Hawaii, 2023Heavy Snow in Hawaii, March 2 to 4, 2023
March 2 to 4, 2023 · NWS HFO · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A surge of deep moisture moved over the Big Island and combined with a relatively low freeing level to generate periods of heavy snow and freezing rain at times.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A surge of deep moisture moved over the Big Island and combined with a relatively low freeing level to generate periods of heavy snow and freezing rain at times.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 2, 4:11 PM HST, 1 hour 49 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 2, 4:11 PM HST, 1 hour 49 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
411 PM HST Thu Mar 2 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
Gusty trades will continue to weaken across much of the state
this evening with a gradual decline expected to continue through
Friday, and lighter winds expected over the weekend. Showers will
continue with locally heavy rainfall and thunderstorms possible at
times through Friday. A series of fronts will move through the
islands next week, bringing moderate to breezy southwest winds to
the area, and shifting rainfall to the west through south facing
slopes and coasts.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
For tonight...winds continue to slowly weaken across the state
this afternoon, with wind speeds now mainly below advisory levels.
Otherwise, showers will continue across much of the state
tonight. Current radar trends show the greatest concentration of
showers centered across Maui County and Big Island, where
satellite base PW imagery shows deeper moisture streaming in from
the east. Additionally, the latest lightning data shows some
thunderstorms in the vicinity of Big Island, with the largest
concentration currently around 200 miles south to southeast of
South Point in area of modest instability (SW 0C to -1C). Moisture
depths, stability index and thunderstorm probabilities, all
suggest that locally heavy rainfall and thunderstorms remain
possible across the eastern end of the state through tonight.
Across the western end of the state, radar shows showers remained
more limited as satellite based PW imagery shows drier air
streaming into these areas. However showers, along with a slight
chance for thunderstorms, are expected to increase in areal
coverage across the western end of the state through tonight, as
deeper moisture and instability slowly expands westward. Wintry
weather will continue to affect the summits through tonight as
some deeper moisture moves across the state.
Friday through Sunday....High pressure north of the state will
continue breezy trades Friday. Wind are then expected to diminish
Friday night and Saturday as a cold front approaches the state
from the northwest, and the ridge north of the state weakens. This
will allow for diurnal land and sea breezes Saturday into Sunday
due to the weakened pressure gradient. However a transition to
more southerly winds is expected across Kauai and Oahu Sunday
night as the front northwest of the state advances forward. Deep
moisture depths and lingering weak instability will continue a wet
pattern across much of the state through Friday night, with the
greatest concentration of showers lingering across windward areas.
Additionally, lingering instability and low end thunderstorm
probabilities, would suggest a chance for some thunderstorms
across portions of the islands into early Saturday. However a
trend to more stable conditions and land sea breeze circulations,
would promote some additonal showers along leeward areas this
weekend.
Monday through next week...Winds are forecast to increase out of
the southwest to moderate levels Monday before becoming locally
breezy Tuesday and Wednesday as a series of fronts move through
the island chain. Showers will increase over the western end of
the state Monday in advance of the approaching front. Deep
layered moisture and shower coverage will then expand eastward
across the rest of the island chain Tuesday and Wednesday.
&&
.AVIATION...
Strong trades have weakened slightly across the forecast area and
will continue to do so through tonight, settling firmly within
the breezy category by Friday afternoon. Visible satellite shows a
corridor of deeper moisture taking aim on Maui through Oahu this
afternoon with Lihue soon to follow this evening. For the near
term, AIRMET Sierra has been expanded to included Windward Oahu.
MVFR with localized IFR will be common in these areas through
tonight. A mention of light icing is also retained in the AIRMET
product as the band of incoming showers has appreciable vertical
depth and extends well into the icing layer over a rather wide
area. Low clouds and showers are also forecast to increase in
coverage over Windward Big Island this evening. Isolated
thunderstorms are possible over windward zones through Friday.
AIRMET Sierra for mountain obscuration is in effect for Windward
Maui and Molokai and Oahu.
