What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 28, 6:07 PM EST, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 28, 6:07 PM EST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
707 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
Bermuda high pressure remains anchored off the Eastern Seaboard
through Saturday. Excessive heat is expected until until a cold
front passes through the region over the weekend. High pressure
builds in from the north and west for the start of the new
week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
With the evening update, went head and refined timing of some
thunderstorms forecast to reach southern and western portions of
our area. Storms are still approaching, but slower than some of
the earlier model guidance was suggesting. That should be
beneficial for our area in terms of severe weather potential, as
we will begin to lose daytime heating and instability over the
next few hours with sunset. The thunderstorms over portions of
south-central PA southward through Maryland and northern
Virginia have been impressive, with some rather high
reflectivity cores resulting in wind damage as they come down to
the surface. There is a distinct, albeit not particularly
significant, shortwave tracking eastward across the MD/VA/WV
border vicinity that is likely the cause of most of these
thunderstorms. Shear is not impressive....only 10-15 kt of 0-6
KM bulk shear in our region, with just a tick more where the
convection is occuring. However, ML CAPE values are over 3000
j/kg, which is likely the main driving factor. That said, it
looks like the storms heading toward Chester and Berks County PA
are not severe, and while they may maintain enough strength for
some wind gusts over 45 mph and some small hail, expect they
will tend to gradually weaken. The other stronger convection
over MD that could approach our eastern shore counties has while
longer to go; by the time it reaches there, the same will
likely be true; some sub-severe gusty winds possible. Farther
northeast toward Philadelphia, across most of Delaware, and
Atlantic City, it will probably be after 9 or 10 PM by the time
any leftover showers or storms make it in, and they should
continue to weaken and eventually dissipate while lifting
northeastward overnight.
Previous discussion from the afternoon forecast package...
Latest analysis shows a very subtle boundary straddling the
Delmarva and southern NJ on a southeast-northwest alignment.
This boundary, after pushing south across the region overnight,
will move back northeast across the region this evening into
tonight. Dew points remain sultry on the south side of this
boundary, but to the north, temperatures and dew points are
running just a bit shy of expectations, keeping heat indices
lower than expected. That said, will retain heat headlines as-is
even though it looks like we may be falling short.
Aloft, a notable shortwave is over the Appalachians to our west,
heading east. This looks to be the trigger for thunderstorms now
developing in that general vicinity. Expect these to continue
moving generally eastward thru the rest of the afternoon into
the evening, possibly crossing a majority of the region, but
most likely areas from Philly south and west. They will be
feeding on the weak shear with the aforementioned shortwave and
the plentiful CAPE (over 2000 j/kg) just south of the
aforementioned boundary. This will therefore provide at least a
marginal risk of severe weather, so SPC has added these areas to
the marginal risk. Will need to watch convection and instability
trends closely this evening, as its not out of the question a
further ramp-up is eventually needed, but for now am comfortable
with current forecast.
Shortwave moves on by overnight, but then remnants of developing
MCS's further west may come into play. Lots of uncertainty here,
with some guidance showing them holding together late tonight
into early Saturday, while others completely dissipate them as
they cross the mountains. Thus, have slight chance POPS for most
late tonight into Saturday morning. Otherwise, lows will be in
the 70s, and with the boundary pushing back north, expect it to
remain quite sultry.
Saturday afternoon into the evening, more shortwave energy moves
through just ahead of the main cold front. This will provide our
best shot of widespread storms for a while, but even here,
guidance varies on timing and position of the shortwave energy
along with possible disruptions to heating due to remnant MCS
clouds from the today/tonight. A notable trend in guidance was
to more or less split activity around Philly, but certainly not
confident on this at all. Thus, have likely PoPS sliding
southeastward across the CWA from midday into the night, then
dropping off late. With high humidity remaining and temps again
likely in the 90s, maintained heat advisories as inherited, with
indices likely going 100-104 near and east of I-95 and 105-109
south of I-95. Late Saturday night, things change considerably
as the cooler and DRIER air moves in behind the front. Lows in
the 60s to lower 70s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
With the cold front through the region, we can expect a
pleasant day across the region Sunday with temps close to 10
degrees colder on Saturday in the upper 70s in the Poconos and
low to mid 80s elsewhere with dew points much improved in the
upper 50s to mid 60s. Sunday night will be quite the treat with
lows in the low to mid 60s across the region with mid to upper
50s in the Lehigh Valley, Pocono Plateau, and northwest NJ.
