Idaho, 2023High Wind in Idaho, August 21, 2023
August 21, 2023 · NWS PIH · 4 events in 4 counties and zones
Widespread wind gusts of 50 to 70 mph were recorded as the remnants of Hurricane/Tropical Storm Hilary moved through Idaho.
Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 4
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Widespread wind gusts of 50 to 70 mph were recorded as the remnants of Hurricane/Tropical Storm Hilary moved through Idaho.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pocatello, ID wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 21, 1:41 AM MST, 6 hours 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 21, 1:41 AM MST, 6 hours 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
241 AM MDT Mon Aug 21 2023
.SHORT TERM (Today and Tuesday)...
Early morning satellite imagery shows TC Hilary continuing to move
quickly out of California and into central Nevada. Tropical
moisture associated with the decaying tropical cyclone will
continue to surge north into Idaho throughout the day today
allowing for ample rainfall to fall across portions of the area.
Hi-res models continue to show the best chance for this focused
across the central mountains as upslope enhancement and deep
tropical moisture should set the stage for a pretty rainy Monday
and a Flood Watch remains in place through the late evening in
these areas. As we move into the Snake Plain and areas to the
east, PoPs look to be a bit more scattered in nature as deeper
moisture remains to the west and best rain chances will be more
convective in nature as we see decent instability by mid-afternoon
courtesy of daytime heating.
In addition to the rainfall threat, a tightening pressure gradient
between TC Hilary and the strong high pressure across the central
U.S. should allow for a windy day across eastern Idaho. Wind
Advisories and High Wind warnings remain in place through late
evening. Much of the region can expect wind gusts in the 40-50 mph
range this afternoon with some locally higher gusts certainly likely
in some of our more wind prone locations. As we move into Tuesday,
winds will remain breezy but not nearly like what we can expect to
see today. Upper-level SW flow remains in place however keeping
adequate moisture in place over the area to allow for some diurnal
shower/storm development later in the day areawide. McKaughan
.LONG TERM...Wednesday through Monday.
Low pressure swings across southern Canada Wednesday, helping to
pull whatever moisture is left over from Hilary to the north and
east. There is enough for showers and storms though across mainly
the higher elevations. We may also see some gusty winds along the
Montana border as well. Otherwise, southwest flow sets up again
across Idaho...as high pressure sits over the High Plains and a
low develops offshore. Our Blend of Models is holding onto showers
and a few storms especially across the South Hills, Albion
Mountains and southeast highlands. The GFS and ECMWF look much
drier, so we may end up with a fairly quiet Thursday IF that
trends continues. A weaker "wave" rotating around the main low
will increase the chance of showers and thunderstorms Friday and
potentially Saturday...based on the Blend of Models, GFS and
ECMWF. After that, we will have to see how things evolve with the
overall pattern across the eastern Pacific and western U.S. The
GFS maintains that low closer to the coast and stronger southwest
flow, and the possibility of daily showers and storms. The ECMWF
has the pattern shift must farther west, putting us more under a
ridge of high pressure...which would leave us dry and a bit
warmer. Although the latest cluster forecasts aren't available,
the previous forecast run was showing a near 50/50 split between
those 2 ideas. Our Blend of Models shows lingering showers/storms
over the mountains and a gradual warming trend back toward average
for the end of August. Keyes
&&
.AVIATION...
Deep tropical moisture continues to surge northward through the
Great Basin as the remains of TC Hilary continue to push north
towards the region. In addition to the moisture, winds will ramp up
significantly around the area later this afternoon with widespread
gusts in the 30-40 kt range not out of the question at all
terminals. VFR CIGS mainly expected today outside of KSUN where MVFR
CIGS/VIS will be possible at times with embedded moderate to heavy
bands of rain and a brief period of IFR certainly possible as well
as the highest total precipitation amounts are expected here
courtesy of southerly upslope flow into the Wood River Valley. Other
terminals will see more "hit-or-miss" style showers/storms during
the late afternoon/early evening hours with the best chance for any
thunderstorms likely at KDIJ. McKaughan
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Wet and windy weather remains the theme for today
across central and eastern Idaho. As the main firehose of moisture
associated with Hilary shifts west, we are still looking at a steady
stream of moisture into the central mountains for most of today. An
additional 0.50-1.0" is possible across the Lost River Range and
portions of the Sawtooths, Boulders and Pioneers. The rest of the
central mountains should see another 0.10-0.40". Higher rainfall
rates are likely today on those areas as we should see enough cloud
breaks for thunderstorms to form this afternoon and evening. The
threat of flooding, slides and debris flows remains across the
central mountains. In fact, that trend is expected across most of
the area today especially once you get away from the central
mountains. Outside of the central mountains, we may see up to
additional 0.20-0.40" of rainfall where we get those thunderstorms
forming. Also with the strongest storms, enhanced wind gusts are
expected. Speaking of wind today, it still appears to be rather
windy today over all of central and eastern Idaho OUTSIDE of any
enhanced wind gusts. Winds of 30-45 mph will be common, with gusts
over 50 mph across the higher elevations of the central mountains
and along the Montana border in Zone 411. We continue to advertise
gusts of 50-70 mph along and south of the 84/86 corridor due to
southerly downslope and gap winds. Tomorrow will be another breezy
day, although much less than today, with more showers and storms in
the forecast. The focus for heavier precipitation will be across the
Sawtooths and Stanley Basin, as well as the southeast corner (413)
where there is still MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. Amounts
are only up around a third of an inch, but storms moving over the
same area will produce higher amounts...plus very saturated ground
(especially in the central mountains) could easily producing flash
flooding, slides and debris flows. Otherwise, look for a mix of wet
and dry storms Tuesday. The rest of this week and into the weekend
will see a gradual warming trend, but elevated humidity even in the
afternoons. There will be occasional showers across the area, with a
mix of wet and dry storms. Keyes
&&
.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from noon today to 9 PM MDT this evening for
IDZ052>055-062-067-068.
High Wind Warning from 9 AM this morning to 9 PM MDT this
evening for IDZ056-057.
High Wind Warning from noon today to 9 PM MDT this evening for
IDZ058-059.
Flood Watch through this evening for IDZ068>075.
&&
High Wind, Sun Valley Region
- When
- August 21, 8:00 AM MST to 1:00 PM MST
- Where
- Sun Valley Region forecast zone
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 43.826, -114.131 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Widespread wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph occurred on the 21st especially in the morning with a peak of 60 mph measured 4 miles west southwest of Galena.
High Wind, Southern Hills-Albion Mountains
- When
- August 21, 8:00 AM MST to 2:00 PM MST
- Where
- Southern Hills-Albion Mountains forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 42.284, -113.600 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Fifty to 60 mph wind gusts were widespread in the morning and early afternoon in the Southern Hills and Albion Mountains.
High Wind, Arco-Mud Lake Desert
- When
- August 21, 11:20 AM MST to 4:00 PM MST
- Where
- Arco-Mud Lake Desert forecast zone
- Measured
- 58 kt (67 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 43.537, -112.374 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Extensive wind gusts in the 50 to 60 mph range occurred in the Arco and Mud Lake Desert. Big Southern Butte measured 67 mph for the peak gust in the region.
High Wind, Beaverhead-Lemhi Highlands
- When
- August 21, 12:00 PM MST to 4:00 PM MST
- Where
- Beaverhead-Lemhi Highlands forecast zone
- Measured
- 66 kt (76 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 44.004, -112.761 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Medicine Lodge mesonet station recorded a 76 mph wind gust. Widespread gusts over 50 mph occurred.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1131537, 1131540, 1131536, 1131535.