Hawaii, 2023Flash Flood in Hawaii, February 21, 2023
February 21, 2023 · NWS HFO · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Heavy rainfall elevated streams across the island with efficient runoff due to high soil moisture content and locally intense rainfall rates.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Heavy rainfall elevated streams across the island with efficient runoff due to high soil moisture content and locally intense rainfall rates.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 21, 10:03 AM HST, 3 hours 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 21, 10:03 AM HST, 3 hours 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
1003 AM HST Tue Feb 21 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
The flooding threat will continue today and may linger into
Wednesday for the western end of the state as deep tropical
moisture pools northward over the region. Drier air and strong
easterly trade winds are expected Wednesday into the second half
of the week as low pressure to the west drifts away from the
area. A wetter trade wind pattern is possible this weekend as an
upper disturbance settles southward into the area.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Several waves of heavy rain have moved over Kauai since yesterday
afternoon resulting in widespread rainfall totals between 2 and 6".
The Mount Waialeale gauge checks in with the highest total of 12.54"
followed by 9.17" at N Wailua Ditch and 8.09" at Waiahi. Additional
waves of heavy rain will develop within convergent southeasterly low-
level flow and lift toward Kauai through the day. The flood watch
remains in effect. The primary decision point for the afternoon
package will be the potential for an extension through tonight. For
Oahu, it appears low-level convergence has shifted west of the
island and the flood threat for the remainder of the day will tend
to diminish. At this time, anticipate allowing this portion of the
watch to expire on schedule this evening.
Amplification of the longwave pattern will continue into Wednesday
as the existing upper low NW of Kauai refocuses southwest of the
state and cuts off. Mid-level ridging will expand along 150W, its
SEward expansion into the subtropics aided by a deepening trough
along the US west coast. This will set the stage for the strong
1046mb high over the NE Pacific to migrate southward as the closed
low near the islands begins to drift west. The gradual departure of
larger scale forcing this afternoon through tonight combined with an
increasing support for a strong push to trade winds suggests the
organized flood threat could come to an end as early as this
evening, though observations and latest trends will be reevaluated
this afternoon. Backing mid-level flow will lag the development of
trades at the surface. As such, even as breezy trade winds return to
the islands during Wednesday, southeasterly mid-level flow will
continue directing a portion of the tropical airmass toward Kauai.
At this time, pockets of heavier showers are still likely over the
western end of the state on Wednesday and potentially Wednesday
night, but the tendency for organized bands of heavy rain will
diminish as surface winds back to easterly.
Previous Discussion. For the second half of the week, the east-
southeast low-level flow will back to a more typical easterly
trade wind direction. Wind speeds may reach the advisory level as
strong high pressure (1040 mb) sets up north- northeast of the
state. For the upcoming weekend, guidance shows an upper trough
moving in from the northeast. Lowering upper heights and
increasing instability associated with this upper feature could
support increasing trade wind shower coverage. Although the bulk
of the showers will favor windward areas, the brisk trades will
manage to carry some into leeward areas, especially through the
overnight and early morning periods this weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...
An upper low to the northwest of Kauai along with lingering deep
tropical moisture has been supplying moderate to heavy showers
across the Islands and a few isolated thunderstorms to Oahu and
Kauai over night. These unsettled conditions are expected to
continue today particularly for the western islands. An AIRMET
Sierra for mountain obscuration for Kauai, Oahu, and the southeast
areas of the Big Island will likely remain in place today due to
the ongoing MVFR with isolated IFR conditions.
Additionally, strengthening trades will increase the potential of
low-level mechanical turbulence downwind of mountains, especially
for the central smaller islands today. Therefore, AIRMET Tango
for low-level moderate turbulence continues for Maui, Molokai,
and Oahu.
A period of potential light ice continues in a layer between
150/FL250, as a band of mid and upper level moisture lingers
across the state. This should be mostly focused over the western
islands.
&&
.MARINE...
A high pressure ridge building in from the northeast will produce
strong to near-gale force trade winds across Hawaiian waters through
the end of the week. Surface troughing and an upper low west of
the state will tap into abundant tropical moisture, producing periods
of showers, with isolated thunderstorms and embedded heavier
showers across the region through Wednesday. A Small Craft
Advisory remains in effect for most waters due to a combination of
winds and rough seas through at least Friday.
Surf along east facing shores will remain elevated and rough through
the week due to persistent and strong trade winds over and upstream
of the Hawaiian Islands. A High Surf Advisory (HSA) is in effect
for east facing shores through at least Wednesday. East shore surf
will likely hold at or near low end advisory levels through the
weekend.
A series of small, medium to long-period northwest (310-330) swells
will move through the local waters through the weekend. Expect
surf heights along north and west facing shores to remain well
below the seasonal average through Sunday. South shore surf will
also remain small through the weekend. A small, long-period south
swell (170 degrees) could provide a small bump up in south shore
surf for Sunday into early next week.
&&
.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 6 PM HST this evening for Niihau-Kauai Leeward-
Kauai Mountains-Waianae Coast-Oahu North Shore-Olomana-Central
Oahu-Waianae Mountains-Kauai North-Kauai East-Kauai South-East
Honolulu-Honolulu Metro-Ewa Plain-Koolau Windward-Koolau
Leeward.
High Surf Advisory until 8 PM HST Wednesday for Olomana-Maui
Windward West-Kauai East-East Honolulu-Koolau Windward-Molokai
Windward-Molokai Southeast-Windward Haleakala-Kipahulu-Big
Island Southeast-Big Island East-Big Island North.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM HST Friday for all Hawaiian
waters except Maalaea Bay-
&&
DISCUSSION...JVC
AVIATION...Tsamous
MARINE...TS
Flash Flood, Kauai
- When
- February 21, 1:26 PM HST to 3:47 PM HST
- Where
- Kauai County, 0.63 mi SSE of Princeville to 0.68 mi SSE of Princeville
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 22.212, -159.476
Kuhio Highway near the Hanalei Bridge was closed due to flooding.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Heavy Snow in Oregon, February 21 to 23, 2023$20 million · 11 events
- Blizzard and Winter Storm in South Dakota, February 21 to 23, 20233 injured · $500,000 · 24 events
- Heavy Snow in Washington, February 21 to 23, 20231 injured · $2.0 million · 5 events
- Heavy Snow and High Wind in Arizona, February 21 to 22, 202315 injured · 57 kt wind · 2 events
- Tornado and Hail in New Jersey, February 21 to 22, 2023EF2 · 13 events
- High Wind and Strong Wind in California, February 21 to 22, 2023$135,000 · 69 kt wind · 5 events
- High Wind in Nevada, February 21 to 22, 2023$125,000 · 71 kt wind · 3 events
- High Wind in California, February 21 to 22, 2023$76,000 · 61 kt wind · 4 events
- Winter Storm in Minnesota, February 21 to 23, 202342 events
- Winter Storm and Heavy Snow in California, February 21 to 24, 202339 events
- Damaging Winds in Pennsylvania, February 21, 2023$37,000 · 60 kt wind · 10 events
- High Wind and Strong Wind in California, February 21 to 23, 2023$7,000 · 83 kt wind · 36 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1075386.