Early Monday morning, a weak mid level trough will swing across
the region, helping kick up a coastal low that will develop off
the North Carolina coast and push out to sea. During that
process, though, latest global guidance suggests a weak surface
trough extending north and east from the main low could trigger
a few showers in the region through the morning. With that said,
coverage is not expected to be widespread with confidence
overall low with this feature. Introduced a <20% chance for rain
to suggest the possibility, however. Otherwise, Canadian high
pressure building over the Great Lakes will allow for another
nice day with temperatures in the low to mid 80s overall with
mid 70s across the Pocono Plateau. Dew points will be the a very
comfortable range of the 50s! Monday night lows will even be a
few degrees cooler than the previous night.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The middle of the work week will be dominated by the Canadian
surface high pressure slowly drifting east across the Northeast.
Temperatures in the afternoon Tuesday through Thursday will
remain in the low 80s with overnight lows in the low to mid 60s.
Expect mostly dry weather through Thursday before our high
shifts offshore. Dew points will remain in the 50s through
Wednesday, but creep back up into the low to mid 60s on Thursday
as southerly flow returns with the offshore high.
Chance of rain returns late Thursday and into Friday as a mid
level trough digs across the Great Lakes and into the Northeast.
Some timing differences among global models, but overall,
showers and storms will be possible once again to close out the
work week.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
VFR presently, but thunderstorms slowly approaching from the
west. RDG, PHL/PNE and ILG seem like the most likely places to
see thunderstorms, mainly after 01Z, so have included some TEMPO
groups there, but confidence is low regarding any one location
seeing a thunderstorm as this activity will tend to weaken
toward and after sunset. Ceilings have not been particularly low
even with storms in MD/PA...perhaps down to 045, but VSBY could
easily drop to 2-4 SM briefly at any location that sees a heavy
downpour this evening. Showers and storms will continue to
weaken and diminish after midnight while lifting east/northeast.
Lots of uncertainty on convective timing for Saturday, with
suggestions of a morning round and then a late day round. For
now mostly have no mention so far given very low confidence,
but added SHRA VCTS for the end of the PHL TAF. Otherwise, VFR
with south to west winds 5-10 kts. Low confidence.
Outlook...
Sunday...VFR. Winds northwest around 10 kts with gusts to 20
kts. Moderate confidence.
Monday...VFR. Winds northwest around 10 kts with gusts to 20
kts. High confidence.
Tuesday...VFR. Winds northwest 5-10 kts with gusts to 15 kts.
High confidence.
Wednesday...VFR. Winds northwest 5-10kts with gusts to 15 kts.
High confidence.
&&
.MARINE...
Mostly sub-SCA thru Saturday. Winds generally southwest around
10 kts, occasionally 15 with gusts up to 20 kts. Could see some
spotty gusts to 25 kts, but confidence low. Waves mostly 2-4 ft,
but could see some spotty waves reaching 5 ft. Again, confidence
here low, so held off on any headlines, but if needed, it looks
most likely Saturday vs tonight. Otherwise, main marine concern
will be scattered thunderstorms tonight and Saturday.
Outlook...
Sunday...Sub SCA anticipated. Winds north 10-15 kts with gusts
to 20 kts. Waves 2-4 ft.
Monday...Sub SCA anticipated. Winds north 10-15 kts with gusts
to 20 kts. Waves 2-4 ft.