AIRMET Tango is in effect for lee turbulence.
AIRMET Tango is in effect for moderate mid/upper turb FL180/4000.
Light icing near and upstream of Maui thru Oahu FL110/FL200.
&&
.MARINE...
The strong surface high far north of the state has weakened
slightly and in response the winds have dropped just a touch.
Strong to near gale force trade winds continue to produce rough
conditions and large seas this afternoon, but it is now on a
gradual downward trend. The Gale Warning has been downgraded to a
Small Craft Advisory for the windier waters around Maui County and
the Big Island. A Small Craft Advisory is now in effect for all
Hawaiian waters through Friday afternoon. Winds will continue to
steadily decrease over the weekend with winds becoming light and
variable by Sunday. A front will gradually approach the state
early next week and will bring increasing showers and southerly
winds starting as early as Monday of next week. The front is
expected to gradually push through the state and will likely bring
some periods of heavy rain by next Tuesday.
Surf along east facing shores will remain rough, but is now
gradually decreasing in response to the winds. The High Surf
Warning has been downgraded to an Advisory for east facing shores.
Surf heights should continue to trend down on Friday and should
drop below advisory thresholds by this weekend as winds further
ease.
Surf along north facing shores will remain well below the
seasonal average each day through early next week, with the
exception of the shores exposed to the large easterly seas
wrapping in. A small long-period west-northwest swell will fill in
Friday and decline through the weekend. A small long-period pulse
is possible Tuesday out of the north-northeast from a gale
predicted to move through the Gulf of Alaska over the weekend. For
the long-term, a more significant winter-like scenario unfolding
will become a possibility through the second half of next week in
response to broad low pressure evolving north-northwest of the
islands. Confidence remains low on surf heights, but a large to
extra-large northwest swell will be possible around Wednesday or
Thursday of next week.
Surf along south facing shores will remain near the seasonal
average each day, with mainly wind swell wrapping into exposed
areas. Short-period and choppy surf conditions are possible early
next week if the fresh southwest winds develop as advertised.
&&
.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Surf Advisory until 6 PM HST Friday for Olomana-Maui
Windward West-Kauai East-Kauai South-East Honolulu-Koolau
Windward-Molokai Windward-Molokai Southeast-Windward Haleakala-
Kipahulu-South Haleakala-Big Island Southeast-Big Island East-
Big Island North.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM HST Friday for all Hawaiian
waters-
&&
DISCUSSION...SWR
AVIATION...JVC
MARINE...Kino
Heavy Snow, Big Island Summit
- When
- March 2, 6:00 PM HST to March 4, 3:00 AM HST
- Where
- Big Island Summit forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 19.602, -155.523 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Heavy snow and mixed precipitation generated snow accumulations up to 8 inches with ice accumulations around two tenths of an inch or less that forced road closures on the Big Island Summits.
- Heavy Snow
- Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Rip Currents in Puerto Rico, March 2 to 3, 20233 deaths · 6 injured · 2 events
- Tornado and Hail in Texas, March 2, 2023$3.6 million · EF1 · 84 events
- Tornadoes and Damaging Winds in Louisiana, March 2 to 3, 20232 injured · $50 million · EF1 · 11 events
- Winter Weather in Montana, March 2, 20231 death · 3 events
- Tornadoes and Damaging Winds in Texas, March 2, 2023$50,000 · EF1 · 23 events
- Lightning Strikes in North Carolina, March 2, 2023$200,000 · 2 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Oklahoma, March 2 to 3, 2023$120,000 · 1.75 in hail · 8 events
- Tornado and Damaging Winds in Arkansas, March 2, 2023$25,000 · EF1 · 5 events
- High Wind in Texas, March 2, 2023$60,000 · 59 kt wind · 5 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Oklahoma, March 2, 2023$25,000 · 1 in hail · 6 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Texas, March 2, 2023$7,000 · 1.5 in hail · 22 events
- High Wind in Texas, March 2, 2023$5,000 · 77 kt wind · 18 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1084548.