Arizona, 2023Hail and Damaging Winds in Arizona, August 21, 2023
August 21, 2023 · NWS TWC · 5 events in 3 counties and zones
Scattered thunderstorms developed and moved northwest across southeast Arizona during the afternoon and evening. Wind damage took place in Whetstone and also at Saguaro National Park West where hundreds of saguaros were downed or damaged.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $110,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 5
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Scattered thunderstorms developed and moved northwest across southeast Arizona during the afternoon and evening. Wind damage took place in Whetstone and also at Saguaro National Park West where hundreds of saguaros were downed or damaged. Large hail occurred in south and central Tucson, damaging an elementary school. Moderate rain from a subsequent thunderstorm leaked into the building, causing ceiling tile damage.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 21, 1:32 PM MST, 1 hour 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 21, 1:32 PM MST, 1 hour 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
132 PM MST Mon Aug 21 2023
.SYNOPSIS...Daily rounds of scattered showers and thunderstorms
this week. Cooler than normal temperatures Wednesday then warming
to above normal next weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...Latest satellite imagery shows a small cumulus field
developing over Cochise County and a little bit in Pima County.
There is mid level clouds that is inhibiting some of the
development of the cumulus clouds over Pima County and to the
west. There is plenty of moisture in the air and instability
within the region. The better instability is closer to Cochise
County which there are a few cumulus are starting to build more
into towers. The mid level clouds are taking a little longer to
clear out for the cumulus clouds to really build and the better
access for surface heating. The latest 19z HRRR run still shows
thunderstorms developing this afternoon, starting around 2 pm MST.
That may get delayed a bit more if there is still higher cloud
cover to limit growth, but the eastern edge of the cloud field
(western Cochise County) will likely to be the first action item
of the afternoon. Especially when the CAPE values are in the 2000
J/kg range which is higher than in Pima or Santa Cruz County. SPC
still has the area under a marginal risk for thunderstorms with
the threat of wind and hail. The upper level does support strong
thunderstorm potential and it can make the storms move fairly
quickly due to the 30kt steering flow at the 700mb. 12Z HREF has a
strong signal for strong gusty winds that can lead to blowing
dust along the high traffic corridor. Plus, there is plenty of
moisture to create brief heavy rainfall within a short amount of
time. Expect flows in washes and localized significant ponding of
water and other localized flooding challenges.
Later in the evening, there could be another quick round of
showers and thunderstorms based on the latest HRRR. Showers and
thunderstorms will taper off through the rest of the night.
Tomorrow, temperatures will be around normal with breezy
conditions for mainly in the eastern counties of the CWA. The
better chances for thunderstorms will be west of Tucson in the
afternoon.
By Wednesday, a trof or a tropical wave from the Gulf of Mexico
that will bring more moisture and upper level dynamics. This will
increase the chances for showers and thunderstorms as well as
keep temperatures slightly below normal.
Rest of the week, there will be a daily chance of showers and
thunderstorms due to the lingering moisture. The moisture will
slowly erode away through the weekend. Temperatures will warm up
to a few-several degrees above normal through the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...valid through 23/00z.
SCT SHRA/TSRA with bases SCT-BKN 9-12k ft MSL, ISOLD MVFR
CIGS/VSBYS, MT obscurations and gusts 35-45kts through 22/02z. Areas
of BLDU from KAVQ to KCGZ. SHRA/TSRA diminishing overnight then
redeveloping Tuesday afternoon mainly W of KTUS/KOLS. Outside of
thunderstorms SFC winds mainly SE-ly 8-18 kts. Gusts to 25 kts this
evening and Tuesday afternoon VCNTY KDUG and KSAD. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...Scattered afternoon and evening showers for much
of the work week with day-to-day variability in areal coverage of
storms. Gusty southeast winds into this evening and again Tuesday,
especially east of Tucson. Later this week through the weekend, it
looks like we could see two or three consecutive days of warmer
temperatures/lower humidities and limited thunderstorm coverage.
&&
.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
Hail, Pima
- When
- August 21, 3:01 PM MST to 3:13 PM MST
- Where
- Pima County, 1.17 mi E of Emery Park to 1.53 mi W of Tucson
- Measured
- 1.5 in hail
- Property damage
- $100,000
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 32.130, -110.930
A swath of large hail from 1 to 1.5 inches in diameter fell from near the Tucson Airport northwest to the campus of the University of Arizona, including at the NWS Tucson WFO. Hail damaged cars, skylights and roofs, including the roof at Rivera Elementary School.
Thunderstorm Wind, Cochise
- When
- August 21, 5:27 PM MST
- Where
- Cochise County, 5.85 mi SE of Sierra Vista
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 31.490, -110.230
A spotter reported 60 mph wind gusts near Sierra Vista.
Thunderstorm Wind, Cochise
- When
- August 21, 6:05 PM MST
- Where
- Cochise County, 4.61 mi WNW of Huachuca City Arpt
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Reported by
- Broadcast Media
- Coordinates
- 31.710, -110.350
Thunderstorm winds blew the corrugated metal roof off a machine shed in Whetstone.
Thunderstorm Wind, Santa Cruz
- When
- August 21, 6:33 PM MST
- Where
- Santa Cruz County, 2.83 mi SSW of Madera Canyon
- Measured
- 51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- RAWS
- Coordinates
- 31.680, -110.880
A gust to 59 mph was recorded at the Hopkins RAWS at 1833MST.
Thunderstorm Wind, Pima
- When
- August 21, 7:30 PM MST to 7:35 PM MST
- Where
- Pima County, 1.75 mi ESE of Old Tuscon to 3.43 mi SW of Cortaro
- Measured
- 61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Park/Forest Service
- Coordinates
- 32.215, -111.101
Thunderstorm winds downed 400 saguaro cacti and damaged 800 others at Saguaro National Park West.
- Hail
- Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Excessive Heat in South Dakota, August 21 to 24, 20231 death · 24 events
- Excessive Heat in South Dakota, August 21 to 23, 202325 events
- Excessive Heat and Heat in Alabama, August 21 to 26, 202319 events
- Excessive Heat in Iowa, August 21 to 24, 202311 events
- Damaging Wind and High Wind in Idaho, August 21 to 22, 202360 kt wind · 8 events
- Excessive Heat in Minnesota, August 21 to 24, 20238 events
- Excessive Heat in Iowa, August 21 to 24, 20238 events
- High Wind in Idaho, August 21, 202366 kt wind · 4 events
- Flash Flood and Debris Flow in Puerto Rico, August 21, 2023$3,000 · 3 events
- Excessive Heat in Nebraska, August 21 to 24, 20232 events
- Damaging Winds in Arizona, August 21, 2023$8,000 · 50 kt wind · 2 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Gulf of Mexico, August 21, 20232 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1129886, 1129887, 1129888, 1129889, 1131359.