Tuesday...Sub SCA anticipated. Winds north-northeast around 10
kts with gusts to 15 kts. Waves 2-3 ft.
Wednesday...Sub SCA anticipated. Winds north-northeast around
10 kts with gusts to 15 kts, veering east-southeast by Wednesday
night. Waves 2-3 ft.
Rip Currents...
Seas decrease to around 2 to 3 feet for today and this combined
with a medium period swell around 6 seconds is forecast to
result in a LOW risk for the development of dangerous rip
currents for today for both the NJ and DE beaches. Seas
increase once again for Saturday to around 3 to 4 feet so we are
forecasting MODERATE risk for rip currents for the New Jersey
beaches with a continuing LOW risk for the Delaware beaches.
&&
.CLIMATE...
Near record breaking heat is forecast for Thursday night
through Friday night. Records for our climate sites are listed
below:
July 28 July 28 July 29
Warmest Low Warmest High Warmest Low
Site Record/Year Record/Year Record/Year
Allentown (ABE) 75/1934 97/1949 75/2002
AC Airport (ACY) 80/2020 98/1999 78/2002
AC Marina (55N) 78/2020 96/1999 78/2020
Georgetown (GED) 76/2022 99/1949 78/2011
Mount Pocono (MPO) 69/1955 93/1949 71/2002
Philadelphia (PHL) 79/2020 100/1941 81/1995
Reading (RDG) 78/1949 99/1941 78/1949
Trenton (TTN) 76/1949 98/1940 77/2002
Wilmington (ILG) 76/2020 101/1894 82/1894
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Excessive Heat Warning until 10 PM EDT this evening for PAZ070-
071-102-104-106.
Heat Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT Saturday for
PAZ070-071-104-106.
Heat Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for PAZ060>062-101-
103-105.
NJ...Excessive Heat Warning until 10 PM EDT this evening for NJZ009-
010-012-013-015-017>020-027.
Heat Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT Saturday for
NJZ010-012-013-015-017>020-027.
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Saturday for NJZ014-016-021>023.
Heat Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for NJZ001-007-008.
DE...Excessive Heat Warning until 10 PM EDT this evening for DEZ001.
Heat Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT Saturday for
DEZ001.
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Saturday for DEZ002>004.
MD...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Saturday for MDZ012-015-019-020.
MARINE...None.
&&
SYNOPSIS...MJL
NEAR TERM...Dodd/RCM
SHORT TERM...MJL
LONG TERM...MJL
AVIATION...Dodd/MJL/RCM
MARINE...MJL/RCM
CLIMATE...Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 28, 3:45 PM EST, 3 hours 57 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
DEZ001-292045-
New Castle-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
DEZ002-292045-
Kent-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
DEZ003-292045-
Inland Sussex-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
DEZ004-292045-
Delaware Beaches-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ054-292045-
Carbon-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ055-292045-
Monroe-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ060-292045-
Berks-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ061-292045-
Lehigh-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ062-292045-
Northampton-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ070-292045-
Delaware-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ071-292045-
Philadelphia-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ101-292045-
Western Chester-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ102-292045-
Eastern Chester-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ103-292045-
Western Montgomery-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ104-292045-
Eastern Montgomery-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ105-292045-
Upper Bucks-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
PAZ106-292045-
Lower Bucks-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ001-292045-
Sussex-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ007-292045-
Warren-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ008-292045-
Morris-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ009-292045-
Hunterdon-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ010-292045-
Somerset-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ012-292045-
Middlesex-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ013-292045-
Western Monmouth-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ014-292045-
Eastern Monmouth-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ015-292045-
Mercer-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ016-292045-
Salem-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ017-292045-
Gloucester-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ018-292045-
Camden-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ019-292045-
Northwestern Burlington-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ020-292045-
Ocean-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ021-292045-
Cumberland-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ022-292045-
Atlantic-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ023-292045-
Cape May-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ024-292045-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a moderate risk of rip currents.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ025-292045-
Coastal Atlantic-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a moderate risk of rip currents.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ026-292045-
Coastal Ocean-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
NJZ027-292045-
Southeastern Burlington-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
MDZ012-292045-
Kent MD-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
MDZ015-292045-
Queen Annes-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
MDZ019-292045-
Talbot-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
MDZ020-292045-
Caroline-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ430-292045-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ431-292045-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ450-292045-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ451-292045-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ452-292045-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ453-292045-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ454-292045-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
ANZ455-292045-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
0445 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday.
Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 28, 6:37 PM EST, 1 hour 5 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
737 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
PAZ101-102-290030-
Western Chester PA-Eastern Chester PA-
737 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Chester County
through 830 PM EDT...
At 737 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Terre Hill to near Gap to near Rock
Springs. Movement was east at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Coatesville, Downingtown, Kennett Square, Oxford, Parkesburg, West
Grove, Honey Brook, Elverson, Homeville, Glen Roy, Cochranville,
Pughtown, Mount Vernon, Marshallton, Glenmoore, Landenberg,
Kemblesville, Lionville, Lionville-Marchwood and North Star.
This includes Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 300 and 313.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3974 7612 3973 7610 3974 7610 3976 7606
3983 7604 3987 7599 3995 7600 4004 7593
4011 7594 4018 7582 4017 7565 3990 7564
3972 7577 3972 7613 3973 7613
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 270DEG 26KT 4013 7605 3992 7606 3972 7624
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
MLBSpecial weather statement, Jul 28, 7:24 PM EST, 18 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
824 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
PAZ060-070-101>104-290115-
Eastern Montgomery PA-Western Montgomery PA-Delaware PA-
Western Chester PA-Eastern Chester PA-Berks PA-
824 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern Berks,
Montgomery, northeastern Chester and central Delaware Counties
through 915 PM EDT...
At 824 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Cedarville to near Pughtown to near
Kennett Square. Movement was east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
West Chester, Norristown, Pottstown, Phoenixville, West Norriton,
East Norriton, Westtown, Downingtown, Conshohocken, Swarthmore,
Collegeville, Royersford, Trappe, Schwenksville, Bechtelsville, Green
Lane, Cheyney, Pughtown, Bryn Mawr and Marshallton.
This includes the following highways...
Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 309 and 335.
Northeast Extension between mile markers 21 and 38.
Interstate 76 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 327 and 335.
Interstate 476 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 2 and 19.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4036 7582 4040 7546 4035 7538 4010 7524
3989 7536 3987 7573 4014 7573
TIME...MOT...LOC 0024Z 277DEG 21KT 4026 7569 4013 7564 3986 7576
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
MLBSpecial weather statement, Jul 28, 7:33 PM EST, 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
833 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
DEZ001-002-MDZ012-NJZ016-017-021-290115-
Kent DE-New Castle DE-Kent MD-Salem NJ-Cumberland NJ-Gloucester NJ-
833 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of New Castle, north
central Kent, northeastern Kent, northwestern Cumberland, Salem and
central Gloucester Counties through 915 PM EDT...
At 832 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Elkton to Mount Pleasant to near
Sassafras. Movement was east at 50 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Wilmington, Newark, Millville, Bridgeton, Middletown, Glassboro,
Pennsville, Smyrna, Pitman, Clayton, Carneys Point, New Castle, Penns
Grove, Salem, Woodstown, Alloway, Quinton, Swedesboro, Delaware City
and Elmer.
This includes the following highways...
New Jersey Turnpike near exit 1.
Interstate 95 in Delaware between mile markers 0 and 11.
Interstate 295 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 6.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
If on or near Delaware Bay, get out of the water and move indoors or
inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can strike out to 10 miles
from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you are close
enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter now! Do not
be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.
&&
LAT...LON 3938 7583 3938 7577 3962 7579 3970 7579
3975 7515 3957 7508 3932 7510 3930 7584
TIME...MOT...LOC 0032Z 263DEG 42KT 3963 7579 3950 7574 3938 7575
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
AAD