excessive Heat Warning from noon to 9 PM CDT Saturday for KSZ032- 033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100. && SYNOPSIS...ADK SHORT TERM...ADK LONG TERM...JK AVIATION...KMB
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wichita KS 602 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2023 KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-292315- Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase- Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper- Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette- 602 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2023 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas, South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...Tonight Triple digit heat indices will continue into the evening across the region. An excessive heat warning is in effect through 9 PM. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible this evening, mainly along and north of I-70. The main threats will be isolated occurrences of 50 to 65 mph winds, and pea to quarter size hail. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Triple digit afternoon through early evening heat indices from around 103 to 110 degrees will persist Saturday through mid to late next week. An excessive heat warning remains in effect through Saturday. Additional heat advisories or excessive heat warnings may eventually be needed Sunday into next week. There is a slight chance for thunderstorms Saturday late afternoon and night over central and east-central Kansas, with additional chances returning by Wednesday night. Isolated strong to marginally severe storms are possible, but widespread severe weather is unlikely. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight. && For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at: https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
655 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2023
KSZ033-290100-
Lincoln KS-
655 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Lincoln
County through 800 PM CDT...
At 654 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Victor, or 14 miles south of Beloit, moving southeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Barnard and Ash Grove.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3922 9793 3903 9793 3910 9838 3922 9837
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 303DEG 25KT 3926 9818
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
JMCThe Grand Island radar (KUEX), 130 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:17 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The cooperative observer estimated wind gusts to 60 mph.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, July 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1117308.